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cg2 (ME_Primary; 2020-07-14)

πŸ”— 2020-07-14_ME_Primary-cg2     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2020-07 , primary_election , ME_Primary-2020 , ME , 2020 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2020-07-14_ME_Primary-cg2" election (cg2 (ME_Primary; 2020-07-14))

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Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-07-14_ME_Primary-cg2

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Crafts, Dale John
FPTP Crafts, Dale John
Approval Crafts, Dale John
STAR Crafts, Dale John
Condorcet/Copeland Crafts, Dale John
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2020-07-14_ME_Primary-cg2 IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-07-14_ME_Primary-cg2/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Crafts, Dale John with 22,970 votes (49.1%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Bennett, Adrienne with 16,259 votes (34.7%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 7,576 (16.2%)
  • Number of rounds: 2
  • Ballots counted in final round: 39,229 (83.8%)
  • Majority of ballots: 23,403 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 46,805
Round 1 Round 2
Overview:
Active ballots: 46,805 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 4,287 (9.2%)
Counted ballots: 42,518 (90.8%)
Winning threshold: 21,260 (45.42%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 46,805 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 7,576 (16.2%)
Counted ballots: 39,229 (83.8%)
Winning threshold: 19,615 (41.91%)
Crafts, Dale John: 19,404 (41.5%)
β†’
IRV/RCV winner:
Crafts, Dale John: 22,970 (49.1%)βœ…
β†’
Bennett, Adrienne: 13,509 (28.9%)
β†’
Bennett, Adrienne: 16,259 (34.7%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Brakey, Eric L.: 9,605 (20.5%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Brakey, Eric L.

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2020-07-14_ME_Primary-cg2 FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-07-14_ME_Primary-cg2/FPTP#FPTP
πŸ“
Note β€” Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Crafts, Dale John with 19,404 first-place votes (41.5%)
  • Runner-up: Bennett, Adrienne with 13,509 first-place votes (28.9%)
  • Margin of victory: 5,895 votes (12.6 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Crafts, Dale John: 19,404 votes (41.5 %)
    • Bennett, Adrienne: 13,509 votes (28.9 %)
    • Brakey, Eric L.: 9,605 votes (20.5 %)
  • Blanks: 4,287 (9.2 %)
  • Total ballots: 46,805

Approval voting results

2020-07-14_ME_Primary-cg2 approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-07-14_ME_Primary-cg2/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approval counts estimated from 46,805 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 3 candidates appear viable: Crafts, Dale John, Bennett, Adrienne, and Brakey, Eric L.. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 2 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 3, rounded up). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 2 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 46805}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "46805"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=[Crafts, Dale John]:[Crafts, Dale John]
=[Bennett, Adrienne]:[Bennett, Adrienne]
=[Brakey, Eric L.]:[Brakey, Eric L.]
#------- votelines ------
7464:[Crafts, Dale John]/1
5306:[Bennett, Adrienne]/1=[Crafts, Dale John]/1
4757:[Bennett, Adrienne]/1=[Crafts, Dale John]/1
4302:[Brakey, Eric L.]/1=[Crafts, Dale John]/1
3978:[Bennett, Adrienne]/1
3339:[Bennett, Adrienne]/1=[Brakey, Eric L.]/1
3224:[Brakey, Eric L.]/1
2932:[Brakey, Eric L.]/1=[Crafts, Dale John]/1
2469:[Bennett, Adrienne]/1=[Brakey, Eric L.]/1
1407:[Bennett, Adrienne]/1=[Crafts, Dale John]/1
996:[Bennett, Adrienne]/1=[Crafts, Dale John]/1
725:[Brakey, Eric L.]/1=[Crafts, Dale John]/1
586:[Brakey, Eric L.]/1=[Crafts, Dale John]/1
307:[Bennett, Adrienne]/1=[Brakey, Eric L.]/1
257:[Bennett, Adrienne]/1=[Brakey, Eric L.]/1
69:[Bennett, Adrienne]/1=[Crafts, Dale John]/1
52:[Bennett, Adrienne]/1=[Crafts, Dale John]/1
50:[Brakey, Eric L.]/1=[Crafts, Dale John]/1
45:[Crafts, Dale John]/1
41:[Brakey, Eric L.]/1=[Crafts, Dale John]/1
34:[Brakey, Eric L.]/1
31:[Brakey, Eric L.]/1
25:[Bennett, Adrienne]/1=[Brakey, Eric L.]/1
24:[Crafts, Dale John]/1
24:[Bennett, Adrienne]/1
17:[Bennett, Adrienne]/1
16:[Bennett, Adrienne]/1=[Brakey, Eric L.]/1
8:[Bennett, Adrienne]/1=[Brakey, Eric L.]/1
8:[Bennett, Adrienne]/1=[Crafts, Dale John]/1
7:[Brakey, Eric L.]/1=[Crafts, Dale John]/1
6:[Bennett, Adrienne]/1=[Brakey, Eric L.]/1
6:[Brakey, Eric L.]/1=[Crafts, Dale John]/1
6:[Bennett, Adrienne]/1=[Crafts, Dale John]/1
  • Approval Winner: Crafts, Dale John
  • Approval Results:
    • Crafts, Dale John — 28,783 approvals (61.5% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Bennett, Adrienne — 23,047 approvals (49.24% of ballots)
    • Brakey, Eric L. — 18,365 approvals (39.24% of ballots)
  • Total: 46,805 ballots (70,195 total approvals)

