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county_council_2 (Pierce_WA; 2008-11-04)

🔗 2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_council_2-county_council_2     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2008 , PierceCounty_WA , Pierce_WA-2008 , WA , 2008-11 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_council_2-county_council_2" election (county_council_2 (Pierce_WA; 2008-11-04))

ABIF submission area (show)
Method options
Ballot options

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

Results

🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_council_2-county_council_2

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Joyce McDonald
FPTP Joyce McDonald
Approval Joyce McDonald
STAR Joyce McDonald
Condorcet/Copeland Joyce McDonald
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_council_2-county_council_2 IRV/RCV result permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_council_2-county_council_2/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Joyce McDonald with 21,056 votes (48.2%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Al Rose with 17,103 votes (39.2%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 5,502 (12.6%)
  • Number of rounds: 3
  • Ballots counted in final round: 38,159 (87.4%)
  • Majority of ballots: 21,831 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 43,661
Round 1 Round 2 Round 3
Overview:
Active ballots: 43,661 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 3,644 (8.3%)
Counted ballots: 40,017 (91.7%)
Winning threshold: 20,009 (45.83%)
 		Overview:
Active ballots: 43,661 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 3,688 (8.4%)
Counted ballots: 39,973 (91.6%)
Winning threshold: 19,987 (45.78%)
 		Overview:
Active ballots: 43,661 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 5,502 (12.6%)
Counted ballots: 38,159 (87.4%)
Winning threshold: 19,080 (43.70%)
Joyce McDonald: 19,930 (45.6%)
→
 Joyce McDonald: 19,937 (45.7%)
→
 IRV/RCV winner:
Joyce McDonald: 21,056 (48.2%)✅
→
Al Rose: 12,330 (28.2%)
→
 Al Rose: 12,337 (28.3%)
→
 Al Rose: 17,103 (39.2%) (🛑eliminated)
→
Carolyn Merrival: 7,691 (17.6%)
→
 Carolyn Merrival: 7,699 (17.6%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 Carolyn Merrival
Write-In: 66 (0.2%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 Write-In Write-In

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_council_2-county_council_2 FPTP results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_council_2-county_council_2/FPTP#FPTP
📝
Note — Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Joyce McDonald with 19,930 first-place votes (45.6%)
  • Runner-up: Al Rose with 12,330 first-place votes (28.2%)
  • Margin of victory: 7,600 votes (17.4 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Joyce McDonald: 19,930 votes (45.6 %)
    • Al Rose: 12,330 votes (28.2 %)
    • Carolyn Merrival: 7,691 votes (17.6 %)
    • Write-In: 66 votes (0.2 %)
  • Blanks: 3,644 (8.3 %)
  • Total ballots: 43,661

Approval voting results

2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_council_2-county_council_2 approval voting results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_council_2-county_council_2/approval#approval
📝
Note — Approval counts estimated from 43,661 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 3 candidates appear viable: Joyce McDonald, Al Rose, and Carolyn Merrival. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 2 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 3, rounded up). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 2 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 43661}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "43661"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=Write-In:[Write-In]
=[Joyce McDonald]:[Joyce McDonald]
=[Al Rose]:[Al Rose]
=[Carolyn Merrival]:[Carolyn Merrival]
#------- votelines ------
9911:[Joyce McDonald]/1
4175:[Al Rose]/1=[Carolyn Merrival]/1
3917:[Al Rose]/1=[Joyce McDonald]/1
3435:[Carolyn Merrival]/1=[Joyce McDonald]/1
2927:[Al Rose]/1
2856:[Al Rose]/1=[Carolyn Merrival]/1
2439:[Al Rose]/1=[Carolyn Merrival]/1
1667:[Al Rose]/1=[Carolyn Merrival]/1
1599:[Carolyn Merrival]/1
1541:[Al Rose]/1=[Joyce McDonald]/1
991:[Joyce McDonald]/1
903:[Al Rose]/1=[Joyce McDonald]/1
879:[Carolyn Merrival]/1=[Joyce McDonald]/1
520:[Al Rose]/1=[Joyce McDonald]/1
364:[Carolyn Merrival]/1=[Joyce McDonald]/1
290:[Al Rose]/1
193:[Carolyn Merrival]/1
189:[Carolyn Merrival]/1=[Joyce McDonald]/1
143:[Joyce McDonald]/1
131:[Al Rose]/1=[Carolyn Merrival]/1
119:[Al Rose]/1=[Carolyn Merrival]/1
93:[Al Rose]/1=[Carolyn Merrival]/1
86:[Al Rose]/1=[Carolyn Merrival]/1
83:[Joyce McDonald]/1
74:[Al Rose]/1=[Carolyn Merrival]/1
58:[Al Rose]/1=[Joyce McDonald]/1
36:[Joyce McDonald]/1
34:[Carolyn Merrival]/1=[Joyce McDonald]/1
31:[Al Rose]/1
30:[Al Rose]/1=[Joyce McDonald]/1
29:[Al Rose]/1=[Joyce McDonald]/1
29:[Al Rose]/1=[Carolyn Merrival]/1
27:[Carolyn Merrival]/1=[Joyce McDonald]/1
23:[Al Rose]/1=[Joyce McDonald]/1
19:[Carolyn Merrival]/1=[Joyce McDonald]/1
17:[Carolyn Merrival]/1
14:[Al Rose]/1=[Joyce McDonald]/1
14:[Al Rose]/1=[Joyce McDonald]/1=Write-In/1
11:[Carolyn Merrival]/1=[Joyce McDonald]/1
11:[Carolyn Merrival]/1=[Joyce McDonald]/1
9:[Al Rose]/1=[Joyce McDonald]/1
8:[Al Rose]/1=[Carolyn Merrival]/1=Write-In/1
7:[Carolyn Merrival]/1=[Joyce McDonald]/1=Write-In/1
5:[Joyce McDonald]/1=Write-In/1
5:[Carolyn Merrival]/1=[Joyce McDonald]/1
5:[Al Rose]/1
4:[Carolyn Merrival]/1
4:[Al Rose]/1=[Carolyn Merrival]/1=Write-In/1
3:[Joyce McDonald]/1
2:[Al Rose]/1=[Carolyn Merrival]/1=Write-In/1
2:[Al Rose]/1=[Joyce McDonald]/1=Write-In/1
2:[Al Rose]/1=[Joyce McDonald]/1=Write-In/1
2:[Al Rose]/1
1:[Al Rose]/1
1:[Al Rose]/1=[Carolyn Merrival]/1=Write-In/1
1:[Carolyn Merrival]/1=[Joyce McDonald]/1=Write-In/1
1:[Joyce McDonald]/1=Write-In/1
1:[Al Rose]/1=Write-In/1
1:[Al Rose]/1=[Joyce McDonald]/1=Write-In/1
1:[Carolyn Merrival]/1
  • Approval Winner: Joyce McDonald
  • Approval Results:
    • Joyce McDonald — 23,218 approvals (53.18% of ballots) (✅ winner)
    • Al Rose — 22,004 approvals (50.4% of ballots)
    • Carolyn Merrival — 18,480 approvals (42.33% of ballots)
    • Write-In — 49 approvals (0.11% of ballots)
  • Total: 43,661 ballots (63,751 total approvals)

