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MEMBER, BOARD OF SUPERVISORS, DISTRICT 5

🔗 sf2024-member-board-of-supervisors-district-5     (tags: { 2024 , sf2024 , actual , CA , USA , government })

Below is the ABIF from the "sf2024-member-board-of-supervisors-district-5" election (MEMBER, BOARD OF SUPERVISORS, DISTRICT 5)

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Method options
Ballot options

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

Results

🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/sf2024-member-board-of-supervisors-district-5

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV BILAL MAHMOOD
FPTP DEAN PRESTON
Approval BILAL MAHMOOD
STAR BILAL MAHMOOD
Condorcet/Copeland BILAL MAHMOOD
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

sf2024-member-board-of-supervisors-district-5 IRV/RCV result permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/sf2024-member-board-of-supervisors-district-5/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: BILAL MAHMOOD with 14,735 votes (42.8%) in final round
  • Runner-up: DEAN PRESTON with 12,970 votes (37.7%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 6,700 (19.5%)
  • Number of rounds: 5
  • Ballots counted in final round: 27,705 (80.5%)
  • Majority of ballots: 17,203 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 34,405
Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4 Round 5
Overview:
Active ballots: 34,405 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 4,442 (12.9%)
Overvotes: 201 (0.6%)

Counted ballots: 29,762 (86.5%)
Winning threshold: 14,882 (43.26%)
 		Overview:
Active ballots: 34,204 (99.4%)

Exhausted ballots: 4,626 (13.4%)
Overvotes: 2 (0.0%)

Counted ballots: 29,576 (86.0%)
Winning threshold: 14,789 (42.99%)
 		Overview:
Active ballots: 34,202 (99.4%)

Exhausted ballots: 4,760 (13.8%)
Overvotes: 3 (0.0%)

Counted ballots: 29,439 (85.6%)
Winning threshold: 14,720 (42.78%)
 		Overview:
Active ballots: 34,199 (99.4%)

Exhausted ballots: 5,407 (15.7%)
Overvotes: 10 (0.0%)

Counted ballots: 28,782 (83.7%)
Winning threshold: 14,392 (41.83%)
 		Overview:
Active ballots: 34,189 (99.4%)

Exhausted ballots: 6,471 (18.8%)
Overvotes: 13 (0.0%)

Counted ballots: 27,705 (80.5%)
Winning threshold: 13,853 (40.26%)
DEAN PRESTON: 11,857 (34.5%)
→
 DEAN PRESTON: 11,902 (34.6%)
→
 DEAN PRESTON: 11,976 (34.8%)
→
 DEAN PRESTON: 12,330 (35.8%)
→
 DEAN PRESTON: 12,970 (37.7%) (🛑eliminated)
→
BILAL MAHMOOD: 11,725 (34.1%)
→
 BILAL MAHMOOD: 11,826 (34.4%)
→
 BILAL MAHMOOD: 11,884 (34.5%)
→
 BILAL MAHMOOD: 12,759 (37.1%)
→
 IRV/RCV winner:
BILAL MAHMOOD: 14,735 (42.8%)✅
→
SCOTTY JACOBS: 2,740 (8.0%)
→
 SCOTTY JACOBS: 2,767 (8.0%)
→
 SCOTTY JACOBS: 2,866 (8.3%)
→
 SCOTTY JACOBS: 3,693 (10.7%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 SCOTTY JACOBS
AUTUMN HOPE LOOIJEN: 2,580 (7.5%)
→
 AUTUMN HOPE LOOIJEN: 2,630 (7.6%)
→
 AUTUMN HOPE LOOIJEN: 2,713 (7.9%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 AUTUMN HOPE LOOIJEN AUTUMN HOPE LOOIJEN
ALLEN JONES: 445 (1.3%)
→
 ALLEN JONES: 451 (1.3%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 ALLEN JONES ALLEN JONES ALLEN JONES
Write-in: 415 (1.2%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 Write-in Write-in Write-in Write-in

Overvotes are ballots where multiple candidates are ranked at the same, highest-ranking position.

