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2017-Council-Ward-5-CVR (Minneapolis; 2017-11-07)

🔗 2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Council-Ward-5-CVR     (tags: { Minneapolis_MN , from-bolson , actual , 2017-11 , MN , 2017 , Minneapolis-2017 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Council-Ward-5-CVR" election (2017-Council-Ward-5-CVR (Minneapolis; 2017-11-07))

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Method options
Ballot options

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

Results

🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Council-Ward-5-CVR

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Jeremiah Ellison
FPTP Jeremiah Ellison
Approval Jeremiah Ellison
STAR Jeremiah Ellison
Condorcet/Copeland Jeremiah Ellison
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Council-Ward-5-CVR IRV/RCV result permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Council-Ward-5-CVR/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Jeremiah Ellison with 2,313 votes (54.9%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Blong Yang with 1,769 votes (42.0%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 134 (3.2%)
  • Number of rounds: 4
  • Ballots counted in final round: 4,082 (96.8%)
  • Majority of ballots: 2,109 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 4,216
Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4
Overview:
Active ballots: 4,216 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%)
Counted ballots: 4,216 (100.0%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 4,216 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 7 (0.2%)
Counted ballots: 4,209 (99.8%)
Winning threshold: 2,105 (49.93%)
 		Overview:
Active ballots: 4,216 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 38 (0.9%)
Counted ballots: 4,178 (99.1%)
Winning threshold: 2,090 (49.57%)
 		Overview:
Active ballots: 4,216 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 134 (3.2%)
Counted ballots: 4,082 (96.8%)
Winning threshold: 2,042 (48.43%)
Jeremiah Ellison: 1,987 (47.1%)
→
 Jeremiah Ellison: 1,988 (47.2%)
→
 Jeremiah Ellison: 2,041 (48.4%)
→
 IRV/RCV winner:
Jeremiah Ellison: 2,313 (54.9%)✅
→
Blong Yang: 1,617 (38.4%)
→
 Blong Yang: 1,617 (38.4%)
→
 Blong Yang: 1,660 (39.4%)
→
 Blong Yang: 1,769 (42.0%) (🛑eliminated)
→
Raeisha (RA) Williams: 445 (10.6%)
→
 Raeisha (RA) Williams: 445 (10.6%)
→
 Raeisha (RA) Williams: 477 (11.3%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 Raeisha (RA) Williams
Cathy Spann: 159 (3.8%)
→
 Cathy Spann: 159 (3.8%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 Cathy Spann Cathy Spann
UWI: 8 (0.2%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 UWI UWI UWI

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Council-Ward-5-CVR FPTP results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Council-Ward-5-CVR/FPTP#FPTP
📝
Note — Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Jeremiah Ellison with 1,987 first-place votes (47.1%)
  • Runner-up: Blong Yang with 1,617 first-place votes (38.4%)
  • Margin of victory: 370 votes (8.8 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Jeremiah Ellison: 1,987 votes (47.1 %)
    • Blong Yang: 1,617 votes (38.4 %)
    • Raeisha (RA) Williams: 445 votes (10.6 %)
    • Cathy Spann: 159 votes (3.8 %)
    • UWI: 8 votes (0.2 %)
  • Total ballots: 4,216

