awt logo

Senate_District_D (Alaska; 2022-08-16)

πŸ”— 2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_D     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 , 2022-08 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_D" election (Senate_District_D (Alaska; 2022-08-16))

ABIF submission area (show)
Method options
Ballot options

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_D

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Babcock, Tuckerman
FPTP Babcock, Tuckerman
Approval Babcock, Tuckerman
STAR Babcock, Tuckerman
Condorcet/Copeland Babcock, Tuckerman
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_D IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_D/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Babcock, Tuckerman with 5,157 votes (42.3%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Bjorkman, Jesse J. with 3,753 votes (30.8%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 3,281 (26.9%)
  • Number of rounds: 2
  • Ballots counted in final round: 8,910 (73.1%)
  • Majority of ballots: 6,096 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 12,191
Round 1 Round 2
Overview:
Active ballots: 12,191 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 1,737 (14.2%)
Overvotes: 1 (0.0%)

Counted ballots: 10,453 (85.7%)
Winning threshold: 5,227 (42.88%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 12,190 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 3,280 (26.9%)
Counted ballots: 8,910 (73.1%)
Winning threshold: 4,456 (36.55%)
Babcock, Tuckerman: 5,157 (42.3%)
β†’
IRV/RCV winner:
Babcock, Tuckerman: 5,157 (42.3%)βœ…
β†’
Bjorkman, Jesse J.: 3,753 (30.8%)
β†’
Bjorkman, Jesse J.: 3,753 (30.8%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Cizek, Andy: 1,543 (12.7%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Cizek, Andy

Overvotes are ballots where multiple candidates are ranked at the same, highest-ranking position.

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_D FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_D/FPTP#FPTP
πŸ“
Note β€” Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Babcock, Tuckerman with 5,157 first-place votes (42.3%)
  • Runner-up: Bjorkman, Jesse J. with 3,753 first-place votes (30.8%)
  • Margin of victory: 1,404 votes (11.5 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Babcock, Tuckerman: 5,157 votes (42.3 %)
    • Bjorkman, Jesse J.: 3,753 votes (30.8 %)
    • Cizek, Andy: 1,543 votes (12.7 %)
  • Overvotes: 1 (0.0 %)
  • Blanks: 1,737 (14.2 %)
  • Total ballots: 12,191

Approval voting results

2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_D approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_D/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approval counts estimated from 12,191 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 3 candidates appear viable: Babcock, Tuckerman, Bjorkman, Jesse J., and Cizek, Andy. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 2 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 3, rounded up). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 2 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 12191}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "12191"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=[Babcock, Tuckerman]:[Babcock, Tuckerman]
=[Bjorkman, Jesse J.]:[Bjorkman, Jesse J.]
=[Cizek, Andy]:[Cizek, Andy]
#------- votelines ------
5157:[Babcock, Tuckerman]/1
3753:[Bjorkman, Jesse J.]/1
1543:[Cizek, Andy]/1
  • Approval Winner: Babcock, Tuckerman
  • Approval Results:
    • Babcock, Tuckerman — 5,157 approvals (42.3% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Bjorkman, Jesse J. — 3,753 approvals (30.79% of ballots)
    • Cizek, Andy — 1,543 approvals (12.66% of ballots)
  • Total: 12,191 ballots (10,453 total approvals)

STAR results

2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_D STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_D/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 3 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 2 points, the 2nd choice gets 1 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Babcock, Tuckerman
  • Finalists: Babcock, Tuckerman vs Bjorkman, Jesse J.
  • Runoff result:
    • Babcock, Tuckerman: 5,157 votes (42.3%)
    • Bjorkman, Jesse J.: 3,754 votes (30.8%)
    • No preference: 3280 voters (26.9%)
  • Total stars allocated: 20,910
  • Total ballots: 12,191
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 418 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Babcock, Tuckerman received 10,314 stars (49.3%) from 5,157 voters (42.3%)
    • β˜…#1: Bjorkman, Jesse J. received 7,508 stars (35.9%) from 3,754 voters (30.8%)
    • β˜…#2: Cizek, Andy received 3,088 stars (14.8%) from 1,544 voters (12.7%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Babcock, Tuckerman (βœ… winner) preferred by 5,157 of 12,191 voters
    • β˜…Bjorkman, Jesse J. preferred by 3,754 of 12,191 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 3280

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_D Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_D/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Babcock, Tuckerman
  • Runner-up: Bjorkman, Jesse J. (beats all other candidates except Babcock, Tuckerman)
  • Smallest margin: Bjorkman, Jesse J. over Cizek, Andy (3,753-1,543; margin: 2,210)
  • Largest margin: Babcock, Tuckerman over Bjorkman, Jesse J. (5,157-3,754; margin: 1,403)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 12,191

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_D w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_D/pairwise#wlt
Senate_District_D (Alaska; 2022-08-16) pairwise matchups
Babcock, Tuckerman
(2-0-0)
Babcock, Tuckerman
2 victories ⇣
Bjorkman, Jesse J.
(1-1-0)
Babcock, Tuckerman: 5,157(42.3%)
Bjorkman, Jesse J.: 3,754(30.8%)
(No preference: 3,280; 26.9%)
Bjorkman, Jesse J.
⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory† ⇣
Cizek, Andy
(0-2-0)
Babcock, Tuckerman: 5,157(42.3%)
Cizek, Andy: 1,544(12.7%)
(No preference: 5,490; 45.0%)
Bjorkman, Jesse J.: 3,753(30.8%)
Cizek, Andy: 1,543(12.7%)
(No preference: 6,895; 56.6%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_D pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_D/pairwise#dot

%3 Babcock, Tuckerman Babcock, Tuckerman 2-0-0 (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Bjorkman, Jesse J. Bjorkman, Jesse J. 1-1-0 Babcock, Tuckerman->Bjorkman, Jesse J. ← Babcock, Tuckerman: 5157 Bjorkman, Jesse J.: 3754 Cizek, Andy Cizek, Andy 0-2-0 Babcock, Tuckerman->Cizek, Andy ← Babcock, Tuckerman: 5157 Cizek, Andy: 1544 Bjorkman, Jesse J.->Cizek, Andy ← Bjorkman, Jesse J.: 3753 Cizek, Andy: 1543

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

(homepage)