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House_District_35 (Alaska; 2022-11-08)

πŸ”— 2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_35     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , 2022-11 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_35" election (House_District_35 (Alaska; 2022-11-08))

ABIF submission area (show)
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Ballot options

Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_35

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "choose_one". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
FPTP Carrick, Ashley E.
Approval Carrick, Ashley E.
IRV/RCV Carrick, Ashley E.
STAR Carrick, Ashley E.
Condorcet/Copeland Carrick, Ashley E.
Election results summary showing voting method winners
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FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_35 FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_35/FPTP#FPTP

  • FPTP Winner: Carrick, Ashley E. with 3,977 first-place votes (50.5%)
  • Runner-up: McKinley, Kevin with 2,093 first-place votes (26.6%)
  • Margin of victory: 1,884 votes (23.9 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Carrick, Ashley E.: 3,977 votes (50.5 %)
    • McKinley, Kevin: 2,093 votes (26.6 %)
    • McNeill, Ruben A. Jr.: 1,098 votes (13.9 %)
    • Brown, Kieran C.: 231 votes (2.9 %)
    • Write-in: 34 votes (0.4 %)
  • Blanks: 445 (5.6 %)
  • Total ballots: 7,878

Approval voting results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_35 approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_35/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approvals inferred from choose_one ballots
Details

Approval results are derived by treating each voter's single top choice as their only approval. Lower preferences are not available on choose_one ballots.

  • Approval Winner: Carrick, Ashley E.
  • Approval Results:
    • Carrick, Ashley E. — 3,977 approvals (50.48% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • McKinley, Kevin — 2,093 approvals (26.57% of ballots)
    • McNeill, Ruben A. Jr. — 1,098 approvals (13.94% of ballots)
    • Brown, Kieran C. — 231 approvals (2.93% of ballots)
    • Write-in — 34 approvals (0.43% of ballots)
  • Total: 7,878 ballots (7,433 total approvals)

IRV/RCV results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_35 IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_35/IRV#IRV
πŸ“
Note β€” IRV/RCV applied to choose_one ballots (no transfers)
Details

These ballots indicate only a single top choice per voter. IRV/RCV on choose_one ballots cannot transfer votes or use lower preferences, so the result is equivalent to plurality on first choices.

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Carrick, Ashley E. with 3,977 votes (50.5%) in final round
  • Runner-up: McKinley, Kevin with 2,093 votes (26.6%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 445 (5.6%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 7,433 (94.4%)
  • Majority of ballots: 3,940 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 7,878
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 7,878 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 445 (5.6%)
Counted ballots: 7,433 (94.4%)
Winning threshold: 3,717 (47.18%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Carrick, Ashley E.: 3,977 (50.5%)βœ…
β†’
McKinley, Kevin: 2,093 (26.6%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
McNeill, Ruben A. Jr.: 1,098 (13.9%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Brown, Kieran C.: 231 (2.9%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Write-in: 34 (0.4%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’

STAR results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_35 STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_35/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR interpretation from choose_one ballots
Details

Choose_one ballots provide only each voter's top choice and no ratings. STAR results shown here are computed without true ratings and should be interpreted cautiously.

  • STAR winner: Carrick, Ashley E.
  • Finalists: Carrick, Ashley E. vs McKinley, Kevin
  • Runoff result:
    • Carrick, Ashley E.: 3,977 votes (50.5%)
    • McKinley, Kevin: 2,093 votes (26.6%)
    • No preference: 1808 voters (22.9%)
  • Total stars allocated: 29,732
  • Total ballots: 7,878
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 595 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Carrick, Ashley E. received 15,908 stars (53.5%) from 3,977 voters (50.5%)
    • β˜…#1: McKinley, Kevin received 8,372 stars (28.2%) from 2,093 voters (26.6%)
    • β˜…#2: McNeill, Ruben A. Jr. received 4,392 stars (14.8%) from 1,098 voters (13.9%)
    • β˜…#3: Brown, Kieran C. received 924 stars (3.1%) from 231 voters (2.9%)
    • β˜…#4: Write-in received 136 stars (0.5%) from 34 voters (0.4%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Carrick, Ashley E. (βœ… winner) preferred by 3,977 of 7,878 voters
    • β˜…McKinley, Kevin preferred by 2,093 of 7,878 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 1808

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_35 Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_35/pairwise#pairwise
πŸ“
Note β€” Pairwise comparisons derived from top-choice-only ballots
Details

Pairwise/Condorcet comparisons use only each voter's top choice from choose_one ballots. No lower preferences are available, so many matchups will show a large 'No preference' count.

