2017-Ward-6-Ballot-Records (Minneapolis; 2017-11-07)

🔗 2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-6-Ballot-Records (tags: { Minneapolis_MN , from-bolson , actual , 2017-11 , MN , 2017 , Minneapolis-2017 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-6-Ballot-Records" election (2017-Ward-6-Ballot-Records (Minneapolis; 2017-11-07))

ABIF submission area (show)

#------- metadata -------
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount: 7234}
#------ candlines ------
=[Abdi Warsame]:[Abdi Warsame]
=[Mohamud Noor]:[Mohamud Noor]
=[Fadumo Yusuf]:[Fadumo Yusuf]
=UWI:[UWI]
=[Tiffini Forslund]:[Tiffini Forslund]
#------- votelines ------
2727:[Abdi Warsame]
2060:[Mohamud Noor]
736:[Mohamud Noor]>[Abdi Warsame]
465:[Abdi Warsame]>[Mohamud Noor]
316:[Mohamud Noor]>[Abdi Warsame]>[Fadumo Yusuf]
245:[Abdi Warsame]>[Mohamud Noor]>[Fadumo Yusuf]
98:[Mohamud Noor]>[Fadumo Yusuf]>[Abdi Warsame]
96:[Fadumo Yusuf]
59:[Abdi Warsame]>[Fadumo Yusuf]>[Mohamud Noor]
55:[Mohamud Noor]>[Fadumo Yusuf]
50:[Mohamud Noor]>[Abdi Warsame]>UWI
47:[Abdi Warsame]>[Mohamud Noor]>UWI
41:[Abdi Warsame]>[Fadumo Yusuf]
26:[Fadumo Yusuf]>[Mohamud Noor]>[Abdi Warsame]
24:[Fadumo Yusuf]>[Abdi Warsame]>[Mohamud Noor]
21:[Mohamud Noor]>UWI
19:UWI
17:[Abdi Warsame]
16:[Mohamud Noor]
14:[Fadumo Yusuf]>[Mohamud Noor]
13:[Fadumo Yusuf]>[Abdi Warsame]
12:[Mohamud Noor]>[Abdi Warsame]
11:[Mohamud Noor]>[Fadumo Yusuf]>UWI
8:[Abdi Warsame]
7:[Abdi Warsame]>UWI
7:[Fadumo Yusuf]>UWI
5:[Abdi Warsame]>[Mohamud Noor]
3:[Tiffini Forslund]>[Mohamud Noor]
3:[Mohamud Noor]
3:[Abdi Warsame]>[Fadumo Yusuf]
3:[Mohamud Noor]>[Fadumo Yusuf]
3:[Mohamud Noor]>[Abdi Warsame]>[Tiffini Forslund]
3:[Mohamud Noor]>UWI>[Abdi Warsame]
2:UWI>[Mohamud Noor]>[Abdi Warsame]
2:[Abdi Warsame]>[Fadumo Yusuf]>UWI
2:[Fadumo Yusuf]>[Mohamud Noor]>UWI
1:UWI>[Mohamud Noor]
1:UWI>[Abdi Warsame]
1:[Tiffini Forslund]>[Fadumo Yusuf]>[Mohamud Noor]
1:[Mohamud Noor]>[Abdi Warsame]
1:[Abdi Warsame]>UWI
1:[Tiffini Forslund]
1:[Mohamud Noor]>[Tiffini Forslund]
1:UWI>[Mohamud Noor]
1:[Tiffini Forslund]>[Mohamud Noor]>UWI
1:UWI>[Mohamud Noor]>[Fadumo Yusuf]
1:UWI>[Abdi Warsame]>[Mohamud Noor]
1:[Abdi Warsame]>[Mohamud Noor]
1:[Abdi Warsame]>UWI>[Mohamud Noor]
1:[Fadumo Yusuf]>[Mohamud Noor]
1:[Mohamud Noor]>[Tiffini Forslund]>UWI

Method options

FPTP results?

IRV/RCV results?

IRV extra analysis?

Approval results?

STAR results?

pairwise (Condorcet/Copeland) results?

pairwise tournament diagram?

Ballot options Transform ballots (using ballot-type metadata)?

