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2021-Park-3-Cast-Vote-Record (Minneapolis; 2021-11-02)

🔗 2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-3-Cast-Vote-Record     (tags: { Minneapolis_MN , 2021 , from-bolson , actual , 2021-11 , MN , Minneapolis-2021 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-3-Cast-Vote-Record" election (2021-Park-3-Cast-Vote-Record (Minneapolis; 2021-11-02))

ABIF submission area (show)
Method options
Ballot options

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

Results

🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-3-Cast-Vote-Record

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Becky Alper
FPTP Becky Alper
Approval Becky Alper
STAR Becky Alper
Condorcet/Copeland Becky Alper
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-3-Cast-Vote-Record IRV/RCV result permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-3-Cast-Vote-Record/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Becky Alper with 9,073 votes (59.5%) in final round
  • Runner-up: AK Hassan with 3,163 votes (20.7%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 0 (0.0%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 15,254 (100.0%)
  • Majority of ballots: 7,628 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 15,254
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 15,254 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%)
Counted ballots: 15,254 (100.0%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Becky Alper: 9,073 (59.5%)✅
→
AK Hassan: 3,163 (20.7%) (🛑eliminated)
→
Mohamoud Hassan: 2,953 (19.4%) (🛑eliminated)
→
UWI: 65 (0.4%) (🛑eliminated)
→

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-3-Cast-Vote-Record FPTP results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-3-Cast-Vote-Record/FPTP#FPTP
📝
Note — Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Becky Alper with 9,073 first-place votes (59.5%)
  • Runner-up: AK Hassan with 3,163 first-place votes (20.7%)
  • Margin of victory: 5,910 votes (38.7 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Becky Alper: 9,073 votes (59.5 %)
    • AK Hassan: 3,163 votes (20.7 %)
    • Mohamoud Hassan: 2,953 votes (19.4 %)
    • UWI: 65 votes (0.4 %)
  • Total ballots: 15,254

Approval voting results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-3-Cast-Vote-Record approval voting results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-3-Cast-Vote-Record/approval#approval
📝
Note — Approval counts estimated from 15,254 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 2 candidates appear viable: Becky Alper and AK Hassan. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 1 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 2). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 1 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 15254}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "15254"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=UWI:[UWI]
=[Becky Alper]:[Becky Alper]
=[Mohamoud Hassan]:[Mohamoud Hassan]
=[AK Hassan]:[AK Hassan]
#------- votelines ------
6165:[Becky Alper]/1
1660:[AK Hassan]/1
1028:[Becky Alper]/1
735:[Becky Alper]/1
723:[Becky Alper]/1
438:[AK Hassan]/1=[Mohamoud Hassan]/1
388:[AK Hassan]/1
332:[AK Hassan]/1
332:[AK Hassan]/1
332:[AK Hassan]/1
311:[Becky Alper]/1=[Mohamoud Hassan]/1
292:[Becky Alper]/1
287:[AK Hassan]/1=[Mohamoud Hassan]/1
104:[Becky Alper]/1=[Mohamoud Hassan]/1
72:[Becky Alper]/1
58:[AK Hassan]/1
22:[AK Hassan]/1
16:[AK Hassan]/1=[Mohamoud Hassan]/1
14:[Becky Alper]/1
14:[Becky Alper]/1
10:[AK Hassan]/1
10:[AK Hassan]/1
8:[AK Hassan]/1
7:[Becky Alper]/1
7:[Becky Alper]/1
6:[AK Hassan]/1
5:[Becky Alper]/1
4:[Becky Alper]/1
3:[Becky Alper]/1=[Mohamoud Hassan]/1
3:[Becky Alper]/1=UWI/1
2:[AK Hassan]/1
2:[AK Hassan]/1=[Mohamoud Hassan]/1
2:[AK Hassan]/1
2:[Becky Alper]/1
2:[Becky Alper]/1
2:[Becky Alper]/1
1:[AK Hassan]/1
1:[Becky Alper]/1=UWI/1
1:[AK Hassan]/1=[Mohamoud Hassan]/1=UWI/1
1:[Becky Alper]/1=[Mohamoud Hassan]/1
1:[AK Hassan]/1=[Mohamoud Hassan]/1
1:[AK Hassan]/1=UWI/1
1:[Becky Alper]/1=[Mohamoud Hassan]/1=UWI/1
1:[Becky Alper]/1
1:[Becky Alper]/1=UWI/1
1:[Becky Alper]/1=[Mohamoud Hassan]/1
  • Approval Winner: Becky Alper
  • Approval Results:
    • Becky Alper — 9,499 approvals (62.27% of ballots) (✅ winner)
    • AK Hassan — 3,909 approvals (25.63% of ballots)
    • Mohamoud Hassan — 1,166 approvals (7.64% of ballots)
    • UWI — 8 approvals (0.05% of ballots)
  • Total: 15,254 ballots (14,582 total approvals)