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
sf2024-member-board-of-supervisors-district-5 FPTP results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/sf2024-member-board-of-supervisors-district-5/FPTP#FPTP
📝
Note — Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: DEAN PRESTON with 11,857 first-place votes (34.5%)
  • Runner-up: BILAL MAHMOOD with 11,725 first-place votes (34.1%)
  • Margin of victory: 132 votes (0.4 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • DEAN PRESTON: 11,857 votes (34.5 %)
    • BILAL MAHMOOD: 11,725 votes (34.1 %)
    • SCOTTY JACOBS: 2,740 votes (8.0 %)
    • AUTUMN HOPE LOOIJEN: 2,580 votes (7.5 %)
    • ALLEN JONES: 445 votes (1.3 %)
    • Write-in: 415 votes (1.2 %)
  • Overvotes: 201 (0.6 %)
  • Blanks: 4,442 (12.9 %)
  • Total ballots: 34,405

Approval voting results

sf2024-member-board-of-supervisors-district-5 approval voting results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/sf2024-member-board-of-supervisors-district-5/approval#approval
📝
Note — Approval counts estimated from 34,405 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 3 candidates appear viable: DEAN PRESTON, BILAL MAHMOOD, and SCOTTY JACOBS. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 2 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 3, rounded up). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 2 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 34405}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "34405"}
{emptyballotcount: "4442"}
{contestid: "25"}
{ballot_type: "ranked"}
{title: "MEMBER, BOARD OF SUPERVISORS, DISTRICT 5 (SF November 2024 Consolidated General Election)"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=AUTUMN_HOPE_LOOIJEN:[AUTUMN HOPE LOOIJEN]
=BILAL_MAHMOOD:[BILAL MAHMOOD]
=SCOTTY_JACOBS:[SCOTTY JACOBS]
=ALLEN_JONES:[ALLEN JONES]
=DEAN_PRESTON:[DEAN PRESTON]
=Write_in:[Write-in]
#------- votelines ------
6199:DEAN_PRESTON/1
4517:BILAL_MAHMOOD/1
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1:DEAN_PRESTON/1
1:ALLEN_JONES/1=AUTUMN_HOPE_LOOIJEN/1=BILAL_MAHMOOD/1=DEAN_PRESTON/1=Write_in/1
1:BILAL_MAHMOOD/1=DEAN_PRESTON/1
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1:AUTUMN_HOPE_LOOIJEN/1=BILAL_MAHMOOD/1=SCOTTY_JACOBS/1
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1:AUTUMN_HOPE_LOOIJEN/1=BILAL_MAHMOOD/1=SCOTTY_JACOBS/1
1:BILAL_MAHMOOD/1=SCOTTY_JACOBS/1
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1:ALLEN_JONES/1=DEAN_PRESTON/1=SCOTTY_JACOBS/1
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1:AUTUMN_HOPE_LOOIJEN/1=BILAL_MAHMOOD/1=SCOTTY_JACOBS/1=Write_in/1
1:DEAN_PRESTON/1=SCOTTY_JACOBS/1
1:BILAL_MAHMOOD/1=DEAN_PRESTON/1
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1:ALLEN_JONES/1=DEAN_PRESTON/1=SCOTTY_JACOBS/1
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1:ALLEN_JONES/1=AUTUMN_HOPE_LOOIJEN/1=BILAL_MAHMOOD/1=SCOTTY_JACOBS/1
1:DEAN_PRESTON/1=SCOTTY_JACOBS/1
1:BILAL_MAHMOOD/1=SCOTTY_JACOBS/1
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1:AUTUMN_HOPE_LOOIJEN/1=BILAL_MAHMOOD/1=DEAN_PRESTON/1
1:ALLEN_JONES/1=AUTUMN_HOPE_LOOIJEN/1=BILAL_MAHMOOD/1=SCOTTY_JACOBS/1
1:AUTUMN_HOPE_LOOIJEN/1=BILAL_MAHMOOD/1=SCOTTY_JACOBS/1
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1:ALLEN_JONES/1=DEAN_PRESTON/1=SCOTTY_JACOBS/1
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1:AUTUMN_HOPE_LOOIJEN/1=BILAL_MAHMOOD/1=SCOTTY_JACOBS/1=Write_in/1
1:ALLEN_JONES/1=DEAN_PRESTON/1=SCOTTY_JACOBS/1=Write_in/1
1:DEAN_PRESTON/1=SCOTTY_JACOBS/1
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1:AUTUMN_HOPE_LOOIJEN/1=DEAN_PRESTON/1=SCOTTY_JACOBS/1
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1:ALLEN_JONES/1=AUTUMN_HOPE_LOOIJEN/1=DEAN_PRESTON/1=SCOTTY_JACOBS/1
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  • Approval Winner: BILAL MAHMOOD
  • Approval Results:
    • BILAL MAHMOOD (BILAL_MAHMOOD) — 18,500 approvals (53.77% of ballots) (✅ winner)
    • DEAN PRESTON (DEAN_PRESTON) — 16,036 approvals (46.61% of ballots)
    • SCOTTY JACOBS (SCOTTY_JACOBS) — 9,291 approvals (27.0% of ballots)
    • AUTUMN HOPE LOOIJEN (AUTUMN_HOPE_LOOIJEN) — 4,636 approvals (13.47% of ballots)
    • ALLEN JONES (ALLEN_JONES) — 1,713 approvals (4.98% of ballots)
    • Write-in (Write_in) — 379 approvals (1.1% of ballots)
  • Total: 34,405 ballots (50,555 total approvals)

