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2021-BET-Cast-Vote-Record (Minneapolis; 2021-11-02)

🔗 2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-BET-Cast-Vote-Record     (tags: { Minneapolis_MN , 2021 , from-bolson , actual , 2021-11 , MN , Minneapolis-2021 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-BET-Cast-Vote-Record" election (2021-BET-Cast-Vote-Record (Minneapolis; 2021-11-02))

ABIF submission area (show)
Method options
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Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

Results

🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-BET-Cast-Vote-Record

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Steve Brandt
FPTP Steve Brandt
Approval Steve Brandt
STAR Steve Brandt
Condorcet/Copeland Steve Brandt
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-BET-Cast-Vote-Record IRV/RCV result permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-BET-Cast-Vote-Record/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Steve Brandt with 50,192 votes (52.5%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson with 37,289 votes (39.0%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 8,144 (8.5%)
  • Number of rounds: 4
  • Ballots counted in final round: 87,481 (91.5%)
  • Majority of ballots: 47,813 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 95,625
Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4
Overview:
Active ballots: 95,625 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%)
Counted ballots: 95,625 (100.0%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 95,625 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 679 (0.7%)
Counted ballots: 94,946 (99.3%)
Winning threshold: 47,474 (49.65%)
 		Overview:
Active ballots: 95,625 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 2,973 (3.1%)
Counted ballots: 92,652 (96.9%)
Winning threshold: 46,327 (48.45%)
 		Overview:
Active ballots: 95,625 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 8,144 (8.5%)
Counted ballots: 87,481 (91.5%)
Winning threshold: 43,741 (45.74%)
Steve Brandt: 42,672 (44.6%)
→
 Steve Brandt: 42,707 (44.7%)
→
 Steve Brandt: 44,340 (46.4%)
→
 IRV/RCV winner:
Steve Brandt: 50,192 (52.5%)✅
→
Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson: 25,597 (26.8%)
→
 Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson: 25,616 (26.8%)
→
 Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson: 26,791 (28.0%)
→
 Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson: 37,289 (39.0%) (🛑eliminated)
→
Pine Salica: 20,786 (21.7%)
→
 Pine Salica: 20,799 (21.8%)
→
 Pine Salica: 21,521 (22.5%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 Pine Salica
Kevin Nikiforakis: 5,815 (6.1%)
→
 Kevin Nikiforakis: 5,824 (6.1%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 Kevin Nikiforakis Kevin Nikiforakis
UWI: 755 (0.8%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 UWI UWI UWI

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-BET-Cast-Vote-Record FPTP results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-BET-Cast-Vote-Record/FPTP#FPTP
📝
Note — Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Steve Brandt with 42,672 first-place votes (44.6%)
  • Runner-up: Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson with 25,597 first-place votes (26.8%)
  • Margin of victory: 17,075 votes (17.9 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Steve Brandt: 42,672 votes (44.6 %)
    • Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson: 25,597 votes (26.8 %)
    • Pine Salica: 20,786 votes (21.7 %)
    • Kevin Nikiforakis: 5,815 votes (6.1 %)
    • UWI: 755 votes (0.8 %)
  • Total ballots: 95,625

