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2017-Ward-1-Ballot-Records (Minneapolis; 2017-11-07)

🔗 2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-1-Ballot-Records     (tags: { Minneapolis_MN , from-bolson , actual , 2017-11 , MN , 2017 , Minneapolis-2017 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-1-Ballot-Records" election (2017-Ward-1-Ballot-Records (Minneapolis; 2017-11-07))

ABIF submission area (show)
Method options
Ballot options

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

Results

🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-1-Ballot-Records

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Kevin Reich
FPTP Kevin Reich
Approval Kevin Reich
STAR Kevin Reich
Condorcet/Copeland Kevin Reich
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-1-Ballot-Records IRV/RCV result permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-1-Ballot-Records/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Kevin Reich with 4,296 votes (49.2%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Jillia Pessenda with 4,112 votes (47.1%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 326 (3.7%)
  • Number of rounds: 3
  • Ballots counted in final round: 8,408 (96.3%)
  • Majority of ballots: 4,368 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 8,734
Round 1 Round 2 Round 3
Overview:
Active ballots: 8,734 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%)
Counted ballots: 8,734 (100.0%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 8,734 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 10 (0.1%)
Counted ballots: 8,724 (99.9%)
Winning threshold: 4,363 (49.95%)
 		Overview:
Active ballots: 8,734 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 326 (3.7%)
Counted ballots: 8,408 (96.3%)
Winning threshold: 4,205 (48.15%)
Kevin Reich: 4,015 (46.0%)
→
 Kevin Reich: 4,019 (46.0%)
→
 IRV/RCV winner:
Kevin Reich: 4,296 (49.2%)✅
→
Jillia Pessenda: 3,846 (44.0%)
→
 Jillia Pessenda: 3,850 (44.1%)
→
 Jillia Pessenda: 4,112 (47.1%) (🛑eliminated)
→
John Hayden: 853 (9.8%)
→
 John Hayden: 855 (9.8%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 John Hayden
UWI: 20 (0.2%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 UWI UWI

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-1-Ballot-Records FPTP results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-1-Ballot-Records/FPTP#FPTP
📝
Note — Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Kevin Reich with 4,015 first-place votes (46.0%)
  • Runner-up: Jillia Pessenda with 3,846 first-place votes (44.0%)
  • Margin of victory: 169 votes (1.9 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Kevin Reich: 4,015 votes (46.0 %)
    • Jillia Pessenda: 3,846 votes (44.0 %)
    • John Hayden: 853 votes (9.8 %)
    • UWI: 20 votes (0.2 %)
  • Total ballots: 8,734

Approval voting results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-1-Ballot-Records approval voting results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-1-Ballot-Records/approval#approval
📝
Note — Approval counts estimated from 8,734 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 3 candidates appear viable: Kevin Reich, Jillia Pessenda, and John Hayden. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 2 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 3, rounded up). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 2 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 8734}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "8734"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=UWI:[UWI]
=[Kevin Reich]:[Kevin Reich]
=[Jillia Pessenda]:[Jillia Pessenda]
=[John Hayden]:[John Hayden]
#------- votelines ------
1236:[Kevin Reich]/1
1116:[Jillia Pessenda]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
1082:[Jillia Pessenda]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
1052:[Jillia Pessenda]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
936:[Jillia Pessenda]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
868:[Jillia Pessenda]/1
428:[Jillia Pessenda]/1=[John Hayden]/1
420:[John Hayden]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
303:[John Hayden]/1
260:[John Hayden]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
221:[Jillia Pessenda]/1=[John Hayden]/1
172:[Jillia Pessenda]/1=[John Hayden]/1
145:[John Hayden]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
117:[John Hayden]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
80:[Jillia Pessenda]/1=[John Hayden]/1
42:[Jillia Pessenda]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
30:[John Hayden]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
30:[Jillia Pessenda]/1
29:[Jillia Pessenda]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
22:[Jillia Pessenda]/1=[John Hayden]/1
22:[Kevin Reich]/1
12:[Jillia Pessenda]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
11:[John Hayden]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
10:[John Hayden]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
10:[Jillia Pessenda]/1=[John Hayden]/1
10:[John Hayden]/1
8:[Jillia Pessenda]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1=UWI/1
8:[Jillia Pessenda]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
5:[Jillia Pessenda]/1=[John Hayden]/1
4:[Jillia Pessenda]/1=[John Hayden]/1=UWI/1
4:[John Hayden]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1=UWI/1
3:[Jillia Pessenda]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1=UWI/1
3:[Jillia Pessenda]/1
2:[Kevin Reich]/1
2:[Jillia Pessenda]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1=UWI/1
2:[Jillia Pessenda]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1=UWI/1
2:[John Hayden]/1
2:[Jillia Pessenda]/1=UWI/1
2:[Jillia Pessenda]/1
2:[John Hayden]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
2:[John Hayden]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1=UWI/1
1:[Jillia Pessenda]/1=[John Hayden]/1
1:[John Hayden]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1=UWI/1
1:[Jillia Pessenda]/1
1:[John Hayden]/1
1:[Kevin Reich]/1
1:[Jillia Pessenda]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
1:[John Hayden]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
1:[Kevin Reich]/1=UWI/1
1:[Jillia Pessenda]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
  • Approval Winner: Kevin Reich
  • Approval Results:
    • Kevin Reich — 6,559 approvals (75.1% of ballots) (✅ winner)
    • Jillia Pessenda — 6,143 approvals (70.33% of ballots)
    • John Hayden — 2,262 approvals (25.9% of ballots)
    • UWI — 29 approvals (0.33% of ballots)
  • Total: 8,734 ballots (14,993 total approvals)

