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PRESIDENT AND VICE PRESIDENT

πŸ”— sf2024-president-and-vice-president     (tags: { 2024 , sf2024 , actual , CA , USA , government , federal , potus })

Below is the ABIF from the "sf2024-president-and-vice-president" election (PRESIDENT AND VICE PRESIDENT)

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Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/sf2024-president-and-vice-president

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "choose_one". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
FPTP KAMALA D. HARRIS / TIM WALZ
Approval KAMALA D. HARRIS / TIM WALZ
IRV/RCV KAMALA D. HARRIS / TIM WALZ
STAR KAMALA D. HARRIS / TIM WALZ
Condorcet/Copeland KAMALA D. HARRIS / TIM WALZ
Election results summary showing voting method winners
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FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
sf2024-president-and-vice-president FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/sf2024-president-and-vice-president/FPTP#FPTP

  • FPTP Winner: KAMALA D. HARRIS / TIM WALZ with 323,377 first-place votes (78.5%)
  • Runner-up: DONALD J. TRUMP / JD VANCE with 62,439 first-place votes (15.2%)
  • Margin of victory: 260,938 votes (63.3 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • KAMALA D. HARRIS / TIM WALZ: 323,377 votes (78.5 %)
    • DONALD J. TRUMP / JD VANCE: 62,439 votes (15.2 %)
    • JILL STEIN / RUDOLPH WARE: 6,877 votes (1.7 %)
    • ROBERT F. KENNEDY JR. / NICOLE SHANAHAN: 4,215 votes (1.0 %)
    • CLAUDIA DE LA CRUZ / KARINA GARCIA: 3,627 votes (0.9 %)
    • Write-in: 2,249 votes (0.5 %)
    • CHASE OLIVER / MIKE TER MAAT: 1,865 votes (0.5 %)
    • PETER SONSKI / LAUREN ONAK: 0 votes (0.0 %)
  • Overvotes: 1,257 (0.3 %)
  • Blanks: 6,215 (1.5 %)
  • Total ballots: 412,121

Approval voting results

sf2024-president-and-vice-president approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/sf2024-president-and-vice-president/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approvals inferred from choose_one ballots
Details

Approval results are derived by treating each voter's single top choice as their only approval. Lower preferences are not available on choose_one ballots.

  • Approval Winner: KAMALA D. HARRIS / TIM WALZ
  • Approval Results:
    • KAMALA D. HARRIS / TIM WALZ (KAMALA_D_HARRIS_TIM_) — 324,202 approvals (78.67% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • DONALD J. TRUMP / JD VANCE (DONALD_J_TRUMP_JD_VA) — 63,025 approvals (15.29% of ballots)
    • JILL STEIN / RUDOLPH WARE (JILL_STEIN_RUDOLPH_W) — 7,101 approvals (1.72% of ballots)
    • ROBERT F. KENNEDY JR. / NICOLE SHANAHAN (ROBERT_F_KENNEDY_JR_) — 4,688 approvals (1.14% of ballots)
    • CLAUDIA DE LA CRUZ / KARINA GARCIA (CLAUDIA_DE_LA_CRUZ_K) — 3,979 approvals (0.97% of ballots)
    • Write-in (Write_in) — 2,498 approvals (0.61% of ballots)
    • CHASE OLIVER / MIKE TER MAAT (CHASE_OLIVER_MIKE_TE) — 2,128 approvals (0.52% of ballots)
  • Total: 412,121 ballots (407,621 total approvals)

IRV/RCV results

sf2024-president-and-vice-president IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/sf2024-president-and-vice-president/IRV#IRV
πŸ“
Note β€” IRV/RCV applied to choose_one ballots (no transfers)
Details

These ballots indicate only a single top choice per voter. IRV/RCV on choose_one ballots cannot transfer votes or use lower preferences, so the result is equivalent to plurality on first choices.

