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2017-Ward-9-Ballot-Records (Minneapolis; 2017-11-07)

πŸ”— 2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-9-Ballot-Records     (tags: { Minneapolis_MN , from-bolson , actual , 2017-11 , MN , 2017 , Minneapolis-2017 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-9-Ballot-Records" election (2017-Ward-9-Ballot-Records (Minneapolis; 2017-11-07))

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Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-9-Ballot-Records

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Alondra Cano
FPTP Alondra Cano
Approval Alondra Cano
STAR Alondra Cano
Condorcet/Copeland Alondra Cano
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-9-Ballot-Records IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-9-Ballot-Records/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Alondra Cano with 2,982 votes (54.0%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Gary Schiff with 1,934 votes (35.0%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 603 (10.9%)
  • Number of rounds: 4
  • Ballots counted in final round: 4,916 (89.1%)
  • Majority of ballots: 2,760 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 5,519
Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4
Overview:
Active ballots: 5,519 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%)
Counted ballots: 5,519 (100.0%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 5,519 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 10 (0.2%)
Counted ballots: 5,509 (99.8%)
Winning threshold: 2,755 (49.92%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 5,519 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 82 (1.5%)
Counted ballots: 5,437 (98.5%)
Winning threshold: 2,719 (49.27%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 5,519 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 603 (10.9%)
Counted ballots: 4,916 (89.1%)
Winning threshold: 2,459 (44.56%)
Alondra Cano: 2,623 (47.5%)
β†’
Alondra Cano: 2,633 (47.7%)
β†’
Alondra Cano: 2,653 (48.1%)
β†’
IRV/RCV winner:
Alondra Cano: 2,982 (54.0%)βœ…
β†’
Gary Schiff: 1,624 (29.4%)
β†’
Gary Schiff: 1,624 (29.4%)
β†’
Gary Schiff: 1,666 (30.2%)
β†’
Gary Schiff: 1,934 (35.0%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Mohamed Farah: 1,084 (19.6%)
β†’
Mohamed Farah: 1,085 (19.7%)
β†’
Mohamed Farah: 1,118 (20.3%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Mohamed Farah
Ronald W. Peterson: 167 (3.0%)
β†’
Ronald W. Peterson: 167 (3.0%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Ronald W. Peterson Ronald W. Peterson
UWI: 21 (0.4%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
UWI UWI UWI

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-9-Ballot-Records FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-9-Ballot-Records/FPTP#FPTP
πŸ“
Note β€” Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Alondra Cano with 2,623 first-place votes (47.5%)
  • Runner-up: Gary Schiff with 1,624 first-place votes (29.4%)
  • Margin of victory: 999 votes (18.1 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Alondra Cano: 2,623 votes (47.5 %)
    • Gary Schiff: 1,624 votes (29.4 %)
    • Mohamed Farah: 1,084 votes (19.6 %)
    • Ronald W. Peterson: 167 votes (3.0 %)
    • UWI: 21 votes (0.4 %)
  • Total ballots: 5,519