  • Winner: Carrick, Ashley E.
  • Runner-up: McKinley, Kevin (beats all other candidates except Carrick, Ashley E.)
  • Smallest margin: Brown, Kieran C. over Write-in (231-34; margin: 197)
  • Largest margin: Carrick, Ashley E. over Write-in (3,977-34; margin: 3,943)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 7,878

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_35 w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_35/pairwise#wlt
House_District_35 (Alaska; 2022-11-08) pairwise matchups
Carrick, Ashley E.
(4-0-0)
Carrick, Ashley E.
4 victories ⇣
McKinley, Kevin
(3-1-0)
Carrick, Ashley E.: 3,977(50.5%)
McKinley, Kevin: 2,093(26.6%)
(No preference: 1,808; 22.9%)
McKinley, Kevin
⇽ 1 loss / 3 victories† ⇣
McNeill, Ruben A. Jr.
(2-2-0)
Carrick, Ashley E.: 3,977(50.5%)
McNeill, Ruben A. Jr.: 1,098(13.9%)
(No preference: 2,803; 35.6%)
McKinley, Kevin: 2,093(26.6%)
McNeill, Ruben A. Jr.: 1,098(13.9%)
(No preference: 4,687; 59.5%)
McNeill, Ruben A. Jr.
⇽ 2 losses / 2 victories† ⇣
Brown, Kieran C.
(1-3-0)
Carrick, Ashley E.: 3,977(50.5%)
Brown, Kieran C.: 231(2.9%)
(No preference: 3,670; 46.6%)
McKinley, Kevin: 2,093(26.6%)
Brown, Kieran C.: 231(2.9%)
(No preference: 5,554; 70.5%)
McNeill, Ruben A. Jr.: 1,098(13.9%)
Brown, Kieran C.: 231(2.9%)
(No preference: 6,549; 83.1%)
Brown, Kieran C.
⇽ 3 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
Write-in
(0-4-0)
Carrick, Ashley E.: 3,977(50.5%)
Write-in: 34(0.4%)
(No preference: 3,867; 49.1%)
McKinley, Kevin: 2,093(26.6%)
Write-in: 34(0.4%)
(No preference: 5,751; 73.0%)
McNeill, Ruben A. Jr.: 1,098(13.9%)
Write-in: 34(0.4%)
(No preference: 6,746; 85.6%)
Brown, Kieran C.: 231(2.9%)
Write-in: 34(0.4%)
(No preference: 7,613; 96.6%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_35 pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_Alaska-House_District_35/pairwise#dot

%3 Carrick, Ashley E. Carrick, Ashley E. 4-0-0 (4 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) McKinley, Kevin McKinley, Kevin 3-1-0 Carrick, Ashley E.->McKinley, Kevin ← Carrick, Ashley E.: 3977 McKinley, Kevin: 2093 McNeill, Ruben A. Jr. McNeill, Ruben A. Jr. 2-2-0 Carrick, Ashley E.->McNeill, Ruben A. Jr. ← Carrick, Ashley E.: 3977 McNeill, Ruben A. Jr.: 1098 Brown, Kieran C. Brown, Kieran C. 1-3-0 Carrick, Ashley E.->Brown, Kieran C. ← Carrick, Ashley E.: 3977 Brown, Kieran C.: 231 Write-in Write-in 0-4-0 Carrick, Ashley E.->Write-in ← Carrick, Ashley E.: 3977 Write-in: 34 McKinley, Kevin->McNeill, Ruben A. Jr. ← McKinley, Kevin: 2093 McNeill, Ruben A. Jr.: 1098 McKinley, Kevin->Brown, Kieran C. ← McKinley, Kevin: 2093 Brown, Kieran C.: 231 McKinley, Kevin->Write-in ← McKinley, Kevin: 2093 Write-in: 34 McNeill, Ruben A. Jr.->Brown, Kieran C. ← McNeill, Ruben A. Jr.: 1098 Brown, Kieran C.: 231 McNeill, Ruben A. Jr.->Write-in ← McNeill, Ruben A. Jr.: 1098 Write-in: 34 Brown, Kieran C.->Write-in ← Brown, Kieran C.: 231 Write-in: 34

Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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