awt logo

House_District_36 (Alaska; 2022-08-16)

πŸ”— 2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_36     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 , 2022-08 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_36" election (House_District_36 (Alaska; 2022-08-16))

ABIF submission area (show)
Method options
Ballot options

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_36

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Cronk, Mike
FPTP Cronk, Mike
Approval Cronk, Mike
STAR Cronk, Mike
Condorcet/Copeland Cronk, Mike
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_36 IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_36/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Cronk, Mike with 3,431 votes (59.5%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Fowler, Angela K. "Fitch" with 1,747 votes (30.3%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 589 (10.2%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 5,178 (89.8%)
  • Majority of ballots: 2,884 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 5,767
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 5,767 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 587 (10.2%)
Overvotes: 2 (0.0%)

Counted ballots: 5,178 (89.8%)
Winning threshold: 2,590 (44.91%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Cronk, Mike: 3,431 (59.5%)βœ…
β†’
Fowler, Angela K. "Fitch": 1,747 (30.3%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’

Overvotes are ballots where multiple candidates are ranked at the same, highest-ranking position.

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_36 FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_36/FPTP#FPTP
πŸ“
Note β€” Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Cronk, Mike with 3,431 first-place votes (59.5%)
  • Runner-up: Fowler, Angela K. "Fitch" with 1,747 first-place votes (30.3%)
  • Margin of victory: 1,684 votes (29.2 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Cronk, Mike: 3,431 votes (59.5 %)
    • Fowler, Angela K. "Fitch": 1,747 votes (30.3 %)
  • Overvotes: 2 (0.0 %)
  • Blanks: 587 (10.2 %)
  • Total ballots: 5,767

Approval voting results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_36 approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_36/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approval counts estimated from 5,767 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 2 candidates appear viable: Cronk, Mike and Fowler, Angela K. "Fitch". The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 1 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 2). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 1 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 5767}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "5767"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=[Cronk, Mike]:[Cronk, Mike]
=[Fowler, Angela K. "Fitch"]:[Fowler, Angela K. "Fitch"]
#------- votelines ------
3431:[Cronk, Mike]/1
1747:[Fowler, Angela K. "Fitch"]/1
  • Approval Winner: Cronk, Mike
  • Approval Results:
    • Cronk, Mike — 3,431 approvals (59.49% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Fowler, Angela K. "Fitch" — 1,747 approvals (30.29% of ballots)
  • Total: 5,767 ballots (5,178 total approvals)

STAR results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_36 STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_36/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 2 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 1 points, the 2nd choice gets 0 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Cronk, Mike
  • Finalists: Cronk, Mike vs Fowler, Angela K. "Fitch"
  • Runoff result:
    • Cronk, Mike: 3,431 votes (59.5%)
    • Fowler, Angela K. "Fitch": 1,747 votes (30.3%)
    • No preference: 589 voters (10.2%)
  • Total stars allocated: 5,182
  • Total ballots: 5,767
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 104 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Cronk, Mike received 3,433 stars (66.2%) from 3,433 voters (59.5%)
    • β˜…#1: Fowler, Angela K. "Fitch" received 1,749 stars (33.8%) from 1,749 voters (30.3%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Cronk, Mike (βœ… winner) preferred by 3,431 of 5,767 voters
    • β˜…Fowler, Angela K. "Fitch" preferred by 1,747 of 5,767 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 589

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_36 Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_36/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Cronk, Mike
  • Runner-up: Fowler, Angela K. "Fitch" (beats all other candidates except Cronk, Mike)
  • Smallest margin: Cronk, Mike over Fowler, Angela K. "Fitch" (3,431-1,747; margin: 1,684)
  • Largest margin: Cronk, Mike over Fowler, Angela K. "Fitch" (3,431-1,747; margin: 1,684)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 5,767

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_36 w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_36/pairwise#wlt
House_District_36 (Alaska; 2022-08-16) pairwise matchups
Cronk, Mike
(1-0-0)
Cronk, Mike
1 victory ⇣
Fowler, Angela K. "Fitch"
(0-1-0)
Cronk, Mike: 3,431(59.5%)
Fowler, Angela K. "Fitch": 1,747(30.3%)
(No preference: 589; 10.2%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_36 pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-House_District_36/pairwise#dot

%3 Cronk, Mike Cronk, Mike 1-0-0 (1 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Fowler, Angela K. "Fitch" Fowler, Angela K. "Fitch" 0-1-0 Cronk, Mike->Fowler, Angela K. "Fitch" ← Cronk, Mike: 3431 Fowler, Angela K. "Fitch": 1747

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

(homepage)