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UNITED STATES REPRESENTATIVE, DISTRICT 15

πŸ”— sf2024-united-states-representative-district-15     (tags: { 2024 , sf2024 , actual , CA , USA , government , federal , house })

Below is the ABIF from the "sf2024-united-states-representative-district-15" election (UNITED STATES REPRESENTATIVE, DISTRICT 15)

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Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/sf2024-united-states-representative-district-15

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "choose_one". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
FPTP KEVIN MULLIN
Approval KEVIN MULLIN
IRV/RCV KEVIN MULLIN
STAR KEVIN MULLIN
Condorcet/Copeland KEVIN MULLIN
Election results summary showing voting method winners
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FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
sf2024-united-states-representative-district-15 FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/sf2024-united-states-representative-district-15/FPTP#FPTP

  • FPTP Winner: KEVIN MULLIN with 25,268 first-place votes (58.9%)
  • Runner-up: ANNA CHENG KRAMER with 10,855 first-place votes (25.3%)
  • Margin of victory: 14,413 votes (33.6 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • KEVIN MULLIN: 25,268 votes (58.9 %)
    • ANNA CHENG KRAMER: 10,855 votes (25.3 %)
  • Overvotes: 43 (0.1 %)
  • Blanks: 6,724 (15.7 %)
  • Total ballots: 42,890

Approval voting results

sf2024-united-states-representative-district-15 approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/sf2024-united-states-representative-district-15/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approvals inferred from choose_one ballots
Details

Approval results are derived by treating each voter's single top choice as their only approval. Lower preferences are not available on choose_one ballots.

  • Approval Winner: KEVIN MULLIN
  • Approval Results:
    • KEVIN MULLIN (KEVIN_MULLIN) — 25,311 approvals (59.01% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • ANNA CHENG KRAMER (ANNA_CHENG_KRAMER) — 10,898 approvals (25.41% of ballots)
  • Total: 42,890 ballots (36,209 total approvals)

IRV/RCV results

sf2024-united-states-representative-district-15 IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/sf2024-united-states-representative-district-15/IRV#IRV
πŸ“
Note β€” IRV/RCV applied to choose_one ballots (no transfers)
Details

These ballots indicate only a single top choice per voter. IRV/RCV on choose_one ballots cannot transfer votes or use lower preferences, so the result is equivalent to plurality on first choices.

  • IRV/RCV Winner: KEVIN MULLIN with 25,268 votes (58.9%) in final round
  • Runner-up: ANNA CHENG KRAMER with 10,855 votes (25.3%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 6,767 (15.8%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 36,123 (84.2%)
  • Majority of ballots: 21,446 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 42,890
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 42,890 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 6,724 (15.7%)
Overvotes: 43 (0.1%)

Counted ballots: 36,123 (84.2%)
Winning threshold: 18,062 (42.11%)
IRV/RCV winner:
KEVIN MULLIN: 25,268 (58.9%)βœ…
β†’
ANNA CHENG KRAMER: 10,855 (25.3%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’

Overvotes are ballots where multiple candidates are ranked at the same, highest-ranking position.

STAR results

sf2024-united-states-representative-district-15 STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/sf2024-united-states-representative-district-15/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR interpretation from choose_one ballots
Details

Choose_one ballots provide only each voter's top choice and no ratings. STAR results shown here are computed without true ratings and should be interpreted cautiously.

  • STAR winner: KEVIN MULLIN
  • Finalists: KEVIN MULLIN vs ANNA CHENG KRAMER
  • Runoff result:
    • KEVIN MULLIN: 25,268 votes (58.9%)
    • ANNA CHENG KRAMER: 10,855 votes (25.3%)
    • No preference: 6767 voters (15.8%)
  • Total stars allocated: 36,209
  • Total ballots: 42,890
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 724 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: KEVIN MULLIN received 25,311 stars (69.9%) from 25,311 voters (59.0%)
    • β˜…#1: ANNA CHENG KRAMER received 10,898 stars (30.1%) from 10,898 voters (25.4%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…KEVIN MULLIN (βœ… winner) preferred by 25,268 of 42,890 voters
    • β˜…ANNA CHENG KRAMER preferred by 10,855 of 42,890 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 6767

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

sf2024-united-states-representative-district-15 Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/sf2024-united-states-representative-district-15/pairwise#pairwise
πŸ“
Note β€” Pairwise comparisons derived from top-choice-only ballots
Details

Pairwise/Condorcet comparisons use only each voter's top choice from choose_one ballots. No lower preferences are available, so many matchups will show a large 'No preference' count.

  • Winner: KEVIN MULLIN
  • Runner-up: ANNA CHENG KRAMER (beats all other candidates except KEVIN MULLIN)
  • Smallest margin: KEVIN MULLIN over ANNA CHENG KRAMER (25,268-10,855; margin: 14,413)
  • Largest margin: KEVIN MULLIN over ANNA CHENG KRAMER (25,268-10,855; margin: 14,413)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 42,890

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

sf2024-united-states-representative-district-15 w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/sf2024-united-states-representative-district-15/pairwise#wlt
UNITED STATES REPRESENTATIVE, DISTRICT 15 pairwise matchups
KEVIN MULLIN
(1-0-0)
KEVIN MULLIN
1 victory ⇣
ANNA CHENG KRAMER
(0-1-0)
KEVIN MULLIN: 25,268(58.9%)
ANNA CHENG KRAMER: 10,855(25.3%)
(No preference: 6,767; 15.8%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

sf2024-united-states-representative-district-15 pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/sf2024-united-states-representative-district-15/pairwise#dot

%3 KEVIN_MULLIN KEVIN_MULLIN 1-0-0 (1 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) ANNA_CHENG_KRAMER ANNA_CHENG_KRAMER 0-1-0 KEVIN_MULLIN->ANNA_CHENG_KRAMER ← KEVIN_MULLIN: 25268 ANNA_CHENG_KRAMER: 10855

Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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