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Senate_District_N (Alaska; 2022-08-16)

πŸ”— 2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_N     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 , 2022-08 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_N" election (Senate_District_N (Alaska; 2022-08-16))

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Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_N

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
IRV/RCV Wilson, David S.
FPTP Wilson, David S.
Approval Wilson, David S.
STAR Wilson, David S.
Condorcet/Copeland Wilson, David S.
Election results summary showing voting method winners
click/tap to expand
tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_N IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_N/IRV#IRV

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Wilson, David S. with 3,584 votes (36.4%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Wright, Stephen with 2,123 votes (21.6%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 4,138 (42.0%)
  • Number of rounds: 2
  • Ballots counted in final round: 5,707 (58.0%)
  • Majority of ballots: 4,923 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 9,845
Round 1 Round 2
Overview:
Active ballots: 9,845 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 2,109 (21.4%)
Overvotes: 4 (0.0%)

Counted ballots: 7,732 (78.5%)
Winning threshold: 3,867 (39.28%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 9,841 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 4,134 (42.0%)
Counted ballots: 5,707 (58.0%)
Winning threshold: 2,854 (28.99%)
Wilson, David S.: 3,584 (36.4%)
β†’
IRV/RCV winner:
Wilson, David S.: 3,584 (36.4%)βœ…
β†’
Wright, Stephen: 2,123 (21.6%)
β†’
Wright, Stephen: 2,123 (21.6%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Clayton, Scott D.: 2,025 (20.6%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Clayton, Scott D.

Overvotes are ballots where multiple candidates are ranked at the same, highest-ranking position.

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_N FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_N/FPTP#FPTP
πŸ“
Note β€” Only using first-choices on ranked ballots

  • FPTP Winner: Wilson, David S. with 3,584 first-place votes (36.4%)
  • Runner-up: Wright, Stephen with 2,123 first-place votes (21.6%)
  • Margin of victory: 1,461 votes (14.8 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Wilson, David S.: 3,584 votes (36.4 %)
    • Wright, Stephen: 2,123 votes (21.6 %)
    • Clayton, Scott D.: 2,025 votes (20.6 %)
  • Overvotes: 4 (0.0 %)
  • Blanks: 2,109 (21.4 %)
  • Total ballots: 9,845

Approval voting results

2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_N approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_N/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approval counts estimated from 9,845 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method
Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 3 candidates appear viable: Wilson, David S., Wright, Stephen, and Clayton, Scott D.. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 2 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 3, rounded up). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 2 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 9845}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "9845"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=[Wilson, David S.]:[Wilson, David S.]
=[Wright, Stephen]:[Wright, Stephen]
=[Clayton, Scott D.]:[Clayton, Scott D.]
#------- votelines ------
3584:[Wilson, David S.]/1
2123:[Wright, Stephen]/1
2025:[Clayton, Scott D.]/1
  • Approval Winner: Wilson, David S.
  • Approval Results:
    • Wilson, David S. — 3,584 approvals (36.4% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Wright, Stephen — 2,123 approvals (21.56% of ballots)
    • Clayton, Scott D. — 2,025 approvals (20.57% of ballots)
  • Total: 9,845 ballots (7,732 total approvals)

STAR results

2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_N STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_N/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method
Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 3 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 2 points, the 2nd choice gets 1 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

  • STAR winner: Wilson, David S.
  • Finalists: Wilson, David S. vs Wright, Stephen
  • Runoff result:
    • Wilson, David S.: 3,584 votes (36.4%)
    • Wright, Stephen: 2,124 votes (21.6%)
    • No preference: 4137 voters (42.0%)
  • Total stars allocated: 15,484
  • Total ballots: 9,845
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 310 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Wilson, David S. received 7,174 stars (46.3%) from 3,587 voters (36.4%)
    • β˜…#1: Wright, Stephen received 4,254 stars (27.5%) from 2,127 voters (21.6%)
    • β˜…#2: Clayton, Scott D. received 4,056 stars (26.2%) from 2,028 voters (20.6%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Wilson, David S. (βœ… winner) preferred by 3,584 of 9,845 voters
    • β˜…Wright, Stephen preferred by 2,124 of 9,845 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 4137

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_N Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_N/pairwise#pairwise
  • Winner: Wilson, David S.
  • Runner-up: Wright, Stephen (beats all other candidates except Wilson, David S.)
  • Smallest margin: Wright, Stephen over Clayton, Scott D. (2,124-2,025; margin: 99)
  • Largest margin: Wilson, David S. over Clayton, Scott D. (3,585-2,026; margin: 1,559)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 9,845

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_N w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_N/pairwise#wlt
Senate_District_N (Alaska; 2022-08-16) pairwise matchups
Wilson, David S.
(2-0-0)
Wilson, David S.
2 victories ⇣
Wright, Stephen
(1-1-0)
Wilson, David S.: 3,584(36.4%)
Wright, Stephen: 2,124(21.6%)
(No preference: 4,137; 42.0%)
Wright, Stephen
⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory† ⇣
Clayton, Scott D.
(0-2-0)
Wilson, David S.: 3,585(36.4%)
Clayton, Scott D.: 2,026(20.6%)
(No preference: 4,234; 43.0%)
Wright, Stephen: 2,124(21.6%)
Clayton, Scott D.: 2,025(20.6%)
(No preference: 5,696; 57.9%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_N pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_N/pairwise#dot

%3 Wilson, David S. Wilson, David S. 2-0-0 (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Wright, Stephen Wright, Stephen 1-1-0 Wilson, David S.->Wright, Stephen ← Wilson, David S.: 3584 Wright, Stephen: 2124 Clayton, Scott D. Clayton, Scott D. 0-2-0 Wilson, David S.->Clayton, Scott D. ← Wilson, David S.: 3585 Clayton, Scott D.: 2026 Wright, Stephen->Clayton, Scott D. ← Wright, Stephen: 2124 Clayton, Scott D.: 2025

Voting methods: IRV β€’ FPTP β€’ approval β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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