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county_executive (Pierce_WA; 2008-11-04)

πŸ”— 2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_executive-county_executive     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2008 , PierceCounty_WA , Pierce_WA-2008 , WA , 2008-11 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_executive-county_executive" election (county_executive (Pierce_WA; 2008-11-04))

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Method options
Ballot options

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_executive-county_executive

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Pat McCarthy
FPTP Shawn Bunney
Approval Calvin Goings
STAR Pat McCarthy
Condorcet/Copeland Pat McCarthy
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_executive-county_executive IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_executive-county_executive/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Pat McCarthy with 136,486 votes (43.6%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Shawn Bunney with 132,401 votes (42.3%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 43,884 (14.0%)
  • Number of rounds: 4
  • Ballots counted in final round: 268,887 (86.0%)
  • Majority of ballots: 156,386 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 312,771
Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4
Overview:
Active ballots: 312,771 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 13,336 (4.3%)
Counted ballots: 299,435 (95.7%)
Winning threshold: 149,718 (47.87%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 312,771 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 13,664 (4.4%)
Counted ballots: 299,107 (95.6%)
Winning threshold: 149,554 (47.82%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 312,771 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 24,143 (7.7%)
Counted ballots: 288,628 (92.3%)
Winning threshold: 144,315 (46.14%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 312,771 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 43,884 (14.0%)
Counted ballots: 268,887 (86.0%)
Winning threshold: 134,444 (42.98%)
Shawn Bunney: 104,834 (33.5%)
β†’
Shawn Bunney: 104,880 (33.5%)
β†’
Shawn Bunney: 118,747 (38.0%)
β†’
Shawn Bunney: 132,401 (42.3%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Pat McCarthy: 79,042 (25.3%)
β†’
Pat McCarthy: 79,061 (25.3%)
β†’
Pat McCarthy: 92,059 (29.4%)
β†’
IRV/RCV winner:
Pat McCarthy: 136,486 (43.6%)βœ…
β†’
Calvin Goings: 69,394 (22.2%)
β†’
Calvin Goings: 69,413 (22.2%)
β†’
Calvin Goings: 77,822 (24.9%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Calvin Goings
Mike Lonergan: 45,705 (14.6%)
β†’
Mike Lonergan: 45,753 (14.6%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Mike Lonergan Mike Lonergan
Write-In: 460 (0.1%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Write-In Write-In Write-In

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_executive-county_executive FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_executive-county_executive/FPTP#FPTP
πŸ“
Note β€” Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Shawn Bunney with 104,834 first-place votes (33.5%)
  • Runner-up: Pat McCarthy with 79,042 first-place votes (25.3%)
  • Margin of victory: 25,792 votes (8.2 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Shawn Bunney: 104,834 votes (33.5 %)
    • Pat McCarthy: 79,042 votes (25.3 %)
    • Calvin Goings: 69,394 votes (22.2 %)
    • Mike Lonergan: 45,705 votes (14.6 %)
    • Write-In: 460 votes (0.1 %)
  • Blanks: 13,336 (4.3 %)
  • Total ballots: 312,771

