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2021-Park-5-Cast-Vote-Record (Minneapolis; 2021-11-02)

🔗 2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-5-Cast-Vote-Record     (tags: { Minneapolis_MN , 2021 , from-bolson , actual , 2021-11 , MN , Minneapolis-2021 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-5-Cast-Vote-Record" election (2021-Park-5-Cast-Vote-Record (Minneapolis; 2021-11-02))

ABIF submission area (show)
Method options
Ballot options

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

Results

🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-5-Cast-Vote-Record

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Steffanie Musich
FPTP Steffanie Musich
Approval Steffanie Musich
STAR Steffanie Musich
Condorcet/Copeland Steffanie Musich
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-5-Cast-Vote-Record IRV/RCV result permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-5-Cast-Vote-Record/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Steffanie Musich with 13,331 votes (60.6%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Charles Rodgers with 5,886 votes (26.8%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 0 (0.0%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 21,990 (100.0%)
  • Majority of ballots: 10,996 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 21,990
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 21,990 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%)
Counted ballots: 21,990 (100.0%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Steffanie Musich: 13,331 (60.6%)✅
→
Charles Rodgers: 5,886 (26.8%) (🛑eliminated)
→
Justin Cermak: 2,668 (12.1%) (🛑eliminated)
→
UWI: 105 (0.5%) (🛑eliminated)
→

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-5-Cast-Vote-Record FPTP results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-5-Cast-Vote-Record/FPTP#FPTP
📝
Note — Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Steffanie Musich with 13,331 first-place votes (60.6%)
  • Runner-up: Charles Rodgers with 5,886 first-place votes (26.8%)
  • Margin of victory: 7,445 votes (33.9 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Steffanie Musich: 13,331 votes (60.6 %)
    • Charles Rodgers: 5,886 votes (26.8 %)
    • Justin Cermak: 2,668 votes (12.1 %)
    • UWI: 105 votes (0.5 %)
  • Total ballots: 21,990

Approval voting results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-5-Cast-Vote-Record approval voting results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-5-Cast-Vote-Record/approval#approval
📝
Note — Approval counts estimated from 21,990 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 2 candidates appear viable: Steffanie Musich and Charles Rodgers. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 1 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 2). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 1 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 21990}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "21990"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=UWI:[UWI]
=[Steffanie Musich]:[Steffanie Musich]
=[Charles Rodgers]:[Charles Rodgers]
=[Justin Cermak]:[Justin Cermak]
#------- votelines ------
7975:[Steffanie Musich]/1
2782:[Charles Rodgers]/1
1842:[Steffanie Musich]/1
1484:[Steffanie Musich]/1
1432:[Steffanie Musich]/1
1163:[Charles Rodgers]/1
716:[Charles Rodgers]/1
611:[Justin Cermak]/1=[Steffanie Musich]/1
582:[Charles Rodgers]/1
529:[Charles Rodgers]/1
462:[Steffanie Musich]/1
384:[Charles Rodgers]/1=[Justin Cermak]/1
280:[Justin Cermak]/1=[Steffanie Musich]/1
244:[Charles Rodgers]/1=[Justin Cermak]/1
54:[Steffanie Musich]/1
42:[Charles Rodgers]/1
30:[Steffanie Musich]/1
29:[Charles Rodgers]/1
20:[Charles Rodgers]/1
13:[Steffanie Musich]/1
13:[Steffanie Musich]/1
12:[Charles Rodgers]/1=[Justin Cermak]/1
12:[Charles Rodgers]/1
9:[Steffanie Musich]/1
8:[Justin Cermak]/1=[Steffanie Musich]/1
6:[Steffanie Musich]/1
6:[Justin Cermak]/1=[Steffanie Musich]/1
4:[Steffanie Musich]/1=UWI/1
4:[Steffanie Musich]/1
4:[Charles Rodgers]/1
3:[Charles Rodgers]/1=[Justin Cermak]/1
3:[Steffanie Musich]/1
3:[Charles Rodgers]/1
2:[Steffanie Musich]/1=UWI/1
2:[Charles Rodgers]/1=[Justin Cermak]/1=UWI/1
2:[Charles Rodgers]/1
2:[Steffanie Musich]/1
1:[Charles Rodgers]/1=[Justin Cermak]/1
1:[Justin Cermak]/1=[Steffanie Musich]/1=UWI/1
1:[Charles Rodgers]/1=UWI/1
1:[Charles Rodgers]/1
1:[Charles Rodgers]/1=UWI/1
1:[Steffanie Musich]/1=UWI/1
1:[Charles Rodgers]/1=UWI/1
1:[Charles Rodgers]/1=UWI/1
1:[Steffanie Musich]/1
1:[Steffanie Musich]/1
1:[Justin Cermak]/1=[Steffanie Musich]/1=UWI/1
1:[Steffanie Musich]/1=UWI/1
1:[Charles Rodgers]/1
  • Approval Winner: Steffanie Musich
  • Approval Results:
    • Steffanie Musich — 14,246 approvals (64.78% of ballots) (✅ winner)
    • Charles Rodgers — 6,536 approvals (29.72% of ballots)
    • Justin Cermak — 1,553 approvals (7.06% of ballots)
    • UWI — 16 approvals (0.07% of ballots)
  • Total: 21,990 ballots (22,351 total approvals)