  • IRV/RCV Winner: KAMALA D. HARRIS / TIM WALZ with 323,377 votes (78.5%) in final round
  • Runner-up: DONALD J. TRUMP / JD VANCE with 62,439 votes (15.2%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 7,472 (1.8%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 404,649 (98.2%)
  • Majority of ballots: 206,061 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 412,121
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 412,121 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 6,215 (1.5%)
Overvotes: 1,257 (0.3%)

Counted ballots: 404,649 (98.2%)
Winning threshold: 202,325 (49.09%)
IRV/RCV winner:
KAMALA D. HARRIS / TIM WALZ: 323,377 (78.5%)βœ…
β†’
DONALD J. TRUMP / JD VANCE: 62,439 (15.2%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
JILL STEIN / RUDOLPH WARE: 6,877 (1.7%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
ROBERT F. KENNEDY JR. / NICOLE SHANAHAN: 4,215 (1.0%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
CLAUDIA DE LA CRUZ / KARINA GARCIA: 3,627 (0.9%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Write-in: 2,249 (0.5%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
CHASE OLIVER / MIKE TER MAAT: 1,865 (0.5%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
PETER SONSKI / LAUREN ONAK

Overvotes are ballots where multiple candidates are ranked at the same, highest-ranking position.

STAR results

sf2024-president-and-vice-president STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/sf2024-president-and-vice-president/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR interpretation from choose_one ballots
Details

Choose_one ballots provide only each voter's top choice and no ratings. STAR results shown here are computed without true ratings and should be interpreted cautiously.

  • STAR winner: KAMALA D. HARRIS / TIM WALZ
  • Finalists: KAMALA D. HARRIS / TIM WALZ vs DONALD J. TRUMP / JD VANCE
  • Runoff result:
    • KAMALA D. HARRIS / TIM WALZ: 323,979 votes (78.6%)
    • DONALD J. TRUMP / JD VANCE: 62,802 votes (15.2%)
    • No preference: 25340 voters (6.1%)
  • Total stars allocated: 2,853,347
  • Total ballots: 412,121
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 57,067 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: KAMALA D. HARRIS / TIM WALZ received 2,269,414 stars (79.5%) from 324,202 voters (78.7%)
    • β˜…#1: DONALD J. TRUMP / JD VANCE received 441,175 stars (15.5%) from 63,025 voters (15.3%)
    • β˜…#2: JILL STEIN / RUDOLPH WARE received 49,707 stars (1.7%) from 7,101 voters (1.7%)
    • β˜…#3: ROBERT F. KENNEDY JR. / NICOLE SHANAHAN received 32,816 stars (1.2%) from 4,688 voters (1.1%)
    • β˜…#4: CLAUDIA DE LA CRUZ / KARINA GARCIA received 27,853 stars (1.0%) from 3,979 voters (1.0%)
    • β˜…#5: Write-in received 17,486 stars (0.6%) from 2,498 voters (0.6%)
    • β˜…#6: CHASE OLIVER / MIKE TER MAAT received 14,896 stars (0.5%) from 2,128 voters (0.5%)
    • β˜…#7: PETER SONSKI / LAUREN ONAK received 0 stars (0.0%) from 0 voters (0.0%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…KAMALA D. HARRIS / TIM WALZ (βœ… winner) preferred by 323,979 of 412,121 voters
    • β˜…DONALD J. TRUMP / JD VANCE preferred by 62,802 of 412,121 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 25340

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

sf2024-president-and-vice-president Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/sf2024-president-and-vice-president/pairwise#pairwise
πŸ“
Note β€” Pairwise comparisons derived from top-choice-only ballots
Details

Pairwise/Condorcet comparisons use only each voter's top choice from choose_one ballots. No lower preferences are available, so many matchups will show a large 'No preference' count.

  • Winner: KAMALA D. HARRIS / TIM WALZ
  • Runner-up: DONALD J. TRUMP / JD VANCE (beats all other candidates except KAMALA D. HARRIS / TIM WALZ)
  • Smallest margin: CHASE OLIVER / MIKE TER MAAT over PETER SONSKI / LAUREN ONAK (2,128-0; margin: 2,128)
  • Largest margin: KAMALA D. HARRIS / TIM WALZ over PETER SONSKI / LAUREN ONAK (324,202-0; margin: 324,202)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 412,121

