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2017-Ward-12-Ballot-Records (Minneapolis; 2017-11-07)

🔗 2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-12-Ballot-Records     (tags: { Minneapolis_MN , from-bolson , actual , 2017-11 , MN , 2017 , Minneapolis-2017 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-12-Ballot-Records" election (2017-Ward-12-Ballot-Records (Minneapolis; 2017-11-07))

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Method options
Ballot options

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

Results

🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-12-Ballot-Records

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Andrew Johnson
FPTP Andrew Johnson
Approval Andrew Johnson
STAR Andrew Johnson
Condorcet/Copeland Andrew Johnson
Election results summary showing voting method winners
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IRV/RCV results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-12-Ballot-Records IRV/RCV result permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-12-Ballot-Records/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Andrew Johnson with 8,875 votes (87.1%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Will Jaeger with 958 votes (9.4%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 0 (0.0%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 10,184 (100.0%)
  • Majority of ballots: 5,093 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 10,184
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 10,184 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%)
Counted ballots: 10,184 (100.0%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Andrew Johnson: 8,875 (87.1%)✅
→
Will Jaeger: 958 (9.4%) (🛑eliminated)
→
Harrison Bullard: 316 (3.1%) (🛑eliminated)
→
UWI: 35 (0.3%) (🛑eliminated)
→

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-12-Ballot-Records FPTP results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-12-Ballot-Records/FPTP#FPTP
📝
Note — Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Andrew Johnson with 8,875 first-place votes (87.1%)
  • Runner-up: Will Jaeger with 958 first-place votes (9.4%)
  • Margin of victory: 7,917 votes (77.7 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Andrew Johnson: 8,875 votes (87.1 %)
    • Will Jaeger: 958 votes (9.4 %)
    • Harrison Bullard: 316 votes (3.1 %)
    • UWI: 35 votes (0.3 %)
  • Total ballots: 10,184

Approval voting results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-12-Ballot-Records approval voting results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-12-Ballot-Records/approval#approval
📝
Note — Approval counts estimated from 10,184 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 2 candidates appear viable: Andrew Johnson and Will Jaeger. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 1 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 2). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 1 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 10184}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "10184"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=UWI:[UWI]
=[Andrew Johnson]:[Andrew Johnson]
=[Will Jaeger]:[Will Jaeger]
=[Harrison Bullard]:[Harrison Bullard]
#------- votelines ------
5835:[Andrew Johnson]/1
1107:[Andrew Johnson]/1
1002:[Andrew Johnson]/1
448:[Andrew Johnson]/1
317:[Andrew Johnson]/1
316:[Will Jaeger]/1
197:[Will Jaeger]/1
182:[Will Jaeger]/1
124:[Will Jaeger]/1
105:[Will Jaeger]/1
93:[Harrison Bullard]/1=[Will Jaeger]/1
78:[Andrew Johnson]/1=[Harrison Bullard]/1
70:[Andrew Johnson]/1
45:[Harrison Bullard]/1=[Will Jaeger]/1
29:[Andrew Johnson]/1=[Harrison Bullard]/1
26:[Andrew Johnson]/1
24:[Andrew Johnson]/1
18:[Will Jaeger]/1
17:[Andrew Johnson]/1
10:[Andrew Johnson]/1
10:[Andrew Johnson]/1
8:[Will Jaeger]/1
6:[Andrew Johnson]/1
5:[Harrison Bullard]/1=UWI/1=[Will Jaeger]/1
4:[Will Jaeger]/1
3:[Andrew Johnson]/1=UWI/1
3:[Harrison Bullard]/1=[Will Jaeger]/1
3:[Andrew Johnson]/1=[Harrison Bullard]/1
2:[Andrew Johnson]/1
2:[Will Jaeger]/1
2:[Harrison Bullard]/1=[Will Jaeger]/1
1:UWI/1=[Will Jaeger]/1
1:[Andrew Johnson]/1
1:[Will Jaeger]/1
1:[Will Jaeger]/1
  • Approval Winner: Andrew Johnson
  • Approval Results:
    • Andrew Johnson — 8,988 approvals (88.26% of ballots) (✅ winner)
    • Will Jaeger — 1,107 approvals (10.87% of ballots)
    • Harrison Bullard — 258 approvals (2.53% of ballots)
    • UWI — 9 approvals (0.09% of ballots)
  • Total: 10,184 ballots (10,362 total approvals)

