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2017-Board-of-Estimate-and-Taxation-Ballot-Records (Minneapolis; 2017-11-07)

🔗 2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Board-of-Estimate-and-Taxation-Ballot-Records     (tags: { Minneapolis_MN , from-bolson , actual , 2017-11 , MN , 2017 , Minneapolis-2017 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Board-of-Estimate-and-Taxation-Ballot-Records" election (2017-Board-of-Estimate-and-Taxation-Ballot-Records (Minneapolis; 2017-11-07))

ABIF submission area (show)
Method options
Ballot options

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

Results

🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Board-of-Estimate-and-Taxation-Ballot-Records

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Carol Becker
FPTP Carol Becker
Approval Carol Becker
STAR Carol Becker
Condorcet/Copeland Carol Becker
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Board-of-Estimate-and-Taxation-Ballot-Records IRV/RCV result permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Board-of-Estimate-and-Taxation-Ballot-Records/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Carol Becker with 48,163 votes (69.1%) in final round
  • Runner-up: David B. Wheeler with 19,312 votes (27.7%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 0 (0.0%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 69,694 (100.0%)
  • Majority of ballots: 34,848 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 69,694
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 69,694 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%)
Counted ballots: 69,694 (100.0%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Carol Becker: 48,163 (69.1%)✅
→
David B. Wheeler: 19,312 (27.7%) (🛑eliminated)
→
John Edwards: 1,539 (2.2%) (🛑eliminated)
→
UWI: 680 (1.0%) (🛑eliminated)
→

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Board-of-Estimate-and-Taxation-Ballot-Records FPTP results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Board-of-Estimate-and-Taxation-Ballot-Records/FPTP#FPTP
📝
Note — Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Carol Becker with 48,163 first-place votes (69.1%)
  • Runner-up: David B. Wheeler with 19,312 first-place votes (27.7%)
  • Margin of victory: 28,851 votes (41.4 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Carol Becker: 48,163 votes (69.1 %)
    • David B. Wheeler: 19,312 votes (27.7 %)
    • John Edwards: 1,539 votes (2.2 %)
    • UWI: 680 votes (1.0 %)
  • Total ballots: 69,694

Approval voting results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Board-of-Estimate-and-Taxation-Ballot-Records approval voting results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Board-of-Estimate-and-Taxation-Ballot-Records/approval#approval
📝
Note — Approval counts estimated from 69,694 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 2 candidates appear viable: Carol Becker and David B. Wheeler. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 1 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 2). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 1 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 69694}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "69694"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=UWI:[UWI]
=[Carol Becker]:[Carol Becker]
=[David B. Wheeler]:[David B. Wheeler]
=[John Edwards]:[John Edwards]
#------- votelines ------
28744:[Carol Becker]/1
17178:[Carol Becker]/1
10683:[David B. Wheeler]/1
6981:[David B. Wheeler]/1
1643:[Carol Becker]/1
704:[David B. Wheeler]/1
618:[David B. Wheeler]/1=[John Edwards]/1
492:[David B. Wheeler]/1
197:[Carol Becker]/1
176:[Carol Becker]/1
147:[David B. Wheeler]/1=[John Edwards]/1
130:[David B. Wheeler]/1
97:[David B. Wheeler]/1
92:[Carol Becker]/1=[John Edwards]/1
71:[David B. Wheeler]/1
65:[Carol Becker]/1=UWI/1
60:[Carol Becker]/1=[John Edwards]/1
46:[Carol Becker]/1
44:[Carol Becker]/1
41:[David B. Wheeler]/1
40:[Carol Becker]/1
37:[David B. Wheeler]/1
32:[Carol Becker]/1
27:[David B. Wheeler]/1=UWI/1
27:[David B. Wheeler]/1
25:[David B. Wheeler]/1=[John Edwards]/1
25:[David B. Wheeler]/1
21:[Carol Becker]/1
18:[Carol Becker]/1
18:[David B. Wheeler]/1=UWI/1
13:[Carol Becker]/1=UWI/1
11:[Carol Becker]/1
10:[Carol Becker]/1
9:[David B. Wheeler]/1
6:[David B. Wheeler]/1
5:[David B. Wheeler]/1=[John Edwards]/1=UWI/1
4:[David B. Wheeler]/1
4:[Carol Becker]/1=UWI/1
4:[David B. Wheeler]/1=UWI/1
4:[David B. Wheeler]/1
2:[Carol Becker]/1
2:[Carol Becker]/1=[John Edwards]/1
1:[David B. Wheeler]/1
1:[David B. Wheeler]/1=UWI/1
1:[Carol Becker]/1
  • Approval Winner: Carol Becker
  • Approval Results:
    • Carol Becker — 48,399 approvals (69.45% of ballots) (✅ winner)
    • David B. Wheeler — 20,157 approvals (28.92% of ballots)
    • John Edwards — 949 approvals (1.36% of ballots)
    • UWI — 137 approvals (0.2% of ballots)
  • Total: 69,694 ballots (69,642 total approvals)