Approval voting results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-9-Ballot-Records approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-9-Ballot-Records/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approval counts estimated from 5,519 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 3 candidates appear viable: Alondra Cano, Gary Schiff, and Mohamed Farah. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 2 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 3, rounded up). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 2 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 5519}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "5519"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=UWI:[UWI]
=[Alondra Cano]:[Alondra Cano]
=[Mohamed Farah]:[Mohamed Farah]
=[Gary Schiff]:[Gary Schiff]
=[Ronald W. Peterson]:[Ronald W. Peterson]
#------- votelines ------
714:[Alondra Cano]/1
641:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1
571:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Gary Schiff]/1
484:[Mohamed Farah]/1
359:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Gary Schiff]/1
308:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1
301:[Gary Schiff]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1
284:[Gary Schiff]/1
254:[Gary Schiff]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1
244:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Gary Schiff]/1
195:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1
156:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Gary Schiff]/1
146:[Gary Schiff]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1
97:[Gary Schiff]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1
87:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1
71:[Gary Schiff]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1
52:[Gary Schiff]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1=[Ronald W. Peterson]/1
30:[Gary Schiff]/1
29:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1
27:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Gary Schiff]/1
26:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Gary Schiff]/1
23:[Gary Schiff]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1
22:[Alondra Cano]/1
19:[Gary Schiff]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1
18:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Gary Schiff]/1=[Ronald W. Peterson]/1
18:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1
16:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1
15:[Gary Schiff]/1=[Ronald W. Peterson]/1
15:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1=[Ronald W. Peterson]/1
14:[Gary Schiff]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1=[Ronald W. Peterson]/1
12:[Mohamed Farah]/1=[Ronald W. Peterson]/1
12:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Gary Schiff]/1=[Ronald W. Peterson]/1
12:[Gary Schiff]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1=[Ronald W. Peterson]/1
11:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Gary Schiff]/1=[Ronald W. Peterson]/1
10:[Mohamed Farah]/1
9:[Gary Schiff]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1=[Ronald W. Peterson]/1
8:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Gary Schiff]/1
7:[Gary Schiff]/1
7:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1=[Ronald W. Peterson]/1
7:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Gary Schiff]/1
7:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1=[Ronald W. Peterson]/1
7:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Gary Schiff]/1=[Ronald W. Peterson]/1
6:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Gary Schiff]/1
6:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1
6:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Ronald W. Peterson]/1
5:[Gary Schiff]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1
5:[Mohamed Farah]/1
5:[Alondra Cano]/1
5:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1
4:[Gary Schiff]/1
4:[Alondra Cano]/1
4:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1=[Ronald W. Peterson]/1
3:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Gary Schiff]/1=UWI/1
3:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Gary Schiff]/1=UWI/1
3:[Gary Schiff]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1
3:[Alondra Cano]/1=UWI/1
2:[Alondra Cano]/1=UWI/1
2:[Mohamed Farah]/1
2:[Gary Schiff]/1
2:[Mohamed Farah]/1
2:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1=UWI/1
2:[Mohamed Farah]/1
2:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1
1:[Mohamed Farah]/1
1:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1
1:[Alondra Cano]/1
1:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Gary Schiff]/1
1:[Mohamed Farah]/1=UWI/1
1:[Gary Schiff]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1
1:[Gary Schiff]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1
1:[Gary Schiff]/1
1:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1=UWI/1
1:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1=UWI/1
1:[Mohamed Farah]/1=[Ronald W. Peterson]/1
1:[Gary Schiff]/1=[Mohamed Farah]/1=UWI/1
1:[Alondra Cano]/1=[Gary Schiff]/1
1:[Gary Schiff]/1=[Ronald W. Peterson]/1
1:[Mohamed Farah]/1=[Ronald W. Peterson]/1
1:[Alondra Cano]/1
  • Approval Winner: Alondra Cano
  • Approval Results:
    • Alondra Cano — 3,563 approvals (64.56% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Mohamed Farah — 2,875 approvals (52.09% of ballots)
    • Gary Schiff — 2,813 approvals (50.97% of ballots)
    • Ronald W. Peterson — 204 approvals (3.7% of ballots)
    • UWI — 17 approvals (0.31% of ballots)
  • Total: 5,519 ballots (9,472 total approvals)

STAR results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-9-Ballot-Records STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-9-Ballot-Records/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 5 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 4 points, the 2nd choice gets 3 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Alondra Cano
  • Finalists: Alondra Cano vs Gary Schiff
  • Runoff result:
    • Alondra Cano: 2,982 votes (54.0%)
    • Gary Schiff: 1,934 votes (35.0%)
    • No preference: 603 voters (10.9%)
  • Total stars allocated: 39,289
  • Total ballots: 5,519
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 786 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Alondra Cano received 14,153 stars (36.0%) from 4,010 voters (72.7%)
    • β˜…#1: Gary Schiff received 11,690 stars (29.8%) from 3,649 voters (66.1%)
    • β˜…#2: Mohamed Farah received 11,488 stars (29.2%) from 3,805 voters (68.9%)
    • β˜…#3: Ronald W. Peterson received 1,608 stars (4.1%) from 553 voters (10.0%)
    • β˜…#4: UWI received 350 stars (0.9%) from 133 voters (2.4%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Alondra Cano (βœ… winner) preferred by 2,982 of 5,519 voters
    • β˜…Gary Schiff preferred by 1,934 of 5,519 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 603

