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2013-Board-of-Estimate-CVR (Minneapolis; 2013-11-05)

🔗 2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Board-of-Estimate-CVR     (tags: { Minneapolis_MN , from-bolson , actual , MN , 2013-11 , 2013 , Minneapolis-2013 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Board-of-Estimate-CVR" election (2013-Board-of-Estimate-CVR (Minneapolis; 2013-11-05))

ABIF submission area (show)
Method options
Ballot options

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

Results

🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Board-of-Estimate-CVR

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV CAROL J. BECKER
FPTP CAROL J. BECKER
Approval CAROL J. BECKER
STAR CAROL J. BECKER
Condorcet/Copeland CAROL J. BECKER
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Board-of-Estimate-CVR IRV/RCV result permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Board-of-Estimate-CVR/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: CAROL J. BECKER with 24,672 votes (50.5%) in final round
  • Runner-up: DAVID B WHEELER with 16,944 votes (34.7%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 1,021 (2.1%)
  • Number of rounds: 3
  • Ballots counted in final round: 47,834 (97.9%)
  • Majority of ballots: 24,428 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 48,855
Round 1 Round 2 Round 3
Overview:
Active ballots: 48,855 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%)
Counted ballots: 48,855 (100.0%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 48,855 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 343 (0.7%)
Counted ballots: 48,512 (99.3%)
Winning threshold: 24,257 (49.65%)
 		Overview:
Active ballots: 48,855 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 1,021 (2.1%)
Counted ballots: 47,834 (97.9%)
Winning threshold: 23,918 (48.96%)
CAROL J. BECKER: 23,949 (49.0%)
→
 CAROL J. BECKER: 23,984 (49.1%)
→
 IRV/RCV winner:
CAROL J. BECKER: 24,672 (50.5%)✅
→
DAVID B WHEELER: 16,370 (33.5%)
→
 DAVID B WHEELER: 16,387 (33.5%)
→
 DAVID B WHEELER: 16,944 (34.7%) (🛑eliminated)
→
DAVID PASCOE: 5,813 (11.9%)
→
 DAVID PASCOE: 5,823 (11.9%)
→
 DAVID PASCOE: 6,218 (12.7%) (🛑eliminated)
→
DOUGLAS SEMBLA: 2,308 (4.7%)
→
 DOUGLAS SEMBLA: 2,318 (4.7%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 DOUGLAS SEMBLA
UWI: 415 (0.8%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 UWI UWI

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Board-of-Estimate-CVR FPTP results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Board-of-Estimate-CVR/FPTP#FPTP
📝
Note — Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: CAROL J. BECKER with 23,949 first-place votes (49.0%)
  • Runner-up: DAVID B WHEELER with 16,370 first-place votes (33.5%)
  • Margin of victory: 7,579 votes (15.5 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • CAROL J. BECKER: 23,949 votes (49.0 %)
    • DAVID B WHEELER: 16,370 votes (33.5 %)
    • DAVID PASCOE: 5,813 votes (11.9 %)
    • DOUGLAS SEMBLA: 2,308 votes (4.7 %)
    • UWI: 415 votes (0.8 %)
  • Total ballots: 48,855