STAR results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Board-of-Estimate-and-Taxation-Ballot-Records STAR results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Board-of-Estimate-and-Taxation-Ballot-Records/STAR#STAR
📝
Note — STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 4 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 3 points, the 2nd choice gets 2 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Carol Becker
  • Finalists: Carol Becker vs David B. Wheeler
  • Runoff result:
    • Carol Becker: 48,399 votes (69.4%)
    • David B. Wheeler: 20,157 votes (28.9%)
    • No preference: 1138 voters (1.6%)
  • Total stars allocated: 300,694
  • Total ballots: 69,694
★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
(one star above is approximately 6,014 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • ★#0: Carol Becker received 168,287 stars (56.0%) from 60,198 voters (86.4%)
    • ★#1: David B. Wheeler received 121,112 stars (40.3%) from 51,010 voters (73.2%)
    • ★#2: John Edwards received 6,024 stars (2.0%) from 2,284 voters (3.3%)
    • ★#3: UWI received 5,271 stars (1.8%) from 3,496 voters (5.0%)
  • Finalists:
    • ★Carol Becker (✅ winner) preferred by 48,399 of 69,694 voters
    • ★David B. Wheeler preferred by 20,157 of 69,694 voters
    • ★No preference between the finalists: 1138

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Board-of-Estimate-and-Taxation-Ballot-Records Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Board-of-Estimate-and-Taxation-Ballot-Records/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Carol Becker
  • Runner-up: David B. Wheeler (beats all other candidates except Carol Becker)
  • Smallest margin: UWI over John Edwards (3,421-2,274; margin: 1,147)
  • Largest margin: Carol Becker over UWI (60,062-917; margin: 59,145)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 69,694

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Board-of-Estimate-and-Taxation-Ballot-Records w-l-t table permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Board-of-Estimate-and-Taxation-Ballot-Records/pairwise#wlt
2017-Board-of-Estimate-and-Taxation-Ballot-Records (Minneapolis; 2017-11-07) pairwise matchups
Carol Becker
(3-0-0)
Carol Becker
3 victories ⇣
David B. Wheeler
(2-1-0)
Carol Becker: 48,399(69.4%)
David B. Wheeler: 20,157(28.9%)
(No preference: 1,138; 1.6%)
David B. Wheeler
⇽ 1 loss / 2 victories† ⇣
UWI
(1-2-0)
Carol Becker: 60,062(86.2%)
UWI: 917(1.3%)
(No preference: 8,715; 12.5%)
David B. Wheeler: 50,850(73.0%)
UWI: 933(1.3%)
(No preference: 17,911; 25.7%)
UWI
⇽ 2 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
John Edwards
(0-3-0)
Carol Becker: 59,826(85.8%)
John Edwards: 2,137(3.1%)
(No preference: 7,731; 11.1%)
David B. Wheeler: 50,105(71.9%)
John Edwards: 1,613(2.3%)
(No preference: 17,976; 25.8%)
UWI: 3,421(4.9%)
John Edwards: 2,274(3.3%)
(No preference: 63,999; 91.8%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Board-of-Estimate-and-Taxation-Ballot-Records pairwise diagram permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Board-of-Estimate-and-Taxation-Ballot-Records/pairwise#dot

%3 Carol Becker Carol Becker 3-0-0 (3 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) David B. Wheeler David B. Wheeler 2-1-0 Carol Becker->David B. Wheeler ← Carol Becker: 48399 David B. Wheeler: 20157 UWI UWI 1-2-0 Carol Becker->UWI ← Carol Becker: 60062 UWI: 917 John Edwards John Edwards 0-3-0 Carol Becker->John Edwards ← Carol Becker: 59826 John Edwards: 2137 David B. Wheeler->UWI ← David B. Wheeler: 50850 UWI: 933 David B. Wheeler->John Edwards ← David B. Wheeler: 50105 John Edwards: 1613 UWI->John Edwards ← UWI: 3421 John Edwards: 2274

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

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