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2021-Park-2-Cast-Vote-Record (Minneapolis; 2021-11-02)

🔗 2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-2-Cast-Vote-Record     (tags: { Minneapolis_MN , 2021 , from-bolson , actual , 2021-11 , MN , Minneapolis-2021 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-2-Cast-Vote-Record" election (2021-Park-2-Cast-Vote-Record (Minneapolis; 2021-11-02))

ABIF submission area (show)
Method options
Ballot options

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

Results

🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-2-Cast-Vote-Record

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Becka Thompson
FPTP Becka Thompson
Approval Becka Thompson
STAR Becka Thompson
Condorcet/Copeland Becka Thompson
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-2-Cast-Vote-Record IRV/RCV result permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-2-Cast-Vote-Record/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Becka Thompson with 5,280 votes (48.8%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Mike Shelton with 4,136 votes (38.3%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 1,395 (12.9%)
  • Number of rounds: 3
  • Ballots counted in final round: 9,416 (87.1%)
  • Majority of ballots: 5,406 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 10,811
Round 1 Round 2 Round 3
Overview:
Active ballots: 10,811 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%)
Counted ballots: 10,811 (100.0%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 10,811 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 65 (0.6%)
Counted ballots: 10,746 (99.4%)
Winning threshold: 5,374 (49.71%)
 		Overview:
Active ballots: 10,811 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 1,395 (12.9%)
Counted ballots: 9,416 (87.1%)
Winning threshold: 4,709 (43.56%)
Becka Thompson: 4,479 (41.4%)
→
 Becka Thompson: 4,485 (41.5%)
→
 IRV/RCV winner:
Becka Thompson: 5,280 (48.8%)✅
→
Mike Shelton: 3,212 (29.7%)
→
 Mike Shelton: 3,213 (29.7%)
→
 Mike Shelton: 4,136 (38.3%) (🛑eliminated)
→
Eric Moran: 3,047 (28.2%)
→
 Eric Moran: 3,048 (28.2%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 Eric Moran
UWI: 73 (0.7%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 UWI UWI

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-2-Cast-Vote-Record FPTP results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-2-Cast-Vote-Record/FPTP#FPTP
📝
Note — Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Becka Thompson with 4,479 first-place votes (41.4%)
  • Runner-up: Mike Shelton with 3,212 first-place votes (29.7%)
  • Margin of victory: 1,267 votes (11.7 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Becka Thompson: 4,479 votes (41.4 %)
    • Mike Shelton: 3,212 votes (29.7 %)
    • Eric Moran: 3,047 votes (28.2 %)
    • UWI: 73 votes (0.7 %)
  • Total ballots: 10,811

Approval voting results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-2-Cast-Vote-Record approval voting results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-2-Cast-Vote-Record/approval#approval
📝
Note — Approval counts estimated from 10,811 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 3 candidates appear viable: Becka Thompson, Mike Shelton, and Eric Moran. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 2 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 3, rounded up). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 2 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 10811}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "10811"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=UWI:[UWI]
=[Becka Thompson]:[Becka Thompson]
=[Mike Shelton]:[Mike Shelton]
=[Eric Moran]:[Eric Moran]
#------- votelines ------
2017:[Becka Thompson]/1
1417:[Mike Shelton]/1
1318:[Eric Moran]/1
1016:[Becka Thompson]/1=[Eric Moran]/1
926:[Becka Thompson]/1=[Mike Shelton]/1
667:[Eric Moran]/1=[Mike Shelton]/1
637:[Becka Thompson]/1=[Mike Shelton]/1
563:[Becka Thompson]/1=[Eric Moran]/1
469:[Eric Moran]/1=[Mike Shelton]/1
431:[Eric Moran]/1=[Mike Shelton]/1
267:[Becka Thompson]/1=[Mike Shelton]/1
224:[Eric Moran]/1=[Mike Shelton]/1
222:[Becka Thompson]/1=[Eric Moran]/1
215:[Becka Thompson]/1=[Mike Shelton]/1
207:[Becka Thompson]/1=[Eric Moran]/1
15:[Eric Moran]/1=[Mike Shelton]/1
14:[Becka Thompson]/1
10:[Mike Shelton]/1
9:[Becka Thompson]/1=[Mike Shelton]/1
8:[Eric Moran]/1
8:[Mike Shelton]/1
8:[Becka Thompson]/1=[Mike Shelton]/1
7:[Eric Moran]/1=[Mike Shelton]/1
7:[Becka Thompson]/1=[Mike Shelton]/1
5:[Eric Moran]/1=[Mike Shelton]/1
5:[Becka Thompson]/1=[Eric Moran]/1
5:[Eric Moran]/1=[Mike Shelton]/1
5:[Becka Thompson]/1=[Eric Moran]/1
5:[Becka Thompson]/1=[Eric Moran]/1
4:[Eric Moran]/1
4:[Becka Thompson]/1=[Mike Shelton]/1
4:[Becka Thompson]/1
4:[Becka Thompson]/1
3:[Becka Thompson]/1=[Eric Moran]/1
2:[Becka Thompson]/1=UWI/1
2:[Eric Moran]/1=[Mike Shelton]/1
2:[Becka Thompson]/1=[Mike Shelton]/1=UWI/1
2:[Becka Thompson]/1=UWI/1
2:[Mike Shelton]/1
1:[Eric Moran]/1=[Mike Shelton]/1=UWI/1
1:[Becka Thompson]/1=[Mike Shelton]/1=UWI/1
1:[Eric Moran]/1=[Mike Shelton]/1
1:[Becka Thompson]/1=[Mike Shelton]/1
1:[Becka Thompson]/1=[Eric Moran]/1
1:[Eric Moran]/1=[Mike Shelton]/1=UWI/1
1:[Mike Shelton]/1
1:[Becka Thompson]/1=[Mike Shelton]/1=UWI/1
1:[Eric Moran]/1=[Mike Shelton]/1=UWI/1
1:[Becka Thompson]/1=[Eric Moran]/1=UWI/1
  • Approval Winner: Becka Thompson
  • Approval Results:
    • Becka Thompson — 6,149 approvals (56.88% of ballots) (✅ winner)
    • Mike Shelton — 5,345 approvals (49.44% of ballots)
    • Eric Moran — 5,187 approvals (47.98% of ballots)
    • UWI — 12 approvals (0.11% of ballots)
  • Total: 10,811 ballots (16,693 total approvals)

