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2021-Ward-12-Cast-Vote-Record (Minneapolis; 2021-11-02)

🔗 2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-12-Cast-Vote-Record     (tags: { Minneapolis_MN , 2021 , from-bolson , actual , 2021-11 , MN , Minneapolis-2021 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-12-Cast-Vote-Record" election (2021-Ward-12-Cast-Vote-Record (Minneapolis; 2021-11-02))

ABIF submission area (show)
Method options
Ballot options

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

Results

🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-12-Cast-Vote-Record

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Andrew Johnson
FPTP Andrew Johnson
Approval Andrew Johnson
STAR Andrew Johnson
Condorcet/Copeland Andrew Johnson
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-12-Cast-Vote-Record IRV/RCV result permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-12-Cast-Vote-Record/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Andrew Johnson with 9,952 votes (64.8%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Nancy Ford with 4,580 votes (29.8%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 0 (0.0%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 15,359 (100.0%)
  • Majority of ballots: 7,680 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 15,359
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 15,359 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%)
Counted ballots: 15,359 (100.0%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Andrew Johnson: 9,952 (64.8%)✅
→
Nancy Ford: 4,580 (29.8%) (🛑eliminated)
→
David Rosenfeld: 774 (5.0%) (🛑eliminated)
→
UWI: 53 (0.3%) (🛑eliminated)
→

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-12-Cast-Vote-Record FPTP results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-12-Cast-Vote-Record/FPTP#FPTP
📝
Note — Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Andrew Johnson with 9,952 first-place votes (64.8%)
  • Runner-up: Nancy Ford with 4,580 first-place votes (29.8%)
  • Margin of victory: 5,372 votes (35.0 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Andrew Johnson: 9,952 votes (64.8 %)
    • Nancy Ford: 4,580 votes (29.8 %)
    • David Rosenfeld: 774 votes (5.0 %)
    • UWI: 53 votes (0.3 %)
  • Total ballots: 15,359

Approval voting results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-12-Cast-Vote-Record approval voting results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-12-Cast-Vote-Record/approval#approval
📝
Note — Approval counts estimated from 15,359 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 2 candidates appear viable: Andrew Johnson and Nancy Ford. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 1 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 2). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 1 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 15359}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "15359"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=UWI:[UWI]
=[Andrew Johnson]:[Andrew Johnson]
=[Nancy Ford]:[Nancy Ford]
=[David Rosenfeld]:[David Rosenfeld]
#------- votelines ------
6124:[Andrew Johnson]/1
2391:[Nancy Ford]/1
1276:[Andrew Johnson]/1
1090:[Nancy Ford]/1
881:[Andrew Johnson]/1
833:[Andrew Johnson]/1
647:[Andrew Johnson]/1
521:[Nancy Ford]/1
262:[Andrew Johnson]/1=[David Rosenfeld]/1
248:[Nancy Ford]/1
170:[Nancy Ford]/1
161:[Andrew Johnson]/1=[David Rosenfeld]/1
82:[David Rosenfeld]/1=[Nancy Ford]/1
65:[Nancy Ford]/1
46:[Andrew Johnson]/1
46:[Andrew Johnson]/1
40:[Andrew Johnson]/1
35:[Nancy Ford]/1
30:[David Rosenfeld]/1=[Nancy Ford]/1
27:[Nancy Ford]/1
22:[Andrew Johnson]/1=[David Rosenfeld]/1
21:[Andrew Johnson]/1
18:[Andrew Johnson]/1
8:[Nancy Ford]/1
7:[Nancy Ford]/1
6:[Nancy Ford]/1
6:[Andrew Johnson]/1=UWI/1
6:[David Rosenfeld]/1=[Nancy Ford]/1
4:[David Rosenfeld]/1=[Nancy Ford]/1
4:[Andrew Johnson]/1
4:[Nancy Ford]/1
3:[Andrew Johnson]/1
3:[Nancy Ford]/1
3:[Andrew Johnson]/1
3:[Nancy Ford]/1
3:[Andrew Johnson]/1
3:[Andrew Johnson]/1
2:[Andrew Johnson]/1
2:[Andrew Johnson]/1
2:[Nancy Ford]/1=UWI/1
1:[Andrew Johnson]/1=[David Rosenfeld]/1
1:[Nancy Ford]/1
1:[Andrew Johnson]/1=[David Rosenfeld]/1=UWI/1
1:[Nancy Ford]/1
1:[Andrew Johnson]/1=[David Rosenfeld]/1
1:[Nancy Ford]/1=UWI/1
  • Approval Winner: Andrew Johnson
  • Approval Results:
    • Andrew Johnson — 10,406 approvals (67.75% of ballots) (✅ winner)
    • Nancy Ford — 4,705 approvals (30.63% of ballots)
    • David Rosenfeld — 570 approvals (3.71% of ballots)
    • UWI — 10 approvals (0.07% of ballots)
  • Total: 15,359 ballots (15,691 total approvals)

