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2017-Ward-10-Ballot-Records (Minneapolis; 2017-11-07)

πŸ”— 2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-10-Ballot-Records     (tags: { Minneapolis_MN , from-bolson , actual , 2017-11 , MN , 2017 , Minneapolis-2017 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-10-Ballot-Records" election (2017-Ward-10-Ballot-Records (Minneapolis; 2017-11-07))

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Method options
Ballot options

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-10-Ballot-Records

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Lisa Bender
FPTP Lisa Bender
Approval Lisa Bender
STAR Lisa Bender
Condorcet/Copeland Lisa Bender
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-10-Ballot-Records IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-10-Ballot-Records/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Lisa Bender with 4,886 votes (64.3%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Saralyn Romanishan with 1,562 votes (20.6%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 0 (0.0%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 7,596 (100.0%)
  • Majority of ballots: 3,799 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 7,596
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 7,596 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%)
Counted ballots: 7,596 (100.0%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Lisa Bender: 4,886 (64.3%)βœ…
β†’
Saralyn Romanishan: 1,562 (20.6%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
David Schorn: 709 (9.3%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Bruce Lundeen: 419 (5.5%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
UWI: 20 (0.3%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-10-Ballot-Records FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-10-Ballot-Records/FPTP#FPTP
πŸ“
Note β€” Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Lisa Bender with 4,886 first-place votes (64.3%)
  • Runner-up: Saralyn Romanishan with 1,562 first-place votes (20.6%)
  • Margin of victory: 3,324 votes (43.8 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Lisa Bender: 4,886 votes (64.3 %)
    • Saralyn Romanishan: 1,562 votes (20.6 %)
    • David Schorn: 709 votes (9.3 %)
    • Bruce Lundeen: 419 votes (5.5 %)
    • UWI: 20 votes (0.3 %)
  • Total ballots: 7,596

Approval voting results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-10-Ballot-Records approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-10-Ballot-Records/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approval counts estimated from 7,596 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 2 candidates appear viable: Lisa Bender and Saralyn Romanishan. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 1 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 2). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 1 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 7596}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "7596"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=UWI:[UWI]
=[Lisa Bender]:[Lisa Bender]
=[Saralyn Romanishan]:[Saralyn Romanishan]
=[David Schorn]:[David Schorn]
=[Bruce Lundeen]:[Bruce Lundeen]
#------- votelines ------
1837:[Lisa Bender]/1
1478:[Lisa Bender]/1
817:[Lisa Bender]/1
490:[Saralyn Romanishan]/1
347:[Lisa Bender]/1
258:[Saralyn Romanishan]/1
215:[Saralyn Romanishan]/1
198:[Saralyn Romanishan]/1
164:[Lisa Bender]/1
163:[Saralyn Romanishan]/1
162:[David Schorn]/1=[Saralyn Romanishan]/1
131:[David Schorn]/1=[Lisa Bender]/1
117:[Saralyn Romanishan]/1
79:[David Schorn]/1=[Saralyn Romanishan]/1
66:[David Schorn]/1=[Saralyn Romanishan]/1
50:[Lisa Bender]/1
44:[David Schorn]/1=[Lisa Bender]/1
42:[Bruce Lundeen]/1=[David Schorn]/1=[Saralyn Romanishan]/1
41:[Lisa Bender]/1
35:[Bruce Lundeen]/1=[David Schorn]/1=[Saralyn Romanishan]/1
32:[Lisa Bender]/1
31:[Lisa Bender]/1
30:[Saralyn Romanishan]/1
29:[Lisa Bender]/1
29:[Bruce Lundeen]/1=[Saralyn Romanishan]/1
29:[Bruce Lundeen]/1=[David Schorn]/1=[Lisa Bender]/1
28:[Saralyn Romanishan]/1
24:[Bruce Lundeen]/1=[Lisa Bender]/1
24:[Lisa Bender]/1
21:[Bruce Lundeen]/1=[Lisa Bender]/1
14:[Bruce Lundeen]/1=[Saralyn Romanishan]/1
14:[Bruce Lundeen]/1=[Lisa Bender]/1
13:[Lisa Bender]/1
12:[Bruce Lundeen]/1=[David Schorn]/1=[Lisa Bender]/1
12:[David Schorn]/1=[Saralyn Romanishan]/1
12:[Saralyn Romanishan]/1
11:[Lisa Bender]/1
11:[Saralyn Romanishan]/1
10:[Saralyn Romanishan]/1
10:[Saralyn Romanishan]/1
9:[Saralyn Romanishan]/1
8:[David Schorn]/1=[Lisa Bender]/1
8:[Bruce Lundeen]/1=[Saralyn Romanishan]/1
3:[David Schorn]/1=[Saralyn Romanishan]/1
3:[Lisa Bender]/1
3:[David Schorn]/1=[Lisa Bender]/1
3:[Saralyn Romanishan]/1
3:[Lisa Bender]/1
2:[Saralyn Romanishan]/1
2:[Saralyn Romanishan]/1
2:[Lisa Bender]/1
2:[Saralyn Romanishan]/1
2:[Lisa Bender]/1
2:[Saralyn Romanishan]/1=UWI/1
2:[Bruce Lundeen]/1=[Lisa Bender]/1
2:[David Schorn]/1=[Lisa Bender]/1=UWI/1
2:[Lisa Bender]/1=UWI/1
1:[Bruce Lundeen]/1=[Lisa Bender]/1
1:[David Schorn]/1=[Lisa Bender]/1
1:[Saralyn Romanishan]/1
1:[Saralyn Romanishan]/1
1:[Lisa Bender]/1
1:[Saralyn Romanishan]/1=UWI/1
1:[Lisa Bender]/1
  • Approval Winner: Lisa Bender
  • Approval Results:
    • Lisa Bender — 5,180 approvals (68.19% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Saralyn Romanishan — 2,015 approvals (26.53% of ballots)
    • David Schorn — 629 approvals (8.28% of ballots)
    • Bruce Lundeen — 231 approvals (3.04% of ballots)
    • UWI — 7 approvals (0.09% of ballots)
  • Total: 7,596 ballots (8,062 total approvals)