STAR results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-2-Cast-Vote-Record STAR results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-2-Cast-Vote-Record/STAR#STAR
📝
Note — STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 4 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 3 points, the 2nd choice gets 2 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Becka Thompson
  • Finalists: Becka Thompson vs Mike Shelton
  • Runoff result:
    • Becka Thompson: 5,280 votes (48.8%)
    • Mike Shelton: 4,136 votes (38.3%)
    • No preference: 1395 voters (12.9%)
  • Total stars allocated: 48,666
  • Total ballots: 10,811
★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
(one star above is approximately 973 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • ★#0: Becka Thompson received 17,873 stars (36.7%) from 7,247 voters (67.0%)
    • ★#1: Mike Shelton received 15,476 stars (31.8%) from 6,924 voters (64.0%)
    • ★#2: Eric Moran received 14,983 stars (30.8%) from 6,750 voters (62.4%)
    • ★#3: UWI received 334 stars (0.7%) from 151 voters (1.4%)
  • Finalists:
    • ★Becka Thompson (✅ winner) preferred by 5,280 of 10,811 voters
    • ★Mike Shelton preferred by 4,136 of 10,811 voters
    • ★No preference between the finalists: 1395

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-2-Cast-Vote-Record Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-2-Cast-Vote-Record/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Becka Thompson
  • Runner-up: Mike Shelton (beats all other candidates except Becka Thompson)
  • Smallest margin: Mike Shelton over Eric Moran (4,422-4,281; margin: 141)
  • Largest margin: Becka Thompson over UWI (7,239-117; margin: 7,122)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 10,811

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-2-Cast-Vote-Record w-l-t table permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-2-Cast-Vote-Record/pairwise#wlt
2021-Park-2-Cast-Vote-Record (Minneapolis; 2021-11-02) pairwise matchups
Becka Thompson
(3-0-0)
Becka Thompson
3 victories ⇣
Mike Shelton
(2-1-0)
Becka Thompson: 5,280(48.8%)
Mike Shelton: 4,136(38.3%)
(No preference: 1,395; 12.9%)
Mike Shelton
⇽ 1 loss / 2 victories† ⇣
Eric Moran
(1-2-0)
Becka Thompson: 5,354(49.5%)
Eric Moran: 3,954(36.6%)
(No preference: 1,503; 13.9%)
Mike Shelton: 4,422(40.9%)
Eric Moran: 4,281(39.6%)
(No preference: 2,108; 19.5%)
Eric Moran
⇽ 2 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
UWI
(0-3-0)
Becka Thompson: 7,239(67.0%)
UWI: 117(1.1%)
(No preference: 3,455; 32.0%)
Mike Shelton: 6,918(64.0%)
UWI: 106(1.0%)
(No preference: 3,787; 35.0%)
Eric Moran: 6,748(62.4%)
UWI: 111(1.0%)
(No preference: 3,952; 36.6%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-2-Cast-Vote-Record pairwise diagram permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-2-Cast-Vote-Record/pairwise#dot

%3 Becka Thompson Becka Thompson 3-0-0 (3 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Mike Shelton Mike Shelton 2-1-0 Becka Thompson->Mike Shelton ← Becka Thompson: 5280 Mike Shelton: 4136 Eric Moran Eric Moran 1-2-0 Becka Thompson->Eric Moran ← Becka Thompson: 5354 Eric Moran: 3954 UWI UWI 0-3-0 Becka Thompson->UWI ← Becka Thompson: 7239 UWI: 117 Mike Shelton->Eric Moran ← Mike Shelton: 4422 Eric Moran: 4281 Mike Shelton->UWI ← Mike Shelton: 6918 UWI: 106 Eric Moran->UWI ← Eric Moran: 6748 UWI: 111

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

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