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

sf2024-president-and-vice-president w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/sf2024-president-and-vice-president/pairwise#wlt
PRESIDENT AND VICE PRESIDENT pairwise matchups
KAMALA D. HARRIS / TIM WALZ
(7-0-0)
KAMALA D. HARRIS / TIM WALZ
7 victories ⇣
DONALD J. TRUMP / JD VANCE
(6-1-0)
KAMALA D. HARRIS / TIM WALZ: 323,979(78.6%)
DONALD J. TRUMP / JD VANCE: 62,802(15.2%)
(No preference: 25,340; 6.1%)
DONALD J. TRUMP / JD VANCE
⇽ 1 loss / 6 victories† ⇣
JILL STEIN / RUDOLPH WARE
(5-2-0)
KAMALA D. HARRIS / TIM WALZ: 324,053(78.6%)
JILL STEIN / RUDOLPH WARE: 6,952(1.7%)
(No preference: 81,116; 19.7%)
DONALD J. TRUMP / JD VANCE: 62,938(15.3%)
JILL STEIN / RUDOLPH WARE: 7,014(1.7%)
(No preference: 342,169; 83.0%)
JILL STEIN / RUDOLPH WARE
⇽ 2 losses / 5 victories† ⇣
ROBERT F. KENNEDY JR. / NICOLE SHANAHAN
(4-3-0)
KAMALA D. HARRIS / TIM WALZ: 323,911(78.6%)
ROBERT F. KENNEDY JR. / NICOLE SHANAHAN: 4,397(1.1%)
(No preference: 83,813; 20.3%)
DONALD J. TRUMP / JD VANCE: 62,826(15.2%)
ROBERT F. KENNEDY JR. / NICOLE SHANAHAN: 4,489(1.1%)
(No preference: 344,806; 83.7%)
JILL STEIN / RUDOLPH WARE: 7,002(1.7%)
ROBERT F. KENNEDY JR. / NICOLE SHANAHAN: 4,589(1.1%)
(No preference: 400,530; 97.2%)
ROBERT F. KENNEDY JR. / NICOLE SHANAHAN
⇽ 3 losses / 4 victories† ⇣
CLAUDIA DE LA CRUZ / KARINA GARCIA
(3-4-0)
KAMALA D. HARRIS / TIM WALZ: 323,978(78.6%)
CLAUDIA DE LA CRUZ / KARINA GARCIA: 3,755(0.9%)
(No preference: 84,388; 20.5%)
DONALD J. TRUMP / JD VANCE: 62,888(15.3%)
CLAUDIA DE LA CRUZ / KARINA GARCIA: 3,842(0.9%)
(No preference: 345,391; 83.8%)
JILL STEIN / RUDOLPH WARE: 7,010(1.7%)
CLAUDIA DE LA CRUZ / KARINA GARCIA: 3,888(0.9%)
(No preference: 401,223; 97.4%)
ROBERT F. KENNEDY JR. / NICOLE SHANAHAN: 4,577(1.1%)
CLAUDIA DE LA CRUZ / KARINA GARCIA: 3,868(0.9%)
(No preference: 403,676; 98.0%)
CLAUDIA DE LA CRUZ / KARINA GARCIA
⇽ 4 losses / 3 victories† ⇣
Write-in
(2-5-0)
KAMALA D. HARRIS / TIM WALZ: 324,065(78.6%)
Write-in: 2,361(0.6%)
(No preference: 85,695; 20.8%)
DONALD J. TRUMP / JD VANCE: 62,919(15.3%)
