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Senate_District_L (Alaska; 2022-08-16)

πŸ”— 2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_L     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 , 2022-08 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_L" election (Senate_District_L (Alaska; 2022-08-16))

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Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_L

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Merrick, Kelly R.
FPTP Merrick, Kelly R.
Approval Merrick, Kelly R.
STAR Merrick, Kelly R.
Condorcet/Copeland Merrick, Kelly R.
Election results summary showing voting method winners
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tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_L IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_L/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Merrick, Kelly R. with 5,324 votes (44.3%) in final round
  • Runner-up: McCarty, Ken with 2,872 votes (23.9%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 1,990 (16.6%)
  • Number of rounds: 1
  • Ballots counted in final round: 10,019 (83.4%)
  • Majority of ballots: 6,005 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 12,009
Round 1
Overview:
Active ballots: 12,009 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 1,989 (16.6%)
Overvotes: 1 (0.0%)

Counted ballots: 10,019 (83.4%)
Winning threshold: 5,010 (41.72%)
IRV/RCV winner:
Merrick, Kelly R.: 5,324 (44.3%)βœ…
β†’
McCarty, Ken: 2,872 (23.9%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Wright, Joe: 1,132 (9.4%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Trotter, Clayton: 691 (5.8%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’

Overvotes are ballots where multiple candidates are ranked at the same, highest-ranking position.

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_L FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_L/FPTP#FPTP
πŸ“
Note β€” Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Merrick, Kelly R. with 5,324 first-place votes (44.3%)
  • Runner-up: McCarty, Ken with 2,872 first-place votes (23.9%)
  • Margin of victory: 2,452 votes (20.4 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Merrick, Kelly R.: 5,324 votes (44.3 %)
    • McCarty, Ken: 2,872 votes (23.9 %)
    • Wright, Joe: 1,132 votes (9.4 %)
    • Trotter, Clayton: 691 votes (5.8 %)
  • Overvotes: 1 (0.0 %)
  • Blanks: 1,989 (16.6 %)
  • Total ballots: 12,009

Approval voting results

2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_L approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_L/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approval counts estimated from 12,009 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 2 candidates appear viable: Merrick, Kelly R. and McCarty, Ken. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 1 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 2). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 1 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 12009}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "12009"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=[Merrick, Kelly R.]:[Merrick, Kelly R.]
=[McCarty, Ken]:[McCarty, Ken]
=[Wright, Joe]:[Wright, Joe]
=[Trotter, Clayton]:[Trotter, Clayton]
#------- votelines ------
5324:[Merrick, Kelly R.]/1
2872:[McCarty, Ken]/1
  • Approval Winner: Merrick, Kelly R.
  • Approval Results:
    • Merrick, Kelly R. — 5,324 approvals (44.33% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • McCarty, Ken — 2,872 approvals (23.92% of ballots)
  • Total: 12,009 ballots (8,196 total approvals)

STAR results

2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_L STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_L/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 4 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 3 points, the 2nd choice gets 2 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Merrick, Kelly R.
  • Finalists: Merrick, Kelly R. vs McCarty, Ken
  • Runoff result:
    • Merrick, Kelly R.: 5,324 votes (44.3%)
    • McCarty, Ken: 2,872 votes (23.9%)
    • No preference: 3813 voters (31.8%)
  • Total stars allocated: 30,063
  • Total ballots: 12,009
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 601 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Merrick, Kelly R. received 15,975 stars (53.1%) from 5,325 voters (44.3%)
    • β˜…#1: McCarty, Ken received 8,619 stars (28.7%) from 2,873 voters (23.9%)
    • β˜…#2: Wright, Joe received 3,396 stars (11.3%) from 1,132 voters (9.4%)
    • β˜…#3: Trotter, Clayton received 2,073 stars (6.9%) from 691 voters (5.8%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Merrick, Kelly R. (βœ… winner) preferred by 5,324 of 12,009 voters
    • β˜…McCarty, Ken preferred by 2,872 of 12,009 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 3813

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_L Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_L/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Merrick, Kelly R.
  • Runner-up: McCarty, Ken (beats all other candidates except Merrick, Kelly R.)
  • Smallest margin: Wright, Joe over Trotter, Clayton (1,132-691; margin: 441)
  • Largest margin: Merrick, Kelly R. over Wright, Joe (5,325-1,132; margin: 4,193)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 12,009

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_L w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_L/pairwise#wlt
Senate_District_L (Alaska; 2022-08-16) pairwise matchups
Merrick, Kelly R.
(3-0-0)
Merrick, Kelly R.
3 victories ⇣
McCarty, Ken
(2-1-0)
Merrick, Kelly R.: 5,324(44.3%)
McCarty, Ken: 2,872(23.9%)
(No preference: 3,813; 31.8%)
McCarty, Ken
⇽ 1 loss / 2 victories† ⇣
Wright, Joe
(1-2-0)
Merrick, Kelly R.: 5,325(44.3%)
Wright, Joe: 1,132(9.4%)
(No preference: 5,552; 46.2%)
McCarty, Ken: 2,873(23.9%)
Wright, Joe: 1,132(9.4%)
(No preference: 8,004; 66.7%)
Wright, Joe
⇽ 2 losses / 1 victory† ⇣
Trotter, Clayton
(0-3-0)
Merrick, Kelly R.: 5,325(44.3%)
Trotter, Clayton: 691(5.8%)
(No preference: 5,993; 49.9%)
McCarty, Ken: 2,873(23.9%)
Trotter, Clayton: 691(5.8%)
(No preference: 8,445; 70.3%)
Wright, Joe: 1,132(9.4%)
Trotter, Clayton: 691(5.8%)
(No preference: 10,186; 84.8%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_L pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_L/pairwise#dot

%3 Merrick, Kelly R. Merrick, Kelly R. 3-0-0 (3 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) McCarty, Ken McCarty, Ken 2-1-0 Merrick, Kelly R.->McCarty, Ken ← Merrick, Kelly R.: 5324 McCarty, Ken: 2872 Wright, Joe Wright, Joe 1-2-0 Merrick, Kelly R.->Wright, Joe ← Merrick, Kelly R.: 5325 Wright, Joe: 1132 Trotter, Clayton Trotter, Clayton 0-3-0 Merrick, Kelly R.->Trotter, Clayton ← Merrick, Kelly R.: 5325 Trotter, Clayton: 691 McCarty, Ken->Wright, Joe ← McCarty, Ken: 2873 Wright, Joe: 1132 McCarty, Ken->Trotter, Clayton ← McCarty, Ken: 2873 Trotter, Clayton: 691 Wright, Joe->Trotter, Clayton ← Wright, Joe: 1132 Trotter, Clayton: 691

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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