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DEM Borough President_Queens (NYC; 2021-06-22)

🔗 2021-06-22_NYC-PE2021_CVR_Final-DEM_Borough_President_Queens     (tags: { 2021 , from-bolson , actual , NY , NYC-2021 , NYC_NY , 2021-06 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2021-06-22_NYC-PE2021_CVR_Final-DEM_Borough_President_Queens" election (DEM Borough President_Queens (NYC; 2021-06-22))

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Ballot options

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

Results

🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-06-22_NYC-PE2021_CVR_Final-DEM_Borough_President_Queens

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Donovan J. Richards Jr.
FPTP Donovan J. Richards Jr.
Approval Elizabeth S. Crowley
STAR Donovan J. Richards Jr.
Condorcet/Copeland Donovan J. Richards Jr.
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2021-06-22_NYC-PE2021_CVR_Final-DEM_Borough_President_Queens IRV/RCV result permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-06-22_NYC-PE2021_CVR_Final-DEM_Borough_President_Queens/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Donovan J. Richards Jr. with 92,296 votes (47.2%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Elizabeth S. Crowley with 91,300 votes (46.7%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 11,740 (6.0%)
  • Number of rounds: 2
  • Ballots counted in final round: 183,596 (94.0%)
  • Majority of ballots: 97,669 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 195,336
Round 1 Round 2
Overview:
Active ballots: 195,336 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%)
Counted ballots: 195,336 (100.0%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 195,336 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 11,740 (6.0%)
Counted ballots: 183,596 (94.0%)
Winning threshold: 91,799 (47.00%)
Donovan J. Richards Jr.: 80,444 (41.2%)
→
 IRV/RCV winner:
Donovan J. Richards Jr.: 92,296 (47.2%)✅
→
Elizabeth S. Crowley: 80,338 (41.1%)
→
 Elizabeth S. Crowley: 91,300 (46.7%) (🛑eliminated)
→
James G. Van Bramer: 34,554 (17.7%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 James G. Van Bramer

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2021-06-22_NYC-PE2021_CVR_Final-DEM_Borough_President_Queens FPTP results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-06-22_NYC-PE2021_CVR_Final-DEM_Borough_President_Queens/FPTP#FPTP
📝
Note — Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Donovan J. Richards Jr. with 80,444 first-place votes (41.2%)
  • Runner-up: Elizabeth S. Crowley with 80,338 first-place votes (41.1%)
  • Margin of victory: 106 votes (0.1 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Donovan J. Richards Jr.: 80,444 votes (41.2 %)
    • Elizabeth S. Crowley: 80,338 votes (41.1 %)
    • James G. Van Bramer: 34,554 votes (17.7 %)
  • Total ballots: 195,336

Approval voting results

2021-06-22_NYC-PE2021_CVR_Final-DEM_Borough_President_Queens approval voting results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-06-22_NYC-PE2021_CVR_Final-DEM_Borough_President_Queens/approval#approval
📝
Note — Approval counts estimated from 195,336 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 3 candidates appear viable: Donovan J. Richards Jr., Elizabeth S. Crowley, and James G. Van Bramer. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 2 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 3, rounded up). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 2 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 195336}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "195336"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=[Elizabeth S. Crowley]:[Elizabeth S. Crowley]
=[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]
=[James G. Van Bramer]:[James G. Van Bramer]
#------- votelines ------
33891:[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1
32361:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1
21610:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1
17706:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1
11352:[James G. Van Bramer]/1
11284:[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
10775:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1
10459:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1
8404:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
7623:[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
5776:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
5479:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
4323:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
3414:[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
2626:[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
782:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1
769:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1
607:[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1
583:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1
379:[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1
348:[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
330:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
328:[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
253:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
222:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1
204:[James G. Van Bramer]/1
184:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1
155:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1
151:[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
145:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1
133:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1
130:[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
130:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
122:[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1
118:[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
116:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1
115:[James G. Van Bramer]/1
114:[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
108:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
106:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1
105:[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
103:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
98:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1
89:[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
82:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1
77:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
77:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1
75:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
69:[James G. Van Bramer]/1
68:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
64:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1
63:[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
62:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1
59:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
58:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1
57:[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
48:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1
43:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1
41:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
39:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1
31:[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
27:[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
26:[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
26:[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
23:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
20:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
18:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
18:[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
16:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
16:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
14:[Elizabeth S. Crowley]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
9:[Donovan J. Richards Jr.]/1=[James G. Van Bramer]/1
  • Approval Winner: Elizabeth S. Crowley
  • Approval Results:
    • Elizabeth S. Crowley — 124,800 approvals (63.89% of ballots) (✅ winner)
    • Donovan J. Richards Jr. — 122,005 approvals (62.46% of ballots)
    • James G. Van Bramer — 63,660 approvals (32.59% of ballots)
  • Total: 195,336 ballots (310,465 total approvals)

