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Member City Council Dist. 6 - Berkeley (AlamedaCounty; 2020-11-03)

πŸ”— 2020-11-03_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._6_-_Berkeley     (tags: { AlamedaCounty_CA , 2020-11 , from-bolson , actual , CA , AlamedaCounty-2020 , 2020 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2020-11-03_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._6_-_Berkeley" election (Member City Council Dist. 6 - Berkeley (AlamedaCounty; 2020-11-03))

ABIF submission area (show)
Method options
Ballot options

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-11-03_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._6_-_Berkeley

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV SUSAN WENGRAF
FPTP SUSAN WENGRAF
Approval SUSAN WENGRAF
STAR SUSAN WENGRAF
Condorcet/Copeland SUSAN WENGRAF
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2020-11-03_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._6_-_Berkeley IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-11-03_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._6_-_Berkeley/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: SUSAN WENGRAF with 5,624 votes (72.3%) in final round
  • Runner-up: RICHARD ILLGEN with 2,113 votes (27.2%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 6 (0.1%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 7,773 (99.9%)
  • Majority of ballots: 3,890 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 7,779
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 7,779 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%)
Overvotes: 6 (0.1%)

Counted ballots: 7,773 (99.9%)
Winning threshold: 3,887 (49.97%)
IRV/RCV winner:
SUSAN WENGRAF: 5,624 (72.3%)βœ…
β†’
RICHARD ILLGEN: 2,113 (27.2%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Write-in: 36 (0.5%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’

Overvotes are ballots where multiple candidates are ranked at the same, highest-ranking position.

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2020-11-03_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._6_-_Berkeley FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-11-03_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._6_-_Berkeley/FPTP#FPTP
πŸ“
Note β€” Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: SUSAN WENGRAF with 5,624 first-place votes (72.3%)
  • Runner-up: RICHARD ILLGEN with 2,113 first-place votes (27.2%)
  • Margin of victory: 3,511 votes (45.1 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • SUSAN WENGRAF: 5,624 votes (72.3 %)
    • RICHARD ILLGEN: 2,113 votes (27.2 %)
    • Write-in: 36 votes (0.5 %)
  • Overvotes: 6 (0.1 %)
  • Total ballots: 7,779

Approval voting results

2020-11-03_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._6_-_Berkeley approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-11-03_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._6_-_Berkeley/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approval counts estimated from 7,779 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 2 candidates appear viable: SUSAN WENGRAF and RICHARD ILLGEN. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 1 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 2). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 1 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 7779}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "7779"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=Write-in:[Write-in]
=[SUSAN WENGRAF]:[SUSAN WENGRAF]
=[RICHARD ILLGEN]:[RICHARD ILLGEN]
#------- votelines ------
3444:[SUSAN WENGRAF]/1
2050:[SUSAN WENGRAF]/1
1009:[RICHARD ILLGEN]/1
1003:[RICHARD ILLGEN]/1
34:[SUSAN WENGRAF]/1
33:[RICHARD ILLGEN]/1
27:[SUSAN WENGRAF]/1
26:[SUSAN WENGRAF]/1
23:[RICHARD ILLGEN]/1
15:[SUSAN WENGRAF]/1
13:[RICHARD ILLGEN]/1
12:[RICHARD ILLGEN]/1
11:[SUSAN WENGRAF]/1
7:[RICHARD ILLGEN]/1
7:[RICHARD ILLGEN]/1
7:[SUSAN WENGRAF]/1
5:[RICHARD ILLGEN]/1=Write-in/1
4:[SUSAN WENGRAF]/1=Write-in/1
3:[RICHARD ILLGEN]/1=Write-in/1
2:[SUSAN WENGRAF]/1
2:[RICHARD ILLGEN]/1
2:[SUSAN WENGRAF]/1
2:[RICHARD ILLGEN]/1=Write-in/1
1:[RICHARD ILLGEN]/1
1:[RICHARD ILLGEN]/1
1:[SUSAN WENGRAF]/1
1:[SUSAN WENGRAF]/1
1:[SUSAN WENGRAF]/1
1:[RICHARD ILLGEN]/1
1:[SUSAN WENGRAF]/1
1:[SUSAN WENGRAF]/1
1:[RICHARD ILLGEN]/1
1:[SUSAN WENGRAF]/1
1:[SUSAN WENGRAF]/1=Write-in/1
1:[SUSAN WENGRAF]/1=Write-in/1
1:[SUSAN WENGRAF]/1=Write-in/1
  • Approval Winner: SUSAN WENGRAF
  • Approval Results:
    • SUSAN WENGRAF — 5,631 approvals (72.39% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • RICHARD ILLGEN — 2,123 approvals (27.29% of ballots)
    • Write-in — 17 approvals (0.22% of ballots)
  • Total: 7,779 ballots (7,771 total approvals)

