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Board of Supervisors District 6 (SanFrancisco; 2018-11-06)

πŸ”— 2018-11-06_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_6     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2018 , 2018-11 , SF , SanFrancisco_CA , SanFrancisco-2018 , CA })

Below is the ABIF from the "2018-11-06_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_6" election (Board of Supervisors District 6 (SanFrancisco; 2018-11-06))

ABIF submission area (show)
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Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2018-11-06_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_6

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV MATT HANEY
FPTP MATT HANEY
Approval MATT HANEY
STAR MATT HANEY
Condorcet/Copeland MATT HANEY
Election results summary showing voting method winners
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tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2018-11-06_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_6 IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2018-11-06_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_6/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: MATT HANEY with 14,252 votes (49.4%) in final round
  • Runner-up: CHRISTINE JOHNSON with 6,285 votes (21.8%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 3,510 (12.2%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 25,362 (87.8%)
  • Majority of ballots: 14,437 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 28,872
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 28,872 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 3,510 (12.2%)
Counted ballots: 25,362 (87.8%)
Winning threshold: 12,682 (43.92%)
IRV/RCV winner:
MATT HANEY: 14,252 (49.4%)βœ…
β†’
CHRISTINE JOHNSON: 6,285 (21.8%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
SONJA TRAUSS: 4,825 (16.7%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2018-11-06_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_6 FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2018-11-06_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_6/FPTP#FPTP
πŸ“
Note β€” Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: MATT HANEY with 14,252 first-place votes (49.4%)
  • Runner-up: CHRISTINE JOHNSON with 6,285 first-place votes (21.8%)
  • Margin of victory: 7,967 votes (27.6 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • MATT HANEY: 14,252 votes (49.4 %)
    • CHRISTINE JOHNSON: 6,285 votes (21.8 %)
    • SONJA TRAUSS: 4,825 votes (16.7 %)
  • Blanks: 3,510 (12.2 %)
  • Total ballots: 28,872

Approval voting results

2018-11-06_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_6 approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2018-11-06_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_6/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approval counts estimated from 28,872 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 2 candidates appear viable: MATT HANEY and CHRISTINE JOHNSON. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 1 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 2). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 1 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 28872}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "28872"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=[MATT HANEY]:[MATT HANEY]
=[CHRISTINE JOHNSON]:[CHRISTINE JOHNSON]
=[SONJA TRAUSS]:[SONJA TRAUSS]
#------- votelines ------
4193:[MATT HANEY]/1
3644:[MATT HANEY]/1
3297:[MATT HANEY]/1
2094:[CHRISTINE JOHNSON]/1
1965:[CHRISTINE JOHNSON]/1=[SONJA TRAUSS]/1
1720:[CHRISTINE JOHNSON]/1
1500:[MATT HANEY]/1
1043:[MATT HANEY]/1=[SONJA TRAUSS]/1
740:[MATT HANEY]/1
714:[CHRISTINE JOHNSON]/1=[SONJA TRAUSS]/1
705:[CHRISTINE JOHNSON]/1
655:[CHRISTINE JOHNSON]/1
542:[MATT HANEY]/1
452:[CHRISTINE JOHNSON]/1
333:[CHRISTINE JOHNSON]/1
149:[MATT HANEY]/1=[SONJA TRAUSS]/1
116:[CHRISTINE JOHNSON]/1
115:[CHRISTINE JOHNSON]/1=[SONJA TRAUSS]/1
105:[CHRISTINE JOHNSON]/1
104:[MATT HANEY]/1
75:[MATT HANEY]/1
62:[MATT HANEY]/1
53:[MATT HANEY]/1=[SONJA TRAUSS]/1
51:[MATT HANEY]/1
44:[MATT HANEY]/1
42:[CHRISTINE JOHNSON]/1
37:[CHRISTINE JOHNSON]/1
28:[CHRISTINE JOHNSON]/1=[SONJA TRAUSS]/1
26:[CHRISTINE JOHNSON]/1
21:[MATT HANEY]/1=[SONJA TRAUSS]/1
  • Approval Winner: MATT HANEY
  • Approval Results:
    • MATT HANEY — 15,518 approvals (53.75% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • CHRISTINE JOHNSON — 9,107 approvals (31.54% of ballots)
    • SONJA TRAUSS — 4,088 approvals (14.16% of ballots)
  • Total: 28,872 ballots (28,713 total approvals)

STAR results

2018-11-06_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_6 STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2018-11-06_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_6/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 3 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 2 points, the 2nd choice gets 1 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: MATT HANEY
  • Finalists: MATT HANEY vs CHRISTINE JOHNSON
  • Runoff result:
    • MATT HANEY: 15,518 votes (53.7%)
    • CHRISTINE JOHNSON: 9,107 votes (31.5%)
    • No preference: 4247 voters (14.7%)
  • Total stars allocated: 68,448
  • Total ballots: 28,872
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 1,369 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: MATT HANEY received 31,970 stars (46.7%) from 17,718 voters (61.4%)
    • β˜…#1: CHRISTINE JOHNSON received 19,931 stars (29.1%) from 13,646 voters (47.3%)
    • β˜…#2: SONJA TRAUSS received 16,547 stars (24.2%) from 11,722 voters (40.6%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…MATT HANEY (βœ… winner) preferred by 15,518 of 28,872 voters
    • β˜…CHRISTINE JOHNSON preferred by 9,107 of 28,872 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 4247

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2018-11-06_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_6 Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2018-11-06_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_6/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: MATT HANEY
  • Runner-up: CHRISTINE JOHNSON (beats all other candidates except MATT HANEY)
  • Smallest margin: CHRISTINE JOHNSON over SONJA TRAUSS (10,824-8,770; margin: 2,054)
  • Largest margin: MATT HANEY over SONJA TRAUSS (16,452-7,777; margin: 8,675)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 28,872

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2018-11-06_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_6 w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2018-11-06_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_6/pairwise#wlt
Board of Supervisors District 6 (SanFrancisco; 2018-11-06) pairwise matchups
MATT HANEY
(2-0-0)
MATT HANEY
2 victories ⇣
CHRISTINE JOHNSON
(1-1-0)
MATT HANEY: 15,518(53.7%)
CHRISTINE JOHNSON: 9,107(31.5%)
(No preference: 4,247; 14.7%)
CHRISTINE JOHNSON
⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory† ⇣
SONJA TRAUSS
(0-2-0)
MATT HANEY: 16,452(57.0%)
SONJA TRAUSS: 7,777(26.9%)
(No preference: 4,643; 16.1%)
CHRISTINE JOHNSON: 10,824(37.5%)
SONJA TRAUSS: 8,770(30.4%)
(No preference: 9,278; 32.1%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2018-11-06_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_6 pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2018-11-06_SanFrancisco-Board_of_Supervisors_District_6/pairwise#dot

%3 MATT HANEY MATT HANEY 2-0-0 (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) CHRISTINE JOHNSON CHRISTINE JOHNSON 1-1-0 MATT HANEY->CHRISTINE JOHNSON ← MATT HANEY: 15518 CHRISTINE JOHNSON: 9107 SONJA TRAUSS SONJA TRAUSS 0-2-0 MATT HANEY->SONJA TRAUSS ← MATT HANEY: 16452 SONJA TRAUSS: 7777 CHRISTINE JOHNSON->SONJA TRAUSS ← CHRISTINE JOHNSON: 10824 SONJA TRAUSS: 8770

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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