Approval voting results

2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_executive-county_executive approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_executive-county_executive/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approval counts estimated from 312,771 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 3 candidates appear viable: Shawn Bunney, Pat McCarthy, and Calvin Goings. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 2 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 3, rounded up). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 2 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 312771}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "312771"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=Write-In:[Write-In]
=[Shawn Bunney]:[Shawn Bunney]
=[Pat McCarthy]:[Pat McCarthy]
=[Calvin Goings]:[Calvin Goings]
=[Mike Lonergan]:[Mike Lonergan]
#------- votelines ------
39577:[Shawn Bunney]/1
22575:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Pat McCarthy]/1
16823:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Pat McCarthy]/1
14851:[Calvin Goings]/1
14181:[Pat McCarthy]/1
11894:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Pat McCarthy]/1
10209:[Mike Lonergan]/1=[Pat McCarthy]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
10154:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Pat McCarthy]/1
9924:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Mike Lonergan]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
9223:[Shawn Bunney]/1
8461:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Pat McCarthy]/1
8234:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Mike Lonergan]/1=[Pat McCarthy]/1
7050:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Pat McCarthy]/1
6591:[Shawn Bunney]/1
6433:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Mike Lonergan]/1=[Pat McCarthy]/1
6293:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
5541:[Pat McCarthy]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
4890:[Pat McCarthy]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
4818:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
4678:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Mike Lonergan]/1=[Pat McCarthy]/1
4636:[Mike Lonergan]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
4351:[Mike Lonergan]/1=[Pat McCarthy]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
4264:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Mike Lonergan]/1=[Pat McCarthy]/1
4079:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Mike Lonergan]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
3833:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
3092:[Mike Lonergan]/1=[Pat McCarthy]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
2893:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
2769:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Mike Lonergan]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
2717:[Pat McCarthy]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
2675:[Pat McCarthy]/1
2594:[Mike Lonergan]/1=[Pat McCarthy]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
2469:[Pat McCarthy]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
2336:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Mike Lonergan]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
2234:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
2104:[Pat McCarthy]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
1695:[Calvin Goings]/1
1565:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
1377:[Mike Lonergan]/1=[Pat McCarthy]/1
1244:[Calvin Goings]/1
1220:[Pat McCarthy]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
1158:[Pat McCarthy]/1
1083:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Mike Lonergan]/1
937:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Pat McCarthy]/1
885:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Pat McCarthy]/1
782:[Shawn Bunney]/1
620:[Shawn Bunney]/1
575:[Shawn Bunney]/1
433:[Shawn Bunney]/1
423:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Pat McCarthy]/1
400:[Mike Lonergan]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
325:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Pat McCarthy]/1
306:[Pat McCarthy]/1
297:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Pat McCarthy]/1
262:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Pat McCarthy]/1
229:[Mike Lonergan]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
202:[Pat McCarthy]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
195:[Calvin Goings]/1
195:[Pat McCarthy]/1
186:[Shawn Bunney]/1
176:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
173:[Calvin Goings]/1
163:[Pat McCarthy]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
161:[Mike Lonergan]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
155:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
150:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Mike Lonergan]/1
141:[Mike Lonergan]/1=[Pat McCarthy]/1
118:[Pat McCarthy]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
108:[Pat McCarthy]/1
106:[Mike Lonergan]/1=[Pat McCarthy]/1
105:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Mike Lonergan]/1
96:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
84:[Calvin Goings]/1
78:[Pat McCarthy]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
72:[Shawn Bunney]/1
66:[Calvin Goings]/1
60:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
58:[Pat McCarthy]/1
51:[Shawn Bunney]/1
42:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
35:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
31:[Pat McCarthy]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
30:[Pat McCarthy]/1
24:[Shawn Bunney]/1
24:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Mike Lonergan]/1
23:[Mike Lonergan]/1=[Pat McCarthy]/1
22:[Calvin Goings]/1
18:[Mike Lonergan]/1=[Pat McCarthy]/1=Write-In/1
16:[Calvin Goings]/1
14:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1=Write-In/1
13:[Pat McCarthy]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1
12:[Shawn Bunney]/1=Write-In/1
12:[Pat McCarthy]/1
12:[Shawn Bunney]/1=Write-In/1
11:[Shawn Bunney]/1=Write-In/1
10:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Mike Lonergan]/1=Write-In/1
9:[Pat McCarthy]/1=Write-In/1
9:[Mike Lonergan]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1=Write-In/1
8:[Pat McCarthy]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1=Write-In/1
7:[Shawn Bunney]/1=Write-In/1
7:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Pat McCarthy]/1=Write-In/1
7:[Mike Lonergan]/1=[Pat McCarthy]/1=Write-In/1
7:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Pat McCarthy]/1=Write-In/1
7:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Pat McCarthy]/1=Write-In/1
7:[Calvin Goings]/1=Write-In/1
7:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Pat McCarthy]/1=Write-In/1
6:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1=Write-In/1
5:[Calvin Goings]/1
4:[Calvin Goings]/1
4:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Mike Lonergan]/1=Write-In/1
4:[Pat McCarthy]/1
4:[Pat McCarthy]/1
3:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1=Write-In/1
2:[Pat McCarthy]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1=Write-In/1
2:[Mike Lonergan]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1=Write-In/1
2:[Pat McCarthy]/1=Write-In/1
2:[Calvin Goings]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1=Write-In/1
1:[Calvin Goings]/1=Write-In/1
1:[Pat McCarthy]/1=Write-In/1
1:[Calvin Goings]/1=Write-In/1
1:[Pat McCarthy]/1=[Shawn Bunney]/1=Write-In/1
1:[Calvin Goings]/1=Write-In/1
  • Approval Winner: Calvin Goings
  • Approval Results:
    • Calvin Goings — 164,797 approvals (52.69% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Pat McCarthy — 163,941 approvals (52.42% of ballots)
    • Shawn Bunney — 144,749 approvals (46.28% of ballots)
    • Mike Lonergan — 71,448 approvals (22.84% of ballots)
    • Write-In — 178 approvals (0.06% of ballots)
  • Total: 312,771 ballots (545,113 total approvals)

