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House_District_24 (Alaska; 2022-08-16)

πŸ”— 2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_24     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 , 2022-08 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_24" election (House_District_24 (Alaska; 2022-08-16))

ABIF submission area (show)
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Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_24

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Saddler, Dan
FPTP Saddler, Dan
Approval Saddler, Dan
STAR Saddler, Dan
Condorcet/Copeland Saddler, Dan
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_24 IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_24/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Saddler, Dan with 2,919 votes (48.7%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Jackson, Sharon with 1,365 votes (22.8%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 494 (8.2%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 5,495 (91.8%)
  • Majority of ballots: 2,995 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 5,989
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 5,989 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 492 (8.2%)
Overvotes: 2 (0.0%)

Counted ballots: 5,495 (91.8%)
Winning threshold: 2,748 (45.88%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Saddler, Dan: 2,919 (48.7%)βœ…
β†’
Jackson, Sharon: 1,365 (22.8%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Nelson, Daryl W.: 1,211 (20.2%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’

Overvotes are ballots where multiple candidates are ranked at the same, highest-ranking position.

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_24 FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_24/FPTP#FPTP
πŸ“
Note β€” Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Saddler, Dan with 2,919 first-place votes (48.7%)
  • Runner-up: Jackson, Sharon with 1,365 first-place votes (22.8%)
  • Margin of victory: 1,554 votes (25.9 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Saddler, Dan: 2,919 votes (48.7 %)
    • Jackson, Sharon: 1,365 votes (22.8 %)
    • Nelson, Daryl W.: 1,211 votes (20.2 %)
  • Overvotes: 2 (0.0 %)
  • Blanks: 492 (8.2 %)
  • Total ballots: 5,989

Approval voting results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_24 approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_24/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approval counts estimated from 5,989 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 2 candidates appear viable: Saddler, Dan and Jackson, Sharon. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 1 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 2). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 1 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 5989}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "5989"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=[Saddler, Dan]:[Saddler, Dan]
=[Jackson, Sharon]:[Jackson, Sharon]
=[Nelson, Daryl W.]:[Nelson, Daryl W.]
#------- votelines ------
2919:[Saddler, Dan]/1
1365:[Jackson, Sharon]/1
  • Approval Winner: Saddler, Dan
  • Approval Results:
    • Saddler, Dan — 2,919 approvals (48.74% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Jackson, Sharon — 1,365 approvals (22.79% of ballots)
  • Total: 5,989 ballots (4,284 total approvals)

STAR results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_24 STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_24/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 3 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 2 points, the 2nd choice gets 1 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Saddler, Dan
  • Finalists: Saddler, Dan vs Jackson, Sharon
  • Runoff result:
    • Saddler, Dan: 2,920 votes (48.8%)
    • Jackson, Sharon: 1,366 votes (22.8%)
    • No preference: 1703 voters (28.4%)
  • Total stars allocated: 10,998
  • Total ballots: 5,989
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 220 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Saddler, Dan received 5,840 stars (53.1%) from 2,920 voters (48.8%)
    • β˜…#1: Jackson, Sharon received 2,732 stars (24.8%) from 1,366 voters (22.8%)
    • β˜…#2: Nelson, Daryl W. received 2,426 stars (22.1%) from 1,213 voters (20.3%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Saddler, Dan (βœ… winner) preferred by 2,920 of 5,989 voters
    • β˜…Jackson, Sharon preferred by 1,366 of 5,989 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 1703

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_24 Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_24/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Saddler, Dan
  • Runner-up: Jackson, Sharon (beats all other candidates except Saddler, Dan)
  • Smallest margin: Jackson, Sharon over Nelson, Daryl W. (1,365-1,212; margin: 153)
  • Largest margin: Saddler, Dan over Jackson, Sharon (2,920-1,366; margin: 1,554)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 5,989

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_24 w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_24/pairwise#wlt
House_District_24 (Alaska; 2022-08-16) pairwise matchups
Saddler, Dan
(2-0-0)
Saddler, Dan
2 victories ⇣
Jackson, Sharon
(1-1-0)
Saddler, Dan: 2,920(48.8%)
Jackson, Sharon: 1,366(22.8%)
(No preference: 1,703; 28.4%)
Jackson, Sharon
⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory† ⇣
Nelson, Daryl W.
(0-2-0)
Saddler, Dan: 2,919(48.7%)
Nelson, Daryl W.: 1,212(20.2%)
(No preference: 1,858; 31.0%)
Jackson, Sharon: 1,365(22.8%)
Nelson, Daryl W.: 1,212(20.2%)
(No preference: 3,412; 57.0%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_24 pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_24/pairwise#dot

%3 Saddler, Dan Saddler, Dan 2-0-0 (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Jackson, Sharon Jackson, Sharon 1-1-0 Saddler, Dan->Jackson, Sharon ← Saddler, Dan: 2920 Jackson, Sharon: 1366 Nelson, Daryl W. Nelson, Daryl W. 0-2-0 Saddler, Dan->Nelson, Daryl W. ← Saddler, Dan: 2919 Nelson, Daryl W.: 1212 Jackson, Sharon->Nelson, Daryl W. ← Jackson, Sharon: 1365 Nelson, Daryl W.: 1212

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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