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House_District_28 (Alaska; 2022-08-16)

πŸ”— 2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_28     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 , 2022-08 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_28" election (House_District_28 (Alaska; 2022-08-16))

ABIF submission area (show)
Method options
Ballot options

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_28

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Menard, Steve
FPTP Menard, Steve
Approval Menard, Steve
STAR Menard, Steve
Condorcet/Copeland Menard, Steve
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_28 IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_28/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Menard, Steve with 1,401 votes (27.0%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Sumner, Jesse M. with 1,364 votes (26.3%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 2,422 (46.7%)
  • Number of rounds: 3
  • Ballots counted in final round: 2,765 (53.3%)
  • Majority of ballots: 2,594 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 5,187
Round 1 Round 2 Round 3
Overview:
Active ballots: 5,187 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 1,052 (20.3%)
Overvotes: 6 (0.1%)

Counted ballots: 4,129 (79.6%)
Winning threshold: 2,065 (39.81%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 5,181 (99.9%)

Exhausted ballots: 1,679 (32.4%)
Counted ballots: 3,502 (67.5%)
Winning threshold: 1,752 (33.78%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 5,181 (99.9%)

Exhausted ballots: 2,416 (46.6%)
Counted ballots: 2,765 (53.3%)
Winning threshold: 1,383 (26.66%)
Menard, Steve: 1,401 (27.0%)
β†’
Menard, Steve: 1,401 (27.0%)
β†’
IRV/RCV winner:
Menard, Steve: 1,401 (27.0%)βœ…
β†’
Sumner, Jesse M.: 1,364 (26.3%)
β†’
Sumner, Jesse M.: 1,364 (26.3%)
β†’
Sumner, Jesse M.: 1,364 (26.3%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Wright, Jessica: 737 (14.2%)
β†’
Wright, Jessica: 737 (14.2%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Wright, Jessica
Allen, Rachel M.: 627 (12.1%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Allen, Rachel M. Allen, Rachel M.

Overvotes are ballots where multiple candidates are ranked at the same, highest-ranking position.

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_28 FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_28/FPTP#FPTP
πŸ“
Note β€” Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Menard, Steve with 1,401 first-place votes (27.0%)
  • Runner-up: Sumner, Jesse M. with 1,364 first-place votes (26.3%)
  • Margin of victory: 37 votes (0.7 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Menard, Steve: 1,401 votes (27.0 %)
    • Sumner, Jesse M.: 1,364 votes (26.3 %)
    • Wright, Jessica: 737 votes (14.2 %)
    • Allen, Rachel M.: 627 votes (12.1 %)
  • Overvotes: 6 (0.1 %)
  • Blanks: 1,052 (20.3 %)
  • Total ballots: 5,187

Approval voting results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_28 approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_28/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approval counts estimated from 5,187 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 3 candidates appear viable: Menard, Steve, Sumner, Jesse M., and Wright, Jessica. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 2 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 3, rounded up). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 2 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 5187}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "5187"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=[Menard, Steve]:[Menard, Steve]
=[Sumner, Jesse M.]:[Sumner, Jesse M.]
=[Wright, Jessica]:[Wright, Jessica]
=[Allen, Rachel M.]:[Allen, Rachel M.]
#------- votelines ------
1401:[Menard, Steve]/1
1364:[Sumner, Jesse M.]/1
737:[Wright, Jessica]/1
  • Approval Winner: Menard, Steve
  • Approval Results:
    • Menard, Steve — 1,401 approvals (27.01% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Sumner, Jesse M. — 1,364 approvals (26.3% of ballots)
    • Wright, Jessica — 737 approvals (14.21% of ballots)
  • Total: 5,187 ballots (3,502 total approvals)

STAR results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_28 STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_28/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 4 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 3 points, the 2nd choice gets 2 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Menard, Steve
  • Finalists: Menard, Steve vs Sumner, Jesse M.
  • Runoff result:
    • Menard, Steve: 1,402 votes (27.0%)
    • Sumner, Jesse M.: 1,364 votes (26.3%)
    • No preference: 2421 voters (46.7%)
  • Total stars allocated: 12,441
  • Total ballots: 5,187
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 249 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Menard, Steve received 4,215 stars (33.9%) from 1,405 voters (27.1%)
    • β˜…#1: Sumner, Jesse M. received 4,101 stars (33.0%) from 1,367 voters (26.4%)
    • β˜…#2: Wright, Jessica received 2,229 stars (17.9%) from 743 voters (14.3%)
    • β˜…#3: Allen, Rachel M. received 1,896 stars (15.2%) from 632 voters (12.2%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Menard, Steve (βœ… winner) preferred by 1,402 of 5,187 voters
    • β˜…Sumner, Jesse M. preferred by 1,364 of 5,187 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 2421

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_28 Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_28/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Menard, Steve
  • Runner-up: Sumner, Jesse M. (beats all other candidates except Menard, Steve)
  • Smallest margin: Wright, Jessica over Allen, Rachel M. (738-627; margin: 111)
  • Largest margin: Menard, Steve over Sumner, Jesse M. (1,402-1,364; margin: 38)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 5,187

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_28 w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_28/pairwise#wlt
House_District_28 (Alaska; 2022-08-16) pairwise matchups
Menard, Steve
(3-0-0)
Menard, Steve
3 victories ⇣
Sumner, Jesse M.
(2-1-0)
Menard, Steve: 1,402(27.0%)
Sumner, Jesse M.: 1,364(26.3%)
(No preference: 2,421; 46.7%)
Sumner, Jesse M.
⇽ 1 loss / 2 victories† ⇣
Wright, Jessica
(1-2-0)
Menard, Steve: 1,401(27.0%)
Wright, Jessica: 739(14.2%)
(No preference: 3,047; 58.7%)
Sumner, Jesse M.: 1,364(26.3%)
Wright, Jessica: 740(14.3%)
(No preference: 3,083; 59.4%)
Wright, Jessica
⇽ 2 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
Allen, Rachel M.
(0-3-0)
Menard, Steve: 1,402(27.0%)
Allen, Rachel M.: 629(12.1%)
(No preference: 3,156; 60.8%)
Sumner, Jesse M.: 1,364(26.3%)
Allen, Rachel M.: 629(12.1%)
(No preference: 3,194; 61.6%)
Wright, Jessica: 738(14.2%)
Allen, Rachel M.: 627(12.1%)
(No preference: 3,822; 73.7%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_28 pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_28/pairwise#dot

%3 Menard, Steve Menard, Steve 3-0-0 (3 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Sumner, Jesse M. Sumner, Jesse M. 2-1-0 Menard, Steve->Sumner, Jesse M. ← Menard, Steve: 1402 Sumner, Jesse M.: 1364 Wright, Jessica Wright, Jessica 1-2-0 Menard, Steve->Wright, Jessica ← Menard, Steve: 1401 Wright, Jessica: 739 Allen, Rachel M. Allen, Rachel M. 0-3-0 Menard, Steve->Allen, Rachel M. ← Menard, Steve: 1402 Allen, Rachel M.: 629 Sumner, Jesse M.->Wright, Jessica ← Sumner, Jesse M.: 1364 Wright, Jessica: 740 Sumner, Jesse M.->Allen, Rachel M. ← Sumner, Jesse M.: 1364 Allen, Rachel M.: 629 Wright, Jessica->Allen, Rachel M. ← Wright, Jessica: 738 Allen, Rachel M.: 627

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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