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House_District_1 (Alaska; 2022-08-16)

πŸ”— 2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_1     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 , 2022-08 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_1" election (House_District_1 (Alaska; 2022-08-16))

ABIF submission area (show)
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Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_1

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan"
FPTP Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan"
Approval Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan"
STAR Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan"
Condorcet/Copeland Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan"
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_1 IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_1/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan" with 2,174 votes (48.9%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Bynum, Jeremy T. with 1,811 votes (40.8%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 295 (6.6%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 4,147 (93.4%)
  • Majority of ballots: 2,222 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 4,442
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 4,442 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 294 (6.6%)
Overvotes: 1 (0.0%)

Counted ballots: 4,147 (93.4%)
Winning threshold: 2,074 (46.69%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan": 2,174 (48.9%)βœ…
β†’
Bynum, Jeremy T.: 1,811 (40.8%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Meggitt, Shevaun A.: 162 (3.6%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’

Overvotes are ballots where multiple candidates are ranked at the same, highest-ranking position.

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_1 FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_1/FPTP#FPTP
πŸ“
Note β€” Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan" with 2,174 first-place votes (48.9%)
  • Runner-up: Bynum, Jeremy T. with 1,811 first-place votes (40.8%)
  • Margin of victory: 363 votes (8.2 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan": 2,174 votes (48.9 %)
    • Bynum, Jeremy T.: 1,811 votes (40.8 %)
    • Meggitt, Shevaun A.: 162 votes (3.6 %)
  • Overvotes: 1 (0.0 %)
  • Blanks: 294 (6.6 %)
  • Total ballots: 4,442

Approval voting results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_1 approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_1/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approval counts estimated from 4,442 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 2 candidates appear viable: Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan" and Bynum, Jeremy T.. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 1 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 2). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 1 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 4442}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "4442"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=[Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan"]:[Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan"]
=[Bynum, Jeremy T.]:[Bynum, Jeremy T.]
=[Meggitt, Shevaun A.]:[Meggitt, Shevaun A.]
#------- votelines ------
2174:[Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan"]/1
1811:[Bynum, Jeremy T.]/1
  • Approval Winner: Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan"
  • Approval Results:
    • Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan" — 2,174 approvals (48.94% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Bynum, Jeremy T. — 1,811 approvals (40.77% of ballots)
  • Total: 4,442 ballots (3,985 total approvals)

STAR results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_1 STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_1/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 3 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 2 points, the 2nd choice gets 1 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan"
  • Finalists: Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan" vs Bynum, Jeremy T.
  • Runoff result:
    • Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan": 2,174 votes (48.9%)
    • Bynum, Jeremy T.: 1,812 votes (40.8%)
    • No preference: 456 voters (10.3%)
  • Total stars allocated: 8,298
  • Total ballots: 4,442
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 166 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan" received 4,348 stars (52.4%) from 2,174 voters (48.9%)
    • β˜…#1: Bynum, Jeremy T. received 3,624 stars (43.7%) from 1,812 voters (40.8%)
    • β˜…#2: Meggitt, Shevaun A. received 326 stars (3.9%) from 163 voters (3.7%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan" (βœ… winner) preferred by 2,174 of 4,442 voters
    • β˜…Bynum, Jeremy T. preferred by 1,812 of 4,442 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 456

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_1 Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_1/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan"
  • Runner-up: Bynum, Jeremy T. (beats all other candidates except Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan")
  • Smallest margin: Bynum, Jeremy T. over Meggitt, Shevaun A. (1,811-162; margin: 1,649)
  • Largest margin: Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan" over Bynum, Jeremy T. (2,174-1,812; margin: 362)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 4,442

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_1 w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_1/pairwise#wlt
House_District_1 (Alaska; 2022-08-16) pairwise matchups
Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan"
(2-0-0)
Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan"
2 victories ⇣
Bynum, Jeremy T.
(1-1-0)
Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan": 2,174(48.9%)
Bynum, Jeremy T.: 1,812(40.8%)
(No preference: 456; 10.3%)
Bynum, Jeremy T.
⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory† ⇣
Meggitt, Shevaun A.
(0-2-0)
Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan": 2,174(48.9%)
Meggitt, Shevaun A.: 163(3.7%)
(No preference: 2,105; 47.4%)
Bynum, Jeremy T.: 1,811(40.8%)
Meggitt, Shevaun A.: 162(3.6%)
(No preference: 2,469; 55.6%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_1 pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_1/pairwise#dot

%3 Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan" Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan" 2-0-0 (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Bynum, Jeremy T. Bynum, Jeremy T. 1-1-0 Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan"->Bynum, Jeremy T. ← Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan": 2174 Bynum, Jeremy T.: 1812 Meggitt, Shevaun A. Meggitt, Shevaun A. 0-2-0 Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan"->Meggitt, Shevaun A. ← Ortiz, Daniel H. "Dan": 2174 Meggitt, Shevaun A.: 163 Bynum, Jeremy T.->Meggitt, Shevaun A. ← Bynum, Jeremy T.: 1811 Meggitt, Shevaun A.: 162

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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