Approval voting results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Council-Ward-5-CVR approval voting results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Council-Ward-5-CVR/approval#approval
📝
Note — Approval counts estimated from 4,216 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 3 candidates appear viable: Jeremiah Ellison, Blong Yang, and Raeisha (RA) Williams. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 2 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 3, rounded up). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 2 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 4216}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "4216"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=UWI:[UWI]
=[Blong Yang]:[Blong Yang]
=[Jeremiah Ellison]:[Jeremiah Ellison]
=[Raeisha (RA) Williams]:[Raeisha (RA) Williams]
=[Cathy Spann]:[Cathy Spann]
#------- votelines ------
609:[Blong Yang]/1
416:[Jeremiah Ellison]/1
301:[Jeremiah Ellison]/1=[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
275:[Jeremiah Ellison]/1=[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
267:[Blong Yang]/1=[Jeremiah Ellison]/1
234:[Blong Yang]/1=[Jeremiah Ellison]/1
191:[Blong Yang]/1=[Jeremiah Ellison]/1
172:[Jeremiah Ellison]/1=[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
172:[Blong Yang]/1=[Jeremiah Ellison]/1
156:[Blong Yang]/1=[Jeremiah Ellison]/1
121:[Blong Yang]/1=[Jeremiah Ellison]/1
116:[Cathy Spann]/1=[Jeremiah Ellison]/1=[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
101:[Blong Yang]/1=[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
94:[Jeremiah Ellison]/1=[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
86:[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
77:[Blong Yang]/1=[Cathy Spann]/1=[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
76:[Blong Yang]/1=[Cathy Spann]/1=[Jeremiah Ellison]/1
71:[Jeremiah Ellison]/1=[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
64:[Blong Yang]/1=[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
58:[Blong Yang]/1=[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
54:[Blong Yang]/1
51:[Blong Yang]/1=[Cathy Spann]/1=[Jeremiah Ellison]/1
47:[Jeremiah Ellison]/1=[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
32:[Jeremiah Ellison]/1
31:[Blong Yang]/1=[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
31:[Cathy Spann]/1=[Jeremiah Ellison]/1=[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
25:[Cathy Spann]/1=[Jeremiah Ellison]/1=[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
21:[Cathy Spann]/1=[Jeremiah Ellison]/1=[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
20:[Blong Yang]/1=[Cathy Spann]/1=[Jeremiah Ellison]/1
20:[Blong Yang]/1=[Cathy Spann]/1=[Jeremiah Ellison]/1
17:[Blong Yang]/1=[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
14:[Blong Yang]/1=[Cathy Spann]/1=[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
11:[Blong Yang]/1=[Cathy Spann]/1
11:[Blong Yang]/1=[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
10:[Jeremiah Ellison]/1=[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
9:[Jeremiah Ellison]/1=[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
9:[Blong Yang]/1=[Cathy Spann]/1=[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
8:[Blong Yang]/1=[Jeremiah Ellison]/1
8:[Blong Yang]/1=[Cathy Spann]/1=[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
7:[Blong Yang]/1
7:[Blong Yang]/1=[Jeremiah Ellison]/1
7:[Cathy Spann]/1=[Jeremiah Ellison]/1
6:[Blong Yang]/1
6:[Blong Yang]/1=[Jeremiah Ellison]/1
6:[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
6:[Jeremiah Ellison]/1
5:[Blong Yang]/1
5:[Blong Yang]/1
4:[Jeremiah Ellison]/1=[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
4:[Jeremiah Ellison]/1
4:[Jeremiah Ellison]/1=[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
3:[Jeremiah Ellison]/1
3:[Blong Yang]/1=[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
2:[Blong Yang]/1=[Cathy Spann]/1
2:[Blong Yang]/1=[Cathy Spann]/1
2:[Jeremiah Ellison]/1
2:[Blong Yang]/1=[Jeremiah Ellison]/1
1:[Jeremiah Ellison]/1=[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
1:[Jeremiah Ellison]/1
1:[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
1:[Blong Yang]/1=[Jeremiah Ellison]/1=UWI/1
1:[Blong Yang]/1
1:[Jeremiah Ellison]/1=[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1=UWI/1
1:[Cathy Spann]/1=[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
1:[Cathy Spann]/1=[Jeremiah Ellison]/1
1:[Cathy Spann]/1=[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
1:[Raeisha (RA) Williams]/1
1:[Blong Yang]/1=[Jeremiah Ellison]/1
  • Approval Winner: Jeremiah Ellison
  • Approval Results:
    • Jeremiah Ellison — 2,987 approvals (70.85% of ballots) (✅ winner)
    • Blong Yang — 2,428 approvals (57.59% of ballots)
    • Raeisha (RA) Williams — 1,671 approvals (39.63% of ballots)
    • Cathy Spann — 493 approvals (11.69% of ballots)
    • UWI — 2 approvals (0.05% of ballots)
  • Total: 4,216 ballots (7,581 total approvals)

STAR results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Council-Ward-5-CVR STAR results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Council-Ward-5-CVR/STAR#STAR
📝
Note — STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 5 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 4 points, the 2nd choice gets 3 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Jeremiah Ellison
  • Finalists: Jeremiah Ellison vs Blong Yang
  • Runoff result:
    • Jeremiah Ellison: 2,313 votes (54.9%)
    • Blong Yang: 1,769 votes (42.0%)
    • No preference: 134 voters (3.2%)
  • Total stars allocated: 30,550
  • Total ballots: 4,216
★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
(one star above is approximately 611 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • ★#0: Jeremiah Ellison received 11,117 stars (36.4%) from 3,146 voters (74.6%)
    • ★#1: Blong Yang received 9,597 stars (31.4%) from 2,823 voters (67.0%)
    • ★#2: Raeisha (RA) Williams received 6,233 stars (20.4%) from 2,172 voters (51.5%)
    • ★#3: Cathy Spann received 3,448 stars (11.3%) from 1,331 voters (31.6%)
    • ★#4: UWI received 155 stars (0.5%) from 62 voters (1.5%)
  • Finalists:
    • ★Jeremiah Ellison (✅ winner) preferred by 2,313 of 4,216 voters
    • ★Blong Yang preferred by 1,769 of 4,216 voters
    • ★No preference between the finalists: 134