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

Results

🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-6-Ballot-Records

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method	Winner
IRV/RCV	Abdi Warsame
FPTP	Abdi Warsame
Approval	Abdi Warsame
STAR	Abdi Warsame
Condorcet/Copeland	Abdi Warsame

OFF ON tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-6-Ballot-Records IRV/RCV result permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-6-Ballot-Records/IRV#IRV

IRV/RCV Winner: Abdi Warsame with 3,629 votes (50.2%) in final round
Runner-up: Mohamud Noor with 3,390 votes (46.9%) in final round
Exhausted ballots in final round: 0 (0.0%)
Number of rounds: 1
Ballots counted in final round: 7,234 (100.0%)
Majority of ballots: 3,618 (50.0%)
Total ballots: 7,234

Round 1
Overview: Active ballots: 7,234 (100.0%) Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%) Counted ballots: 7,234 (100.0%)
IRV/RCV winner: Abdi Warsame: 3,629 (50.2%)✅ →
Mohamud Noor: 3,390 (46.9%) (🛑eliminated) →
Fadumo Yusuf: 183 (2.5%) (🛑eliminated) →
UWI: 26 (0.4%) (🛑eliminated) →
Tiffini Forslund: 6 (0.1%) (🛑eliminated) →

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-6-Ballot-Records FPTP results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-6-Ballot-Records/FPTP#FPTP

FPTP Winner: Abdi Warsame with 3,629 first-place votes (50.2%)
Runner-up: Mohamud Noor with 3,390 first-place votes (46.9%)
Margin of victory: 239 votes (3.3 percentage points)
First-place votes
- Abdi Warsame: 3,629 votes (50.2 %)
- Mohamud Noor: 3,390 votes (46.9 %)
- Fadumo Yusuf: 183 votes (2.5 %)
- UWI: 26 votes (0.4 %)
- Tiffini Forslund: 6 votes (0.1 %)
Total ballots: 7,234

Approval voting results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-6-Ballot-Records approval voting results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-6-Ballot-Records/approval#approval

📝

Note — Approval counts estimated from 7,234 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method

Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 2 candidates appear viable: Abdi Warsame and Mohamud Noor. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 1 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 2). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 1 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 7234}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "7234"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=UWI:[UWI]
=[Abdi Warsame]:[Abdi Warsame]
=[Mohamud Noor]:[Mohamud Noor]
=[Fadumo Yusuf]:[Fadumo Yusuf]
=[Tiffini Forslund]:[Tiffini Forslund]
#------- votelines ------
2727:[Abdi Warsame]/1
2060:[Mohamud Noor]/1
736:[Mohamud Noor]/1
465:[Abdi Warsame]/1
316:[Mohamud Noor]/1
245:[Abdi Warsame]/1
98:[Mohamud Noor]/1
59:[Abdi Warsame]/1
55:[Mohamud Noor]/1
50:[Mohamud Noor]/1
47:[Abdi Warsame]/1
41:[Abdi Warsame]/1
26:[Fadumo Yusuf]/1=[Mohamud Noor]/1
24:[Abdi Warsame]/1=[Fadumo Yusuf]/1
21:[Mohamud Noor]/1
17:[Abdi Warsame]/1
16:[Mohamud Noor]/1
14:[Fadumo Yusuf]/1=[Mohamud Noor]/1
13:[Abdi Warsame]/1=[Fadumo Yusuf]/1
12:[Mohamud Noor]/1
11:[Mohamud Noor]/1
8:[Abdi Warsame]/1
7:[Abdi Warsame]/1
5:[Abdi Warsame]/1
3:[Mohamud Noor]/1=[Tiffini Forslund]/1
3:[Mohamud Noor]/1
3:[Abdi Warsame]/1
3:[Mohamud Noor]/1
3:[Mohamud Noor]/1
3:[Mohamud Noor]/1
2:[Mohamud Noor]/1=UWI/1
2:[Abdi Warsame]/1
2:[Fadumo Yusuf]/1=[Mohamud Noor]/1
1:[Mohamud Noor]/1=UWI/1
1:[Abdi Warsame]/1=UWI/1
1:[Fadumo Yusuf]/1=[Mohamud Noor]/1=[Tiffini Forslund]/1
1:[Mohamud Noor]/1
1:[Abdi Warsame]/1
1:[Mohamud Noor]/1
1:[Mohamud Noor]/1=UWI/1
1:[Mohamud Noor]/1=[Tiffini Forslund]/1
1:[Mohamud Noor]/1=UWI/1
1:[Abdi Warsame]/1=UWI/1
1:[Abdi Warsame]/1
1:[Abdi Warsame]/1
1:[Fadumo Yusuf]/1=[Mohamud Noor]/1
1:[Mohamud Noor]/1