Approval voting results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-BET-Cast-Vote-Record approval voting results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-BET-Cast-Vote-Record/approval#approval
📝
Note — Approval counts estimated from 95,625 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 3 candidates appear viable: Steve Brandt, Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson, and Pine Salica. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 2 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 3, rounded up). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 2 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 95625}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "95625"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=UWI:[UWI]
=[Steve Brandt]:[Steve Brandt]
=[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]:[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]
=[Pine Salica]:[Pine Salica]
=[Kevin Nikiforakis]:[Kevin Nikiforakis]
#------- votelines ------
23119:[Steve Brandt]/1
9273:[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1
5358:[Pine Salica]/1=[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1
4829:[Pine Salica]/1
4228:[Pine Salica]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
3324:[Pine Salica]/1=[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1
3318:[Pine Salica]/1=[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1
3148:[Pine Salica]/1=[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1
2578:[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
2505:[Pine Salica]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
2389:[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
2361:[Pine Salica]/1=[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1
2250:[Kevin Nikiforakis]/1=[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
2229:[Pine Salica]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
2140:[Pine Salica]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
2013:[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
1716:[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
1697:[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
1441:[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
1405:[Steve Brandt]/1
1306:[Kevin Nikiforakis]/1=[Pine Salica]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
1042:[Pine Salica]/1=[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1
914:[Pine Salica]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
881:[Kevin Nikiforakis]/1=[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
847:[Kevin Nikiforakis]/1=[Pine Salica]/1=[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1
643:[Pine Salica]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
607:[Kevin Nikiforakis]/1=[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
530:[Kevin Nikiforakis]/1=[Pine Salica]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
517:[Kevin Nikiforakis]/1=[Pine Salica]/1=[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1
452:[Kevin Nikiforakis]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
428:[Kevin Nikiforakis]/1=[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
368:[Kevin Nikiforakis]/1=[Pine Salica]/1=[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1
311:[Kevin Nikiforakis]/1=[Pine Salica]/1=[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1
285:[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1
279:[Kevin Nikiforakis]/1=[Pine Salica]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
231:[Kevin Nikiforakis]/1=[Pine Salica]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
203:[Steve Brandt]/1
203:[Kevin Nikiforakis]/1=[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1
124:[Pine Salica]/1
111:[Kevin Nikiforakis]/1=[Pine Salica]/1
84:[Pine Salica]/1=[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1
80:[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1
77:[Pine Salica]/1=[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1
76:[Steve Brandt]/1
65:[Pine Salica]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
37:[Pine Salica]/1
36:[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
35:[Steve Brandt]/1
35:[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
34:[Pine Salica]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
32:[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1
30:[Steve Brandt]/1
28:[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
27:[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
24:[Kevin Nikiforakis]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
24:[Pine Salica]/1=[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1
22:[Pine Salica]/1
20:[Pine Salica]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
16:[Kevin Nikiforakis]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
16:[Steve Brandt]/1
15:[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1
12:[Pine Salica]/1=[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1=UWI/1
12:[Kevin Nikiforakis]/1=[Pine Salica]/1
11:[Kevin Nikiforakis]/1=[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1
11:[Pine Salica]/1=[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1
10:[Pine Salica]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
10:[Steve Brandt]/1=UWI/1
9:[Kevin Nikiforakis]/1=[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1
9:[Pine Salica]/1
8:[Steve Brandt]/1=UWI/1
7:[Pine Salica]/1
7:[Pine Salica]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1=UWI/1
7:[Pine Salica]/1=[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1
6:[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1=UWI/1
6:[Pine Salica]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
6:[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1=UWI/1
6:[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1
6:[Kevin Nikiforakis]/1=[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1
6:[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
5:[Pine Salica]/1=[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1=UWI/1
5:[Pine Salica]/1
5:[Steve Brandt]/1
5:[Pine Salica]/1=[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1=UWI/1
5:[Kevin Nikiforakis]/1=[Pine Salica]/1
4:[Steve Brandt]/1
4:[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
4:[Pine Salica]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1=UWI/1
4:[Steve Brandt]/1=UWI/1
4:[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1
4:[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1=UWI/1
3:[Pine Salica]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1=UWI/1
3:[Pine Salica]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
3:[Pine Salica]/1=UWI/1
3:[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1
3:[Pine Salica]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1=UWI/1
2:[Steve Brandt]/1
2:[Kevin Nikiforakis]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1
2:[Kevin Nikiforakis]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1=UWI/1
2:[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1=UWI/1
2:[Kevin Nikiforakis]/1=[Pine Salica]/1
2:[Pine Salica]/1
1:[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1=UWI/1
1:[Pine Salica]/1=[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1
1:[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1
1:[Pine Salica]/1=[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1=UWI/1
1:[Kevin Nikiforakis]/1=[Pine Salica]/1=UWI/1
1:[Pine Salica]/1=UWI/1
1:[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1=[Steve Brandt]/1=UWI/1
1:[Kevin Nikiforakis]/1=[Pine Salica]/1=UWI/1
1:[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1
1:[Steve Brandt]/1
1:[Kevin Nikiforakis]/1=[Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson]/1=UWI/1
  • Approval Winner: Steve Brandt
  • Approval Results:
    • Steve Brandt — 56,723 approvals (59.32% of ballots) (✅ winner)
    • Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson — 46,907 approvals (49.05% of ballots)
    • Pine Salica — 41,152 approvals (43.03% of ballots)
    • Kevin Nikiforakis — 9,413 approvals (9.84% of ballots)
    • UWI — 91 approvals (0.1% of ballots)
  • Total: 95,625 ballots (154,286 total approvals)

