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House_District_31 (Alaska; 2022-08-16)

πŸ”— 2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_31     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 , 2022-08 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_31" election (House_District_31 (Alaska; 2022-08-16))

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Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_31

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV LeBon, Barton S.
FPTP LeBon, Barton S.
Approval LeBon, Barton S.
STAR LeBon, Barton S.
Condorcet/Copeland LeBon, Barton S.
Election results summary showing voting method winners
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tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_31 IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_31/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: LeBon, Barton S. with 1,279 votes (35.1%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Dibert, Maxine L. with 1,257 votes (34.5%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 1,107 (30.4%)
  • Number of rounds: 2
  • Ballots counted in final round: 2,536 (69.6%)
  • Majority of ballots: 1,822 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 3,643
Round 1 Round 2
Overview:
Active ballots: 3,643 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 268 (7.4%)
Overvotes: 1 (0.0%)

Counted ballots: 3,374 (92.6%)
Winning threshold: 1,688 (46.34%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 3,642 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 1,106 (30.4%)
Counted ballots: 2,536 (69.6%)
Winning threshold: 1,269 (34.83%)
LeBon, Barton S.: 1,279 (35.1%)
β†’
IRV/RCV winner:
LeBon, Barton S.: 1,279 (35.1%)βœ…
β†’
Dibert, Maxine L.: 1,257 (34.5%)
β†’
Dibert, Maxine L.: 1,257 (34.5%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Nash, Kelly: 838 (23.0%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Nash, Kelly

Overvotes are ballots where multiple candidates are ranked at the same, highest-ranking position.

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_31 FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_31/FPTP#FPTP
πŸ“
Note β€” Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: LeBon, Barton S. with 1,279 first-place votes (35.1%)
  • Runner-up: Dibert, Maxine L. with 1,257 first-place votes (34.5%)
  • Margin of victory: 22 votes (0.6 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • LeBon, Barton S.: 1,279 votes (35.1 %)
    • Dibert, Maxine L.: 1,257 votes (34.5 %)
    • Nash, Kelly: 838 votes (23.0 %)
  • Overvotes: 1 (0.0 %)
  • Blanks: 268 (7.4 %)
  • Total ballots: 3,643

Approval voting results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_31 approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_31/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approval counts estimated from 3,643 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 3 candidates appear viable: LeBon, Barton S., Dibert, Maxine L., and Nash, Kelly. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 2 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 3, rounded up). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 2 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 3643}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "3643"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=[LeBon, Barton S.]:[LeBon, Barton S.]
=[Dibert, Maxine L.]:[Dibert, Maxine L.]
=[Nash, Kelly]:[Nash, Kelly]
#------- votelines ------
1279:[LeBon, Barton S.]/1
1257:[Dibert, Maxine L.]/1
838:[Nash, Kelly]/1
  • Approval Winner: LeBon, Barton S.
  • Approval Results:
    • LeBon, Barton S. — 1,279 approvals (35.11% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Dibert, Maxine L. — 1,257 approvals (34.5% of ballots)
    • Nash, Kelly — 838 approvals (23.0% of ballots)
  • Total: 3,643 ballots (3,374 total approvals)

STAR results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_31 STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_31/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 3 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 2 points, the 2nd choice gets 1 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: LeBon, Barton S.
  • Finalists: LeBon, Barton S. vs Dibert, Maxine L.
  • Runoff result:
    • LeBon, Barton S.: 1,279 votes (35.1%)
    • Dibert, Maxine L.: 1,257 votes (34.5%)
    • No preference: 1107 voters (30.4%)
  • Total stars allocated: 6,752
  • Total ballots: 3,643
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 135 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: LeBon, Barton S. received 2,560 stars (37.9%) from 1,280 voters (35.1%)
    • β˜…#1: Dibert, Maxine L. received 2,516 stars (37.3%) from 1,258 voters (34.5%)
    • β˜…#2: Nash, Kelly received 1,676 stars (24.8%) from 838 voters (23.0%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…LeBon, Barton S. (βœ… winner) preferred by 1,279 of 3,643 voters
    • β˜…Dibert, Maxine L. preferred by 1,257 of 3,643 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 1107

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_31 Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_31/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: LeBon, Barton S.
  • Runner-up: Dibert, Maxine L. (beats all other candidates except LeBon, Barton S.)
  • Smallest margin: Dibert, Maxine L. over Nash, Kelly (1,258-838; margin: 420)
  • Largest margin: LeBon, Barton S. over Nash, Kelly (1,280-838; margin: 442)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 3,643

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_31 w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_31/pairwise#wlt
House_District_31 (Alaska; 2022-08-16) pairwise matchups
LeBon, Barton S.
(2-0-0)
LeBon, Barton S.
2 victories ⇣
Dibert, Maxine L.
(1-1-0)
LeBon, Barton S.: 1,279(35.1%)
Dibert, Maxine L.: 1,257(34.5%)
(No preference: 1,107; 30.4%)
Dibert, Maxine L.
⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory† ⇣
Nash, Kelly
(0-2-0)
LeBon, Barton S.: 1,280(35.1%)
Nash, Kelly: 838(23.0%)
(No preference: 1,525; 41.9%)
Dibert, Maxine L.: 1,258(34.5%)
Nash, Kelly: 838(23.0%)
(No preference: 1,547; 42.5%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_31 pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_31/pairwise#dot

%3 LeBon, Barton S. LeBon, Barton S. 2-0-0 (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Dibert, Maxine L. Dibert, Maxine L. 1-1-0 LeBon, Barton S.->Dibert, Maxine L. ← LeBon, Barton S.: 1279 Dibert, Maxine L.: 1257 Nash, Kelly Nash, Kelly 0-2-0 LeBon, Barton S.->Nash, Kelly ← LeBon, Barton S.: 1280 Nash, Kelly: 838 Dibert, Maxine L.->Nash, Kelly ← Dibert, Maxine L.: 1258 Nash, Kelly: 838

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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