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-9-Ballot-Records Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-9-Ballot-Records/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Alondra Cano
  • Runner-up: Gary Schiff (beats all other candidates except Alondra Cano)
  • Smallest margin: Ronald W. Peterson over UWI (553-116; margin: 437)
  • Largest margin: Alondra Cano over UWI (3,999-65; margin: 3,934)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 5,519

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-9-Ballot-Records w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-9-Ballot-Records/pairwise#wlt
2017-Ward-9-Ballot-Records (Minneapolis; 2017-11-07) pairwise matchups
Alondra Cano
(4-0-0)
Alondra Cano
4 victories ⇣
Gary Schiff
(3-1-0)
Alondra Cano: 2,982(54.0%)
Gary Schiff: 1,934(35.0%)
(No preference: 603; 10.9%)
Gary Schiff
⇽ 1 loss / 3 victories† ⇣
Mohamed Farah
(2-2-0)
Alondra Cano: 3,234(58.6%)
Mohamed Farah: 1,859(33.7%)
(No preference: 426; 7.7%)
Gary Schiff: 2,545(46.1%)
Mohamed Farah: 2,134(38.7%)
(No preference: 840; 15.2%)
Mohamed Farah
⇽ 2 losses / 2 victories† ⇣
Ronald W. Peterson
(1-3-0)
Alondra Cano: 3,938(71.4%)
Ronald W. Peterson: 429(7.8%)
(No preference: 1,152; 20.9%)
Gary Schiff: 3,568(64.6%)
Ronald W. Peterson: 275(5.0%)
(No preference: 1,676; 30.4%)
Mohamed Farah: 3,695(67.0%)
Ronald W. Peterson: 351(6.4%)
(No preference: 1,473; 26.7%)
Ronald W. Peterson
⇽ 3 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
UWI
(0-4-0)
Alondra Cano: 3,999(72.5%)
UWI: 65(1.2%)
(No preference: 1,455; 26.4%)
Gary Schiff: 3,643(66.0%)
UWI: 85(1.5%)
(No preference: 1,791; 32.5%)
Mohamed Farah: 3,800(68.9%)
UWI: 84(1.5%)
(No preference: 1,635; 29.6%)
Ronald W. Peterson: 553(10.0%)
UWI: 116(2.1%)
(No preference: 4,850; 87.9%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-9-Ballot-Records pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-9-Ballot-Records/pairwise#dot

%3 Alondra Cano Alondra Cano 4-0-0 (4 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Gary Schiff Gary Schiff 3-1-0 Alondra Cano->Gary Schiff ← Alondra Cano: 2982 Gary Schiff: 1934 Mohamed Farah Mohamed Farah 2-2-0 Alondra Cano->Mohamed Farah ← Alondra Cano: 3234 Mohamed Farah: 1859 Ronald W. Peterson Ronald W. Peterson 1-3-0 Alondra Cano->Ronald W. Peterson ← Alondra Cano: 3938 Ronald W. Peterson: 429 UWI UWI 0-4-0 Alondra Cano->UWI ← Alondra Cano: 3999 UWI: 65 Gary Schiff->Mohamed Farah ← Gary Schiff: 2545 Mohamed Farah: 2134 Gary Schiff->Ronald W. Peterson ← Gary Schiff: 3568 Ronald W. Peterson: 275 Gary Schiff->UWI ← Gary Schiff: 3643 UWI: 85 Mohamed Farah->Ronald W. Peterson ← Mohamed Farah: 3695 Ronald W. Peterson: 351 Mohamed Farah->UWI ← Mohamed Farah: 3800 UWI: 84 Ronald W. Peterson->UWI ← Ronald W. Peterson: 553 UWI: 116

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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