STAR results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-3-Cast-Vote-Record STAR results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-3-Cast-Vote-Record/STAR#STAR
📝
Note — STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 4 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 3 points, the 2nd choice gets 2 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Becky Alper
  • Finalists: Becky Alper vs AK Hassan
  • Runoff result:
    • Becky Alper: 9,499 votes (62.3%)
    • AK Hassan: 3,909 votes (25.6%)
    • No preference: 1846 voters (12.1%)
  • Total stars allocated: 60,052
  • Total ballots: 15,254
★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
(one star above is approximately 1,201 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • ★#0: Becky Alper received 30,244 stars (50.4%) from 10,999 voters (72.1%)
    • ★#1: AK Hassan received 15,577 stars (25.9%) from 6,733 voters (44.1%)
    • ★#2: Mohamoud Hassan received 13,816 stars (23.0%) from 6,113 voters (40.1%)
    • ★#3: UWI received 415 stars (0.7%) from 195 voters (1.3%)
  • Finalists:
    • ★Becky Alper (✅ winner) preferred by 9,499 of 15,254 voters
    • ★AK Hassan preferred by 3,909 of 15,254 voters
    • ★No preference between the finalists: 1846

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-3-Cast-Vote-Record Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-3-Cast-Vote-Record/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Becky Alper
  • Runner-up: AK Hassan (beats all other candidates except Becky Alper)
  • Smallest margin: AK Hassan over Mohamoud Hassan (4,942-4,002; margin: 940)
  • Largest margin: Becky Alper over UWI (10,993-86; margin: 10,907)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 15,254

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-3-Cast-Vote-Record w-l-t table permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-3-Cast-Vote-Record/pairwise#wlt
2021-Park-3-Cast-Vote-Record (Minneapolis; 2021-11-02) pairwise matchups
Becky Alper
(3-0-0)
Becky Alper
3 victories ⇣
AK Hassan
(2-1-0)
Becky Alper: 9,499(62.3%)
AK Hassan: 3,909(25.6%)
(No preference: 1,846; 12.1%)
AK Hassan
⇽ 1 loss / 2 victories† ⇣
Mohamoud Hassan
(1-2-0)
Becky Alper: 9,752(63.9%)
Mohamoud Hassan: 3,705(24.3%)
(No preference: 1,797; 11.8%)
AK Hassan: 4,942(32.4%)
Mohamoud Hassan: 4,002(26.2%)
(No preference: 6,310; 41.4%)
Mohamoud Hassan
⇽ 2 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
UWI
(0-3-0)
Becky Alper: 10,993(72.1%)
UWI: 86(0.6%)
(No preference: 4,175; 27.4%)
AK Hassan: 6,726(44.1%)
UWI: 160(1.0%)
(No preference: 8,368; 54.9%)
Mohamoud Hassan: 6,109(40.0%)
UWI: 169(1.1%)
(No preference: 8,976; 58.8%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-3-Cast-Vote-Record pairwise diagram permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-3-Cast-Vote-Record/pairwise#dot

%3 Becky Alper Becky Alper 3-0-0 (3 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) AK Hassan AK Hassan 2-1-0 Becky Alper->AK Hassan ← Becky Alper: 9499 AK Hassan: 3909 Mohamoud Hassan Mohamoud Hassan 1-2-0 Becky Alper->Mohamoud Hassan ← Becky Alper: 9752 Mohamoud Hassan: 3705 UWI UWI 0-3-0 Becky Alper->UWI ← Becky Alper: 10993 UWI: 86 AK Hassan->Mohamoud Hassan ← AK Hassan: 4942 Mohamoud Hassan: 4002 AK Hassan->UWI ← AK Hassan: 6726 UWI: 160 Mohamoud Hassan->UWI ← Mohamoud Hassan: 6109 UWI: 169

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

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