STAR results

2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_executive-county_executive STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_executive-county_executive/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 5 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 4 points, the 2nd choice gets 3 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Pat McCarthy
  • Finalists: Pat McCarthy vs Shawn Bunney
  • Runoff result:
    • Pat McCarthy: 136,486 votes (43.6%)
    • Shawn Bunney: 132,401 votes (42.3%)
    • No preference: 43884 voters (14.0%)
  • Total stars allocated: 2,127,710
  • Total ballots: 312,771
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 42,554 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Pat McCarthy received 567,567 stars (26.7%) from 174,067 voters (55.7%)
    • β˜…#1: Shawn Bunney received 559,291 stars (26.3%) from 160,260 voters (51.2%)
    • β˜…#2: Calvin Goings received 551,586 stars (25.9%) from 173,055 voters (55.3%)
    • β˜…#3: Mike Lonergan received 441,024 stars (20.7%) from 149,958 voters (47.9%)
    • β˜…#4: Write-In received 8,242 stars (0.4%) from 3,146 voters (1.0%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Pat McCarthy (βœ… winner) preferred by 136,486 of 312,771 voters
    • β˜…Shawn Bunney preferred by 132,401 of 312,771 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 43884

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_executive-county_executive Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_executive-county_executive/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Pat McCarthy
  • Runner-up: Calvin Goings (beats all other candidates except Pat McCarthy)
  • Smallest margin: Pat McCarthy over Calvin Goings (119,514-105,501; margin: 14,013)
  • Largest margin: Pat McCarthy over Write-In (174,000-2,375; margin: 171,625)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 312,771

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_executive-county_executive w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_executive-county_executive/pairwise#wlt
county_executive (Pierce_WA; 2008-11-04) pairwise matchups
Pat McCarthy
(4-0-0)
Pat McCarthy
4 victories ⇣
Calvin Goings
(3-1-0)
Pat McCarthy: 119,514(38.2%)
Calvin Goings: 105,501(33.7%)
(No preference: 87,756; 28.1%)
Calvin Goings
⇽ 1 loss / 3 victories† ⇣
Shawn Bunney
(2-2-0)
Pat McCarthy: 136,486(43.6%)
Shawn Bunney: 132,401(42.3%)
(No preference: 43,884; 14.0%)
Calvin Goings: 137,118(43.8%)
Shawn Bunney: 131,095(41.9%)
(No preference: 44,558; 14.2%)
Shawn Bunney
⇽ 2 losses / 2 victories† ⇣
Mike Lonergan
(1-3-0)
Pat McCarthy: 137,567(44.0%)
Mike Lonergan: 92,670(29.6%)
(No preference: 82,534; 26.4%)
Calvin Goings: 135,976(43.5%)
Mike Lonergan: 94,301(30.2%)
(No preference: 82,494; 26.4%)
Shawn Bunney: 135,602(43.4%)
Mike Lonergan: 104,230(33.3%)
(No preference: 72,939; 23.3%)
Mike Lonergan
⇽ 3 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
Write-In
(0-4-0)
Pat McCarthy: 174,000(55.6%)
Write-In: 2,375(0.8%)
(No preference: 136,396; 43.6%)
Calvin Goings: 172,991(55.3%)
Write-In: 2,332(0.7%)
(No preference: 137,448; 43.9%)
Shawn Bunney: 160,193(51.2%)
Write-In: 1,432(0.5%)
(No preference: 151,146; 48.3%)
Mike Lonergan: 149,823(47.9%)
Write-In: 2,103(0.7%)
(No preference: 160,845; 51.4%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_executive-county_executive pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2008-11-04_Pierce_WA-county_executive-county_executive/pairwise#dot

%3 Pat McCarthy Pat McCarthy 4-0-0 (4 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Calvin Goings Calvin Goings 3-1-0 Pat McCarthy->Calvin Goings ← Pat McCarthy: 119514 Calvin Goings: 105501 Shawn Bunney Shawn Bunney 2-2-0 Pat McCarthy->Shawn Bunney ← Pat McCarthy: 136486 Shawn Bunney: 132401 Mike Lonergan Mike Lonergan 1-3-0 Pat McCarthy->Mike Lonergan ← Pat McCarthy: 137567 Mike Lonergan: 92670 Write-In Write-In 0-4-0 Pat McCarthy->Write-In ← Pat McCarthy: 174000 Write-In: 2375 Calvin Goings->Shawn Bunney ← Calvin Goings: 137118 Shawn Bunney: 131095 Calvin Goings->Mike Lonergan ← Calvin Goings: 135976 Mike Lonergan: 94301 Calvin Goings->Write-In ← Calvin Goings: 172991 Write-In: 2332 Shawn Bunney->Mike Lonergan ← Shawn Bunney: 135602 Mike Lonergan: 104230 Shawn Bunney->Write-In ← Shawn Bunney: 160193 Write-In: 1432 Mike Lonergan->Write-In ← Mike Lonergan: 149823 Write-In: 2103

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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