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2021-Park-4-Cast-Vote-Record (Minneapolis; 2021-11-02)

πŸ”— 2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-4-Cast-Vote-Record     (tags: { Minneapolis_MN , 2021 , from-bolson , actual , 2021-11 , MN , Minneapolis-2021 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-4-Cast-Vote-Record" election (2021-Park-4-Cast-Vote-Record (Minneapolis; 2021-11-02))

ABIF submission area (show)
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Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-4-Cast-Vote-Record

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Elizabeth Shaffer
FPTP Elizabeth Shaffer
Approval Elizabeth Shaffer
STAR Elizabeth Shaffer
Condorcet/Copeland Elizabeth Shaffer
Election results summary showing voting method winners
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tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-4-Cast-Vote-Record IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-4-Cast-Vote-Record/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Elizabeth Shaffer with 11,900 votes (61.5%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Jono Cowgill with 7,312 votes (37.8%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 0 (0.0%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 19,346 (100.0%)
  • Majority of ballots: 9,674 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 19,346
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 19,346 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%)
Counted ballots: 19,346 (100.0%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Elizabeth Shaffer: 11,900 (61.5%)βœ…
β†’
Jono Cowgill: 7,312 (37.8%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
UWI: 134 (0.7%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-4-Cast-Vote-Record FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-4-Cast-Vote-Record/FPTP#FPTP
πŸ“
Note β€” Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Elizabeth Shaffer with 11,900 first-place votes (61.5%)
  • Runner-up: Jono Cowgill with 7,312 first-place votes (37.8%)
  • Margin of victory: 4,588 votes (23.7 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Elizabeth Shaffer: 11,900 votes (61.5 %)
    • Jono Cowgill: 7,312 votes (37.8 %)
    • UWI: 134 votes (0.7 %)
  • Total ballots: 19,346

Approval voting results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-4-Cast-Vote-Record approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-4-Cast-Vote-Record/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approval counts estimated from 19,346 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 2 candidates appear viable: Elizabeth Shaffer and Jono Cowgill. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 1 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 2). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 1 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 19346}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "19346"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=UWI:[UWI]
=[Elizabeth Shaffer]:[Elizabeth Shaffer]
=[Jono Cowgill]:[Jono Cowgill]
#------- votelines ------
8240:[Elizabeth Shaffer]/1
4748:[Jono Cowgill]/1
3287:[Elizabeth Shaffer]/1
2305:[Jono Cowgill]/1
222:[Elizabeth Shaffer]/1
129:[Jono Cowgill]/1
93:[Elizabeth Shaffer]/1
92:[Jono Cowgill]/1
38:[Elizabeth Shaffer]/1
15:[Jono Cowgill]/1
12:[Jono Cowgill]/1
11:[Elizabeth Shaffer]/1
8:[Elizabeth Shaffer]/1=UWI/1
7:[Elizabeth Shaffer]/1
6:[Jono Cowgill]/1=UWI/1
5:[Jono Cowgill]/1
5:[Jono Cowgill]/1
4:[Elizabeth Shaffer]/1=UWI/1
4:[Elizabeth Shaffer]/1=UWI/1
2:[Jono Cowgill]/1=UWI/1
2:[Elizabeth Shaffer]/1
1:[Jono Cowgill]/1
  • Approval Winner: Elizabeth Shaffer
  • Approval Results:
    • Elizabeth Shaffer — 11,916 approvals (61.59% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Jono Cowgill — 7,320 approvals (37.84% of ballots)
    • UWI — 24 approvals (0.12% of ballots)
  • Total: 19,346 ballots (19,260 total approvals)

STAR results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-4-Cast-Vote-Record STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-4-Cast-Vote-Record/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 3 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 2 points, the 2nd choice gets 1 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Elizabeth Shaffer
  • Finalists: Elizabeth Shaffer vs Jono Cowgill
  • Runoff result:
    • Elizabeth Shaffer: 11,916 votes (61.6%)
    • Jono Cowgill: 7,320 votes (37.8%)
    • No preference: 110 voters (0.6%)
  • Total stars allocated: 44,927
  • Total ballots: 19,346
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 899 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Elizabeth Shaffer received 26,265 stars (58.5%) from 14,365 voters (74.3%)
    • β˜…#1: Jono Cowgill received 18,179 stars (40.5%) from 10,867 voters (56.2%)
    • β˜…#2: UWI received 483 stars (1.1%) from 349 voters (1.8%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Elizabeth Shaffer (βœ… winner) preferred by 11,916 of 19,346 voters
    • β˜…Jono Cowgill preferred by 7,320 of 19,346 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 110

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-4-Cast-Vote-Record Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-4-Cast-Vote-Record/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Elizabeth Shaffer
  • Runner-up: Jono Cowgill (beats all other candidates except Elizabeth Shaffer)
  • Smallest margin: Jono Cowgill over UWI (10,859-240; margin: 10,619)
  • Largest margin: Elizabeth Shaffer over UWI (14,349-243; margin: 14,106)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 19,346

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-4-Cast-Vote-Record w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-4-Cast-Vote-Record/pairwise#wlt
2021-Park-4-Cast-Vote-Record (Minneapolis; 2021-11-02) pairwise matchups
Elizabeth Shaffer
(2-0-0)
Elizabeth Shaffer
2 victories ⇣
Jono Cowgill
(1-1-0)
Elizabeth Shaffer: 11,916(61.6%)
Jono Cowgill: 7,320(37.8%)
(No preference: 110; 0.6%)
Jono Cowgill
⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory† ⇣
UWI
(0-2-0)
Elizabeth Shaffer: 14,349(74.2%)
UWI: 243(1.3%)
(No preference: 4,754; 24.6%)
Jono Cowgill: 10,859(56.1%)
UWI: 240(1.2%)
(No preference: 8,247; 42.6%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-4-Cast-Vote-Record pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-4-Cast-Vote-Record/pairwise#dot

%3 Elizabeth Shaffer Elizabeth Shaffer 2-0-0 (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Jono Cowgill Jono Cowgill 1-1-0 Elizabeth Shaffer->Jono Cowgill ← Elizabeth Shaffer: 11916 Jono Cowgill: 7320 UWI UWI 0-2-0 Elizabeth Shaffer->UWI ← Elizabeth Shaffer: 14349 UWI: 243 Jono Cowgill->UWI ← Jono Cowgill: 10859 UWI: 240

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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