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2017-Ward-4-Ballot-Records (Minneapolis; 2017-11-07)

🔗 2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-4-Ballot-Records     (tags: { Minneapolis_MN , from-bolson , actual , 2017-11 , MN , 2017 , Minneapolis-2017 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-4-Ballot-Records" election (2017-Ward-4-Ballot-Records (Minneapolis; 2017-11-07))

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Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

Results

🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-4-Ballot-Records

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Phillipe M. Cunningham
FPTP Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson
Approval Phillipe M. Cunningham
STAR Phillipe M. Cunningham
Condorcet/Copeland Phillipe M. Cunningham
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-4-Ballot-Records IRV/RCV result permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-4-Ballot-Records/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Phillipe M. Cunningham with 2,605 votes (49.5%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson with 2,430 votes (46.2%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 229 (4.4%)
  • Number of rounds: 5
  • Ballots counted in final round: 5,035 (95.6%)
  • Majority of ballots: 2,633 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 5,264
Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4 Round 5
Overview:
Active ballots: 5,264 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%)
Counted ballots: 5,264 (100.0%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 5,264 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 1 (0.0%)
Counted ballots: 5,263 (100.0%)
Winning threshold: 2,632 (50.00%)
 		Overview:
Active ballots: 5,264 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 7 (0.1%)
Counted ballots: 5,257 (99.9%)
Winning threshold: 2,629 (49.94%)
 		Overview:
Active ballots: 5,264 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 108 (2.1%)
Counted ballots: 5,156 (97.9%)
Winning threshold: 2,579 (48.99%)
 		Overview:
Active ballots: 5,264 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 229 (4.4%)
Counted ballots: 5,035 (95.6%)
Winning threshold: 2,518 (47.83%)
Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson: 2,258 (42.9%)
→
 Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson: 2,258 (42.9%)
→
 Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson: 2,259 (42.9%)
→
 Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson: 2,294 (43.6%)
→
 Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson: 2,430 (46.2%) (🛑eliminated)
→
Phillipe M. Cunningham: 2,140 (40.7%)
→
 Phillipe M. Cunningham: 2,140 (40.7%)
→
 Phillipe M. Cunningham: 2,143 (40.7%)
→
 Phillipe M. Cunningham: 2,183 (41.5%)
→
 IRV/RCV winner:
Phillipe M. Cunningham: 2,605 (49.5%)✅
→
Stephanie Gasca: 634 (12.0%)
→
 Stephanie Gasca: 634 (12.0%)
→
 Stephanie Gasca: 634 (12.0%)
→
 Stephanie Gasca: 679 (12.9%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 Stephanie Gasca
Dana Hansen: 220 (4.2%)
→
 Dana Hansen: 220 (4.2%)
→
 Dana Hansen: 221 (4.2%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 Dana Hansen Dana Hansen
UWI: 11 (0.2%)
→
 UWI: 11 (0.2%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 UWI UWI UWI
null: 1 (0.0%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 null null null null

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-4-Ballot-Records FPTP results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-4-Ballot-Records/FPTP#FPTP
📝
Note — Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson with 2,258 first-place votes (42.9%)
  • Runner-up: Phillipe M. Cunningham with 2,140 first-place votes (40.7%)
  • Margin of victory: 118 votes (2.2 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson: 2,258 votes (42.9 %)
    • Phillipe M. Cunningham: 2,140 votes (40.7 %)
    • Stephanie Gasca: 634 votes (12.0 %)
    • Dana Hansen: 220 votes (4.2 %)
    • UWI: 11 votes (0.2 %)
    • null: 1 votes (0.0 %)
  • Total ballots: 5,264