STAR results

2020-07-14_ME_Primary-cg2 STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-07-14_ME_Primary-cg2/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 3 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 2 points, the 2nd choice gets 1 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Crafts, Dale John
  • Finalists: Crafts, Dale John vs Bennett, Adrienne
  • Runoff result:
    • Crafts, Dale John: 22,970 votes (49.1%)
    • Bennett, Adrienne: 16,259 votes (34.7%)
    • No preference: 7576 voters (16.2%)
  • Total stars allocated: 112,713
  • Total ballots: 46,805
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 2,254 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Crafts, Dale John received 48,187 stars (42.8%) from 28,783 voters (61.5%)
    • β˜…#1: Bennett, Adrienne received 36,556 stars (32.4%) from 23,047 voters (49.2%)
    • β˜…#2: Brakey, Eric L. received 27,970 stars (24.8%) from 18,365 voters (39.2%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Crafts, Dale John (βœ… winner) preferred by 22,970 of 46,805 voters
    • β˜…Bennett, Adrienne preferred by 16,259 of 46,805 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 7576

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2020-07-14_ME_Primary-cg2 Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-07-14_ME_Primary-cg2/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Crafts, Dale John
  • Runner-up: Bennett, Adrienne (beats all other candidates except Crafts, Dale John)
  • Smallest margin: Bennett, Adrienne over Brakey, Eric L. (20,297-14,688; margin: 5,609)
  • Largest margin: Crafts, Dale John over Brakey, Eric L. (25,217-13,282; margin: 11,935)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 46,805

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2020-07-14_ME_Primary-cg2 w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-07-14_ME_Primary-cg2/pairwise#wlt
cg2 (ME_Primary; 2020-07-14) pairwise matchups
Crafts, Dale John
(2-0-0)
Crafts, Dale John
2 victories ⇣
Bennett, Adrienne
(1-1-0)
Crafts, Dale John: 22,970(49.1%)
Bennett, Adrienne: 16,259(34.7%)
(No preference: 7,576; 16.2%)
Bennett, Adrienne
⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory† ⇣
Brakey, Eric L.
(0-2-0)
Crafts, Dale John: 25,217(53.9%)
Brakey, Eric L.: 13,282(28.4%)
(No preference: 8,306; 17.7%)
Bennett, Adrienne: 20,297(43.4%)
Brakey, Eric L.: 14,688(31.4%)
(No preference: 11,820; 25.3%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2020-07-14_ME_Primary-cg2 pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-07-14_ME_Primary-cg2/pairwise#dot

%3 Crafts, Dale John Crafts, Dale John 2-0-0 (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Bennett, Adrienne Bennett, Adrienne 1-1-0 Crafts, Dale John->Bennett, Adrienne ← Crafts, Dale John: 22970 Bennett, Adrienne: 16259 Brakey, Eric L. Brakey, Eric L. 0-2-0 Crafts, Dale John->Brakey, Eric L. ← Crafts, Dale John: 25217 Brakey, Eric L.: 13282 Bennett, Adrienne->Brakey, Eric L. ← Bennett, Adrienne: 20297 Brakey, Eric L.: 14688

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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