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2021-Ward-8-Cast-Vote-Record (Minneapolis; 2021-11-02)

🔗 2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-8-Cast-Vote-Record     (tags: { Minneapolis_MN , 2021 , from-bolson , actual , 2021-11 , MN , Minneapolis-2021 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-8-Cast-Vote-Record" election (2021-Ward-8-Cast-Vote-Record (Minneapolis; 2021-11-02))

ABIF submission area (show)
Method options
Ballot options

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

Results

🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-8-Cast-Vote-Record

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Andrea Jenkins
FPTP Andrea Jenkins
Approval Andrea Jenkins
STAR Andrea Jenkins
Condorcet/Copeland Andrea Jenkins
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-8-Cast-Vote-Record IRV/RCV result permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-8-Cast-Vote-Record/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Andrea Jenkins with 9,044 votes (84.9%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Robert "Bob" Sullentrop with 1,471 votes (13.8%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 0 (0.0%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 10,648 (100.0%)
  • Majority of ballots: 5,325 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 10,648
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 10,648 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%)
Counted ballots: 10,648 (100.0%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Andrea Jenkins: 9,044 (84.9%)✅
→
Robert "Bob" Sullentrop: 1,471 (13.8%) (🛑eliminated)
→
UWI: 133 (1.2%) (🛑eliminated)
→

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-8-Cast-Vote-Record FPTP results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-8-Cast-Vote-Record/FPTP#FPTP
📝
Note — Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Andrea Jenkins with 9,044 first-place votes (84.9%)
  • Runner-up: Robert "Bob" Sullentrop with 1,471 first-place votes (13.8%)
  • Margin of victory: 7,573 votes (71.1 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Andrea Jenkins: 9,044 votes (84.9 %)
    • Robert "Bob" Sullentrop: 1,471 votes (13.8 %)
    • UWI: 133 votes (1.2 %)
  • Total ballots: 10,648

Approval voting results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-8-Cast-Vote-Record approval voting results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-8-Cast-Vote-Record/approval#approval
📝
Note — Approval counts estimated from 10,648 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 2 candidates appear viable: Andrea Jenkins and Robert "Bob" Sullentrop. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 1 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 2). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 1 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 10648}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "10648"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=UWI:[UWI]
=[Andrea Jenkins]:[Andrea Jenkins]
=[Robert "Bob" Sullentrop]:[Robert "Bob" Sullentrop]
#------- votelines ------
8319:[Andrea Jenkins]/1
1137:[Robert "Bob" Sullentrop]/1
383:[Andrea Jenkins]/1
212:[Andrea Jenkins]/1
208:[Robert "Bob" Sullentrop]/1
87:[Robert "Bob" Sullentrop]/1
55:[Andrea Jenkins]/1
26:[Andrea Jenkins]/1=UWI/1
22:[Andrea Jenkins]/1
20:[Andrea Jenkins]/1
19:[Andrea Jenkins]/1
18:[Robert "Bob" Sullentrop]/1
11:[Robert "Bob" Sullentrop]/1
8:[Andrea Jenkins]/1
6:[Robert "Bob" Sullentrop]/1=UWI/1
5:[Andrea Jenkins]/1
5:[Robert "Bob" Sullentrop]/1
4:[Andrea Jenkins]/1=UWI/1
2:[Robert "Bob" Sullentrop]/1=UWI/1
2:[Robert "Bob" Sullentrop]/1
2:[Robert "Bob" Sullentrop]/1
1:[Robert "Bob" Sullentrop]/1=UWI/1
1:[Robert "Bob" Sullentrop]/1
1:[Andrea Jenkins]/1
  • Approval Winner: Andrea Jenkins
  • Approval Results:
    • Andrea Jenkins — 9,074 approvals (85.22% of ballots) (✅ winner)
    • Robert "Bob" Sullentrop — 1,480 approvals (13.9% of ballots)
    • UWI — 39 approvals (0.37% of ballots)
  • Total: 10,648 ballots (10,593 total approvals)

STAR results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-8-Cast-Vote-Record STAR results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-8-Cast-Vote-Record/STAR#STAR
📝
Note — STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 3 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 2 points, the 2nd choice gets 1 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Andrea Jenkins
  • Finalists: Andrea Jenkins vs Robert "Bob" Sullentrop
  • Runoff result:
    • Andrea Jenkins: 9,074 votes (85.2%)
    • Robert "Bob" Sullentrop: 1,480 votes (13.9%)
    • No preference: 94 voters (0.9%)
  • Total stars allocated: 22,362
  • Total ballots: 10,648
★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
(one star above is approximately 447 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • ★#0: Andrea Jenkins received 18,350 stars (82.1%) from 9,306 voters (87.4%)
    • ★#1: Robert "Bob" Sullentrop received 3,410 stars (15.2%) from 1,939 voters (18.2%)
    • ★#2: UWI received 602 stars (2.7%) from 469 voters (4.4%)
  • Finalists:
    • ★Andrea Jenkins (✅ winner) preferred by 9,074 of 10,648 voters
    • ★Robert "Bob" Sullentrop preferred by 1,480 of 10,648 voters
    • ★No preference between the finalists: 94

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-8-Cast-Vote-Record Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-8-Cast-Vote-Record/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Andrea Jenkins
  • Runner-up: Robert "Bob" Sullentrop (beats all other candidates except Andrea Jenkins)
  • Smallest margin: Robert "Bob" Sullentrop over UWI (1,930-369; margin: 1,561)
  • Largest margin: Andrea Jenkins over UWI (9,276-233; margin: 9,043)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 10,648

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-8-Cast-Vote-Record w-l-t table permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-8-Cast-Vote-Record/pairwise#wlt
2021-Ward-8-Cast-Vote-Record (Minneapolis; 2021-11-02) pairwise matchups
Andrea Jenkins
(2-0-0)
Andrea Jenkins
2 victories ⇣
Robert "Bob" Sullentrop
(1-1-0)
Andrea Jenkins: 9,074(85.2%)
Robert "Bob" Sullentrop: 1,480(13.9%)
(No preference: 94; 0.9%)
Robert "Bob" Sullentrop
⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory† ⇣
UWI
(0-2-0)
Andrea Jenkins: 9,276(87.1%)
UWI: 233(2.2%)
(No preference: 1,139; 10.7%)
Robert "Bob" Sullentrop: 1,930(18.1%)
UWI: 369(3.5%)
(No preference: 8,349; 78.4%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-8-Cast-Vote-Record pairwise diagram permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-8-Cast-Vote-Record/pairwise#dot

%3 Andrea Jenkins Andrea Jenkins 2-0-0 (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Robert "Bob" Sullentrop Robert "Bob" Sullentrop 1-1-0 Andrea Jenkins->Robert "Bob" Sullentrop ← Andrea Jenkins: 9074 Robert "Bob" Sullentrop: 1480 UWI UWI 0-2-0 Andrea Jenkins->UWI ← Andrea Jenkins: 9276 UWI: 233 Robert "Bob" Sullentrop->UWI ← Robert "Bob" Sullentrop: 1930 UWI: 369

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

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