STAR results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-12-Cast-Vote-Record STAR results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-12-Cast-Vote-Record/STAR#STAR
📝
Note — STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 4 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 3 points, the 2nd choice gets 2 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Andrew Johnson
  • Finalists: Andrew Johnson vs Nancy Ford
  • Runoff result:
    • Andrew Johnson: 10,406 votes (67.8%)
    • Nancy Ford: 4,705 votes (30.6%)
    • No preference: 248 voters (1.6%)
  • Total stars allocated: 61,997
  • Total ballots: 15,359
★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
(one star above is approximately 1,240 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • ★#0: Andrew Johnson received 34,409 stars (55.5%) from 12,398 voters (80.7%)
    • ★#1: Nancy Ford received 19,243 stars (31.0%) from 7,737 voters (50.4%)
    • ★#2: David Rosenfeld received 7,732 stars (12.5%) from 4,183 voters (27.2%)
    • ★#3: UWI received 613 stars (1.0%) from 367 voters (2.4%)
  • Finalists:
    • ★Andrew Johnson (✅ winner) preferred by 10,406 of 15,359 voters
    • ★Nancy Ford preferred by 4,705 of 15,359 voters
    • ★No preference between the finalists: 248

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-12-Cast-Vote-Record Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-12-Cast-Vote-Record/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Andrew Johnson
  • Runner-up: Nancy Ford (beats all other candidates except Andrew Johnson)
  • Smallest margin: David Rosenfeld over UWI (4,172-259; margin: 3,913)
  • Largest margin: Andrew Johnson over UWI (12,383-170; margin: 12,213)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 15,359

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-12-Cast-Vote-Record w-l-t table permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-12-Cast-Vote-Record/pairwise#wlt
2021-Ward-12-Cast-Vote-Record (Minneapolis; 2021-11-02) pairwise matchups
Andrew Johnson
(3-0-0)
Andrew Johnson
3 victories ⇣
Nancy Ford
(2-1-0)
Andrew Johnson: 10,406(67.8%)
Nancy Ford: 4,705(30.6%)
(No preference: 248; 1.6%)
Nancy Ford
⇽ 1 loss / 2 victories† ⇣
David Rosenfeld
(1-2-0)
Andrew Johnson: 11,620(75.7%)
David Rosenfeld: 1,230(8.0%)
(No preference: 2,509; 16.3%)
Nancy Ford: 6,807(44.3%)
David Rosenfeld: 2,330(15.2%)
(No preference: 6,222; 40.5%)
David Rosenfeld
⇽ 2 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
UWI
(0-3-0)
Andrew Johnson: 12,383(80.6%)
UWI: 170(1.1%)
(No preference: 2,806; 18.3%)
Nancy Ford: 7,731(50.3%)
UWI: 184(1.2%)
(No preference: 7,444; 48.5%)
David Rosenfeld: 4,172(27.2%)
UWI: 259(1.7%)
(No preference: 10,928; 71.2%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-12-Cast-Vote-Record pairwise diagram permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-12-Cast-Vote-Record/pairwise#dot

%3 Andrew Johnson Andrew Johnson 3-0-0 (3 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Nancy Ford Nancy Ford 2-1-0 Andrew Johnson->Nancy Ford ← Andrew Johnson: 10406 Nancy Ford: 4705 David Rosenfeld David Rosenfeld 1-2-0 Andrew Johnson->David Rosenfeld ← Andrew Johnson: 11620 David Rosenfeld: 1230 UWI UWI 0-3-0 Andrew Johnson->UWI ← Andrew Johnson: 12383 UWI: 170 Nancy Ford->David Rosenfeld ← Nancy Ford: 6807 David Rosenfeld: 2330 Nancy Ford->UWI ← Nancy Ford: 7731 UWI: 184 David Rosenfeld->UWI ← David Rosenfeld: 4172 UWI: 259

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

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