STAR results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-10-Ballot-Records STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-10-Ballot-Records/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 5 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 4 points, the 2nd choice gets 3 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Lisa Bender
  • Finalists: Lisa Bender vs Saralyn Romanishan
  • Runoff result:
    • Lisa Bender: 5,180 votes (68.2%)
    • Saralyn Romanishan: 2,015 votes (26.5%)
    • No preference: 401 voters (5.3%)
  • Total stars allocated: 53,974
  • Total ballots: 7,596
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 1,079 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Lisa Bender received 23,311 stars (43.2%) from 6,305 voters (83.0%)
    • β˜…#1: Saralyn Romanishan received 15,123 stars (28.0%) from 4,876 voters (64.2%)
    • β˜…#2: David Schorn received 12,222 stars (22.6%) from 4,532 voters (59.7%)
    • β˜…#3: Bruce Lundeen received 2,807 stars (5.2%) from 888 voters (11.7%)
    • β˜…#4: UWI received 511 stars (0.9%) from 192 voters (2.5%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Lisa Bender (βœ… winner) preferred by 5,180 of 7,596 voters
    • β˜…Saralyn Romanishan preferred by 2,015 of 7,596 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 401

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-10-Ballot-Records Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-10-Ballot-Records/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Lisa Bender
  • Runner-up: Saralyn Romanishan (beats all other candidates except Lisa Bender)
  • Smallest margin: Bruce Lundeen over UWI (888-175; margin: 713)
  • Largest margin: Lisa Bender over UWI (6,297-99; margin: 6,198)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 7,596

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-10-Ballot-Records w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-10-Ballot-Records/pairwise#wlt
2017-Ward-10-Ballot-Records (Minneapolis; 2017-11-07) pairwise matchups
Lisa Bender
(4-0-0)
Lisa Bender
4 victories ⇣
Saralyn Romanishan
(3-1-0)
Lisa Bender: 5,180(68.2%)
Saralyn Romanishan: 2,015(26.5%)
(No preference: 401; 5.3%)
Saralyn Romanishan
⇽ 1 loss / 3 victories† ⇣
David Schorn
(2-2-0)
Lisa Bender: 5,655(74.4%)
David Schorn: 1,473(19.4%)
(No preference: 468; 6.2%)
Saralyn Romanishan: 3,529(46.5%)
David Schorn: 1,899(25.0%)
(No preference: 2,168; 28.5%)
David Schorn
⇽ 2 losses / 2 victories† ⇣
Bruce Lundeen
(1-3-0)
Lisa Bender: 6,179(81.3%)
Bruce Lundeen: 710(9.3%)
(No preference: 707; 9.3%)
Saralyn Romanishan: 4,710(62.0%)
Bruce Lundeen: 614(8.1%)
(No preference: 2,272; 29.9%)
David Schorn: 4,325(56.9%)
Bruce Lundeen: 595(7.8%)
(No preference: 2,676; 35.2%)
Bruce Lundeen
⇽ 3 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
UWI
(0-4-0)
Lisa Bender: 6,297(82.9%)
UWI: 99(1.3%)
(No preference: 1,200; 15.8%)
Saralyn Romanishan: 4,869(64.1%)
UWI: 112(1.5%)
(No preference: 2,615; 34.4%)
David Schorn: 4,525(59.6%)
UWI: 125(1.6%)
(No preference: 2,946; 38.8%)
Bruce Lundeen: 888(11.7%)
UWI: 175(2.3%)
(No preference: 6,533; 86.0%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-10-Ballot-Records pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-10-Ballot-Records/pairwise#dot

%3 Lisa Bender Lisa Bender 4-0-0 (4 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Saralyn Romanishan Saralyn Romanishan 3-1-0 Lisa Bender->Saralyn Romanishan ← Lisa Bender: 5180 Saralyn Romanishan: 2015 David Schorn David Schorn 2-2-0 Lisa Bender->David Schorn ← Lisa Bender: 5655 David Schorn: 1473 Bruce Lundeen Bruce Lundeen 1-3-0 Lisa Bender->Bruce Lundeen ← Lisa Bender: 6179 Bruce Lundeen: 710 UWI UWI 0-4-0 Lisa Bender->UWI ← Lisa Bender: 6297 UWI: 99 Saralyn Romanishan->David Schorn ← Saralyn Romanishan: 3529 David Schorn: 1899 Saralyn Romanishan->Bruce Lundeen ← Saralyn Romanishan: 4710 Bruce Lundeen: 614 Saralyn Romanishan->UWI ← Saralyn Romanishan: 4869 UWI: 112 David Schorn->Bruce Lundeen ← David Schorn: 4325 Bruce Lundeen: 595 David Schorn->UWI ← David Schorn: 4525 UWI: 125 Bruce Lundeen->UWI ← Bruce Lundeen: 888 UWI: 175

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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