STAR results

2021-06-22_NYC-PE2021_CVR_Final-DEM_Borough_President_Queens STAR results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-06-22_NYC-PE2021_CVR_Final-DEM_Borough_President_Queens/STAR#STAR
📝
Note — STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 3 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 2 points, the 2nd choice gets 1 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Donovan J. Richards Jr.
  • Finalists: Elizabeth S. Crowley vs Donovan J. Richards Jr.
  • Runoff result:
    • Elizabeth S. Crowley: 91,300 votes (46.7%)
    • Donovan J. Richards Jr.: 92,296 votes (47.2%)
    • No preference: 11740 voters (6.0%)
  • Total stars allocated: 505,801
  • Total ballots: 195,336
★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
(one star above is approximately 10,116 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • ★#0: Elizabeth S. Crowley received 205,138 stars (40.6%) from 124,800 voters (63.9%)
    • ★#1: Donovan J. Richards Jr. received 202,449 stars (40.0%) from 122,005 voters (62.5%)
    • ★#2: James G. Van Bramer received 98,214 stars (19.4%) from 63,660 voters (32.6%)
  • Finalists:
    • ★Elizabeth S. Crowley (✅ winner) preferred by 91,300 of 195,336 voters
    • ★Donovan J. Richards Jr. preferred by 92,296 of 195,336 voters
    • ★No preference between the finalists: 11740

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2021-06-22_NYC-PE2021_CVR_Final-DEM_Borough_President_Queens Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-06-22_NYC-PE2021_CVR_Final-DEM_Borough_President_Queens/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Donovan J. Richards Jr.
  • Runner-up: Elizabeth S. Crowley (beats all other candidates except Donovan J. Richards Jr.)
  • Smallest margin: Donovan J. Richards Jr. over Elizabeth S. Crowley (92,296-91,300; margin: 996)
  • Largest margin: Elizabeth S. Crowley over James G. Van Bramer (113,838-48,030; margin: 65,808)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 195,336

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2021-06-22_NYC-PE2021_CVR_Final-DEM_Borough_President_Queens w-l-t table permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-06-22_NYC-PE2021_CVR_Final-DEM_Borough_President_Queens/pairwise#wlt
DEM Borough President_Queens (NYC; 2021-06-22) pairwise matchups
Donovan J. Richards Jr.
(2-0-0)
Donovan J. Richards Jr.
2 victories ⇣
Elizabeth S. Crowley
(1-1-0)
Donovan J. Richards Jr.: 92,296(47.2%)
Elizabeth S. Crowley: 91,300(46.7%)
(No preference: 11,740; 6.0%)
Elizabeth S. Crowley
⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory† ⇣
James G. Van Bramer
(0-2-0)
Donovan J. Richards Jr.: 110,153(56.4%)
James G. Van Bramer: 50,184(25.7%)
(No preference: 34,999; 17.9%)
Elizabeth S. Crowley: 113,838(58.3%)
James G. Van Bramer: 48,030(24.6%)
(No preference: 33,468; 17.1%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2021-06-22_NYC-PE2021_CVR_Final-DEM_Borough_President_Queens pairwise diagram permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-06-22_NYC-PE2021_CVR_Final-DEM_Borough_President_Queens/pairwise#dot

%3 Donovan J. Richards Jr. Donovan J. Richards Jr. 2-0-0 (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Elizabeth S. Crowley Elizabeth S. Crowley 1-1-0 Donovan J. Richards Jr.->Elizabeth S. Crowley ← Donovan J. Richards Jr.: 92296 Elizabeth S. Crowley: 91300 James G. Van Bramer James G. Van Bramer 0-2-0 Donovan J. Richards Jr.->James G. Van Bramer ← Donovan J. Richards Jr.: 110153 James G. Van Bramer: 50184 Elizabeth S. Crowley->James G. Van Bramer ← Elizabeth S. Crowley: 113838 James G. Van Bramer: 48030

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

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