STAR results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-1-Ballot-Records STAR results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-1-Ballot-Records/STAR#STAR
📝
Note — STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 4 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 3 points, the 2nd choice gets 2 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Kevin Reich
  • Finalists: Kevin Reich vs Jillia Pessenda
  • Runoff result:
    • Kevin Reich: 4,296 votes (49.2%)
    • Jillia Pessenda: 4,112 votes (47.1%)
    • No preference: 326 voters (3.7%)
  • Total stars allocated: 42,323
  • Total ballots: 8,734
★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
(one star above is approximately 846 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • ★#0: Kevin Reich received 17,721 stars (41.9%) from 7,159 voters (82.0%)
    • ★#1: Jillia Pessenda received 16,692 stars (39.4%) from 6,708 voters (76.8%)
    • ★#2: John Hayden received 7,536 stars (17.8%) from 4,430 voters (50.7%)
    • ★#3: UWI received 374 stars (0.9%) from 249 voters (2.9%)
  • Finalists:
    • ★Kevin Reich (✅ winner) preferred by 4,296 of 8,734 voters
    • ★Jillia Pessenda preferred by 4,112 of 8,734 voters
    • ★No preference between the finalists: 326

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-1-Ballot-Records Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-1-Ballot-Records/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Kevin Reich
  • Runner-up: Jillia Pessenda (beats all other candidates except Kevin Reich)
  • Smallest margin: Kevin Reich over Jillia Pessenda (4,296-4,112; margin: 184)
  • Largest margin: Kevin Reich over UWI (7,143-106; margin: 7,037)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 8,734

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-1-Ballot-Records w-l-t table permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-1-Ballot-Records/pairwise#wlt
2017-Ward-1-Ballot-Records (Minneapolis; 2017-11-07) pairwise matchups
Kevin Reich
(3-0-0)
Kevin Reich
3 victories ⇣
Jillia Pessenda
(2-1-0)
Kevin Reich: 4,296(49.2%)
Jillia Pessenda: 4,112(47.1%)
(No preference: 326; 3.7%)
Jillia Pessenda
⇽ 1 loss / 2 victories† ⇣
John Hayden
(1-2-0)
Kevin Reich: 6,282(71.9%)
John Hayden: 1,536(17.6%)
(No preference: 916; 10.5%)
Jillia Pessenda: 5,881(67.3%)
John Hayden: 1,581(18.1%)
(No preference: 1,272; 14.6%)
John Hayden
⇽ 2 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
UWI
(0-3-0)
Kevin Reich: 7,143(81.8%)
UWI: 106(1.2%)
(No preference: 1,485; 17.0%)
Jillia Pessenda: 6,699(76.7%)
UWI: 103(1.2%)
(No preference: 1,932; 22.1%)
John Hayden: 4,419(50.6%)
UWI: 165(1.9%)
(No preference: 4,150; 47.5%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-1-Ballot-Records pairwise diagram permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-1-Ballot-Records/pairwise#dot

%3 Kevin Reich Kevin Reich 3-0-0 (3 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Jillia Pessenda Jillia Pessenda 2-1-0 Kevin Reich->Jillia Pessenda ← Kevin Reich: 4296 Jillia Pessenda: 4112 John Hayden John Hayden 1-2-0 Kevin Reich->John Hayden ← Kevin Reich: 6282 John Hayden: 1536 UWI UWI 0-3-0 Kevin Reich->UWI ← Kevin Reich: 7143 UWI: 106 Jillia Pessenda->John Hayden ← Jillia Pessenda: 5881 John Hayden: 1581 Jillia Pessenda->UWI ← Jillia Pessenda: 6699 UWI: 103 John Hayden->UWI ← John Hayden: 4419 UWI: 165

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

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