STAR results

sf2024-member-board-of-supervisors-district-5 STAR results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/sf2024-member-board-of-supervisors-district-5/STAR#STAR
📝
Note — STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 6 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 5 points, the 2nd choice gets 4 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: BILAL MAHMOOD
  • Finalists: BILAL MAHMOOD vs DEAN PRESTON
  • Runoff result:
    • BILAL MAHMOOD: 14,778 votes (43.0%)
    • DEAN PRESTON: 13,094 votes (38.1%)
    • No preference: 6533 voters (19.0%)
  • Total stars allocated: 270,312
  • Total ballots: 34,405
★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
(one star above is approximately 5,406 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • ★#0: BILAL MAHMOOD received 86,878 stars (32.1%) from 19,967 voters (58.0%)
    • ★#1: DEAN PRESTON received 79,315 stars (29.3%) from 18,451 voters (53.6%)
    • ★#2: SCOTTY JACOBS received 43,010 stars (15.9%) from 12,099 voters (35.2%)
    • ★#3: AUTUMN HOPE LOOIJEN received 38,781 stars (14.3%) from 10,854 voters (31.5%)
    • ★#4: ALLEN JONES received 17,608 stars (6.5%) from 6,998 voters (20.3%)
    • ★#5: Write-in received 4,720 stars (1.7%) from 1,309 voters (3.8%)
  • Finalists:
    • ★BILAL MAHMOOD (✅ winner) preferred by 14,778 of 34,405 voters
    • ★DEAN PRESTON preferred by 13,094 of 34,405 voters
    • ★No preference between the finalists: 6533

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

sf2024-member-board-of-supervisors-district-5 Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/sf2024-member-board-of-supervisors-district-5/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: BILAL MAHMOOD
  • Runner-up: DEAN PRESTON (beats all other candidates except BILAL MAHMOOD)
  • Smallest margin: ALLEN JONES over Write-in (6,698-995; margin: 5,703)
  • Largest margin: BILAL MAHMOOD over Write-in (19,612-757; margin: 18,855)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 34,405