STAR results

2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_council_2-county_council_2 STAR results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_council_2-county_council_2/STAR#STAR
📝
Note — STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 4 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 3 points, the 2nd choice gets 2 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Joyce McDonald
  • Finalists: Joyce McDonald vs Al Rose
  • Runoff result:
    • Joyce McDonald: 21,056 votes (48.2%)
    • Al Rose: 17,103 votes (39.2%)
    • No preference: 5502 voters (12.6%)
  • Total stars allocated: 185,023
  • Total ballots: 43,661
★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
(one star above is approximately 3,700 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • ★#0: Joyce McDonald received 73,392 stars (39.7%) from 30,249 voters (69.3%)
    • ★#1: Al Rose received 60,628 stars (32.8%) from 26,318 voters (60.3%)
    • ★#2: Carolyn Merrival received 50,096 stars (27.1%) from 23,938 voters (54.8%)
    • ★#3: Write-In received 907 stars (0.5%) from 553 voters (1.3%)
  • Finalists:
    • ★Joyce McDonald (✅ winner) preferred by 21,056 of 43,661 voters
    • ★Al Rose preferred by 17,103 of 43,661 voters
    • ★No preference between the finalists: 5502

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_council_2-county_council_2 Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_council_2-county_council_2/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Joyce McDonald
  • Runner-up: Al Rose (beats all other candidates except Joyce McDonald)
  • Smallest margin: Al Rose over Carolyn Merrival (17,238-11,562; margin: 5,676)
  • Largest margin: Joyce McDonald over Write-In (30,237-302; margin: 29,935)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 43,661

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_council_2-county_council_2 w-l-t table permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_council_2-county_council_2/pairwise#wlt
county_council_2 (Pierce_WA; 2008-11-04) pairwise matchups
Joyce McDonald
(3-0-0)
Joyce McDonald
3 victories ⇣
Al Rose
(2-1-0)
Joyce McDonald: 21,056(48.2%)
Al Rose: 17,103(39.2%)
(No preference: 5,502; 12.6%)
Al Rose
⇽ 1 loss / 2 victories† ⇣
Carolyn Merrival
(1-2-0)
Joyce McDonald: 22,099(50.6%)
Carolyn Merrival: 14,617(33.5%)
(No preference: 6,945; 15.9%)
Al Rose: 17,238(39.5%)
Carolyn Merrival: 11,562(26.5%)
(No preference: 14,861; 34.0%)
Carolyn Merrival
⇽ 2 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
Write-In
(0-3-0)
Joyce McDonald: 30,237(69.3%)
Write-In: 302(0.7%)
(No preference: 13,122; 30.1%)
Al Rose: 26,287(60.2%)
Write-In: 292(0.7%)
(No preference: 17,082; 39.1%)
Carolyn Merrival: 23,917(54.8%)
Write-In: 313(0.7%)
(No preference: 19,431; 44.5%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_council_2-county_council_2 pairwise diagram permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_council_2-county_council_2/pairwise#dot

%3 Joyce McDonald Joyce McDonald 3-0-0 (3 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Al Rose Al Rose 2-1-0 Joyce McDonald->Al Rose ← Joyce McDonald: 21056 Al Rose: 17103 Carolyn Merrival Carolyn Merrival 1-2-0 Joyce McDonald->Carolyn Merrival ← Joyce McDonald: 22099 Carolyn Merrival: 14617 Write-In Write-In 0-3-0 Joyce McDonald->Write-In ← Joyce McDonald: 30237 Write-In: 302 Al Rose->Carolyn Merrival ← Al Rose: 17238 Carolyn Merrival: 11562 Al Rose->Write-In ← Al Rose: 26287 Write-In: 292 Carolyn Merrival->Write-In ← Carolyn Merrival: 23917 Write-In: 313

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

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