Approval voting results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-4-Ballot-Records approval voting results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-4-Ballot-Records/approval#approval
📝
Note — Approval counts estimated from 5,264 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 3 candidates appear viable: Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson, Phillipe M. Cunningham, and Stephanie Gasca. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 2 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 3, rounded up). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 2 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 5264}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "5264"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=UWI:[UWI]
=null:[null]
=[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]
=[Phillipe M. Cunningham]:[Phillipe M. Cunningham]
=[Stephanie Gasca]:[Stephanie Gasca]
=[Dana Hansen]:[Dana Hansen]
#------- votelines ------
952:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1
419:[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1
383:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1
383:[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1
365:[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1
312:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1
293:[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1
267:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1
207:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1
172:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1
124:[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1
113:[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1
104:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1
103:[Stephanie Gasca]/1
101:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1
98:[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1
68:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1
64:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1
64:[Dana Hansen]/1=[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1
63:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Dana Hansen]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1
37:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1
37:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1
34:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Dana Hansen]/1=[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1
32:[Dana Hansen]/1=[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1
30:[Dana Hansen]/1=[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1
28:[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1
25:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1
25:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Dana Hansen]/1=[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1
24:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1
22:[Dana Hansen]/1=[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1
19:[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1
14:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Dana Hansen]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1
14:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Dana Hansen]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1
13:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Dana Hansen]/1=[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1
12:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1
12:[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1
12:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Dana Hansen]/1
8:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Dana Hansen]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1
8:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Dana Hansen]/1=[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1
7:[Stephanie Gasca]/1
6:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1
6:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1
5:[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1
5:[Dana Hansen]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1
5:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1
5:[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1
4:[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1=UWI/1
4:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1
4:[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1
4:[Dana Hansen]/1=[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1
3:[Stephanie Gasca]/1
3:[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1
3:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1
3:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1
3:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1
2:[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1
2:[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1=UWI/1
2:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1=UWI/1
1:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1
1:[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1
1:[Stephanie Gasca]/1
1:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1=UWI/1
1:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1
1:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1
1:[Stephanie Gasca]/1
1:[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1
1:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Dana Hansen]/1
1:[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1=UWI/1
1:[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1
1:[Stephanie Gasca]/1
1:[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1
1:[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1
1:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1=UWI/1
1:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Stephanie Gasca]/1
1:[Dana Hansen]/1=[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1
1:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1=[Phillipe M. Cunningham]/1
1:[Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson]/1
  • Approval Winner: Phillipe M. Cunningham
  • Approval Results:
    • Phillipe M. Cunningham — 3,320 approvals (63.07% of ballots) (✅ winner)
    • Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson — 2,997 approvals (56.93% of ballots)
    • Stephanie Gasca — 2,400 approvals (45.59% of ballots)
    • Dana Hansen — 350 approvals (6.65% of ballots)
    • UWI — 11 approvals (0.21% of ballots)
  • Total: 5,264 ballots (9,078 total approvals)

STAR results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-4-Ballot-Records STAR results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-4-Ballot-Records/STAR#STAR
📝
Note — STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 6 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 5 points, the 2nd choice gets 4 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Phillipe M. Cunningham
  • Finalists: Phillipe M. Cunningham vs Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson
  • Runoff result:
    • Phillipe M. Cunningham: 2,605 votes (49.5%)
    • Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson: 2,430 votes (46.2%)
    • No preference: 229 voters (4.4%)
  • Total stars allocated: 48,679
  • Total ballots: 5,264
★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
(one star above is approximately 974 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • ★#0: Phillipe M. Cunningham received 16,306 stars (33.5%) from 3,651 voters (69.4%)
    • ★#1: Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson received 15,673 stars (32.2%) from 3,493 voters (66.4%)
    • ★#2: Stephanie Gasca received 12,151 stars (25.0%) from 3,095 voters (58.8%)
    • ★#3: Dana Hansen received 4,161 stars (8.5%) from 1,141 voters (21.7%)
    • ★#4: UWI received 383 stars (0.8%) from 109 voters (2.1%)
    • ★#5: null received 5 stars (0.0%) from 1 voters (0.0%)
  • Finalists:
    • ★Phillipe M. Cunningham (✅ winner) preferred by 2,605 of 5,264 voters
    • ★Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson preferred by 2,430 of 5,264 voters
    • ★No preference between the finalists: 229

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-4-Ballot-Records Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-4-Ballot-Records/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Phillipe M. Cunningham
  • Runner-up: Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson (beats all other candidates except Phillipe M. Cunningham)
  • Smallest margin: UWI over null (109-1; margin: 108)
  • Largest margin: Phillipe M. Cunningham over null (3,651-1; margin: 3,650)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 5,264

