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House_District_35 (Alaska; 2022-08-16)

🔗 2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_35     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 , 2022-08 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_35" election (House_District_35 (Alaska; 2022-08-16))

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Voting methods: FPTP • approval • IRV • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

Results

🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_35

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "choose_one". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
FPTP Carrick, Ashley E.
Approval Carrick, Ashley E.
IRV/RCV Carrick, Ashley E.
STAR Carrick, Ashley E.
Condorcet/Copeland Carrick, Ashley E.
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_35 FPTP results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_35/FPTP#FPTP

  • FPTP Winner: Carrick, Ashley E. with 2,165 first-place votes (37.7%)
  • Runner-up: McKinley, Kevin with 1,454 first-place votes (25.3%)
  • Margin of victory: 711 votes (12.4 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Carrick, Ashley E.: 2,165 votes (37.7 %)
    • McKinley, Kevin: 1,454 votes (25.3 %)
    • Parker, Tim: 931 votes (16.2 %)
    • McNeill, Ruben A. Jr.: 621 votes (10.8 %)
    • Brown, Kieran C.: 106 votes (1.8 %)
  • Blanks: 468 (8.1 %)
  • Total ballots: 5,745

Approval voting results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_35 approval voting results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_35/approval#approval
📝
Note — Approvals inferred from choose_one ballots
Details

Approval results are derived by treating each voter's single top choice as their only approval. Lower preferences are not available on choose_one ballots.

  • Approval Winner: Carrick, Ashley E.
  • Approval Results:
    • Carrick, Ashley E. — 2,165 approvals (37.68% of ballots) (✅ winner)
    • McKinley, Kevin — 1,454 approvals (25.31% of ballots)
    • Parker, Tim — 931 approvals (16.21% of ballots)
    • McNeill, Ruben A. Jr. — 621 approvals (10.81% of ballots)
    • Brown, Kieran C. — 106 approvals (1.85% of ballots)
  • Total: 5,745 ballots (5,277 total approvals)

IRV/RCV results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_35 IRV/RCV result permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_35/IRV#IRV
📝
Note — IRV/RCV applied to choose_one ballots (no transfers)
Details

These ballots indicate only a single top choice per voter. IRV/RCV on choose_one ballots cannot transfer votes or use lower preferences, so the result is equivalent to plurality on first choices.

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Carrick, Ashley E. with 2,165 votes (37.7%) in final round
  • Runner-up: McKinley, Kevin with 1,454 votes (25.3%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 2,126 (37.0%)
  • Number of rounds: 4
  • Ballots counted in final round: 3,619 (63.0%)
  • Majority of ballots: 2,873 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 5,745
Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4
Overview:
Active ballots: 5,745 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 468 (8.1%)
Counted ballots: 5,277 (91.9%)
Winning threshold: 2,639 (45.94%)
 		Overview:
Active ballots: 5,745 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 574 (10.0%)
Counted ballots: 5,171 (90.0%)
Winning threshold: 2,586 (45.01%)
 		Overview:
Active ballots: 5,745 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 1,195 (20.8%)
Counted ballots: 4,550 (79.2%)
Winning threshold: 2,276 (39.62%)
 		Overview:
Active ballots: 5,745 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 2,126 (37.0%)
Counted ballots: 3,619 (63.0%)
Winning threshold: 1,810 (31.51%)
Carrick, Ashley E.: 2,165 (37.7%)
→
 Carrick, Ashley E.: 2,165 (37.7%)
→
 Carrick, Ashley E.: 2,165 (37.7%)
→
 IRV/RCV winner:
Carrick, Ashley E.: 2,165 (37.7%)✅
→
McKinley, Kevin: 1,454 (25.3%)
→
 McKinley, Kevin: 1,454 (25.3%)
→
 McKinley, Kevin: 1,454 (25.3%)
→
 McKinley, Kevin: 1,454 (25.3%) (🛑eliminated)
→
Parker, Tim: 931 (16.2%)
→
 Parker, Tim: 931 (16.2%)
→
 Parker, Tim: 931 (16.2%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 Parker, Tim
McNeill, Ruben A. Jr.: 621 (10.8%)
→
 McNeill, Ruben A. Jr.: 621 (10.8%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 McNeill, Ruben A. Jr. McNeill, Ruben A. Jr.
Brown, Kieran C.: 106 (1.8%) (🛑eliminated)
→
 Brown, Kieran C. Brown, Kieran C. Brown, Kieran C.

STAR results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_35 STAR results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_35/STAR#STAR
📝
Note — STAR interpretation from choose_one ballots
Details

Choose_one ballots provide only each voter's top choice and no ratings. STAR results shown here are computed without true ratings and should be interpreted cautiously.

