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2021-Ward-1-Cast-Vote-Record (Minneapolis; 2021-11-02)

🔗 2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-1-Cast-Vote-Record     (tags: { Minneapolis_MN , 2021 , from-bolson , actual , 2021-11 , MN , Minneapolis-2021 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-1-Cast-Vote-Record" election (2021-Ward-1-Cast-Vote-Record (Minneapolis; 2021-11-02))

ABIF submission area (show)
Method options
Ballot options

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

Results

🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-1-Cast-Vote-Record

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Elliott Payne
FPTP Elliott Payne
Approval Elliott Payne
STAR Elliott Payne
Condorcet/Copeland Elliott Payne
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-1-Cast-Vote-Record IRV/RCV result permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-1-Cast-Vote-Record/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Elliott Payne with 5,745 votes (50.2%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Kevin Reich with 5,191 votes (45.4%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 502 (4.4%)
  • Number of rounds: 4
  • Ballots counted in final round: 10,936 (95.6%)
  • Majority of ballots: 5,720 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 11,438
Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4
Overview:
Active ballots: 11,438 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%)
Counted ballots: 11,438 (100.0%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 11,438 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 15 (0.1%)
Counted ballots: 11,423 (99.9%)
Winning threshold: 5,712 (49.94%)
 		Overview:
Active ballots: 11,438 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 114 (1.0%)
Counted ballots: 11,324 (99.0%)
Winning threshold: 5,663 (49.51%)
 		Overview:
Active ballots: 11,438 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 502 (4.4%)
Counted ballots: 10,936 (95.6%)
Winning threshold: 5,469 (47.81%)
Elliott Payne: 5,511 (48.2%)
→
 Elliott Payne: 5,512 (48.2%)
→
 Elliott Payne: 5,625 (49.2%)
→
 IRV/RCV winner:
Elliott Payne: 5,745 (50.2%)✅
→
Kevin Reich: 4,903 (42.9%)
→
 Kevin Reich: 4,907 (42.9%)
→
 Kevin Reich: 5,017 (43.9%)
→
 Kevin Reich: 5,191 (45.4%) (🛑eliminated)
→
Calvin L Carpenter: 638 (5.6%)
→
 Calvin L Carpenter: 640 (5.6%)
→
 Calvin L Carpenter: 682 (6.0%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 Calvin L Carpenter
Thomas E Wortman: 363 (3.2%)
→
 Thomas E Wortman: 364 (3.2%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 Thomas E Wortman Thomas E Wortman
UWI: 23 (0.2%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 UWI UWI UWI

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-1-Cast-Vote-Record FPTP results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-1-Cast-Vote-Record/FPTP#FPTP
📝
Note — Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Elliott Payne with 5,511 first-place votes (48.2%)
  • Runner-up: Kevin Reich with 4,903 first-place votes (42.9%)
  • Margin of victory: 608 votes (5.3 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Elliott Payne: 5,511 votes (48.2 %)
    • Kevin Reich: 4,903 votes (42.9 %)
    • Calvin L Carpenter: 638 votes (5.6 %)
    • Thomas E Wortman: 363 votes (3.2 %)
    • UWI: 23 votes (0.2 %)
  • Total ballots: 11,438