STAR results

2020-11-03_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._6_-_Berkeley STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-11-03_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._6_-_Berkeley/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 3 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 2 points, the 2nd choice gets 1 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: SUSAN WENGRAF
  • Finalists: SUSAN WENGRAF vs RICHARD ILLGEN
  • Runoff result:
    • SUSAN WENGRAF: 5,631 votes (72.4%)
    • RICHARD ILLGEN: 2,120 votes (27.3%)
    • No preference: 28 voters (0.4%)
  • Total stars allocated: 18,873
  • Total ballots: 7,779
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 377 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: SUSAN WENGRAF received 12,325 stars (65.3%) from 6,695 voters (86.1%)
    • β˜…#1: RICHARD ILLGEN received 6,381 stars (33.8%) from 4,262 voters (54.8%)
    • β˜…#2: Write-in received 167 stars (0.9%) from 131 voters (1.7%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…SUSAN WENGRAF (βœ… winner) preferred by 5,631 of 7,779 voters
    • β˜…RICHARD ILLGEN preferred by 2,120 of 7,779 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 28

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2020-11-03_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._6_-_Berkeley Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-11-03_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._6_-_Berkeley/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: SUSAN WENGRAF
  • Runner-up: RICHARD ILLGEN (beats all other candidates except SUSAN WENGRAF)
  • Smallest margin: RICHARD ILLGEN over Write-in (4,250-81; margin: 4,169)
  • Largest margin: SUSAN WENGRAF over Write-in (6,685-84; margin: 6,601)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 7,779

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2020-11-03_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._6_-_Berkeley w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-11-03_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._6_-_Berkeley/pairwise#wlt
Member City Council Dist. 6 - Berkeley (AlamedaCounty; 2020-11-03) pairwise matchups
SUSAN WENGRAF
(2-0-0)
SUSAN WENGRAF
2 victories ⇣
RICHARD ILLGEN
(1-1-0)
SUSAN WENGRAF: 5,631(72.4%)
RICHARD ILLGEN: 2,120(27.3%)
(No preference: 28; 0.4%)
RICHARD ILLGEN
⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory† ⇣
Write-in
(0-2-0)
SUSAN WENGRAF: 6,685(85.9%)
Write-in: 84(1.1%)
(No preference: 1,010; 13.0%)
RICHARD ILLGEN: 4,250(54.6%)
Write-in: 81(1.0%)
(No preference: 3,448; 44.3%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2020-11-03_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._6_-_Berkeley pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2020-11-03_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._6_-_Berkeley/pairwise#dot

%3 SUSAN WENGRAF SUSAN WENGRAF 2-0-0 (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) RICHARD ILLGEN RICHARD ILLGEN 1-1-0 SUSAN WENGRAF->RICHARD ILLGEN ← SUSAN WENGRAF: 5631 RICHARD ILLGEN: 2120 Write-in Write-in 0-2-0 SUSAN WENGRAF->Write-in ← SUSAN WENGRAF: 6685 Write-in: 84 RICHARD ILLGEN->Write-in ← RICHARD ILLGEN: 4250 Write-in: 81

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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