  • STAR winner: Carrick, Ashley E.
  • Finalists: Carrick, Ashley E. vs McKinley, Kevin
  • Runoff result:
    • Carrick, Ashley E.: 2,165 votes (37.7%)
    • McKinley, Kevin: 1,454 votes (25.3%)
    • No preference: 2126 voters (37.0%)
  • Total stars allocated: 21,108
  • Total ballots: 5,745
★★★★★★

★★★★★

★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
★★★★★
★★★★★★
(one star above is approximately 422 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • ★#0: Carrick, Ashley E. received 8,660 stars (41.0%) from 2,165 voters (37.7%)
    • ★#1: McKinley, Kevin received 5,816 stars (27.6%) from 1,454 voters (25.3%)
    • ★#2: Parker, Tim received 3,724 stars (17.6%) from 931 voters (16.2%)
    • ★#3: McNeill, Ruben A. Jr. received 2,484 stars (11.8%) from 621 voters (10.8%)
    • ★#4: Brown, Kieran C. received 424 stars (2.0%) from 106 voters (1.8%)
  • Finalists:
    • ★Carrick, Ashley E. (✅ winner) preferred by 2,165 of 5,745 voters
    • ★McKinley, Kevin preferred by 1,454 of 5,745 voters
    • ★No preference between the finalists: 2126

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_35 Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_35/pairwise#pairwise
📝
Note — Pairwise comparisons derived from top-choice-only ballots
Details

Pairwise/Condorcet comparisons use only each voter's top choice from choose_one ballots. No lower preferences are available, so many matchups will show a large 'No preference' count.

  • Winner: Carrick, Ashley E.
  • Runner-up: McKinley, Kevin (beats all other candidates except Carrick, Ashley E.)
  • Smallest margin: McNeill, Ruben A. Jr. over Brown, Kieran C. (621-106; margin: 515)
  • Largest margin: Carrick, Ashley E. over McKinley, Kevin (2,165-1,454; margin: 711)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 5,745

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_35 w-l-t table permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_35/pairwise#wlt
House_District_35 (Alaska; 2022-08-16) pairwise matchups
Carrick, Ashley E.
(4-0-0)
Carrick, Ashley E.
4 victories ⇣
McKinley, Kevin
(3-1-0)
Carrick, Ashley E.: 2,165(37.7%)
McKinley, Kevin: 1,454(25.3%)
(No preference: 2,126; 37.0%)
McKinley, Kevin
⇽ 1 loss / 3 victories† ⇣
Parker, Tim
(2-2-0)
Carrick, Ashley E.: 2,165(37.7%)
Parker, Tim: 931(16.2%)
(No preference: 2,649; 46.1%)
McKinley, Kevin: 1,454(25.3%)
Parker, Tim: 931(16.2%)
(No preference: 3,360; 58.5%)
Parker, Tim
⇽ 2 losses / 2 victories† ⇣
McNeill, Ruben A. Jr.
(1-3-0)
Carrick, Ashley E.: 2,165(37.7%)
McNeill, Ruben A. Jr.: 621(10.8%)
(No preference: 2,959; 51.5%)
McKinley, Kevin: 1,454(25.3%)
McNeill, Ruben A. Jr.: 621(10.8%)
(No preference: 3,670; 63.9%)
Parker, Tim: 931(16.2%)
McNeill, Ruben A. Jr.: 621(10.8%)
(No preference: 4,193; 73.0%)
McNeill, Ruben A. Jr.
⇽ 3 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
Brown, Kieran C.
(0-4-0)
Carrick, Ashley E.: 2,165(37.7%)
Brown, Kieran C.: 106(1.8%)
(No preference: 3,474; 60.5%)
McKinley, Kevin: 1,454(25.3%)
Brown, Kieran C.: 106(1.8%)
(No preference: 4,185; 72.8%)
Parker, Tim: 931(16.2%)
Brown, Kieran C.: 106(1.8%)
(No preference: 4,708; 81.9%)
McNeill, Ruben A. Jr.: 621(10.8%)
Brown, Kieran C.: 106(1.8%)
(No preference: 5,018; 87.3%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_35 pairwise diagram permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_35/pairwise#dot

%3 Carrick, Ashley E. Carrick, Ashley E. 4-0-0 (4 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) McKinley, Kevin McKinley, Kevin 3-1-0 Carrick, Ashley E.->McKinley, Kevin ← Carrick, Ashley E.: 2165 McKinley, Kevin: 1454 Parker, Tim Parker, Tim 2-2-0 Carrick, Ashley E.->Parker, Tim ← Carrick, Ashley E.: 2165 Parker, Tim: 931 McNeill, Ruben A. Jr. McNeill, Ruben A. Jr. 1-3-0 Carrick, Ashley E.->McNeill, Ruben A. Jr. ← Carrick, Ashley E.: 2165 McNeill, Ruben A. Jr.: 621 Brown, Kieran C. Brown, Kieran C. 0-4-0 Carrick, Ashley E.->Brown, Kieran C. ← Carrick, Ashley E.: 2165 Brown, Kieran C.: 106 McKinley, Kevin->Parker, Tim ← McKinley, Kevin: 1454 Parker, Tim: 931 McKinley, Kevin->McNeill, Ruben A. Jr. ← McKinley, Kevin: 1454 McNeill, Ruben A. Jr.: 621 McKinley, Kevin->Brown, Kieran C. ← McKinley, Kevin: 1454 Brown, Kieran C.: 106 Parker, Tim->McNeill, Ruben A. Jr. ← Parker, Tim: 931 McNeill, Ruben A. Jr.: 621 Parker, Tim->Brown, Kieran C. ← Parker, Tim: 931 Brown, Kieran C.: 106 McNeill, Ruben A. Jr.->Brown, Kieran C. ← McNeill, Ruben A. Jr.: 621 Brown, Kieran C.: 106

Voting methods: FPTP • approval • IRV • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

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