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sr47 (ME_Primary; 2020-07-14)

πŸ”— 2020-07-14_ME_Primary-sr47     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2020-07 , primary_election , ME_Primary-2020 , ME , 2020 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2020-07-14_ME_Primary-sr47" election (sr47 (ME_Primary; 2020-07-14))

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Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-07-14_ME_Primary-sr47

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Bell, Arthur L.
FPTP Bell, Arthur L.
Approval Bell, Arthur L.
STAR Bell, Arthur L.
Condorcet/Copeland Bell, Arthur L.
Election results summary showing voting method winners
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IRV/RCV results

2020-07-14_ME_Primary-sr47 IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-07-14_ME_Primary-sr47/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Bell, Arthur L. with 1,256 votes (49.3%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Abbott, Heather with 1,101 votes (43.2%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 190 (7.5%)
  • Number of rounds: 2
  • Ballots counted in final round: 2,357 (92.5%)
  • Majority of ballots: 1,274 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 2,547
Round 1 Round 2
Overview:
Active ballots: 2,547 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 120 (4.7%)
Counted ballots: 2,427 (95.3%)
Winning threshold: 1,214 (47.66%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 2,547 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 190 (7.5%)
Counted ballots: 2,357 (92.5%)
Winning threshold: 1,179 (46.29%)
Bell, Arthur L.: 972 (38.2%)
β†’
IRV/RCV winner:
Bell, Arthur L.: 1,256 (49.3%)βœ…
β†’
Abbott, Heather: 873 (34.3%)
β†’
Abbott, Heather: 1,101 (43.2%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Fromuth, Peter J.: 582 (22.9%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Fromuth, Peter J.

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2020-07-14_ME_Primary-sr47 FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-07-14_ME_Primary-sr47/FPTP#FPTP
πŸ“
Note β€” Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Bell, Arthur L. with 972 first-place votes (38.2%)
  • Runner-up: Abbott, Heather with 873 first-place votes (34.3%)
  • Margin of victory: 99 votes (3.9 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Bell, Arthur L.: 972 votes (38.2 %)
    • Abbott, Heather: 873 votes (34.3 %)
    • Fromuth, Peter J.: 582 votes (22.9 %)
  • Blanks: 120 (4.7 %)
  • Total ballots: 2,547

Approval voting results

2020-07-14_ME_Primary-sr47 approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-07-14_ME_Primary-sr47/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approval counts estimated from 2,547 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 3 candidates appear viable: Bell, Arthur L., Abbott, Heather, and Fromuth, Peter J.. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 2 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 3, rounded up). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 2 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 2547}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "2547"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=[Abbott, Heather]:[Abbott, Heather]
=[Bell, Arthur L.]:[Bell, Arthur L.]
=[Fromuth, Peter J.]:[Fromuth, Peter J.]
#------- votelines ------
410:[Abbott, Heather]/1=[Bell, Arthur L.]/1
398:[Abbott, Heather]/1=[Bell, Arthur L.]/1
304:[Bell, Arthur L.]/1=[Fromuth, Peter J.]/1
238:[Bell, Arthur L.]/1=[Fromuth, Peter J.]/1
236:[Abbott, Heather]/1=[Fromuth, Peter J.]/1
199:[Abbott, Heather]/1=[Fromuth, Peter J.]/1
176:[Bell, Arthur L.]/1
159:[Abbott, Heather]/1
69:[Fromuth, Peter J.]/1
52:[Bell, Arthur L.]/1=[Fromuth, Peter J.]/1
45:[Bell, Arthur L.]/1=[Fromuth, Peter J.]/1
44:[Abbott, Heather]/1=[Bell, Arthur L.]/1
37:[Abbott, Heather]/1=[Bell, Arthur L.]/1
29:[Abbott, Heather]/1=[Fromuth, Peter J.]/1
22:[Abbott, Heather]/1=[Fromuth, Peter J.]/1
2:[Bell, Arthur L.]/1
1:[Bell, Arthur L.]/1
1:[Fromuth, Peter J.]/1
1:[Abbott, Heather]/1=[Bell, Arthur L.]/1
1:[Abbott, Heather]/1=[Bell, Arthur L.]/1
1:[Abbott, Heather]/1=[Fromuth, Peter J.]/1
1:[Bell, Arthur L.]/1=[Fromuth, Peter J.]/1
1:[Bell, Arthur L.]/1=[Fromuth, Peter J.]/1
  • Approval Winner: Bell, Arthur L.
  • Approval Results:
    • Bell, Arthur L. — 1,711 approvals (67.18% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Abbott, Heather — 1,537 approvals (60.35% of ballots)
    • Fromuth, Peter J. — 1,198 approvals (47.04% of ballots)
  • Total: 2,547 ballots (4,446 total approvals)

