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Senate_District_P (Alaska; 2022-08-16)

πŸ”— 2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_P     (tags: { from-bolson , actual , 2022 , AK , local , Alaska-2022 , 2022-08 })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_P" election (Senate_District_P (Alaska; 2022-08-16))

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Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

Results

πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_P

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "choose_one". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method Winner
FPTP Kawasaki, Scott
Approval Kawasaki, Scott
IRV/RCV Kawasaki, Scott
STAR Kawasaki, Scott
Condorcet/Copeland Kawasaki, Scott
Election results summary showing voting method winners
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FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_P FPTP results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_P/FPTP#FPTP

  • FPTP Winner: Kawasaki, Scott with 2,664 first-place votes (45.8%)
  • Runner-up: Matherly, Jim with 2,426 first-place votes (41.7%)
  • Margin of victory: 238 votes (4.1 percentage points)
  • First-place votes
    • Kawasaki, Scott: 2,664 votes (45.8 %)
    • Matherly, Jim: 2,426 votes (41.7 %)
    • Jafre, Alex N.: 370 votes (6.4 %)
  • Blanks: 351 (6.0 %)
  • Total ballots: 5,811

Approval voting results

2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_P approval voting results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_P/approval#approval
πŸ“
Note β€” Approvals inferred from choose_one ballots
Details

Approval results are derived by treating each voter's single top choice as their only approval. Lower preferences are not available on choose_one ballots.

  • Approval Winner: Kawasaki, Scott
  • Approval Results:
    • Kawasaki, Scott — 2,664 approvals (45.84% of ballots) (βœ… winner)
    • Matherly, Jim — 2,426 approvals (41.75% of ballots)
    • Jafre, Alex N. — 370 approvals (6.37% of ballots)
  • Total: 5,811 ballots (5,460 total approvals)

IRV/RCV results

2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_P IRV/RCV result permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_P/IRV#IRV
πŸ“
Note β€” IRV/RCV applied to choose_one ballots (no transfers)
Details

These ballots indicate only a single top choice per voter. IRV/RCV on choose_one ballots cannot transfer votes or use lower preferences, so the result is equivalent to plurality on first choices.

  • IRV/RCV Winner: Kawasaki, Scott with 2,664 votes (45.8%) in final round
  • Runner-up: Matherly, Jim with 2,426 votes (41.7%) in final round
  • Exhausted ballots in final round: 721 (12.4%)
  • Number of rounds: 2
  • Ballots counted in final round: 5,090 (87.6%)
  • Majority of ballots: 2,906 (50.0%)
  • Total ballots: 5,811
Round 1 Round 2
Overview:
Active ballots: 5,811 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 351 (6.0%)
Counted ballots: 5,460 (94.0%)
Winning threshold: 2,731 (47.00%)
Overview:
Active ballots: 5,811 (100.0%)

Exhausted ballots: 721 (12.4%)
Counted ballots: 5,090 (87.6%)
Winning threshold: 2,546 (43.81%)
Kawasaki, Scott: 2,664 (45.8%)
β†’
IRV/RCV winner:
Kawasaki, Scott: 2,664 (45.8%)βœ…
β†’
Matherly, Jim: 2,426 (41.7%)
β†’
Matherly, Jim: 2,426 (41.7%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Jafre, Alex N.: 370 (6.4%) (πŸ›‘eliminated)
β†’
Jafre, Alex N.

STAR results

2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_P STAR results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_P/STAR#STAR
πŸ“
Note β€” STAR interpretation from choose_one ballots
Details

Choose_one ballots provide only each voter's top choice and no ratings. STAR results shown here are computed without true ratings and should be interpreted cautiously.

  • STAR winner: Kawasaki, Scott
  • Finalists: Kawasaki, Scott vs Matherly, Jim
  • Runoff result:
    • Kawasaki, Scott: 2,664 votes (45.8%)
    • Matherly, Jim: 2,426 votes (41.7%)
    • No preference: 721 voters (12.4%)
  • Total stars allocated: 10,920
  • Total ballots: 5,811
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…

β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
(one star above is approximately 218 stars allocated by voters)
  • First round:
    • β˜…#0: Kawasaki, Scott received 5,328 stars (48.8%) from 2,664 voters (45.8%)
    • β˜…#1: Matherly, Jim received 4,852 stars (44.4%) from 2,426 voters (41.7%)
    • β˜…#2: Jafre, Alex N. received 740 stars (6.8%) from 370 voters (6.4%)
  • Finalists:
    • β˜…Kawasaki, Scott (βœ… winner) preferred by 2,664 of 5,811 voters
    • β˜…Matherly, Jim preferred by 2,426 of 5,811 voters
    • β˜…No preference between the finalists: 721

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_P Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_P/pairwise#pairwise
πŸ“
Note β€” Pairwise comparisons derived from top-choice-only ballots
Details

Pairwise/Condorcet comparisons use only each voter's top choice from choose_one ballots. No lower preferences are available, so many matchups will show a large 'No preference' count.

  • Winner: Kawasaki, Scott
  • Runner-up: Matherly, Jim (beats all other candidates except Kawasaki, Scott)
  • Smallest margin: Matherly, Jim over Jafre, Alex N. (2,426-370; margin: 2,056)
  • Largest margin: Kawasaki, Scott over Matherly, Jim (2,664-2,426; margin: 238)
  • Pairwise ties: none
  • Total ballots: 5,811

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_P w-l-t table permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_P/pairwise#wlt
Senate_District_P (Alaska; 2022-08-16) pairwise matchups
Kawasaki, Scott
(2-0-0)
Kawasaki, Scott
2 victories ⇣
Matherly, Jim
(1-1-0)
Kawasaki, Scott: 2,664(45.8%)
Matherly, Jim: 2,426(41.7%)
(No preference: 721; 12.4%)
Matherly, Jim
⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory† ⇣
Jafre, Alex N.
(0-2-0)
Kawasaki, Scott: 2,664(45.8%)
Jafre, Alex N.: 370(6.4%)
(No preference: 2,777; 47.8%)
Matherly, Jim: 2,426(41.7%)
Jafre, Alex N.: 370(6.4%)
(No preference: 3,015; 51.9%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_P pairwise diagram permalink:
πŸ”—https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-08-16_Alaska-Senate_District_P/pairwise#dot

%3 Kawasaki, Scott Kawasaki, Scott 2-0-0 (2 wins, 0 losses, 0 ties) Matherly, Jim Matherly, Jim 1-1-0 Kawasaki, Scott->Matherly, Jim ← Kawasaki, Scott: 2664 Matherly, Jim: 2426 Jafre, Alex N. Jafre, Alex N. 0-2-0 Kawasaki, Scott->Jafre, Alex N. ← Kawasaki, Scott: 2664 Jafre, Alex N.: 370 Matherly, Jim->Jafre, Alex N. ← Matherly, Jim: 2426 Jafre, Alex N.: 370

Voting methods: FPTP β€’ approval β€’ IRV β€’ STAR β€’ Pairwise β€’ All methods

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