Approval voting results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-1-Cast-Vote-Record approval voting results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-1-Cast-Vote-Record/approval#approval
📝
Note — Approval counts estimated from 11,438 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 3 candidates appear viable: Elliott Payne, Kevin Reich, and Calvin L Carpenter. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 2 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 3, rounded up). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 2 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 11438}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "11438"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=UWI:[UWI]
=[Elliott Payne]:[Elliott Payne]
=[Kevin Reich]:[Kevin Reich]
=[Thomas E Wortman]:[Thomas E Wortman]
=[Calvin L Carpenter]:[Calvin L Carpenter]
#------- votelines ------
2504:[Elliott Payne]/1
2338:[Kevin Reich]/1
1062:[Elliott Payne]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
949:[Elliott Payne]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
860:[Elliott Payne]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
698:[Elliott Payne]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
374:[Elliott Payne]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1=[Thomas E Wortman]/1
326:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1
315:[Elliott Payne]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1=[Thomas E Wortman]/1
217:[Elliott Payne]/1
156:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Elliott Payne]/1=[Thomas E Wortman]/1
145:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
124:[Kevin Reich]/1
97:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1=[Thomas E Wortman]/1
95:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
91:[Elliott Payne]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
78:[Elliott Payne]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1=[Thomas E Wortman]/1
69:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
61:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
58:[Elliott Payne]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
46:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Elliott Payne]/1
45:[Kevin Reich]/1=[Thomas E Wortman]/1
45:[Elliott Payne]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1=[Thomas E Wortman]/1
41:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Elliott Payne]/1
40:[Elliott Payne]/1
35:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Elliott Payne]/1
33:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
31:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Elliott Payne]/1=[Thomas E Wortman]/1
31:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
26:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1
25:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1=[Thomas E Wortman]/1
25:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Elliott Payne]/1
20:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Elliott Payne]/1=[Thomas E Wortman]/1
18:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1=[Thomas E Wortman]/1
17:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Elliott Payne]/1=[Thomas E Wortman]/1
17:[Kevin Reich]/1
16:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Elliott Payne]/1
16:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
14:[Elliott Payne]/1=[Thomas E Wortman]/1
14:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1
13:[Elliott Payne]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
13:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1=[Thomas E Wortman]/1
11:[Elliott Payne]/1
11:[Elliott Payne]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
10:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Thomas E Wortman]/1
10:[Elliott Payne]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
9:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Elliott Payne]/1
7:[Kevin Reich]/1
7:[Kevin Reich]/1
6:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
4:[Elliott Payne]/1
4:[Elliott Payne]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
3:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
3:[Kevin Reich]/1
3:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1
3:[Elliott Payne]/1
3:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1
2:[Elliott Payne]/1
2:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1=UWI/1
2:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Elliott Payne]/1
2:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
2:[Kevin Reich]/1=UWI/1
1:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1
1:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Elliott Payne]/1
1:[Kevin Reich]/1
1:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1
1:[Kevin Reich]/1
1:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Thomas E Wortman]/1
1:[Elliott Payne]/1=UWI/1
1:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Thomas E Wortman]/1
1:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1
1:[Elliott Payne]/1
1:[Kevin Reich]/1=[Thomas E Wortman]/1
1:[Kevin Reich]/1
1:[Elliott Payne]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1=UWI/1
1:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1
1:[Elliott Payne]/1=[Thomas E Wortman]/1
1:[Elliott Payne]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1=UWI/1
1:[Kevin Reich]/1=[Thomas E Wortman]/1=UWI/1
1:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=UWI/1
1:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Elliott Payne]/1=UWI/1
1:[Elliott Payne]/1
1:[Calvin L Carpenter]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1=UWI/1
1:[Elliott Payne]/1=[Kevin Reich]/1=UWI/1
  • Approval Winner: Elliott Payne
  • Approval Results:
    • Elliott Payne — 7,770 approvals (67.93% of ballots) (✅ winner)
    • Kevin Reich — 7,737 approvals (67.64% of ballots)
    • Calvin L Carpenter — 1,406 approvals (12.29% of ballots)
    • Thomas E Wortman — 1,263 approvals (11.04% of ballots)
    • UWI — 12 approvals (0.1% of ballots)
  • Total: 11,438 ballots (18,188 total approvals)

STAR results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-1-Cast-Vote-Record STAR results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-1-Cast-Vote-Record/STAR#STAR
📝
Note — STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 5 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 4 points, the 2nd choice gets 3 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Elliott Payne
  • Finalists: Elliott Payne vs Kevin Reich
  • Runoff result:
    • Elliott Payne: 5,745 votes (50.2%)
    • Kevin Reich: 5,191 votes (45.4%)
    • No preference: 502 voters (4.4%)
  • Total stars allocated: 71,365
  • Total ballots: 11,438
★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
(one star above is approximately 1,427 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • ★#0: Elliott Payne received 28,610 stars (40.1%) from 7,870 voters (68.8%)
    • ★#1: Kevin Reich received 27,752 stars (38.9%) from 7,803 voters (68.2%)
    • ★#2: Thomas E Wortman received 9,639 stars (13.5%) from 3,766 voters (32.9%)
    • ★#3: Calvin L Carpenter received 4,862 stars (6.8%) from 1,555 voters (13.6%)
    • ★#4: UWI received 502 stars (0.7%) from 180 voters (1.6%)
  • Finalists:
    • ★Elliott Payne (✅ winner) preferred by 5,745 of 11,438 voters
    • ★Kevin Reich preferred by 5,191 of 11,438 voters
    • ★No preference between the finalists: 502