STAR results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-12-Ballot-Records STAR results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-12-Ballot-Records/STAR#STAR
📝
Note — STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 4 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 3 points, the 2nd choice gets 2 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Andrew Johnson
  • Finalists: Andrew Johnson vs Will Jaeger
  • Runoff result:
    • Andrew Johnson: 8,988 votes (88.3%)
    • Will Jaeger: 1,107 votes (10.9%)
    • No preference: 89 voters (0.9%)
  • Total stars allocated: 41,199
  • Total ballots: 10,184
★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
(one star above is approximately 824 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • ★#0: Andrew Johnson received 27,766 stars (67.4%) from 9,591 voters (94.2%)
    • ★#1: Will Jaeger received 7,449 stars (18.1%) from 3,791 voters (37.2%)
    • ★#2: Harrison Bullard received 5,605 stars (13.6%) from 3,294 voters (32.3%)
    • ★#3: UWI received 379 stars (0.9%) from 210 voters (2.1%)
  • Finalists:
    • ★Andrew Johnson (✅ winner) preferred by 8,988 of 10,184 voters
    • ★Will Jaeger preferred by 1,107 of 10,184 voters
    • ★No preference between the finalists: 89

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-12-Ballot-Records Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-12-Ballot-Records/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Andrew Johnson
  • Runner-up: Will Jaeger (beats all other candidates except Andrew Johnson)
  • Smallest margin: Will Jaeger over Harrison Bullard (2,563-1,684; margin: 879)
  • Largest margin: Andrew Johnson over UWI (9,587-67; margin: 9,520)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 10,184

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-12-Ballot-Records w-l-t table permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-12-Ballot-Records/pairwise#wlt
2017-Ward-12-Ballot-Records (Minneapolis; 2017-11-07) pairwise matchups
Andrew Johnson
(3-0-0)
Andrew Johnson
3 victories ⇣
Will Jaeger
(2-1-0)
Andrew Johnson: 8,988(88.3%)
Will Jaeger: 1,107(10.9%)
(No preference: 89; 0.9%)
Will Jaeger
⇽ 1 loss / 2 victories† ⇣
Harrison Bullard
(1-2-0)
Andrew Johnson: 9,191(90.2%)
Harrison Bullard: 642(6.3%)
(No preference: 351; 3.4%)
Will Jaeger: 2,563(25.2%)
Harrison Bullard: 1,684(16.5%)
(No preference: 5,937; 58.3%)
Harrison Bullard
⇽ 2 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
UWI
(0-3-0)
Andrew Johnson: 9,587(94.1%)
UWI: 67(0.7%)
(No preference: 530; 5.2%)
Will Jaeger: 3,779(37.1%)
UWI: 153(1.5%)
(No preference: 6,252; 61.4%)
Harrison Bullard: 3,279(32.2%)
UWI: 159(1.6%)
(No preference: 6,746; 66.2%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-12-Ballot-Records pairwise diagram permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-12-Ballot-Records/pairwise#dot

%3 Andrew Johnson Andrew Johnson 3-0-0 (3 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Will Jaeger Will Jaeger 2-1-0 Andrew Johnson->Will Jaeger ← Andrew Johnson: 8988 Will Jaeger: 1107 Harrison Bullard Harrison Bullard 1-2-0 Andrew Johnson->Harrison Bullard ← Andrew Johnson: 9191 Harrison Bullard: 642 UWI UWI 0-3-0 Andrew Johnson->UWI ← Andrew Johnson: 9587 UWI: 67 Will Jaeger->Harrison Bullard ← Will Jaeger: 2563 Harrison Bullard: 1684 Will Jaeger->UWI ← Will Jaeger: 3779 UWI: 153 Harrison Bullard->UWI ← Harrison Bullard: 3279 UWI: 159

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

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