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House_District_12 (Alaska; 2022-08-16)

πŸ”— 2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_12     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 , 2022-08 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_12" election (House_District_12 (Alaska; 2022-08-16))

ABIF submission area (show)
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Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_12

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Schrage, Calvin R.
FPTP Schrage, Calvin R.
Approval Schrage, Calvin R.
STAR Schrage, Calvin R.
Condorcet/Copeland Schrage, Calvin R.
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_12 IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_12/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Schrage, Calvin R. with 2,554 votes (52.8%) in final round
  • Runner-up: McDonald, Jay with 1,910 votes (39.5%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 374 (7.7%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 4,464 (92.3%)
  • Majority of ballots: 2,420 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 4,838
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 4,838 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 373 (7.7%)
Overvotes: 1 (0.0%)

Counted ballots: 4,464 (92.3%)
Winning threshold: 2,233 (46.16%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Schrage, Calvin R.: 2,554 (52.8%)βœ…
β†’
McDonald, Jay: 1,910 (39.5%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’

Overvotes are ballots where multiple candidates are ranked at the same, highest-ranking position.

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_12 FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_12/FPTP#FPTP
πŸ“
Note β€” Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Schrage, Calvin R. with 2,554 first-place votes (52.8%)
  • Runner-up: McDonald, Jay with 1,910 first-place votes (39.5%)
  • Margin of victory: 644 votes (13.3 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Schrage, Calvin R.: 2,554 votes (52.8 %)
    • McDonald, Jay: 1,910 votes (39.5 %)
  • Overvotes: 1 (0.0 %)
  • Blanks: 373 (7.7 %)
  • Total ballots: 4,838

Approval voting results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_12 approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_12/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approval counts estimated from 4,838 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 2 candidates appear viable: Schrage, Calvin R. and McDonald, Jay. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 1 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 2). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 1 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 4838}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "4838"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=[Schrage, Calvin R.]:[Schrage, Calvin R.]
=[McDonald, Jay]:[McDonald, Jay]
#------- votelines ------
2554:[Schrage, Calvin R.]/1
1910:[McDonald, Jay]/1
  • Approval Winner: Schrage, Calvin R.
  • Approval Results:
    • Schrage, Calvin R. — 2,554 approvals (52.79% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • McDonald, Jay — 1,910 approvals (39.48% of ballots)
  • Total: 4,838 ballots (4,464 total approvals)

STAR results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_12 STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_12/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 2 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 1 points, the 2nd choice gets 0 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Schrage, Calvin R.
  • Finalists: Schrage, Calvin R. vs McDonald, Jay
  • Runoff result:
    • Schrage, Calvin R.: 2,554 votes (52.8%)
    • McDonald, Jay: 1,910 votes (39.5%)
    • No preference: 374 voters (7.7%)
  • Total stars allocated: 4,466
  • Total ballots: 4,838
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 89 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Schrage, Calvin R. received 2,555 stars (57.2%) from 2,555 voters (52.8%)
    • β˜…#1: McDonald, Jay received 1,911 stars (42.8%) from 1,911 voters (39.5%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Schrage, Calvin R. (βœ… winner) preferred by 2,554 of 4,838 voters
    • β˜…McDonald, Jay preferred by 1,910 of 4,838 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 374

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_12 Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_12/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Schrage, Calvin R.
  • Runner-up: McDonald, Jay (beats all other candidates except Schrage, Calvin R.)
  • Smallest margin: Schrage, Calvin R. over McDonald, Jay (2,554-1,910; margin: 644)
  • Largest margin: Schrage, Calvin R. over McDonald, Jay (2,554-1,910; margin: 644)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 4,838

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_12 w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_12/pairwise#wlt
House_District_12 (Alaska; 2022-08-16) pairwise matchups
Schrage, Calvin R.
(1-0-0)
Schrage, Calvin R.
1 victory ⇣
McDonald, Jay
(0-1-0)
Schrage, Calvin R.: 2,554(52.8%)
McDonald, Jay: 1,910(39.5%)
(No preference: 374; 7.7%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_12 pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_12/pairwise#dot

%3 Schrage, Calvin R. Schrage, Calvin R. 1-0-0 (1 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) McDonald, Jay McDonald, Jay 0-1-0 Schrage, Calvin R.->McDonald, Jay ← Schrage, Calvin R.: 2554 McDonald, Jay: 1910

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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