Write-in: 2,392(0.6%)
(No preference: 346,810; 84.2%)
JILL STEIN / RUDOLPH WARE: 7,059(1.7%)
Write-in: 2,456(0.6%)
(No preference: 402,606; 97.7%)
ROBERT F. KENNEDY JR. / NICOLE SHANAHAN: 4,650(1.1%)
Write-in: 2,460(0.6%)
(No preference: 405,011; 98.3%)
CLAUDIA DE LA CRUZ / KARINA GARCIA: 3,935(1.0%)
Write-in: 2,454(0.6%)
(No preference: 405,732; 98.4%)
Write-in
⇽ 5 losses / 2 victories† ⇣
CHASE OLIVER / MIKE TER MAAT
(1-6-0)
KAMALA D. HARRIS / TIM WALZ: 324,050(78.6%)
CHASE OLIVER / MIKE TER MAAT: 1,976(0.5%)
(No preference: 86,095; 20.9%)
DONALD J. TRUMP / JD VANCE: 62,893(15.3%)
CHASE OLIVER / MIKE TER MAAT: 1,996(0.5%)
(No preference: 347,232; 84.3%)
JILL STEIN / RUDOLPH WARE: 7,000(1.7%)
CHASE OLIVER / MIKE TER MAAT: 2,027(0.5%)
(No preference: 403,094; 97.8%)
ROBERT F. KENNEDY JR. / NICOLE SHANAHAN: 4,566(1.1%)
CHASE OLIVER / MIKE TER MAAT: 2,006(0.5%)
(No preference: 405,549; 98.4%)
CLAUDIA DE LA CRUZ / KARINA GARCIA: 3,874(0.9%)
CHASE OLIVER / MIKE TER MAAT: 2,023(0.5%)
(No preference: 406,224; 98.6%)
Write-in: 2,464(0.6%)
CHASE OLIVER / MIKE TER MAAT: 2,094(0.5%)
(No preference: 407,563; 98.9%)
CHASE OLIVER / MIKE TER MAAT
⇽ 6 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
PETER SONSKI / LAUREN ONAK
(0-7-0)
KAMALA D. HARRIS / TIM WALZ: 324,202(78.7%)
PETER SONSKI / LAUREN ONAK: 0(0.0%)
(No preference: 87,919; 21.3%)
DONALD J. TRUMP / JD VANCE: 63,025(15.3%)
PETER SONSKI / LAUREN ONAK: 0(0.0%)
(No preference: 349,096; 84.7%)
JILL STEIN / RUDOLPH WARE: 7,101(1.7%)
PETER SONSKI / LAUREN ONAK: 0(0.0%)
(No preference: 405,020; 98.3%)
ROBERT F. KENNEDY JR. / NICOLE SHANAHAN: 4,688(1.1%)
PETER SONSKI / LAUREN ONAK: 0(0.0%)
(No preference: 407,433; 98.9%)
CLAUDIA DE LA CRUZ / KARINA GARCIA: 3,979(1.0%)
PETER SONSKI / LAUREN ONAK: 0(0.0%)
(No preference: 408,142; 99.0%)
Write-in: 2,498(0.6%)
PETER SONSKI / LAUREN ONAK: 0(0.0%)
(No preference: 409,623; 99.4%)
CHASE OLIVER / MIKE TER MAAT: 2,128(0.5%)
PETER SONSKI / LAUREN ONAK: 0(0.0%)
(No preference: 409,993; 99.5%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