Approval voting results

2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Board-of-Estimate-CVR approval voting results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Board-of-Estimate-CVR/approval#approval
📝
Note — Approval counts estimated from 48,855 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 3 candidates appear viable: CAROL J. BECKER, DAVID B WHEELER, and DAVID PASCOE. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 2 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 3, rounded up). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 2 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 48855}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "48855"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=UWI:[UWI]
=[CAROL J. BECKER]:[CAROL J. BECKER]
=[DAVID B WHEELER]:[DAVID B WHEELER]
=[DAVID PASCOE]:[DAVID PASCOE]
=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]:[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]
#------- votelines ------
7856:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1
7264:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID B WHEELER]/1
5164:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID B WHEELER]/1
3538:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID B WHEELER]/1
2820:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1
2732:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID B WHEELER]/1
2505:[DAVID PASCOE]/1
1926:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID B WHEELER]/1
1567:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1
1227:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]/1
1154:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID B WHEELER]/1
896:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1
853:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1
834:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]/1
687:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1
572:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1
498:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1
452:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1
406:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1
370:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1
356:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]/1
305:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]/1
300:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]/1
287:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1
277:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]/1
252:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1
241:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]/1
238:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]/1
231:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]/1
223:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]/1
209:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1
184:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]/1
162:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1
143:[DAVID PASCOE]/1
134:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]/1
125:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]/1
78:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID B WHEELER]/1
75:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID B WHEELER]/1
64:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1
61:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1
61:[DAVID PASCOE]/1=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]/1
52:[DAVID PASCOE]/1
50:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]/1
38:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1
29:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID B WHEELER]/1
20:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1
18:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID B WHEELER]/1
18:[DAVID PASCOE]/1
15:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1
15:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1
13:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1
12:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1
12:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]/1
12:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=UWI/1
10:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=UWI/1
10:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=UWI/1
9:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1
8:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1
7:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=UWI/1
7:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1
7:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1
7:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]/1
6:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1
6:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1
6:[DAVID PASCOE]/1
6:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1=UWI/1
5:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=UWI/1
5:[DAVID PASCOE]/1
5:[DAVID PASCOE]/1=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]/1
5:[DAVID PASCOE]/1=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]/1
5:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1
4:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1
4:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1
4:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1
4:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1=UWI/1
4:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1
4:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=UWI/1
4:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1=UWI/1
4:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1=UWI/1
4:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=UWI/1
3:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1=UWI/1
3:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1
3:[DAVID PASCOE]/1
3:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1
3:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=UWI/1
3:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]/1=UWI/1
3:[DAVID PASCOE]/1=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]/1=UWI/1
2:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1
2:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1=UWI/1
2:[DAVID PASCOE]/1
2:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]/1
2:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]/1=UWI/1
2:[DAVID PASCOE]/1=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]/1=UWI/1
2:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID B WHEELER]/1
2:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1
2:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]/1
1:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1
1:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]/1
1:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]/1=UWI/1
1:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID B WHEELER]/1
1:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]/1
1:[DAVID PASCOE]/1=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]/1
1:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1
1:[CAROL J. BECKER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1
1:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=UWI/1
1:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=[DAVID PASCOE]/1=UWI/1
1:[DAVID PASCOE]/1=UWI/1
1:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=[DOUGLAS SEMBLA]/1=UWI/1
1:[DAVID B WHEELER]/1=UWI/1
1:[DAVID PASCOE]/1=UWI/1
  • Approval Winner: CAROL J. BECKER
  • Approval Results:
    • CAROL J. BECKER — 38,422 approvals (78.64% of ballots) (✅ winner)
    • DAVID B WHEELER — 30,718 approvals (62.88% of ballots)
    • DAVID PASCOE — 12,317 approvals (25.21% of ballots)
    • DOUGLAS SEMBLA — 4,834 approvals (9.89% of ballots)
    • UWI — 95 approvals (0.19% of ballots)
  • Total: 48,855 ballots (86,386 total approvals)

STAR results

2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Board-of-Estimate-CVR STAR results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Board-of-Estimate-CVR/STAR#STAR
📝
Note — STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 5 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 4 points, the 2nd choice gets 3 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: CAROL J. BECKER
  • Finalists: CAROL J. BECKER vs DAVID B WHEELER
  • Runoff result:
    • CAROL J. BECKER: 26,581 votes (54.4%)
    • DAVID B WHEELER: 18,440 votes (37.7%)
    • No preference: 3834 voters (7.8%)
  • Total stars allocated: 339,411
  • Total ballots: 48,855
★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
(one star above is approximately 6,788 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • ★#0: CAROL J. BECKER received 141,043 stars (41.6%) from 39,847 voters (81.6%)
    • ★#1: DAVID B WHEELER received 111,105 stars (32.7%) from 32,972 voters (67.5%)
    • ★#2: DAVID PASCOE received 53,635 stars (15.8%) from 18,587 voters (38.0%)
    • ★#3: DOUGLAS SEMBLA received 30,980 stars (9.1%) from 11,327 voters (23.2%)
    • ★#4: UWI received 2,648 stars (0.8%) from 821 voters (1.7%)
  • Finalists:
    • ★CAROL J. BECKER (✅ winner) preferred by 26,581 of 48,855 voters
    • ★DAVID B WHEELER preferred by 18,440 of 48,855 voters
    • ★No preference between the finalists: 3834