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-4-Ballot-Records w-l-t table permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-4-Ballot-Records/pairwise#wlt
2017-Ward-4-Ballot-Records (Minneapolis; 2017-11-07) pairwise matchups
Phillipe M. Cunningham
(5-0-0)
Phillipe M. Cunningham
5 victories ⇣
Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson
(4-1-0)
Phillipe M. Cunningham: 2,605(49.5%)
Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson: 2,430(46.2%)
(No preference: 229; 4.4%)
Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson
⇽ 1 loss / 4 victories† ⇣
Stephanie Gasca
(3-2-0)
Phillipe M. Cunningham: 2,898(55.1%)
Stephanie Gasca: 1,235(23.5%)
(No preference: 1,131; 21.5%)
Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson: 2,861(54.4%)
Stephanie Gasca: 1,844(35.0%)
(No preference: 559; 10.6%)
Stephanie Gasca
⇽ 2 losses / 3 victories† ⇣
Dana Hansen
(2-3-0)
Phillipe M. Cunningham: 3,507(66.6%)
Dana Hansen: 540(10.3%)
(No preference: 1,217; 23.1%)
Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson: 3,398(64.6%)
Dana Hansen: 772(14.7%)
(No preference: 1,094; 20.8%)
Stephanie Gasca: 2,887(54.8%)
Dana Hansen: 569(10.8%)
(No preference: 1,808; 34.3%)
Dana Hansen
⇽ 3 losses / 2 victories† ⇣
UWI
(1-4-0)
Phillipe M. Cunningham: 3,645(69.2%)
UWI: 40(0.8%)
(No preference: 1,579; 30.0%)
Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson: 3,491(66.3%)
UWI: 81(1.5%)
(No preference: 1,692; 32.1%)
Stephanie Gasca: 3,090(58.7%)
UWI: 56(1.1%)
(No preference: 2,118; 40.2%)
Dana Hansen: 1,139(21.6%)
UWI: 97(1.8%)
(No preference: 4,028; 76.5%)
UWI
⇽ 4 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
null
(0-5-0)
Phillipe M. Cunningham: 3,651(69.4%)
null: 1(0.0%)
(No preference: 1,612; 30.6%)
Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson: 3,493(66.4%)
null: 1(0.0%)
(No preference: 1,770; 33.6%)
Stephanie Gasca: 3,095(58.8%)
null: 1(0.0%)
(No preference: 2,168; 41.2%)
Dana Hansen: 1,141(21.7%)
null: 1(0.0%)
(No preference: 4,122; 78.3%)
UWI: 109(2.1%)
null: 1(0.0%)
(No preference: 5,154; 97.9%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-4-Ballot-Records pairwise diagram permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-4-Ballot-Records/pairwise#dot

%3 Phillipe M. Cunningham Phillipe M. Cunningham 5-0-0 (5 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson 4-1-0 Phillipe M. Cunningham->Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson ← Phillipe M. Cunningham: 2605 Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson: 2430 Stephanie Gasca Stephanie Gasca 3-2-0 Phillipe M. Cunningham->Stephanie Gasca ← Phillipe M. Cunningham: 2898 Stephanie Gasca: 1235 Dana Hansen Dana Hansen 2-3-0 Phillipe M. Cunningham->Dana Hansen ← Phillipe M. Cunningham: 3507 Dana Hansen: 540 UWI UWI 1-4-0 Phillipe M. Cunningham->UWI ← Phillipe M. Cunningham: 3645 UWI: 40 null null 0-5-0 Phillipe M. Cunningham->null ← Phillipe M. Cunningham: 3651 null: 1 Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson->Stephanie Gasca ← Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson: 2861 Stephanie Gasca: 1844 Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson->Dana Hansen ← Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson: 3398 Dana Hansen: 772 Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson->UWI ← Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson: 3491 UWI: 81 Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson->null ← Barbara A. "Barb" Johnson: 3493 null: 1 Stephanie Gasca->Dana Hansen ← Stephanie Gasca: 2887 Dana Hansen: 569 Stephanie Gasca->UWI ← Stephanie Gasca: 3090 UWI: 56 Stephanie Gasca->null ← Stephanie Gasca: 3095 null: 1 Dana Hansen->UWI ← Dana Hansen: 1139 UWI: 97 Dana Hansen->null ← Dana Hansen: 1141 null: 1 UWI->null ← UWI: 109 null: 1

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

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