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ss11 (ME_Primary; 2020-07-14)

πŸ”— 2020-07-14_ME_Primary-ss11     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2020-07 , primary_election , ME_Primary-2020 , ME , 2020 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2020-07-14_ME_Primary-ss11" election (ss11 (ME_Primary; 2020-07-14))

ABIF submission area (show)
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Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-07-14_ME_Primary-ss11

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Curry, Glenn Chip
FPTP Curry, Glenn Chip
Approval Curry, Glenn Chip
STAR Curry, Glenn Chip
Condorcet/Copeland Curry, Glenn Chip
Election results summary showing voting method winners
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tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2020-07-14_ME_Primary-ss11 IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-07-14_ME_Primary-ss11/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Curry, Glenn Chip with 2,246 votes (50.2%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Stanicki, Robyn M. with 1,716 votes (38.4%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 512 (11.4%)
  • Number of rounds: 2
  • Ballots counted in final round: 3,962 (88.6%)
  • Majority of ballots: 2,238 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 4,474
Round 1 Round 2
Overview:
Active ballots: 4,474 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 297 (6.6%)
Counted ballots: 4,177 (93.4%)
Winning threshold: 2,089 (46.69%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 4,474 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 512 (11.4%)
Counted ballots: 3,962 (88.6%)
Winning threshold: 1,982 (44.30%)
Curry, Glenn Chip: 1,860 (41.6%)
β†’
IRV/RCV winner:
Curry, Glenn Chip: 2,246 (50.2%)βœ…
β†’
Stanicki, Robyn M.: 1,284 (28.7%)
β†’
Stanicki, Robyn M.: 1,716 (38.4%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Pattavina, Charles F.: 1,033 (23.1%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Pattavina, Charles F.

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2020-07-14_ME_Primary-ss11 FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-07-14_ME_Primary-ss11/FPTP#FPTP
πŸ“
Note β€” Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Curry, Glenn Chip with 1,860 first-place votes (41.6%)
  • Runner-up: Stanicki, Robyn M. with 1,284 first-place votes (28.7%)
  • Margin of victory: 576 votes (12.9 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Curry, Glenn Chip: 1,860 votes (41.6 %)
    • Stanicki, Robyn M.: 1,284 votes (28.7 %)
    • Pattavina, Charles F.: 1,033 votes (23.1 %)
  • Blanks: 297 (6.6 %)
  • Total ballots: 4,474

Approval voting results

2020-07-14_ME_Primary-ss11 approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-07-14_ME_Primary-ss11/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approval counts estimated from 4,474 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 3 candidates appear viable: Curry, Glenn Chip, Stanicki, Robyn M., and Pattavina, Charles F.. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 2 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 3, rounded up). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 2 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 4474}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "4474"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=[Curry, Glenn Chip]:[Curry, Glenn Chip]
=[Stanicki, Robyn M.]:[Stanicki, Robyn M.]
=[Pattavina, Charles F.]:[Pattavina, Charles F.]
#------- votelines ------
723:[Curry, Glenn Chip]/1=[Stanicki, Robyn M.]/1
606:[Curry, Glenn Chip]/1=[Stanicki, Robyn M.]/1
567:[Curry, Glenn Chip]/1=[Pattavina, Charles F.]/1
393:[Pattavina, Charles F.]/1=[Stanicki, Robyn M.]/1
388:[Curry, Glenn Chip]/1
384:[Pattavina, Charles F.]/1=[Stanicki, Robyn M.]/1
339:[Curry, Glenn Chip]/1=[Pattavina, Charles F.]/1
212:[Pattavina, Charles F.]/1
140:[Stanicki, Robyn M.]/1
95:[Curry, Glenn Chip]/1=[Stanicki, Robyn M.]/1
89:[Curry, Glenn Chip]/1=[Stanicki, Robyn M.]/1
82:[Curry, Glenn Chip]/1=[Pattavina, Charles F.]/1
47:[Pattavina, Charles F.]/1=[Stanicki, Robyn M.]/1
45:[Curry, Glenn Chip]/1=[Pattavina, Charles F.]/1
43:[Pattavina, Charles F.]/1=[Stanicki, Robyn M.]/1
6:[Curry, Glenn Chip]/1=[Pattavina, Charles F.]/1
3:[Stanicki, Robyn M.]/1
2:[Curry, Glenn Chip]/1=[Pattavina, Charles F.]/1
2:[Pattavina, Charles F.]/1
2:[Curry, Glenn Chip]/1=[Stanicki, Robyn M.]/1
2:[Pattavina, Charles F.]/1=[Stanicki, Robyn M.]/1
1:[Pattavina, Charles F.]/1=[Stanicki, Robyn M.]/1
1:[Curry, Glenn Chip]/1=[Stanicki, Robyn M.]/1
1:[Stanicki, Robyn M.]/1
1:[Pattavina, Charles F.]/1
1:[Curry, Glenn Chip]/1
1:[Curry, Glenn Chip]/1=[Stanicki, Robyn M.]/1
1:[Curry, Glenn Chip]/1
  • Approval Winner: Curry, Glenn Chip
  • Approval Results:
    • Curry, Glenn Chip — 2,948 approvals (65.89% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Stanicki, Robyn M. — 2,531 approvals (56.57% of ballots)
    • Pattavina, Charles F. — 2,126 approvals (47.52% of ballots)
  • Total: 4,474 ballots (7,605 total approvals)