sf2024-president-and-vice-president pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/sf2024-president-and-vice-president/pairwise#dot

%3 KAMALA_D_HARRIS_TIM_ KAMALA_D_HARRIS_TIM_ 7-0-0 (7 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) DONALD_J_TRUMP_JD_VA DONALD_J_TRUMP_JD_VA 6-1-0 KAMALA_D_HARRIS_TIM_->DONALD_J_TRUMP_JD_VA ← KAMALA_D_HARRIS_TIM_: 323979 DONALD_J_TRUMP_JD_VA: 62802 JILL_STEIN_RUDOLPH_W JILL_STEIN_RUDOLPH_W 5-2-0 KAMALA_D_HARRIS_TIM_->JILL_STEIN_RUDOLPH_W ← KAMALA_D_HARRIS_TIM_: 324053 JILL_STEIN_RUDOLPH_W: 6952 ROBERT_F_KENNEDY_JR_ ROBERT_F_KENNEDY_JR_ 4-3-0 KAMALA_D_HARRIS_TIM_->ROBERT_F_KENNEDY_JR_ ← KAMALA_D_HARRIS_TIM_: 323911 ROBERT_F_KENNEDY_JR_: 4397 CLAUDIA_DE_LA_CRUZ_K CLAUDIA_DE_LA_CRUZ_K 3-4-0 KAMALA_D_HARRIS_TIM_->CLAUDIA_DE_LA_CRUZ_K ← KAMALA_D_HARRIS_TIM_: 323978 CLAUDIA_DE_LA_CRUZ_K: 3755 Write_in Write_in 2-5-0 KAMALA_D_HARRIS_TIM_->Write_in ← KAMALA_D_HARRIS_TIM_: 324065 Write_in: 2361 CHASE_OLIVER_MIKE_TE CHASE_OLIVER_MIKE_TE 1-6-0 KAMALA_D_HARRIS_TIM_->CHASE_OLIVER_MIKE_TE ← KAMALA_D_HARRIS_TIM_: 324050 CHASE_OLIVER_MIKE_TE: 1976 PETER_SONSKI_LAUREN_ PETER_SONSKI_LAUREN_ 0-7-0 KAMALA_D_HARRIS_TIM_->PETER_SONSKI_LAUREN_ ← KAMALA_D_HARRIS_TIM_: 324202 PETER_SONSKI_LAUREN_: 0 DONALD_J_TRUMP_JD_VA->JILL_STEIN_RUDOLPH_W ← DONALD_J_TRUMP_JD_VA: 62938 JILL_STEIN_RUDOLPH_W: 7014 DONALD_J_TRUMP_JD_VA->ROBERT_F_KENNEDY_JR_ ← DONALD_J_TRUMP_JD_VA: 62826 ROBERT_F_KENNEDY_JR_: 4489 DONALD_J_TRUMP_JD_VA->CLAUDIA_DE_LA_CRUZ_K ← DONALD_J_TRUMP_JD_VA: 62888 CLAUDIA_DE_LA_CRUZ_K: 3842 DONALD_J_TRUMP_JD_VA->Write_in ← DONALD_J_TRUMP_JD_VA: 62919 Write_in: 2392 DONALD_J_TRUMP_JD_VA->CHASE_OLIVER_MIKE_TE ← DONALD_J_TRUMP_JD_VA: 62893 CHASE_OLIVER_MIKE_TE: 1996 DONALD_J_TRUMP_JD_VA->PETER_SONSKI_LAUREN_ ← DONALD_J_TRUMP_JD_VA: 63025 PETER_SONSKI_LAUREN_: 0 JILL_STEIN_RUDOLPH_W->ROBERT_F_KENNEDY_JR_ ← JILL_STEIN_RUDOLPH_W: 7002 ROBERT_F_KENNEDY_JR_: 4589 JILL_STEIN_RUDOLPH_W->CLAUDIA_DE_LA_CRUZ_K ← JILL_STEIN_RUDOLPH_W: 7010 CLAUDIA_DE_LA_CRUZ_K: 3888 JILL_STEIN_RUDOLPH_W->Write_in ← JILL_STEIN_RUDOLPH_W: 7059 Write_in: 2456 JILL_STEIN_RUDOLPH_W->CHASE_OLIVER_MIKE_TE ← JILL_STEIN_RUDOLPH_W: 7000 CHASE_OLIVER_MIKE_TE: 2027 JILL_STEIN_RUDOLPH_W->PETER_SONSKI_LAUREN_ ← JILL_STEIN_RUDOLPH_W: 7101 PETER_SONSKI_LAUREN_: 0 ROBERT_F_KENNEDY_JR_->CLAUDIA_DE_LA_CRUZ_K ← ROBERT_F_KENNEDY_JR_: 4577 CLAUDIA_DE_LA_CRUZ_K: 3868 ROBERT_F_KENNEDY_JR_->Write_in ← ROBERT_F_KENNEDY_JR_: 4650 Write_in: 2460 ROBERT_F_KENNEDY_JR_->CHASE_OLIVER_MIKE_TE ← ROBERT_F_KENNEDY_JR_: 4566 CHASE_OLIVER_MIKE_TE: 2006 ROBERT_F_KENNEDY_JR_->PETER_SONSKI_LAUREN_ ← ROBERT_F_KENNEDY_JR_: 4688 PETER_SONSKI_LAUREN_: 0 CLAUDIA_DE_LA_CRUZ_K->Write_in ← CLAUDIA_DE_LA_CRUZ_K: 3935 Write_in: 2454 CLAUDIA_DE_LA_CRUZ_K->CHASE_OLIVER_MIKE_TE ← CLAUDIA_DE_LA_CRUZ_K: 3874 CHASE_OLIVER_MIKE_TE: 2023 CLAUDIA_DE_LA_CRUZ_K->PETER_SONSKI_LAUREN_ ← CLAUDIA_DE_LA_CRUZ_K: 3979 PETER_SONSKI_LAUREN_: 0 Write_in->CHASE_OLIVER_MIKE_TE ← Write_in: 2464 CHASE_OLIVER_MIKE_TE: 2094 Write_in->PETER_SONSKI_LAUREN_ ← Write_in: 2498 PETER_SONSKI_LAUREN_: 0 CHASE_OLIVER_MIKE_TE->PETER_SONSKI_LAUREN_ ← CHASE_OLIVER_MIKE_TE: 2128 PETER_SONSKI_LAUREN_: 0

Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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