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

sf2024-member-board-of-supervisors-district-5 w-l-t table permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/sf2024-member-board-of-supervisors-district-5/pairwise#wlt
MEMBER, BOARD OF SUPERVISORS, DISTRICT 5 pairwise matchups
BILAL MAHMOOD
(5-0-0)
BILAL MAHMOOD
5 victories ⇣
DEAN PRESTON
(4-1-0)
BILAL MAHMOOD: 14,778(43.0%)
DEAN PRESTON: 13,094(38.1%)
(No preference: 6,533; 19.0%)
DEAN PRESTON
⇽ 1 loss / 4 victories† ⇣
SCOTTY JACOBS
(3-2-0)
BILAL MAHMOOD: 16,583(48.2%)
SCOTTY JACOBS: 5,264(15.3%)
(No preference: 12,558; 36.5%)
DEAN PRESTON: 15,527(45.1%)
SCOTTY JACOBS: 7,788(22.6%)
(No preference: 11,090; 32.2%)
SCOTTY JACOBS
⇽ 2 losses / 3 victories† ⇣
AUTUMN HOPE LOOIJEN
(2-3-0)
BILAL MAHMOOD: 16,972(49.3%)
AUTUMN HOPE LOOIJEN: 4,918(14.3%)
(No preference: 12,515; 36.4%)
DEAN PRESTON: 15,617(45.4%)
AUTUMN HOPE LOOIJEN: 6,612(19.2%)
(No preference: 12,176; 35.4%)
SCOTTY JACOBS: 7,740(22.5%)
AUTUMN HOPE LOOIJEN: 7,222(21.0%)
(No preference: 19,443; 56.5%)
AUTUMN HOPE LOOIJEN
⇽ 3 losses / 2 victories† ⇣
ALLEN JONES
(1-4-0)
BILAL MAHMOOD: 18,615(54.1%)
ALLEN JONES: 2,200(6.4%)
(No preference: 13,590; 39.5%)
DEAN PRESTON: 16,539(48.1%)
ALLEN JONES: 3,102(9.0%)
(No preference: 14,764; 42.9%)
SCOTTY JACOBS: 10,100(29.4%)
ALLEN JONES: 2,769(8.0%)
(No preference: 21,536; 62.6%)
AUTUMN HOPE LOOIJEN: 9,169(26.7%)
ALLEN JONES: 2,526(7.3%)
(No preference: 22,710; 66.0%)
ALLEN JONES
⇽ 4 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
Write-in
(0-5-0)
BILAL MAHMOOD: 19,612(57.0%)
Write-in: 757(2.2%)
(No preference: 14,036; 40.8%)
DEAN PRESTON: 18,114(52.6%)
Write-in: 872(2.5%)
(No preference: 15,419; 44.8%)
SCOTTY JACOBS: 11,776(34.2%)
Write-in: 906(2.6%)
(No preference: 21,723; 63.1%)
AUTUMN HOPE LOOIJEN: 10,552(30.7%)
Write-in: 880(2.6%)
(No preference: 22,973; 66.8%)
ALLEN JONES: 6,698(19.5%)
Write-in: 995(2.9%)
(No preference: 26,712; 77.6%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

sf2024-member-board-of-supervisors-district-5 pairwise diagram permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/sf2024-member-board-of-supervisors-district-5/pairwise#dot

%3 BILAL_MAHMOOD BILAL_MAHMOOD 5-0-0 (5 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) DEAN_PRESTON DEAN_PRESTON 4-1-0 BILAL_MAHMOOD->DEAN_PRESTON ← BILAL_MAHMOOD: 14778 DEAN_PRESTON: 13094 SCOTTY_JACOBS SCOTTY_JACOBS 3-2-0 BILAL_MAHMOOD->SCOTTY_JACOBS ← BILAL_MAHMOOD: 16583 SCOTTY_JACOBS: 5264 AUTUMN_HOPE_LOOIJEN AUTUMN_HOPE_LOOIJEN 2-3-0 BILAL_MAHMOOD->AUTUMN_HOPE_LOOIJEN ← BILAL_MAHMOOD: 16972 AUTUMN_HOPE_LOOIJEN: 4918 ALLEN_JONES ALLEN_JONES 1-4-0 BILAL_MAHMOOD->ALLEN_JONES ← BILAL_MAHMOOD: 18615 ALLEN_JONES: 2200 Write_in Write_in 0-5-0 BILAL_MAHMOOD->Write_in ← BILAL_MAHMOOD: 19612 Write_in: 757 DEAN_PRESTON->SCOTTY_JACOBS ← DEAN_PRESTON: 15527 SCOTTY_JACOBS: 7788 DEAN_PRESTON->AUTUMN_HOPE_LOOIJEN ← DEAN_PRESTON: 15617 AUTUMN_HOPE_LOOIJEN: 6612 DEAN_PRESTON->ALLEN_JONES ← DEAN_PRESTON: 16539 ALLEN_JONES: 3102 DEAN_PRESTON->Write_in ← DEAN_PRESTON: 18114 Write_in: 872 SCOTTY_JACOBS->AUTUMN_HOPE_LOOIJEN ← SCOTTY_JACOBS: 7740 AUTUMN_HOPE_LOOIJEN: 7222 SCOTTY_JACOBS->ALLEN_JONES ← SCOTTY_JACOBS: 10100 ALLEN_JONES: 2769 SCOTTY_JACOBS->Write_in ← SCOTTY_JACOBS: 11776 Write_in: 906 AUTUMN_HOPE_LOOIJEN->ALLEN_JONES ← AUTUMN_HOPE_LOOIJEN: 9169 ALLEN_JONES: 2526 AUTUMN_HOPE_LOOIJEN->Write_in ← AUTUMN_HOPE_LOOIJEN: 10552 Write_in: 880 ALLEN_JONES->Write_in ← ALLEN_JONES: 6698 Write_in: 995

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

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