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House_District_10 (Alaska; 2022-08-16)

πŸ”— 2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_10     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 , 2022-08 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_10" election (House_District_10 (Alaska; 2022-08-16))

ABIF submission area (show)
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Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_10

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Johnson, Craig W.
FPTP Johnson, Craig W.
Approval Johnson, Craig W.
STAR Johnson, Craig W.
Condorcet/Copeland Johnson, Craig W.
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_10 IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_10/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Johnson, Craig W. with 2,397 votes (45.0%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Levi, Sue with 1,135 votes (21.3%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 707 (13.3%)
  • Number of rounds: 2
  • Ballots counted in final round: 4,622 (86.7%)
  • Majority of ballots: 2,665 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 5,329
Round 1 Round 2
Overview:
Active ballots: 5,329 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 483 (9.1%)
Overvotes: 1 (0.0%)

Counted ballots: 4,845 (90.9%)
Winning threshold: 2,423 (45.47%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 5,328 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 706 (13.2%)
Counted ballots: 4,622 (86.7%)
Winning threshold: 2,312 (43.39%)
Johnson, Craig W.: 2,397 (45.0%)
β†’
IRV/RCV winner:
Johnson, Craig W.: 2,397 (45.0%)βœ…
β†’
Levi, Sue: 1,135 (21.3%)
β†’
Levi, Sue: 1,135 (21.3%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Storm, Caroline: 1,090 (20.5%)
β†’
Storm, Caroline: 1,090 (20.5%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Insalaco, Mikel E.: 223 (4.2%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Insalaco, Mikel E.

Overvotes are ballots where multiple candidates are ranked at the same, highest-ranking position.

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_10 FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_10/FPTP#FPTP
πŸ“
Note β€” Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Johnson, Craig W. with 2,397 first-place votes (45.0%)
  • Runner-up: Levi, Sue with 1,135 first-place votes (21.3%)
  • Margin of victory: 1,262 votes (23.7 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Johnson, Craig W.: 2,397 votes (45.0 %)
    • Levi, Sue: 1,135 votes (21.3 %)
    • Storm, Caroline: 1,090 votes (20.5 %)
    • Insalaco, Mikel E.: 223 votes (4.2 %)
  • Overvotes: 1 (0.0 %)
  • Blanks: 483 (9.1 %)
  • Total ballots: 5,329

Approval voting results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_10 approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_10/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approval counts estimated from 5,329 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 3 candidates appear viable: Johnson, Craig W., Levi, Sue, and Storm, Caroline. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 2 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 3, rounded up). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 2 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 5329}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "5329"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=[Johnson, Craig W.]:[Johnson, Craig W.]
=[Levi, Sue]:[Levi, Sue]
=[Storm, Caroline]:[Storm, Caroline]
=[Insalaco, Mikel E.]:[Insalaco, Mikel E.]
#------- votelines ------
2397:[Johnson, Craig W.]/1
1135:[Levi, Sue]/1
1090:[Storm, Caroline]/1
  • Approval Winner: Johnson, Craig W.
  • Approval Results:
    • Johnson, Craig W. — 2,397 approvals (44.98% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Levi, Sue — 1,135 approvals (21.3% of ballots)
    • Storm, Caroline — 1,090 approvals (20.45% of ballots)
  • Total: 5,329 ballots (4,622 total approvals)

STAR results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_10 STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_10/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 4 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 3 points, the 2nd choice gets 2 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Johnson, Craig W.
  • Finalists: Johnson, Craig W. vs Levi, Sue
  • Runoff result:
    • Johnson, Craig W.: 2,398 votes (45.0%)
    • Levi, Sue: 1,135 votes (21.3%)
    • No preference: 1796 voters (33.7%)
  • Total stars allocated: 14,541
  • Total ballots: 5,329
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 291 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Johnson, Craig W. received 7,194 stars (49.5%) from 2,398 voters (45.0%)
    • β˜…#1: Levi, Sue received 3,405 stars (23.4%) from 1,135 voters (21.3%)
    • β˜…#2: Storm, Caroline received 3,273 stars (22.5%) from 1,091 voters (20.5%)
    • β˜…#3: Insalaco, Mikel E. received 669 stars (4.6%) from 223 voters (4.2%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Johnson, Craig W. (βœ… winner) preferred by 2,398 of 5,329 voters
    • β˜…Levi, Sue preferred by 1,135 of 5,329 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 1796

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_10 Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_10/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Johnson, Craig W.
  • Runner-up: Levi, Sue (beats all other candidates except Johnson, Craig W.)
  • Smallest margin: Storm, Caroline over Insalaco, Mikel E. (1,091-223; margin: 868)
  • Largest margin: Johnson, Craig W. over Levi, Sue (2,398-1,135; margin: 1,263)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 5,329

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_10 w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_10/pairwise#wlt
House_District_10 (Alaska; 2022-08-16) pairwise matchups
Johnson, Craig W.
(3-0-0)
Johnson, Craig W.
3 victories ⇣
Levi, Sue
(2-1-0)
Johnson, Craig W.: 2,398(45.0%)
Levi, Sue: 1,135(21.3%)
(No preference: 1,796; 33.7%)
Levi, Sue
⇽ 1 loss / 2 victories† ⇣
Storm, Caroline
(1-2-0)
Johnson, Craig W.: 2,397(45.0%)
Storm, Caroline: 1,090(20.5%)
(No preference: 1,842; 34.6%)
Levi, Sue: 1,135(21.3%)
Storm, Caroline: 1,091(20.5%)
(No preference: 3,103; 58.2%)
Storm, Caroline
⇽ 2 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
Insalaco, Mikel E.
(0-3-0)
Johnson, Craig W.: 2,398(45.0%)
Insalaco, Mikel E.: 223(4.2%)
(No preference: 2,708; 50.8%)
Levi, Sue: 1,135(21.3%)
Insalaco, Mikel E.: 223(4.2%)
(No preference: 3,971; 74.5%)
Storm, Caroline: 1,091(20.5%)
Insalaco, Mikel E.: 223(4.2%)
(No preference: 4,015; 75.3%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_10 pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_10/pairwise#dot

%3 Johnson, Craig W. Johnson, Craig W. 3-0-0 (3 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Levi, Sue Levi, Sue 2-1-0 Johnson, Craig W.->Levi, Sue ← Johnson, Craig W.: 2398 Levi, Sue: 1135 Storm, Caroline Storm, Caroline 1-2-0 Johnson, Craig W.->Storm, Caroline ← Johnson, Craig W.: 2397 Storm, Caroline: 1090 Insalaco, Mikel E. Insalaco, Mikel E. 0-3-0 Johnson, Craig W.->Insalaco, Mikel E. ← Johnson, Craig W.: 2398 Insalaco, Mikel E.: 223 Levi, Sue->Storm, Caroline ← Levi, Sue: 1135 Storm, Caroline: 1091 Levi, Sue->Insalaco, Mikel E. ← Levi, Sue: 1135 Insalaco, Mikel E.: 223 Storm, Caroline->Insalaco, Mikel E. ← Storm, Caroline: 1091 Insalaco, Mikel E.: 223

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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