STAR results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-BET-Cast-Vote-Record STAR results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-BET-Cast-Vote-Record/STAR#STAR
📝
Note — STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 5 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 4 points, the 2nd choice gets 3 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Steve Brandt
  • Finalists: Steve Brandt vs Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson
  • Runoff result:
    • Steve Brandt: 50,192 votes (52.5%)
    • Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson: 37,289 votes (39.0%)
    • No preference: 8144 voters (8.5%)
  • Total stars allocated: 617,854
  • Total ballots: 95,625
★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
(one star above is approximately 12,357 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • ★#0: Steve Brandt received 228,364 stars (37.0%) from 65,399 voters (68.4%)
    • ★#1: Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson received 171,501 stars (27.8%) from 51,276 voters (53.6%)
    • ★#2: Pine Salica received 149,817 stars (24.2%) from 45,554 voters (47.6%)
    • ★#3: Kevin Nikiforakis received 63,108 stars (10.2%) from 21,810 voters (22.8%)
    • ★#4: UWI received 5,064 stars (0.8%) from 1,588 voters (1.7%)
  • Finalists:
    • ★Steve Brandt (✅ winner) preferred by 50,192 of 95,625 voters
    • ★Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson preferred by 37,289 of 95,625 voters
    • ★No preference between the finalists: 8144

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-BET-Cast-Vote-Record Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-BET-Cast-Vote-Record/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Steve Brandt
  • Runner-up: Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson (beats all other candidates except Steve Brandt)
  • Smallest margin: Kevin Nikiforakis over UWI (21,781-1,436; margin: 20,345)
  • Largest margin: Steve Brandt over UWI (65,354-1,099; margin: 64,255)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 95,625

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-BET-Cast-Vote-Record w-l-t table permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-BET-Cast-Vote-Record/pairwise#wlt
2021-BET-Cast-Vote-Record (Minneapolis; 2021-11-02) pairwise matchups
Steve Brandt
(4-0-0)
Steve Brandt
4 victories ⇣
Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson
(3-1-0)
Steve Brandt: 50,192(52.5%)
Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson: 37,289(39.0%)
(No preference: 8,144; 8.5%)
Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson
⇽ 1 loss / 3 victories† ⇣
Pine Salica
(2-2-0)
Steve Brandt: 50,871(53.2%)
Pine Salica: 31,844(33.3%)
(No preference: 12,910; 13.5%)
Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson: 36,409(38.1%)
Pine Salica: 30,829(32.2%)
(No preference: 28,387; 29.7%)
Pine Salica
⇽ 2 losses / 2 victories† ⇣
Kevin Nikiforakis
(1-3-0)
Steve Brandt: 61,947(64.8%)
Kevin Nikiforakis: 12,005(12.6%)
(No preference: 21,673; 22.7%)
Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson: 46,565(48.7%)
Kevin Nikiforakis: 13,210(13.8%)
(No preference: 35,850; 37.5%)
Pine Salica: 41,632(43.5%)
Kevin Nikiforakis: 16,112(16.8%)
(No preference: 37,881; 39.6%)
Kevin Nikiforakis
⇽ 3 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
UWI
(0-4-0)
Steve Brandt: 65,354(68.3%)
UWI: 1,099(1.1%)
(No preference: 29,172; 30.5%)
Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson: 51,238(53.6%)
UWI: 1,254(1.3%)
(No preference: 43,133; 45.1%)
Pine Salica: 45,512(47.6%)
UWI: 1,275(1.3%)
(No preference: 48,838; 51.1%)
Kevin Nikiforakis: 21,781(22.8%)
UWI: 1,436(1.5%)
(No preference: 72,408; 75.7%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-BET-Cast-Vote-Record pairwise diagram permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-BET-Cast-Vote-Record/pairwise#dot

%3 Steve Brandt Steve Brandt 4-0-0 (4 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson 3-1-0 Steve Brandt->Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson ← Steve Brandt: 50192 Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson: 37289 Pine Salica Pine Salica 2-2-0 Steve Brandt->Pine Salica ← Steve Brandt: 50871 Pine Salica: 31844 Kevin Nikiforakis Kevin Nikiforakis 1-3-0 Steve Brandt->Kevin Nikiforakis ← Steve Brandt: 61947 Kevin Nikiforakis: 12005 UWI UWI 0-4-0 Steve Brandt->UWI ← Steve Brandt: 65354 UWI: 1099 Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson->Pine Salica ← Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson: 36409 Pine Salica: 30829 Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson->Kevin Nikiforakis ← Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson: 46565 Kevin Nikiforakis: 13210 Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson->UWI ← Samantha "Sam" Pree-Stinson: 51238 UWI: 1254 Pine Salica->Kevin Nikiforakis ← Pine Salica: 41632 Kevin Nikiforakis: 16112 Pine Salica->UWI ← Pine Salica: 45512 UWI: 1275 Kevin Nikiforakis->UWI ← Kevin Nikiforakis: 21781 UWI: 1436

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

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