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House_District_15 (Alaska; 2022-08-16)

πŸ”— 2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_15     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 , 2022-08 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_15" election (House_District_15 (Alaska; 2022-08-16))

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Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_15

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "choose_one". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
FPTP McKay, Thomas W. "Tom"
Approval McKay, Thomas W. "Tom"
IRV/RCV McKay, Thomas W. "Tom"
STAR McKay, Thomas W. "Tom"
Condorcet/Copeland McKay, Thomas W. "Tom"
Election results summary showing voting method winners
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FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_15 FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_15/FPTP#FPTP

  • FPTP Winner: McKay, Thomas W. "Tom" with 2,339 first-place votes (40.1%)
  • Runner-up: Wells, Denny with 2,333 first-place votes (39.9%)
  • Margin of victory: 6 votes (0.1 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • McKay, Thomas W. "Tom": 2,339 votes (40.1 %)
    • Wells, Denny: 2,333 votes (39.9 %)
    • Eibeck, David: 605 votes (10.4 %)
  • Blanks: 563 (9.6 %)
  • Total ballots: 5,840

Approval voting results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_15 approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_15/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approvals inferred from choose_one ballots
Details

Approval results are derived by treating each voter's single top choice as their only approval. Lower preferences are not available on choose_one ballots.

  • Approval Winner: McKay, Thomas W. "Tom"
  • Approval Results:
    • McKay, Thomas W. "Tom" — 2,339 approvals (40.05% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Wells, Denny — 2,333 approvals (39.95% of ballots)
    • Eibeck, David — 605 approvals (10.36% of ballots)
  • Total: 5,840 ballots (5,277 total approvals)

IRV/RCV results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_15 IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_15/IRV#IRV
πŸ“
Note β€” IRV/RCV applied to choose_one ballots (no transfers)
Details

These ballots indicate only a single top choice per voter. IRV/RCV on choose_one ballots cannot transfer votes or use lower preferences, so the result is equivalent to plurality on first choices.

  • IRV/RCV Winner: McKay, Thomas W. "Tom" with 2,339 votes (40.1%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Wells, Denny with 2,333 votes (39.9%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 1,168 (20.0%)
  • Number of rounds: 2
  • Ballots counted in final round: 4,672 (80.0%)
  • Majority of ballots: 2,921 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 5,840
Round 1 Round 2
Overview:
Active ballots: 5,840 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 563 (9.6%)
Counted ballots: 5,277 (90.4%)
Winning threshold: 2,639 (45.19%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 5,840 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 1,168 (20.0%)
Counted ballots: 4,672 (80.0%)
Winning threshold: 2,337 (40.02%)
McKay, Thomas W. "Tom": 2,339 (40.1%)
β†’
IRV/RCV winner:
McKay, Thomas W. "Tom": 2,339 (40.1%)βœ…
β†’
Wells, Denny: 2,333 (39.9%)
β†’
Wells, Denny: 2,333 (39.9%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Eibeck, David: 605 (10.4%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Eibeck, David

STAR results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_15 STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_15/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR interpretation from choose_one ballots
Details

Choose_one ballots provide only each voter's top choice and no ratings. STAR results shown here are computed without true ratings and should be interpreted cautiously.

  • STAR winner: McKay, Thomas W. "Tom"
  • Finalists: McKay, Thomas W. "Tom" vs Wells, Denny
  • Runoff result:
    • McKay, Thomas W. "Tom": 2,339 votes (40.1%)
    • Wells, Denny: 2,333 votes (39.9%)
    • No preference: 1168 voters (20.0%)
  • Total stars allocated: 10,554
  • Total ballots: 5,840
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 211 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: McKay, Thomas W. "Tom" received 4,678 stars (44.3%) from 2,339 voters (40.1%)
    • β˜…#1: Wells, Denny received 4,666 stars (44.2%) from 2,333 voters (39.9%)
    • β˜…#2: Eibeck, David received 1,210 stars (11.5%) from 605 voters (10.4%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…McKay, Thomas W. "Tom" (βœ… winner) preferred by 2,339 of 5,840 voters
    • β˜…Wells, Denny preferred by 2,333 of 5,840 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 1168

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_15 Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_15/pairwise#pairwise
πŸ“
Note β€” Pairwise comparisons derived from top-choice-only ballots
Details

Pairwise/Condorcet comparisons use only each voter's top choice from choose_one ballots. No lower preferences are available, so many matchups will show a large 'No preference' count.

  • Winner: McKay, Thomas W. "Tom"
  • Runner-up: Wells, Denny (beats all other candidates except McKay, Thomas W. "Tom")
  • Smallest margin: Wells, Denny over Eibeck, David (2,333-605; margin: 1,728)
  • Largest margin: McKay, Thomas W. "Tom" over Wells, Denny (2,339-2,333; margin: 6)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 5,840

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_15 w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_15/pairwise#wlt
House_District_15 (Alaska; 2022-08-16) pairwise matchups
McKay, Thomas W. "Tom"
(2-0-0)
McKay, Thomas W. "Tom"
2 victories ⇣
Wells, Denny
(1-1-0)
McKay, Thomas W. "Tom": 2,339(40.1%)
Wells, Denny: 2,333(39.9%)
(No preference: 1,168; 20.0%)
Wells, Denny
⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory† ⇣
Eibeck, David
(0-2-0)
McKay, Thomas W. "Tom": 2,339(40.1%)
Eibeck, David: 605(10.4%)
(No preference: 2,896; 49.6%)
Wells, Denny: 2,333(39.9%)
Eibeck, David: 605(10.4%)
(No preference: 2,902; 49.7%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_15 pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_15/pairwise#dot

%3 McKay, Thomas W. "Tom" McKay, Thomas W. "Tom" 2-0-0 (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Wells, Denny Wells, Denny 1-1-0 McKay, Thomas W. "Tom"->Wells, Denny ← McKay, Thomas W. "Tom": 2339 Wells, Denny: 2333 Eibeck, David Eibeck, David 0-2-0 McKay, Thomas W. "Tom"->Eibeck, David ← McKay, Thomas W. "Tom": 2339 Eibeck, David: 605 Wells, Denny->Eibeck, David ← Wells, Denny: 2333 Eibeck, David: 605

Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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