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House_District_16 (Alaska; 2022-08-16)

πŸ”— 2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_16     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 , 2022-08 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_16" election (House_District_16 (Alaska; 2022-08-16))

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Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_16

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "choose_one". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
FPTP Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie"
Approval Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie"
IRV/RCV Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie"
STAR Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie"
Condorcet/Copeland Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie"
Election results summary showing voting method winners
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FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_16 FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_16/FPTP#FPTP

  • FPTP Winner: Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie" with 3,107 first-place votes (49.6%)
  • Runner-up: Vazquez, Liz with 2,012 first-place votes (32.1%)
  • Margin of victory: 1,095 votes (17.5 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie": 3,107 votes (49.6 %)
    • Vazquez, Liz: 2,012 votes (32.1 %)
    • McKinney, Joel M.: 590 votes (9.4 %)
    • Beckes, Richard "Rick": 127 votes (2.0 %)
  • Blanks: 424 (6.8 %)
  • Total ballots: 6,260

Approval voting results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_16 approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_16/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approvals inferred from choose_one ballots
Details

Approval results are derived by treating each voter's single top choice as their only approval. Lower preferences are not available on choose_one ballots.

  • Approval Winner: Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie"
  • Approval Results:
    • Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie" — 3,107 approvals (49.63% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Vazquez, Liz — 2,012 approvals (32.14% of ballots)
    • McKinney, Joel M. — 590 approvals (9.42% of ballots)
    • Beckes, Richard "Rick" — 127 approvals (2.03% of ballots)
  • Total: 6,260 ballots (5,836 total approvals)

IRV/RCV results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_16 IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_16/IRV#IRV
πŸ“
Note β€” IRV/RCV applied to choose_one ballots (no transfers)
Details

These ballots indicate only a single top choice per voter. IRV/RCV on choose_one ballots cannot transfer votes or use lower preferences, so the result is equivalent to plurality on first choices.

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie" with 3,107 votes (49.6%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Vazquez, Liz with 2,012 votes (32.1%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 424 (6.8%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 5,836 (93.2%)
  • Majority of ballots: 3,131 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 6,260
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 6,260 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 424 (6.8%)
Counted ballots: 5,836 (93.2%)
Winning threshold: 2,919 (46.63%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie": 3,107 (49.6%)βœ…
β†’
Vazquez, Liz: 2,012 (32.1%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
McKinney, Joel M.: 590 (9.4%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Beckes, Richard "Rick": 127 (2.0%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’

STAR results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_16 STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_16/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR interpretation from choose_one ballots
Details

Choose_one ballots provide only each voter's top choice and no ratings. STAR results shown here are computed without true ratings and should be interpreted cautiously.

  • STAR winner: Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie"
  • Finalists: Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie" vs Vazquez, Liz
  • Runoff result:
    • Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie": 3,107 votes (49.6%)
    • Vazquez, Liz: 2,012 votes (32.1%)
    • No preference: 1141 voters (18.2%)
  • Total stars allocated: 17,508
  • Total ballots: 6,260
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 350 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie" received 9,321 stars (53.2%) from 3,107 voters (49.6%)
    • β˜…#1: Vazquez, Liz received 6,036 stars (34.5%) from 2,012 voters (32.1%)
    • β˜…#2: McKinney, Joel M. received 1,770 stars (10.1%) from 590 voters (9.4%)
    • β˜…#3: Beckes, Richard "Rick" received 381 stars (2.2%) from 127 voters (2.0%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie" (βœ… winner) preferred by 3,107 of 6,260 voters
    • β˜…Vazquez, Liz preferred by 2,012 of 6,260 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 1141

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_16 Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_16/pairwise#pairwise
πŸ“
Note β€” Pairwise comparisons derived from top-choice-only ballots
Details

Pairwise/Condorcet comparisons use only each voter's top choice from choose_one ballots. No lower preferences are available, so many matchups will show a large 'No preference' count.

  • Winner: Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie"
  • Runner-up: Vazquez, Liz (beats all other candidates except Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie")
  • Smallest margin: McKinney, Joel M. over Beckes, Richard "Rick" (590-127; margin: 463)
  • Largest margin: Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie" over Vazquez, Liz (3,107-2,012; margin: 1,095)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 6,260

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_16 w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_16/pairwise#wlt
House_District_16 (Alaska; 2022-08-16) pairwise matchups
Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie"
(3-0-0)
Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie"
3 victories ⇣
Vazquez, Liz
(2-1-0)
Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie": 3,107(49.6%)
Vazquez, Liz: 2,012(32.1%)
(No preference: 1,141; 18.2%)
Vazquez, Liz
⇽ 1 loss / 2 victories† ⇣
McKinney, Joel M.
(1-2-0)
Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie": 3,107(49.6%)
McKinney, Joel M.: 590(9.4%)
(No preference: 2,563; 40.9%)
Vazquez, Liz: 2,012(32.1%)
McKinney, Joel M.: 590(9.4%)
(No preference: 3,658; 58.4%)
McKinney, Joel M.
⇽ 2 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
Beckes, Richard "Rick"
(0-3-0)
Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie": 3,107(49.6%)
Beckes, Richard "Rick": 127(2.0%)
(No preference: 3,026; 48.3%)
Vazquez, Liz: 2,012(32.1%)
Beckes, Richard "Rick": 127(2.0%)
(No preference: 4,121; 65.8%)
McKinney, Joel M.: 590(9.4%)
Beckes, Richard "Rick": 127(2.0%)
(No preference: 5,543; 88.5%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_16 pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_16/pairwise#dot

%3 Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie" Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie" 3-0-0 (3 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Vazquez, Liz Vazquez, Liz 2-1-0 Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie"->Vazquez, Liz ← Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie": 3107 Vazquez, Liz: 2012 McKinney, Joel M. McKinney, Joel M. 1-2-0 Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie"->McKinney, Joel M. ← Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie": 3107 McKinney, Joel M.: 590 Beckes, Richard "Rick" Beckes, Richard "Rick" 0-3-0 Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie"->Beckes, Richard "Rick" ← Armstrong, Jennifer "Jennie": 3107 Beckes, Richard "Rick": 127 Vazquez, Liz->McKinney, Joel M. ← Vazquez, Liz: 2012 McKinney, Joel M.: 590 Vazquez, Liz->Beckes, Richard "Rick" ← Vazquez, Liz: 2012 Beckes, Richard "Rick": 127 McKinney, Joel M.->Beckes, Richard "Rick" ← McKinney, Joel M.: 590 Beckes, Richard "Rick": 127

Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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