STAR results

2020-07-14_ME_Primary-sr47 STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-07-14_ME_Primary-sr47/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 3 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 2 points, the 2nd choice gets 1 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Bell, Arthur L.
  • Finalists: Bell, Arthur L. vs Abbott, Heather
  • Runoff result:
    • Bell, Arthur L.: 1,256 votes (49.3%)
    • Abbott, Heather: 1,101 votes (43.2%)
    • No preference: 190 voters (7.5%)
  • Total stars allocated: 6,873
  • Total ballots: 2,547
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 137 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Bell, Arthur L. received 2,683 stars (39.0%) from 1,711 voters (67.2%)
    • β˜…#1: Abbott, Heather received 2,410 stars (35.1%) from 1,537 voters (60.3%)
    • β˜…#2: Fromuth, Peter J. received 1,780 stars (25.9%) from 1,198 voters (47.0%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Bell, Arthur L. (βœ… winner) preferred by 1,256 of 2,547 voters
    • β˜…Abbott, Heather preferred by 1,101 of 2,547 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 190

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2020-07-14_ME_Primary-sr47 Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-07-14_ME_Primary-sr47/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Bell, Arthur L.
  • Runner-up: Abbott, Heather (beats all other candidates except Bell, Arthur L.)
  • Smallest margin: Bell, Arthur L. over Abbott, Heather (1,256-1,101; margin: 155)
  • Largest margin: Bell, Arthur L. over Fromuth, Peter J. (1,427-841; margin: 586)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 2,547

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2020-07-14_ME_Primary-sr47 w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-07-14_ME_Primary-sr47/pairwise#wlt
sr47 (ME_Primary; 2020-07-14) pairwise matchups
Bell, Arthur L.
(2-0-0)
Bell, Arthur L.
2 victories ⇣
Abbott, Heather
(1-1-0)
Bell, Arthur L.: 1,256(49.3%)
Abbott, Heather: 1,101(43.2%)
(No preference: 190; 7.5%)
Abbott, Heather
⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory† ⇣
Fromuth, Peter J.
(0-2-0)
Bell, Arthur L.: 1,427(56.0%)
Fromuth, Peter J.: 841(33.0%)
(No preference: 279; 11.0%)
Abbott, Heather: 1,309(51.4%)
Fromuth, Peter J.: 939(36.9%)
(No preference: 299; 11.7%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2020-07-14_ME_Primary-sr47 pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-07-14_ME_Primary-sr47/pairwise#dot

%3 Bell, Arthur L. Bell, Arthur L. 2-0-0 (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Abbott, Heather Abbott, Heather 1-1-0 Bell, Arthur L.->Abbott, Heather ← Bell, Arthur L.: 1256 Abbott, Heather: 1101 Fromuth, Peter J. Fromuth, Peter J. 0-2-0 Bell, Arthur L.->Fromuth, Peter J. ← Bell, Arthur L.: 1427 Fromuth, Peter J.: 841 Abbott, Heather->Fromuth, Peter J. ← Abbott, Heather: 1309 Fromuth, Peter J.: 939

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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