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Council-Ward-5-CVR Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Council-Ward-5-CVR/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Jeremiah Ellison
  • Runner-up: Blong Yang (beats all other candidates except Jeremiah Ellison)
  • Smallest margin: Cathy Spann over UWI (1,331-51; margin: 1,280)
  • Largest margin: Jeremiah Ellison over UWI (3,144-27; margin: 3,117)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 4,216

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Council-Ward-5-CVR w-l-t table permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Council-Ward-5-CVR/pairwise#wlt
2017-Council-Ward-5-CVR (Minneapolis; 2017-11-07) pairwise matchups
Jeremiah Ellison
(4-0-0)
Jeremiah Ellison
4 victories ⇣
Blong Yang
(3-1-0)
Jeremiah Ellison: 2,313(54.9%)
Blong Yang: 1,769(42.0%)
(No preference: 134; 3.2%)
Blong Yang
⇽ 1 loss / 3 victories† ⇣
Raeisha (RA) Williams
(2-2-0)
Jeremiah Ellison: 2,715(64.4%)
Raeisha (RA) Williams: 761(18.1%)
(No preference: 740; 17.6%)
Blong Yang: 2,319(55.0%)
Raeisha (RA) Williams: 1,387(32.9%)
(No preference: 510; 12.1%)
Raeisha (RA) Williams
⇽ 2 losses / 2 victories† ⇣
Cathy Spann
(1-3-0)
Jeremiah Ellison: 2,945(69.9%)
Cathy Spann: 504(12.0%)
(No preference: 767; 18.2%)
Blong Yang: 2,686(63.7%)
Cathy Spann: 760(18.0%)
(No preference: 770; 18.3%)
Raeisha (RA) Williams: 1,914(45.4%)
Cathy Spann: 853(20.2%)
(No preference: 1,449; 34.4%)
Cathy Spann
⇽ 3 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
UWI
(0-4-0)
Jeremiah Ellison: 3,144(74.6%)
UWI: 27(0.6%)
(No preference: 1,045; 24.8%)
Blong Yang: 2,823(67.0%)
UWI: 31(0.7%)
(No preference: 1,362; 32.3%)
Raeisha (RA) Williams: 2,171(51.5%)
UWI: 46(1.1%)
(No preference: 1,999; 47.4%)
Cathy Spann: 1,331(31.6%)
UWI: 51(1.2%)
(No preference: 2,834; 67.2%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Council-Ward-5-CVR pairwise diagram permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Council-Ward-5-CVR/pairwise#dot

%3 Jeremiah Ellison Jeremiah Ellison 4-0-0 (4 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Blong Yang Blong Yang 3-1-0 Jeremiah Ellison->Blong Yang ← Jeremiah Ellison: 2313 Blong Yang: 1769 Raeisha (RA) Williams Raeisha (RA) Williams 2-2-0 Jeremiah Ellison->Raeisha (RA) Williams ← Jeremiah Ellison: 2715 Raeisha (RA) Williams: 761 Cathy Spann Cathy Spann 1-3-0 Jeremiah Ellison->Cathy Spann ← Jeremiah Ellison: 2945 Cathy Spann: 504 UWI UWI 0-4-0 Jeremiah Ellison->UWI ← Jeremiah Ellison: 3144 UWI: 27 Blong Yang->Raeisha (RA) Williams ← Blong Yang: 2319 Raeisha (RA) Williams: 1387 Blong Yang->Cathy Spann ← Blong Yang: 2686 Cathy Spann: 760 Blong Yang->UWI ← Blong Yang: 2823 UWI: 31 Raeisha (RA) Williams->Cathy Spann ← Raeisha (RA) Williams: 1914 Cathy Spann: 853 Raeisha (RA) Williams->UWI ← Raeisha (RA) Williams: 2171 UWI: 46 Cathy Spann->UWI ← Cathy Spann: 1331 UWI: 51

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

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