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-1-Cast-Vote-Record Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-1-Cast-Vote-Record/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Elliott Payne
  • Runner-up: Kevin Reich (beats all other candidates except Elliott Payne)
  • Smallest margin: Calvin L Carpenter over UWI (1,552-123; margin: 1,429)
  • Largest margin: Elliott Payne over UWI (7,866-101; margin: 7,765)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 11,438

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-1-Cast-Vote-Record w-l-t table permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-1-Cast-Vote-Record/pairwise#wlt
2021-Ward-1-Cast-Vote-Record (Minneapolis; 2021-11-02) pairwise matchups
Elliott Payne
(4-0-0)
Elliott Payne
4 victories ⇣
Kevin Reich
(3-1-0)
Elliott Payne: 5,745(50.2%)
Kevin Reich: 5,191(45.4%)
(No preference: 502; 4.4%)
Kevin Reich
⇽ 1 loss / 3 victories† ⇣
Thomas E Wortman
(2-2-0)
Elliott Payne: 7,349(64.3%)
Thomas E Wortman: 1,113(9.7%)
(No preference: 2,976; 26.0%)
Kevin Reich: 7,203(63.0%)
Thomas E Wortman: 1,284(11.2%)
(No preference: 2,951; 25.8%)
Thomas E Wortman
⇽ 2 losses / 2 victories† ⇣
Calvin L Carpenter
(1-3-0)
Elliott Payne: 7,650(66.9%)
Calvin L Carpenter: 1,126(9.8%)
(No preference: 2,662; 23.3%)
Kevin Reich: 7,563(66.1%)
Calvin L Carpenter: 962(8.4%)
(No preference: 2,913; 25.5%)
Thomas E Wortman: 3,481(30.4%)
Calvin L Carpenter: 1,222(10.7%)
(No preference: 6,735; 58.9%)
Calvin L Carpenter
⇽ 3 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
UWI
(0-4-0)
Elliott Payne: 7,866(68.8%)
UWI: 101(0.9%)
(No preference: 3,471; 30.3%)
Kevin Reich: 7,795(68.2%)
UWI: 114(1.0%)
(No preference: 3,529; 30.9%)
Thomas E Wortman: 3,761(32.9%)
UWI: 164(1.4%)
(No preference: 7,513; 65.7%)
Calvin L Carpenter: 1,552(13.6%)
UWI: 123(1.1%)
(No preference: 9,763; 85.4%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-1-Cast-Vote-Record pairwise diagram permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-1-Cast-Vote-Record/pairwise#dot

%3 Elliott Payne Elliott Payne 4-0-0 (4 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Kevin Reich Kevin Reich 3-1-0 Elliott Payne->Kevin Reich ← Elliott Payne: 5745 Kevin Reich: 5191 Thomas E Wortman Thomas E Wortman 2-2-0 Elliott Payne->Thomas E Wortman ← Elliott Payne: 7349 Thomas E Wortman: 1113 Calvin L Carpenter Calvin L Carpenter 1-3-0 Elliott Payne->Calvin L Carpenter ← Elliott Payne: 7650 Calvin L Carpenter: 1126 UWI UWI 0-4-0 Elliott Payne->UWI ← Elliott Payne: 7866 UWI: 101 Kevin Reich->Thomas E Wortman ← Kevin Reich: 7203 Thomas E Wortman: 1284 Kevin Reich->Calvin L Carpenter ← Kevin Reich: 7563 Calvin L Carpenter: 962 Kevin Reich->UWI ← Kevin Reich: 7795 UWI: 114 Thomas E Wortman->Calvin L Carpenter ← Thomas E Wortman: 3481 Calvin L Carpenter: 1222 Thomas E Wortman->UWI ← Thomas E Wortman: 3761 UWI: 164 Calvin L Carpenter->UWI ← Calvin L Carpenter: 1552 UWI: 123

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

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