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2017-Park-District-5-CVR (Minneapolis; 2017-11-07)

🔗 2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-5-CVR     (tags: { Minneapolis_MN , from-bolson , actual , 2017-11 , MN , 2017 , Minneapolis-2017 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-5-CVR" election (2017-Park-District-5-CVR (Minneapolis; 2017-11-07))

ABIF submission area (show)
Method options
Ballot options

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

Results

🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-5-CVR

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Steffanie Musich
FPTP Steffanie Musich
Approval Steffanie Musich
STAR Steffanie Musich
Condorcet/Copeland Steffanie Musich
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-5-CVR IRV/RCV result permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-5-CVR/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Steffanie Musich with 9,466 votes (58.3%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Bill Shroyer with 3,990 votes (24.6%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 0 (0.0%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 16,238 (100.0%)
  • Majority of ballots: 8,120 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 16,238
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 16,238 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%)
Counted ballots: 16,238 (100.0%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Steffanie Musich: 9,466 (58.3%)✅
→
Bill Shroyer: 3,990 (24.6%) (🛑eliminated)
→
Andrea Fahrenkrug: 2,691 (16.6%) (🛑eliminated)
→
UWI: 91 (0.6%) (🛑eliminated)
→

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-5-CVR FPTP results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-5-CVR/FPTP#FPTP
📝
Note — Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Steffanie Musich with 9,466 first-place votes (58.3%)
  • Runner-up: Bill Shroyer with 3,990 first-place votes (24.6%)
  • Margin of victory: 5,476 votes (33.7 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Steffanie Musich: 9,466 votes (58.3 %)
    • Bill Shroyer: 3,990 votes (24.6 %)
    • Andrea Fahrenkrug: 2,691 votes (16.6 %)
    • UWI: 91 votes (0.6 %)
  • Total ballots: 16,238

Approval voting results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-5-CVR approval voting results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-5-CVR/approval#approval
📝
Note — Approval counts estimated from 16,238 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 2 candidates appear viable: Steffanie Musich and Bill Shroyer. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 1 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 2). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 1 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 16238}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "16238"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=UWI:[UWI]
=[Steffanie Musich]:[Steffanie Musich]
=[Andrea Fahrenkrug]:[Andrea Fahrenkrug]
=[Bill Shroyer]:[Bill Shroyer]
#------- votelines ------
4332:[Steffanie Musich]/1
2064:[Steffanie Musich]/1
1406:[Bill Shroyer]/1
1260:[Steffanie Musich]/1
1047:[Andrea Fahrenkrug]/1=[Steffanie Musich]/1
1003:[Steffanie Musich]/1
798:[Bill Shroyer]/1
687:[Steffanie Musich]/1
596:[Bill Shroyer]/1
587:[Bill Shroyer]/1
521:[Bill Shroyer]/1
397:[Andrea Fahrenkrug]/1=[Bill Shroyer]/1
324:[Andrea Fahrenkrug]/1=[Steffanie Musich]/1
214:[Andrea Fahrenkrug]/1=[Bill Shroyer]/1
49:[Steffanie Musich]/1
34:[Steffanie Musich]/1
33:[Bill Shroyer]/1
22:[Bill Shroyer]/1
15:[Steffanie Musich]/1
13:[Bill Shroyer]/1
12:[Andrea Fahrenkrug]/1=[Bill Shroyer]/1
12:[Andrea Fahrenkrug]/1=[Steffanie Musich]/1
8:[Steffanie Musich]/1
6:[Steffanie Musich]/1
4:[Bill Shroyer]/1
4:[Steffanie Musich]/1
3:[Andrea Fahrenkrug]/1=[Steffanie Musich]/1
3:[Bill Shroyer]/1
3:[Andrea Fahrenkrug]/1=[Bill Shroyer]/1
3:[Bill Shroyer]/1
2:[Steffanie Musich]/1
2:[Steffanie Musich]/1=UWI/1
2:[Steffanie Musich]/1=UWI/1
2:[Steffanie Musich]/1=UWI/1
2:[Steffanie Musich]/1
2:[Andrea Fahrenkrug]/1=[Bill Shroyer]/1=UWI/1
2:[Bill Shroyer]/1=UWI/1
1:[Bill Shroyer]/1
1:[Steffanie Musich]/1=UWI/1
1:[Bill Shroyer]/1
1:[Bill Shroyer]/1=UWI/1
1:[Bill Shroyer]/1
1:[Andrea Fahrenkrug]/1=[Steffanie Musich]/1
1:[Bill Shroyer]/1
1:[Andrea Fahrenkrug]/1=[Bill Shroyer]/1
1:[Bill Shroyer]/1=UWI/1
1:[Andrea Fahrenkrug]/1=[Steffanie Musich]/1=UWI/1
  • Approval Winner: Steffanie Musich
  • Approval Results:
    • Steffanie Musich — 10,861 approvals (66.89% of ballots) (✅ winner)
    • Bill Shroyer — 4,623 approvals (28.47% of ballots)
    • Andrea Fahrenkrug — 2,017 approvals (12.42% of ballots)
    • UWI — 14 approvals (0.09% of ballots)
  • Total: 16,238 ballots (17,515 total approvals)