STAR results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-5-Cast-Vote-Record STAR results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-5-Cast-Vote-Record/STAR#STAR
📝
Note — STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 4 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 3 points, the 2nd choice gets 2 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Steffanie Musich
  • Finalists: Steffanie Musich vs Charles Rodgers
  • Runoff result:
    • Steffanie Musich: 14,246 votes (64.8%)
    • Charles Rodgers: 6,536 votes (29.7%)
    • No preference: 1208 voters (5.5%)
  • Total stars allocated: 91,379
  • Total ballots: 21,990
★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
(one star above is approximately 1,828 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • ★#0: Steffanie Musich received 46,630 stars (51.0%) from 17,135 voters (77.9%)
    • ★#1: Charles Rodgers received 27,695 stars (30.3%) from 11,957 voters (54.4%)
    • ★#2: Justin Cermak received 16,419 stars (18.0%) from 7,952 voters (36.2%)
    • ★#3: UWI received 635 stars (0.7%) from 332 voters (1.5%)
  • Finalists:
    • ★Steffanie Musich (✅ winner) preferred by 14,246 of 21,990 voters
    • ★Charles Rodgers preferred by 6,536 of 21,990 voters
    • ★No preference between the finalists: 1208

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-5-Cast-Vote-Record Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-5-Cast-Vote-Record/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Steffanie Musich
  • Runner-up: Charles Rodgers (beats all other candidates except Steffanie Musich)
  • Smallest margin: Justin Cermak over UWI (7,943-248; margin: 7,695)
  • Largest margin: Steffanie Musich over UWI (17,122-193; margin: 16,929)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 21,990

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-5-Cast-Vote-Record w-l-t table permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-5-Cast-Vote-Record/pairwise#wlt
2021-Park-5-Cast-Vote-Record (Minneapolis; 2021-11-02) pairwise matchups
Steffanie Musich
(3-0-0)
Steffanie Musich
3 victories ⇣
Charles Rodgers
(2-1-0)
Steffanie Musich: 14,246(64.8%)
Charles Rodgers: 6,536(29.7%)
(No preference: 1,208; 5.5%)
Charles Rodgers
⇽ 1 loss / 2 victories† ⇣
Justin Cermak
(1-2-0)
Steffanie Musich: 15,262(69.4%)
Justin Cermak: 3,833(17.4%)
(No preference: 2,895; 13.2%)
Charles Rodgers: 9,216(41.9%)
Justin Cermak: 4,643(21.1%)
(No preference: 8,131; 37.0%)
Justin Cermak
⇽ 2 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
UWI
(0-3-0)
Steffanie Musich: 17,122(77.9%)
UWI: 193(0.9%)
(No preference: 4,675; 21.3%)
Charles Rodgers: 11,943(54.3%)
UWI: 194(0.9%)
(No preference: 9,853; 44.8%)
Justin Cermak: 7,943(36.1%)
UWI: 248(1.1%)
(No preference: 13,799; 62.8%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-5-Cast-Vote-Record pairwise diagram permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Park-5-Cast-Vote-Record/pairwise#dot

%3 Steffanie Musich Steffanie Musich 3-0-0 (3 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Charles Rodgers Charles Rodgers 2-1-0 Steffanie Musich->Charles Rodgers ← Steffanie Musich: 14246 Charles Rodgers: 6536 Justin Cermak Justin Cermak 1-2-0 Steffanie Musich->Justin Cermak ← Steffanie Musich: 15262 Justin Cermak: 3833 UWI UWI 0-3-0 Steffanie Musich->UWI ← Steffanie Musich: 17122 UWI: 193 Charles Rodgers->Justin Cermak ← Charles Rodgers: 9216 Justin Cermak: 4643 Charles Rodgers->UWI ← Charles Rodgers: 11943 UWI: 194 Justin Cermak->UWI ← Justin Cermak: 7943 UWI: 248

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

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