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House_District_30 (Alaska; 2022-08-16)

πŸ”— 2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_30     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 , 2022-08 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_30" election (House_District_30 (Alaska; 2022-08-16))

ABIF submission area (show)
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Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_30

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV McCabe, Kevin J.
FPTP McCabe, Kevin J.
Approval McCabe, Kevin J.
STAR McCabe, Kevin J.
Condorcet/Copeland McCabe, Kevin J.
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_30 IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_30/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: McCabe, Kevin J. with 2,463 votes (40.7%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Holmes, Doyle E. with 1,451 votes (24.0%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 2,141 (35.4%)
  • Number of rounds: 2
  • Ballots counted in final round: 3,914 (64.6%)
  • Majority of ballots: 3,028 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 6,055
Round 1 Round 2
Overview:
Active ballots: 6,055 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 856 (14.1%)
Overvotes: 1 (0.0%)

Counted ballots: 5,198 (85.8%)
Winning threshold: 2,600 (42.94%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 6,054 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 2,140 (35.3%)
Counted ballots: 3,914 (64.6%)
Winning threshold: 1,958 (32.34%)
McCabe, Kevin J.: 2,463 (40.7%)
β†’
IRV/RCV winner:
McCabe, Kevin J.: 2,463 (40.7%)βœ…
β†’
Holmes, Doyle E.: 1,451 (24.0%)
β†’
Holmes, Doyle E.: 1,451 (24.0%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Mindiola, L. Joy: 1,284 (21.2%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Mindiola, L. Joy

Overvotes are ballots where multiple candidates are ranked at the same, highest-ranking position.

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_30 FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_30/FPTP#FPTP
πŸ“
Note β€” Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: McCabe, Kevin J. with 2,463 first-place votes (40.7%)
  • Runner-up: Holmes, Doyle E. with 1,451 first-place votes (24.0%)
  • Margin of victory: 1,012 votes (16.7 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • McCabe, Kevin J.: 2,463 votes (40.7 %)
    • Holmes, Doyle E.: 1,451 votes (24.0 %)
    • Mindiola, L. Joy: 1,284 votes (21.2 %)
  • Overvotes: 1 (0.0 %)
  • Blanks: 856 (14.1 %)
  • Total ballots: 6,055

Approval voting results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_30 approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_30/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approval counts estimated from 6,055 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 3 candidates appear viable: McCabe, Kevin J., Holmes, Doyle E., and Mindiola, L. Joy. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 2 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 3, rounded up). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 2 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 6055}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "6055"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=[McCabe, Kevin J.]:[McCabe, Kevin J.]
=[Holmes, Doyle E.]:[Holmes, Doyle E.]
=[Mindiola, L. Joy]:[Mindiola, L. Joy]
#------- votelines ------
2463:[McCabe, Kevin J.]/1
1451:[Holmes, Doyle E.]/1
1284:[Mindiola, L. Joy]/1
  • Approval Winner: McCabe, Kevin J.
  • Approval Results:
    • McCabe, Kevin J. — 2,463 approvals (40.68% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Holmes, Doyle E. — 1,451 approvals (23.96% of ballots)
    • Mindiola, L. Joy — 1,284 approvals (21.21% of ballots)
  • Total: 6,055 ballots (5,198 total approvals)

STAR results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_30 STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_30/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 3 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 2 points, the 2nd choice gets 1 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: McCabe, Kevin J.
  • Finalists: McCabe, Kevin J. vs Holmes, Doyle E.
  • Runoff result:
    • McCabe, Kevin J.: 2,464 votes (40.7%)
    • Holmes, Doyle E.: 1,451 votes (24.0%)
    • No preference: 2140 voters (35.3%)
  • Total stars allocated: 10,400
  • Total ballots: 6,055
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 208 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: McCabe, Kevin J. received 4,928 stars (47.4%) from 2,464 voters (40.7%)
    • β˜…#1: Holmes, Doyle E. received 2,902 stars (27.9%) from 1,451 voters (24.0%)
    • β˜…#2: Mindiola, L. Joy received 2,570 stars (24.7%) from 1,285 voters (21.2%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…McCabe, Kevin J. (βœ… winner) preferred by 2,464 of 6,055 voters
    • β˜…Holmes, Doyle E. preferred by 1,451 of 6,055 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 2140

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_30 Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_30/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: McCabe, Kevin J.
  • Runner-up: Holmes, Doyle E. (beats all other candidates except McCabe, Kevin J.)
  • Smallest margin: Holmes, Doyle E. over Mindiola, L. Joy (1,451-1,285; margin: 166)
  • Largest margin: McCabe, Kevin J. over Holmes, Doyle E. (2,464-1,451; margin: 1,013)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 6,055

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_30 w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_30/pairwise#wlt
House_District_30 (Alaska; 2022-08-16) pairwise matchups
McCabe, Kevin J.
(2-0-0)
McCabe, Kevin J.
2 victories ⇣
Holmes, Doyle E.
(1-1-0)
McCabe, Kevin J.: 2,464(40.7%)
Holmes, Doyle E.: 1,451(24.0%)
(No preference: 2,140; 35.3%)
Holmes, Doyle E.
⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory† ⇣
Mindiola, L. Joy
(0-2-0)
McCabe, Kevin J.: 2,463(40.7%)
Mindiola, L. Joy: 1,284(21.2%)
(No preference: 2,308; 38.1%)
Holmes, Doyle E.: 1,451(24.0%)
Mindiola, L. Joy: 1,285(21.2%)
(No preference: 3,319; 54.8%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_30 pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_30/pairwise#dot

%3 McCabe, Kevin J. McCabe, Kevin J. 2-0-0 (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Holmes, Doyle E. Holmes, Doyle E. 1-1-0 McCabe, Kevin J.->Holmes, Doyle E. ← McCabe, Kevin J.: 2464 Holmes, Doyle E.: 1451 Mindiola, L. Joy Mindiola, L. Joy 0-2-0 McCabe, Kevin J.->Mindiola, L. Joy ← McCabe, Kevin J.: 2463 Mindiola, L. Joy: 1284 Holmes, Doyle E.->Mindiola, L. Joy ← Holmes, Doyle E.: 1451 Mindiola, L. Joy: 1285

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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