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House_District_20 (Alaska; 2022-08-16)

πŸ”— 2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_20     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 , 2022-08 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_20" election (House_District_20 (Alaska; 2022-08-16))

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Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_20

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "choose_one". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
FPTP Gray, Andrew T.
Approval Gray, Andrew T.
IRV/RCV Gray, Andrew T.
STAR Gray, Andrew T.
Condorcet/Copeland Gray, Andrew T.
Election results summary showing voting method winners
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tabbed view

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_20 FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_20/FPTP#FPTP

  • FPTP Winner: Gray, Andrew T. with 1,816 first-place votes (46.9%)
  • Runner-up: Bauer, Paul A. with 1,272 first-place votes (32.9%)
  • Margin of victory: 544 votes (14.1 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Gray, Andrew T.: 1,816 votes (46.9 %)
    • Bauer, Paul A.: 1,272 votes (32.9 %)
    • Kohlhaas, Scott A.: 200 votes (5.2 %)
    • Harary, Jordan I.: 186 votes (4.8 %)
  • Blanks: 396 (10.2 %)
  • Total ballots: 3,870

Approval voting results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_20 approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_20/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approvals inferred from choose_one ballots
Details

Approval results are derived by treating each voter's single top choice as their only approval. Lower preferences are not available on choose_one ballots.

  • Approval Winner: Gray, Andrew T.
  • Approval Results:
    • Gray, Andrew T. — 1,816 approvals (46.93% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Bauer, Paul A. — 1,272 approvals (32.87% of ballots)
    • Kohlhaas, Scott A. — 200 approvals (5.17% of ballots)
    • Harary, Jordan I. — 186 approvals (4.81% of ballots)
  • Total: 3,870 ballots (3,474 total approvals)

IRV/RCV results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_20 IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_20/IRV#IRV
πŸ“
Note β€” IRV/RCV applied to choose_one ballots (no transfers)
Details

These ballots indicate only a single top choice per voter. IRV/RCV on choose_one ballots cannot transfer votes or use lower preferences, so the result is equivalent to plurality on first choices.

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Gray, Andrew T. with 1,816 votes (46.9%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Bauer, Paul A. with 1,272 votes (32.9%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 396 (10.2%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 3,474 (89.8%)
  • Majority of ballots: 1,936 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 3,870
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 3,870 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 396 (10.2%)
Counted ballots: 3,474 (89.8%)
Winning threshold: 1,738 (44.91%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Gray, Andrew T.: 1,816 (46.9%)βœ…
β†’
Bauer, Paul A.: 1,272 (32.9%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Kohlhaas, Scott A.: 200 (5.2%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Harary, Jordan I.: 186 (4.8%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’

STAR results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_20 STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_20/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR interpretation from choose_one ballots
Details

Choose_one ballots provide only each voter's top choice and no ratings. STAR results shown here are computed without true ratings and should be interpreted cautiously.

  • STAR winner: Gray, Andrew T.
  • Finalists: Gray, Andrew T. vs Bauer, Paul A.
  • Runoff result:
    • Gray, Andrew T.: 1,816 votes (46.9%)
    • Bauer, Paul A.: 1,272 votes (32.9%)
    • No preference: 782 voters (20.2%)
  • Total stars allocated: 10,422
  • Total ballots: 3,870
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 208 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Gray, Andrew T. received 5,448 stars (52.3%) from 1,816 voters (46.9%)
    • β˜…#1: Bauer, Paul A. received 3,816 stars (36.6%) from 1,272 voters (32.9%)
    • β˜…#2: Kohlhaas, Scott A. received 600 stars (5.8%) from 200 voters (5.2%)
    • β˜…#3: Harary, Jordan I. received 558 stars (5.4%) from 186 voters (4.8%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Gray, Andrew T. (βœ… winner) preferred by 1,816 of 3,870 voters
    • β˜…Bauer, Paul A. preferred by 1,272 of 3,870 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 782

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_20 Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_20/pairwise#pairwise
πŸ“
Note β€” Pairwise comparisons derived from top-choice-only ballots
Details

Pairwise/Condorcet comparisons use only each voter's top choice from choose_one ballots. No lower preferences are available, so many matchups will show a large 'No preference' count.

  • Winner: Gray, Andrew T.
  • Runner-up: Bauer, Paul A. (beats all other candidates except Gray, Andrew T.)
  • Smallest margin: Kohlhaas, Scott A. over Harary, Jordan I. (200-186; margin: 14)
  • Largest margin: Gray, Andrew T. over Bauer, Paul A. (1,816-1,272; margin: 544)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 3,870

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_20 w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_20/pairwise#wlt
House_District_20 (Alaska; 2022-08-16) pairwise matchups
Gray, Andrew T.
(3-0-0)
Gray, Andrew T.
3 victories ⇣
Bauer, Paul A.
(2-1-0)
Gray, Andrew T.: 1,816(46.9%)
Bauer, Paul A.: 1,272(32.9%)
(No preference: 782; 20.2%)
Bauer, Paul A.
⇽ 1 loss / 2 victories† ⇣
Kohlhaas, Scott A.
(1-2-0)
Gray, Andrew T.: 1,816(46.9%)
Kohlhaas, Scott A.: 200(5.2%)
(No preference: 1,854; 47.9%)
Bauer, Paul A.: 1,272(32.9%)
Kohlhaas, Scott A.: 200(5.2%)
(No preference: 2,398; 62.0%)
Kohlhaas, Scott A.
⇽ 2 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
Harary, Jordan I.
(0-3-0)
Gray, Andrew T.: 1,816(46.9%)
Harary, Jordan I.: 186(4.8%)
(No preference: 1,868; 48.3%)
Bauer, Paul A.: 1,272(32.9%)
Harary, Jordan I.: 186(4.8%)
(No preference: 2,412; 62.3%)
Kohlhaas, Scott A.: 200(5.2%)
Harary, Jordan I.: 186(4.8%)
(No preference: 3,484; 90.0%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_20 pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_20/pairwise#dot

%3 Gray, Andrew T. Gray, Andrew T. 3-0-0 (3 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Bauer, Paul A. Bauer, Paul A. 2-1-0 Gray, Andrew T.->Bauer, Paul A. ← Gray, Andrew T.: 1816 Bauer, Paul A.: 1272 Kohlhaas, Scott A. Kohlhaas, Scott A. 1-2-0 Gray, Andrew T.->Kohlhaas, Scott A. ← Gray, Andrew T.: 1816 Kohlhaas, Scott A.: 200 Harary, Jordan I. Harary, Jordan I. 0-3-0 Gray, Andrew T.->Harary, Jordan I. ← Gray, Andrew T.: 1816 Harary, Jordan I.: 186 Bauer, Paul A.->Kohlhaas, Scott A. ← Bauer, Paul A.: 1272 Kohlhaas, Scott A.: 200 Bauer, Paul A.->Harary, Jordan I. ← Bauer, Paul A.: 1272 Harary, Jordan I.: 186 Kohlhaas, Scott A.->Harary, Jordan I. ← Kohlhaas, Scott A.: 200 Harary, Jordan I.: 186

Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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