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2017-Park-District-2-CVR (Minneapolis; 2017-11-07)

πŸ”— 2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-2-CVR     (tags: { Minneapolis_MN , from-bolson , actual , 2017-11 , MN , 2017 , Minneapolis-2017 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-2-CVR" election (2017-Park-District-2-CVR (Minneapolis; 2017-11-07))

ABIF submission area (show)
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Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-2-CVR

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Kale Severson
FPTP Kale Severson
Approval Kale Severson
STAR Kale Severson
Condorcet/Copeland Kale Severson
Election results summary showing voting method winners
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tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-2-CVR IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-2-CVR/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Kale Severson with 5,089 votes (57.0%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Mike Talley Tate with 3,778 votes (42.3%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 0 (0.0%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 8,934 (100.0%)
  • Majority of ballots: 4,468 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 8,934
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 8,934 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%)
Counted ballots: 8,934 (100.0%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Kale Severson: 5,089 (57.0%)βœ…
β†’
Mike Talley Tate: 3,778 (42.3%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
UWI: 67 (0.7%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-2-CVR FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-2-CVR/FPTP#FPTP
πŸ“
Note β€” Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Kale Severson with 5,089 first-place votes (57.0%)
  • Runner-up: Mike Talley Tate with 3,778 first-place votes (42.3%)
  • Margin of victory: 1,311 votes (14.7 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Kale Severson: 5,089 votes (57.0 %)
    • Mike Talley Tate: 3,778 votes (42.3 %)
    • UWI: 67 votes (0.7 %)
  • Total ballots: 8,934

Approval voting results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-2-CVR approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-2-CVR/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approval counts estimated from 8,934 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 2 candidates appear viable: Kale Severson and Mike Talley Tate. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 1 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 2). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 1 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 8934}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "8934"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=UWI:[UWI]
=[Kale Severson]:[Kale Severson]
=[Mike Talley Tate]:[Mike Talley Tate]
#------- votelines ------
2405:[Kale Severson]/1
2385:[Kale Severson]/1
1814:[Mike Talley Tate]/1
1720:[Mike Talley Tate]/1
186:[Kale Severson]/1
135:[Mike Talley Tate]/1
50:[Kale Severson]/1
37:[Mike Talley Tate]/1
36:[Kale Severson]/1
33:[Mike Talley Tate]/1
18:[Mike Talley Tate]/1
12:[Mike Talley Tate]/1
9:[Kale Severson]/1
7:[Kale Severson]/1
5:[Kale Severson]/1
5:[Kale Severson]/1=UWI/1
5:[Mike Talley Tate]/1=UWI/1
4:[Mike Talley Tate]/1
4:[Kale Severson]/1
3:[Mike Talley Tate]/1
2:[Mike Talley Tate]/1=UWI/1
2:[Mike Talley Tate]/1
2:[Kale Severson]/1
  • Approval Winner: Kale Severson
  • Approval Results:
    • Kale Severson — 5,094 approvals (57.02% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Mike Talley Tate — 3,785 approvals (42.37% of ballots)
    • UWI — 12 approvals (0.13% of ballots)
  • Total: 8,934 ballots (8,891 total approvals)

STAR results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-2-CVR STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-2-CVR/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 3 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 2 points, the 2nd choice gets 1 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Kale Severson
  • Finalists: Kale Severson vs Mike Talley Tate
  • Runoff result:
    • Kale Severson: 5,094 votes (57.0%)
    • Mike Talley Tate: 3,785 votes (42.4%)
    • No preference: 55 voters (0.6%)
  • Total stars allocated: 22,521
  • Total ballots: 8,934
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 450 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Kale Severson received 12,073 stars (53.6%) from 6,984 voters (78.2%)
    • β˜…#1: Mike Talley Tate received 10,194 stars (45.3%) from 6,416 voters (71.8%)
    • β˜…#2: UWI received 254 stars (1.1%) from 187 voters (2.1%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Kale Severson (βœ… winner) preferred by 5,094 of 8,934 voters
    • β˜…Mike Talley Tate preferred by 3,785 of 8,934 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 55

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-2-CVR Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-2-CVR/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Kale Severson
  • Runner-up: Mike Talley Tate (beats all other candidates except Kale Severson)
  • Smallest margin: Kale Severson over Mike Talley Tate (5,094-3,785; margin: 1,309)
  • Largest margin: Kale Severson over UWI (6,979-126; margin: 6,853)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 8,934

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-2-CVR w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-2-CVR/pairwise#wlt
2017-Park-District-2-CVR (Minneapolis; 2017-11-07) pairwise matchups
Kale Severson
(2-0-0)
Kale Severson
2 victories ⇣
Mike Talley Tate
(1-1-0)
Kale Severson: 5,094(57.0%)
Mike Talley Tate: 3,785(42.4%)
(No preference: 55; 0.6%)
Mike Talley Tate
⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory† ⇣
UWI
(0-2-0)
Kale Severson: 6,979(78.1%)
UWI: 126(1.4%)
(No preference: 1,829; 20.5%)
Mike Talley Tate: 6,409(71.7%)
UWI: 128(1.4%)
(No preference: 2,397; 26.8%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-2-CVR pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-2-CVR/pairwise#dot

%3 Kale Severson Kale Severson 2-0-0 (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Mike Talley Tate Mike Talley Tate 1-1-0 Kale Severson->Mike Talley Tate ← Kale Severson: 5094 Mike Talley Tate: 3785 UWI UWI 0-2-0 Kale Severson->UWI ← Kale Severson: 6979 UWI: 126 Mike Talley Tate->UWI ← Mike Talley Tate: 6409 UWI: 128

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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