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Board-of-Estimate-CVR Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Board-of-Estimate-CVR/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: CAROL J. BECKER
  • Runner-up: DAVID B WHEELER (beats all other candidates except CAROL J. BECKER)
  • Smallest margin: DOUGLAS SEMBLA over UWI (11,304-754; margin: 10,550)
  • Largest margin: CAROL J. BECKER over UWI (39,784-547; margin: 39,237)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 48,855

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Board-of-Estimate-CVR w-l-t table permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Board-of-Estimate-CVR/pairwise#wlt
2013-Board-of-Estimate-CVR (Minneapolis; 2013-11-05) pairwise matchups
CAROL J. BECKER
(4-0-0)
CAROL J. BECKER
4 victories ⇣
DAVID B WHEELER
(3-1-0)
CAROL J. BECKER: 26,581(54.4%)
DAVID B WHEELER: 18,440(37.7%)
(No preference: 3,834; 7.8%)
DAVID B WHEELER
⇽ 1 loss / 3 victories† ⇣
DAVID PASCOE
(2-2-0)
CAROL J. BECKER: 36,513(74.7%)
DAVID PASCOE: 8,331(17.1%)
(No preference: 4,011; 8.2%)
DAVID B WHEELER: 29,222(59.8%)
DAVID PASCOE: 10,204(20.9%)
(No preference: 9,429; 19.3%)
DAVID PASCOE
⇽ 2 losses / 2 victories† ⇣
DOUGLAS SEMBLA
(1-3-0)
CAROL J. BECKER: 38,165(78.1%)
DOUGLAS SEMBLA: 4,510(9.2%)
(No preference: 6,180; 12.6%)
DAVID B WHEELER: 30,513(62.5%)
DOUGLAS SEMBLA: 6,684(13.7%)
(No preference: 11,658; 23.9%)
DAVID PASCOE: 16,538(33.9%)
DOUGLAS SEMBLA: 8,482(17.4%)
(No preference: 23,835; 48.8%)
DOUGLAS SEMBLA
⇽ 3 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
UWI
(0-4-0)
CAROL J. BECKER: 39,784(81.4%)
UWI: 547(1.1%)
(No preference: 8,524; 17.4%)
DAVID B WHEELER: 32,930(67.4%)
UWI: 631(1.3%)
(No preference: 15,294; 31.3%)
DAVID PASCOE: 18,562(38.0%)
UWI: 716(1.5%)
(No preference: 29,577; 60.5%)
DOUGLAS SEMBLA: 11,304(23.1%)
UWI: 754(1.5%)
(No preference: 36,797; 75.3%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Board-of-Estimate-CVR pairwise diagram permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2013-11-05_Minneapolis-2013-Board-of-Estimate-CVR/pairwise#dot

%3 CAROL J. BECKER CAROL J. BECKER 4-0-0 (4 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) DAVID B WHEELER DAVID B WHEELER 3-1-0 CAROL J. BECKER->DAVID B WHEELER ← CAROL J. BECKER: 26581 DAVID B WHEELER: 18440 DAVID PASCOE DAVID PASCOE 2-2-0 CAROL J. BECKER->DAVID PASCOE ← CAROL J. BECKER: 36513 DAVID PASCOE: 8331 DOUGLAS SEMBLA DOUGLAS SEMBLA 1-3-0 CAROL J. BECKER->DOUGLAS SEMBLA ← CAROL J. BECKER: 38165 DOUGLAS SEMBLA: 4510 UWI UWI 0-4-0 CAROL J. BECKER->UWI ← CAROL J. BECKER: 39784 UWI: 547 DAVID B WHEELER->DAVID PASCOE ← DAVID B WHEELER: 29222 DAVID PASCOE: 10204 DAVID B WHEELER->DOUGLAS SEMBLA ← DAVID B WHEELER: 30513 DOUGLAS SEMBLA: 6684 DAVID B WHEELER->UWI ← DAVID B WHEELER: 32930 UWI: 631 DAVID PASCOE->DOUGLAS SEMBLA ← DAVID PASCOE: 16538 DOUGLAS SEMBLA: 8482 DAVID PASCOE->UWI ← DAVID PASCOE: 18562 UWI: 716 DOUGLAS SEMBLA->UWI ← DOUGLAS SEMBLA: 11304 UWI: 754

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

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