STAR results

2020-07-14_ME_Primary-ss11 STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-07-14_ME_Primary-ss11/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 3 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 2 points, the 2nd choice gets 1 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Curry, Glenn Chip
  • Finalists: Curry, Glenn Chip vs Stanicki, Robyn M.
  • Runoff result:
    • Curry, Glenn Chip: 2,246 votes (50.2%)
    • Stanicki, Robyn M.: 1,716 votes (38.4%)
    • No preference: 512 voters (11.4%)
  • Total stars allocated: 11,782
  • Total ballots: 4,474
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 236 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Curry, Glenn Chip received 4,808 stars (40.8%) from 2,948 voters (65.9%)
    • β˜…#1: Stanicki, Robyn M. received 3,815 stars (32.4%) from 2,531 voters (56.6%)
    • β˜…#2: Pattavina, Charles F. received 3,159 stars (26.8%) from 2,126 voters (47.5%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Curry, Glenn Chip (βœ… winner) preferred by 2,246 of 4,474 voters
    • β˜…Stanicki, Robyn M. preferred by 1,716 of 4,474 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 512

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2020-07-14_ME_Primary-ss11 Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-07-14_ME_Primary-ss11/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Curry, Glenn Chip
  • Runner-up: Stanicki, Robyn M. (beats all other candidates except Curry, Glenn Chip)
  • Smallest margin: Stanicki, Robyn M. over Pattavina, Charles F. (2,099-1,688; margin: 411)
  • Largest margin: Curry, Glenn Chip over Pattavina, Charles F. (2,562-1,471; margin: 1,091)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 4,474

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2020-07-14_ME_Primary-ss11 w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-07-14_ME_Primary-ss11/pairwise#wlt
ss11 (ME_Primary; 2020-07-14) pairwise matchups
Curry, Glenn Chip
(2-0-0)
Curry, Glenn Chip
2 victories ⇣
Stanicki, Robyn M.
(1-1-0)
Curry, Glenn Chip: 2,246(50.2%)
Stanicki, Robyn M.: 1,716(38.4%)
(No preference: 512; 11.4%)
Stanicki, Robyn M.
⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory† ⇣
Pattavina, Charles F.
(0-2-0)
Curry, Glenn Chip: 2,562(57.3%)
Pattavina, Charles F.: 1,471(32.9%)
(No preference: 441; 9.9%)
Stanicki, Robyn M.: 2,099(46.9%)
Pattavina, Charles F.: 1,688(37.7%)
(No preference: 687; 15.4%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2020-07-14_ME_Primary-ss11 pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-07-14_ME_Primary-ss11/pairwise#dot

%3 Curry, Glenn Chip Curry, Glenn Chip 2-0-0 (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Stanicki, Robyn M. Stanicki, Robyn M. 1-1-0 Curry, Glenn Chip->Stanicki, Robyn M. ← Curry, Glenn Chip: 2246 Stanicki, Robyn M.: 1716 Pattavina, Charles F. Pattavina, Charles F. 0-2-0 Curry, Glenn Chip->Pattavina, Charles F. ← Curry, Glenn Chip: 2562 Pattavina, Charles F.: 1471 Stanicki, Robyn M.->Pattavina, Charles F. ← Stanicki, Robyn M.: 2099 Pattavina, Charles F.: 1688

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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