House_District_13 (Alaska; 2022-08-16)

🔗 2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_13 (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 , 2022-08 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_13" election (House_District_13 (Alaska; 2022-08-16))

ABIF submission area (show)

Method options

FPTP results?

IRV/RCV results?

IRV extra analysis?

Approval results?

STAR results?

pairwise (Condorcet/Copeland) results?

pairwise tournament diagram?

Ballot options Transform ballots (using ballot-type metadata)?

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

Results

🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_13

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method	Winner
IRV/RCV	Henslee, Katherine J. "Kathy", Josephson, Andy
FPTP	Josephson, Andy
Approval	Josephson, Andy, Henslee, Katherine J. "Kathy"
STAR	Henslee, Katherine J. "Kathy"
Condorcet/Copeland	Henslee, Katherine J. "Kathy"

OFF ON tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_13 IRV/RCV result permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_13/IRV#IRV

IRV/RCV Winners (tie): Henslee, Katherine J. "Kathy", Josephson, Andy with 1,781 votes (43.7%) in final round
Runner-up: Josephson, Andy with 1,781 votes (43.7%) in final round
Exhausted ballots in final round: 514 (12.6%)
Number of rounds: 2
Ballots counted in final round: 3,562 (87.4%)
Majority of ballots: 2,039 (50.0%)
Total ballots: 4,076

Round 1	Round 2
Overview: Active ballots: 4,076 (100.0%) Exhausted ballots: 269 (6.6%) Overvotes: 1 (0.0%) Counted ballots: 3,806 (93.4%) Winning threshold: 1,904 (46.71%)	Overview: Active ballots: 4,075 (100.0%) Exhausted ballots: 513 (12.6%) Counted ballots: 3,562 (87.4%) Winning threshold: 1,782 (43.72%) TIE(†): Henslee, Katherine J. "Kathy", Josephson, Andy
Josephson, Andy: 1,781 (43.7%) →	IRV/RCV winner: Josephson, Andy: 1,781 (43.7%)✅ →
Henslee, Katherine J. "Kathy": 1,781 (43.7%) →	IRV/RCV winner: Henslee, Katherine J. "Kathy": 1,781 (43.7%)✅ →
Huit, Timothy R.: 244 (6.0%) (🛑eliminated) →	~~Huit, Timothy R.~~

Overvotes are ballots where multiple candidates are ranked at the same, highest-ranking position.

† - This example employs a limited form "batch elimination", where a batch of multiple candidates who (in sum total) do not have enough remaining top preferences to defeat the next highest candidate in the rankings. †† - When a tie occurs, per the laws in the City and County of San Francisco and the laws in the state of Maine, the losing candidate for the round is randomly eliminated.

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_13 FPTP results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_13/FPTP#FPTP

FPTP Winners (tie): Josephson, Andy, Henslee, Katherine J. "Kathy" with 1,781 first-place votes (43.7%)
Runner-up: Henslee, Katherine J. "Kathy" with 1,781 first-place votes (43.7%)
Margin of victory: 0 votes (0.0 percentage points)
First-place votes
- Josephson, Andy: 1,781 votes (43.7 %)
- Henslee, Katherine J. "Kathy": 1,781 votes (43.7 %)
- Huit, Timothy R.: 244 votes (6.0 %)
Overvotes: 1 (0.0 %)
Blanks: 269 (6.6 %)
Total ballots: 4,076

Approval voting results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_13 approval voting results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_13/approval#approval

📝

Note — Approval counts estimated from 4,076 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method

Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 3 candidates appear viable: Josephson, Andy, Henslee, Katherine J. "Kathy", and Huit, Timothy R.. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 2 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 3, rounded up). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 2 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 4076}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "4076"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=[Josephson, Andy]:[Josephson, Andy]
=[Henslee, Katherine J. "Kathy"]:[Henslee, Katherine J. "Kathy"]
=[Huit, Timothy R.]:[Huit, Timothy R.]
#------- votelines ------
1781:[Josephson, Andy]/1
1781:[Henslee, Katherine J. "Kathy"]/1
244:[Huit, Timothy R.]/1

Approval Winners (tie): Josephson, Andy, Henslee, Katherine J. "Kathy"
Approval Results:
- Josephson, Andy — 1,781 approvals (43.69% of ballots) (✅ winner)
- Henslee, Katherine J. "Kathy" — 1,781 approvals (43.69% of ballots) (✅ winner)
- Huit, Timothy R. — 244 approvals (5.99% of ballots)
Total: 4,076 ballots (3,806 total approvals)

STAR results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_13 STAR results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_13/STAR#STAR

📝

Note — STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method

Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 3 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 2 points, the 2nd choice gets 1 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

STAR winner: Henslee, Katherine J. "Kathy"
Finalists: Henslee, Katherine J. "Kathy" vs Josephson, Andy
Runoff result:
- Henslee, Katherine J. "Kathy": 1,782 votes (43.7%)
- Josephson, Andy: 1,781 votes (43.7%)
- No preference: 513 voters (12.6%)
Total stars allocated: 7,616
Total ballots: 4,076

★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★

(one star above is approximately 152 stars allocated by voters)

First round:
- ★#0: Henslee, Katherine J. "Kathy" received 3,564 stars (46.8%) from 1,782 voters (43.7%)
- ★#1: Josephson, Andy received 3,562 stars (46.8%) from 1,781 voters (43.7%)
- ★#2: Huit, Timothy R. received 490 stars (6.4%) from 245 voters (6.0%)
Finalists:
- ★Henslee, Katherine J. "Kathy" (✅ winner) preferred by 1,782 of 4,076 voters
- ★Josephson, Andy preferred by 1,781 of 4,076 voters
- ★No preference between the finalists: 513

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_13 Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_13/pairwise#pairwise

Winner: Henslee, Katherine J. "Kathy"
Runner-up: Josephson, Andy (beats all other candidates except Henslee, Katherine J. "Kathy")
Smallest margin: Josephson, Andy over Huit, Timothy R. (1,781-245; margin: 1,536)
Largest margin: Henslee, Katherine J. "Kathy" over Josephson, Andy (1,782-1,781; margin: 1)
Pairwise ties: none
Total ballots: 4,076

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_13 w-l-t table permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_13/pairwise#wlt

House_District_13 (Alaska; 2022-08-16) pairwise matchups
Henslee, Katherine J. "Kathy" (2-0-0)	Henslee, Katherine J. "Kathy" 2 victories ⇣
Josephson, Andy (1-1-0)	Henslee, Katherine J. "Kathy": 1,782(43.7%) Josephson, Andy: 1,781(43.7%) (No preference: 513; 12.6%)	Josephson, Andy ⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory^† ⇣
Huit, Timothy R. (0-2-0)	Henslee, Katherine J. "Kathy": 1,781(43.7%) Huit, Timothy R.: 244(6.0%) (No preference: 2,051; 50.3%)	Josephson, Andy: 1,781(43.7%) Huit, Timothy R.: 245(6.0%) (No preference: 2,050; 50.3%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_13 pairwise diagram permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_13/pairwise#dot

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

(homepage)

abif.electorama.com is maintained as part of the electorama.com family of websites.
Source code:


          github.com/electorama/abiftool

(for the core library) and github.com/electorama/awt (for the web presentation code)
Bug reports:


        
          github.com/electorama/awt/issues