Approval Winner: Abdi Warsame
Approval Results:
- Abdi Warsame — 3,668 approvals (50.71% of ballots) (✅ winner)
- Mohamud Noor — 3,443 approvals (47.59% of ballots)
- Fadumo Yusuf — 81 approvals (1.12% of ballots)
- UWI — 7 approvals (0.1% of ballots)
- Tiffini Forslund — 5 approvals (0.07% of ballots)
Total: 7,234 ballots (7,204 total approvals)

STAR results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-6-Ballot-Records STAR results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-6-Ballot-Records/STAR#STAR

📝

Note — STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method

Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 5 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 4 points, the 2nd choice gets 3 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

STAR winner: Abdi Warsame
Finalists: Abdi Warsame vs Mohamud Noor
Runoff result:
- Abdi Warsame: 3,668 votes (50.7%)
- Mohamud Noor: 3,443 votes (47.6%)
- No preference: 123 voters (1.7%)
Total stars allocated: 37,585
Total ballots: 7,234

★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★

(one star above is approximately 752 stars allocated by voters)

First round:
- ★#0: Abdi Warsame received 18,245 stars (48.5%) from 4,915 voters (67.9%)
- ★#1: Mohamud Noor received 16,177 stars (43.0%) from 4,291 voters (59.3%)
- ★#2: Fadumo Yusuf received 2,675 stars (7.1%) from 1,018 voters (14.1%)
- ★#3: UWI received 452 stars (1.2%) from 180 voters (2.5%)
- ★#4: Tiffini Forslund received 36 stars (0.1%) from 11 voters (0.2%)
Finalists:
- ★Abdi Warsame (✅ winner) preferred by 3,668 of 7,234 voters
- ★Mohamud Noor preferred by 3,443 of 7,234 voters
- ★No preference between the finalists: 123

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-6-Ballot-Records Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-6-Ballot-Records/pairwise#pairwise

Winner: Abdi Warsame
Runner-up: Mohamud Noor (beats all other candidates except Abdi Warsame)
Smallest margin: UWI over Tiffini Forslund (178-11; margin: 167)
Largest margin: Abdi Warsame over Tiffini Forslund (4,915-8; margin: 4,907)
Pairwise ties: none
Total ballots: 7,234

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-6-Ballot-Records w-l-t table permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-6-Ballot-Records/pairwise#wlt

2017-Ward-6-Ballot-Records (Minneapolis; 2017-11-07) pairwise matchups
Abdi Warsame (4-0-0)	Abdi Warsame 4 victories ⇣
Mohamud Noor (3-1-0)	Abdi Warsame: 3,668(50.7%) Mohamud Noor: 3,443(47.6%) (No preference: 123; 1.7%)	Mohamud Noor ⇽ 1 loss / 3 victories^† ⇣
Fadumo Yusuf (2-2-0)	Abdi Warsame: 4,754(65.7%) Fadumo Yusuf: 352(4.9%) (No preference: 2,128; 29.4%)	Mohamud Noor: 4,164(57.6%) Fadumo Yusuf: 289(4.0%) (No preference: 2,781; 38.4%)	Fadumo Yusuf ⇽ 2 losses / 2 victories^† ⇣
UWI (1-3-0)	Abdi Warsame: 4,908(67.8%) UWI: 72(1.0%) (No preference: 2,254; 31.2%)	Mohamud Noor: 4,284(59.2%) UWI: 44(0.6%) (No preference: 2,906; 40.2%)	Fadumo Yusuf: 1,017(14.1%) UWI: 158(2.2%) (No preference: 6,059; 83.8%)	UWI ⇽ 3 losses / 1 victory^† ⇣
Tiffini Forslund (0-4-0)	Abdi Warsame: 4,915(67.9%) Tiffini Forslund: 8(0.1%) (No preference: 2,311; 31.9%)	Mohamud Noor: 4,286(59.2%) Tiffini Forslund: 6(0.1%) (No preference: 2,942; 40.7%)	Fadumo Yusuf: 1,017(14.1%) Tiffini Forslund: 11(0.2%) (No preference: 6,206; 85.8%)	UWI: 178(2.5%) Tiffini Forslund: 11(0.2%) (No preference: 7,045; 97.4%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-6-Ballot-Records pairwise diagram permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2017-11-07_Minneapolis-2017-Ward-6-Ballot-Records/pairwise#dot

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

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