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2021-Ward-6-Cast-Vote-Record (Minneapolis; 2021-11-02)

πŸ”— 2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-6-Cast-Vote-Record     (tags: { Minneapolis_MN , 2021 , from-bolson , actual , 2021-11 , MN , Minneapolis-2021 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-6-Cast-Vote-Record" election (2021-Ward-6-Cast-Vote-Record (Minneapolis; 2021-11-02))

ABIF submission area (show)
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Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-6-Cast-Vote-Record

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Jamal Osman
FPTP Jamal Osman
Approval Jamal Osman
STAR Jamal Osman
Condorcet/Copeland Jamal Osman
Election results summary showing voting method winners
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tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-6-Cast-Vote-Record IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-6-Cast-Vote-Record/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Jamal Osman with 3,750 votes (59.4%) in final round
  • Runner-up: A. Bihi with 2,484 votes (39.4%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 0 (0.0%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 6,311 (100.0%)
  • Majority of ballots: 3,156 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 6,311
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 6,311 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%)
Counted ballots: 6,311 (100.0%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Jamal Osman: 3,750 (59.4%)βœ…
β†’
A. Bihi: 2,484 (39.4%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
UWI: 77 (1.2%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-6-Cast-Vote-Record FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-6-Cast-Vote-Record/FPTP#FPTP
πŸ“
Note β€” Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Jamal Osman with 3,750 first-place votes (59.4%)
  • Runner-up: A. Bihi with 2,484 first-place votes (39.4%)
  • Margin of victory: 1,266 votes (20.1 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Jamal Osman: 3,750 votes (59.4 %)
    • A. Bihi: 2,484 votes (39.4 %)
    • UWI: 77 votes (1.2 %)
  • Total ballots: 6,311

Approval voting results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-6-Cast-Vote-Record approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-6-Cast-Vote-Record/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approval counts estimated from 6,311 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 2 candidates appear viable: Jamal Osman and A. Bihi. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 1 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 2). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 1 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 6311}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "6311"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=UWI:[UWI]
=[Jamal Osman]:[Jamal Osman]
=[A. Bihi]:[A. Bihi]
#------- votelines ------
2678:[Jamal Osman]/1
1833:[A. Bihi]/1
956:[Jamal Osman]/1
568:[A. Bihi]/1
42:[Jamal Osman]/1
27:[A. Bihi]/1
25:[Jamal Osman]/1
21:[A. Bihi]/1
20:[Jamal Osman]/1
16:[Jamal Osman]/1
14:[A. Bihi]/1
13:[A. Bihi]/1
8:[Jamal Osman]/1
5:[A. Bihi]/1=UWI/1
3:[A. Bihi]/1
3:[Jamal Osman]/1
3:[A. Bihi]/1
2:[Jamal Osman]/1=UWI/1
2:[A. Bihi]/1
2:[Jamal Osman]/1=UWI/1
2:[Jamal Osman]/1=UWI/1
2:[Jamal Osman]/1
1:[A. Bihi]/1=UWI/1
1:[A. Bihi]/1=UWI/1
  • Approval Winner: Jamal Osman
  • Approval Results:
    • Jamal Osman — 3,756 approvals (59.52% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • A. Bihi — 2,491 approvals (39.47% of ballots)
    • UWI — 13 approvals (0.21% of ballots)
  • Total: 6,311 ballots (6,260 total approvals)

STAR results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-6-Cast-Vote-Record STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-6-Cast-Vote-Record/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 3 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 2 points, the 2nd choice gets 1 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Jamal Osman
  • Finalists: Jamal Osman vs A. Bihi
  • Runoff result:
    • Jamal Osman: 3,756 votes (59.5%)
    • A. Bihi: 2,491 votes (39.5%)
    • No preference: 64 voters (1.0%)
  • Total stars allocated: 14,314
  • Total ballots: 6,311
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 286 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Jamal Osman received 8,122 stars (56.7%) from 4,372 voters (69.3%)
    • β˜…#1: A. Bihi received 5,998 stars (41.9%) from 3,514 voters (55.7%)
    • β˜…#2: UWI received 194 stars (1.4%) from 117 voters (1.9%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Jamal Osman (βœ… winner) preferred by 3,756 of 6,311 voters
    • β˜…A. Bihi preferred by 2,491 of 6,311 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 64

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-6-Cast-Vote-Record Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-6-Cast-Vote-Record/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Jamal Osman
  • Runner-up: A. Bihi (beats all other candidates except Jamal Osman)
  • Smallest margin: A. Bihi over UWI (3,507-98; margin: 3,409)
  • Largest margin: Jamal Osman over UWI (4,366-96; margin: 4,270)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 6,311

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-6-Cast-Vote-Record w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-6-Cast-Vote-Record/pairwise#wlt
2021-Ward-6-Cast-Vote-Record (Minneapolis; 2021-11-02) pairwise matchups
Jamal Osman
(2-0-0)
Jamal Osman
2 victories ⇣
A. Bihi
(1-1-0)
Jamal Osman: 3,756(59.5%)
A. Bihi: 2,491(39.5%)
(No preference: 64; 1.0%)
A. Bihi
⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory† ⇣
UWI
(0-2-0)
Jamal Osman: 4,366(69.2%)
UWI: 96(1.5%)
(No preference: 1,849; 29.3%)
A. Bihi: 3,507(55.6%)
UWI: 98(1.6%)
(No preference: 2,706; 42.9%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-6-Cast-Vote-Record pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2021-11-02_Minneapolis-2021-Ward-6-Cast-Vote-Record/pairwise#dot

%3 Jamal Osman Jamal Osman 2-0-0 (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) A. Bihi A. Bihi 1-1-0 Jamal Osman->A. Bihi ← Jamal Osman: 3756 A. Bihi: 2491 UWI UWI 0-2-0 Jamal Osman->UWI ← Jamal Osman: 4366 UWI: 96 A. Bihi->UWI ← A. Bihi: 3507 UWI: 98

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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