STAR results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-5-CVR STAR results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-5-CVR/STAR#STAR
📝
Note — STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 4 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 3 points, the 2nd choice gets 2 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Steffanie Musich
  • Finalists: Steffanie Musich vs Bill Shroyer
  • Runoff result:
    • Steffanie Musich: 10,861 votes (66.9%)
    • Bill Shroyer: 4,623 votes (28.5%)
    • No preference: 754 voters (4.6%)
  • Total stars allocated: 74,502
  • Total ballots: 16,238
★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
(one star above is approximately 1,490 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • ★#0: Steffanie Musich received 34,844 stars (46.8%) from 13,183 voters (81.2%)
    • ★#1: Bill Shroyer received 20,955 stars (28.1%) from 10,041 voters (61.8%)
    • ★#2: Andrea Fahrenkrug received 18,131 stars (24.3%) from 8,753 voters (53.9%)
    • ★#3: UWI received 572 stars (0.8%) from 300 voters (1.8%)
  • Finalists:
    • ★Steffanie Musich (✅ winner) preferred by 10,861 of 16,238 voters
    • ★Bill Shroyer preferred by 4,623 of 16,238 voters
    • ★No preference between the finalists: 754

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-5-CVR Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-5-CVR/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Steffanie Musich
  • Runner-up: Bill Shroyer (beats all other candidates except Steffanie Musich)
  • Smallest margin: Bill Shroyer over Andrea Fahrenkrug (6,301-5,473; margin: 828)
  • Largest margin: Steffanie Musich over UWI (13,172-171; margin: 13,001)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 16,238

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-5-CVR w-l-t table permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-5-CVR/pairwise#wlt
2017-Park-District-5-CVR (Minneapolis; 2017-11-07) pairwise matchups
Steffanie Musich
(3-0-0)
Steffanie Musich
3 victories ⇣
Bill Shroyer
(2-1-0)
Steffanie Musich: 10,861(66.9%)
Bill Shroyer: 4,623(28.5%)
(No preference: 754; 4.6%)
Bill Shroyer
⇽ 1 loss / 2 victories† ⇣
Andrea Fahrenkrug
(1-2-0)
Steffanie Musich: 10,811(66.6%)
Andrea Fahrenkrug: 3,915(24.1%)
(No preference: 1,512; 9.3%)
Bill Shroyer: 6,301(38.8%)
Andrea Fahrenkrug: 5,473(33.7%)
(No preference: 4,464; 27.5%)
Andrea Fahrenkrug
⇽ 2 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
UWI
(0-3-0)
Steffanie Musich: 13,172(81.1%)
UWI: 171(1.1%)
(No preference: 2,895; 17.8%)
Bill Shroyer: 10,031(61.8%)
UWI: 183(1.1%)
(No preference: 6,024; 37.1%)
Andrea Fahrenkrug: 8,743(53.8%)
UWI: 218(1.3%)
(No preference: 7,277; 44.8%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-5-CVR pairwise diagram permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Park-District-5-CVR/pairwise#dot

%3 Steffanie Musich Steffanie Musich 3-0-0 (3 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Bill Shroyer Bill Shroyer 2-1-0 Steffanie Musich->Bill Shroyer ← Steffanie Musich: 10861 Bill Shroyer: 4623 Andrea Fahrenkrug Andrea Fahrenkrug 1-2-0 Steffanie Musich->Andrea Fahrenkrug ← Steffanie Musich: 10811 Andrea Fahrenkrug: 3915 UWI UWI 0-3-0 Steffanie Musich->UWI ← Steffanie Musich: 13172 UWI: 171 Bill Shroyer->Andrea Fahrenkrug ← Bill Shroyer: 6301 Andrea Fahrenkrug: 5473 Bill Shroyer->UWI ← Bill Shroyer: 10031 UWI: 183 Andrea Fahrenkrug->UWI ← Andrea Fahrenkrug: 8743 UWI: 218

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

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