Member City Council Dist. 5 - San Leandro (AlamedaCounty; 2022-11-08)

🔗 2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._5_-_San_Leandro (tags: { AlamedaCounty_CA , from-bolson , actual , 2022 , AlamedaCounty-2022 , 2022-11 , CA })

Below is the ABIF from the "2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._5_-_San_Leandro" election (Member City Council Dist. 5 - San Leandro (AlamedaCounty; 2022-11-08))

ABIF submission area (show)

#------- metadata -------
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount: 19301}
#------ candlines ------
=[XOUHOA BOWEN]:[XOUHOA BOWEN]
=[MONIQUE TATE]:[MONIQUE TATE]
=Write-in:[Write-in]
#------- votelines ------
6070:[XOUHOA BOWEN]>[MONIQUE TATE]
5874:[MONIQUE TATE]>[XOUHOA BOWEN]
3202:[MONIQUE TATE]
3070:[XOUHOA BOWEN]
94:[XOUHOA BOWEN]>[MONIQUE TATE]>Write-in
89:Write-in
74:[MONIQUE TATE]>[XOUHOA BOWEN]>Write-in
60:[MONIQUE TATE]>[XOUHOA BOWEN]
56:[MONIQUE TATE]>[XOUHOA BOWEN]
52:[XOUHOA BOWEN]=[MONIQUE TATE]
48:[MONIQUE TATE]
45:[XOUHOA BOWEN]>[MONIQUE TATE]
40:[XOUHOA BOWEN]
36:[XOUHOA BOWEN]>[MONIQUE TATE]
27:[XOUHOA BOWEN]>[MONIQUE TATE]
27:[MONIQUE TATE]>[XOUHOA BOWEN]
24:[XOUHOA BOWEN]>[MONIQUE TATE]
24:[MONIQUE TATE]>[XOUHOA BOWEN]
20:Write-in>[MONIQUE TATE]>[XOUHOA BOWEN]
18:[MONIQUE TATE]>Write-in
18:[XOUHOA BOWEN]>Write-in>[MONIQUE TATE]
17:[MONIQUE TATE]>[XOUHOA BOWEN]
17:[XOUHOA BOWEN]=[MONIQUE TATE]
16:[XOUHOA BOWEN]>[MONIQUE TATE]
16:[XOUHOA BOWEN]>Write-in
16:Write-in>[XOUHOA BOWEN]>[MONIQUE TATE]
15:[MONIQUE TATE]>Write-in>[XOUHOA BOWEN]
14:[XOUHOA BOWEN]>[MONIQUE TATE]
14:Write-in>[XOUHOA BOWEN]
13:[XOUHOA BOWEN]
9:[XOUHOA BOWEN]=[MONIQUE TATE]=Write-in
9:[XOUHOA BOWEN]
9:Write-in>[MONIQUE TATE]
8:[XOUHOA BOWEN]=[MONIQUE TATE]
8:[MONIQUE TATE]
8:[XOUHOA BOWEN]=[MONIQUE TATE]=Write-in
7:[MONIQUE TATE]
7:[MONIQUE TATE]>[XOUHOA BOWEN]
6:[MONIQUE TATE]
6:[XOUHOA BOWEN]=[MONIQUE TATE]
5:[XOUHOA BOWEN]>[MONIQUE TATE]>Write-in
5:Write-in>[MONIQUE TATE]>[XOUHOA BOWEN]
4:[MONIQUE TATE]>[XOUHOA BOWEN]
4:[XOUHOA BOWEN]>[MONIQUE TATE]>Write-in
4:[XOUHOA BOWEN]
4:[MONIQUE TATE]>[XOUHOA BOWEN]>Write-in
3:[MONIQUE TATE]>[XOUHOA BOWEN]>Write-in
3:[MONIQUE TATE]>[XOUHOA BOWEN]
3:[XOUHOA BOWEN]>[MONIQUE TATE]
3:Write-in
3:[XOUHOA BOWEN]>[MONIQUE TATE]
3:Write-in>[MONIQUE TATE]
3:[XOUHOA BOWEN]>Write-in>[MONIQUE TATE]
3:Write-in>[XOUHOA BOWEN]
3:Write-in
3:[XOUHOA BOWEN]>[MONIQUE TATE]>Write-in
2:Write-in>[XOUHOA BOWEN]=[MONIQUE TATE]
2:[MONIQUE TATE]>Write-in
2:[MONIQUE TATE]>Write-in
2:[XOUHOA BOWEN]>[MONIQUE TATE]
2:Write-in>[XOUHOA BOWEN]>[MONIQUE TATE]
2:Write-in>[XOUHOA BOWEN]
2:[MONIQUE TATE]=Write-in>[XOUHOA BOWEN]
2:Write-in>[MONIQUE TATE]>[XOUHOA BOWEN]
2:[MONIQUE TATE]>[XOUHOA BOWEN]>Write-in
2:[XOUHOA BOWEN]>[MONIQUE TATE]=Write-in
2:[MONIQUE TATE]=Write-in>[XOUHOA BOWEN]
1:Write-in>[MONIQUE TATE]>[XOUHOA BOWEN]
1:[XOUHOA BOWEN]>[MONIQUE TATE]>Write-in
1:[XOUHOA BOWEN]>Write-in
1:[MONIQUE TATE]=Write-in>[XOUHOA BOWEN]
1:[MONIQUE TATE]>[XOUHOA BOWEN]=Write-in
1:[XOUHOA BOWEN]=Write-in>[MONIQUE TATE]
1:[MONIQUE TATE]=Write-in
1:[MONIQUE TATE]>Write-in>[XOUHOA BOWEN]
1:Write-in>[MONIQUE TATE]
1:[MONIQUE TATE]>Write-in
1:[XOUHOA BOWEN]=Write-in
1:[MONIQUE TATE]>Write-in
1:Write-in>[MONIQUE TATE]>[XOUHOA BOWEN]
1:[XOUHOA BOWEN]>[MONIQUE TATE]>Write-in
1:Write-in>[XOUHOA BOWEN]=[MONIQUE TATE]
1:[XOUHOA BOWEN]>Write-in>[MONIQUE TATE]
1:Write-in>[XOUHOA BOWEN]>[MONIQUE TATE]
1:[MONIQUE TATE]>Write-in
1:[MONIQUE TATE]>Write-in>[XOUHOA BOWEN]
1:[XOUHOA BOWEN]>Write-in
1:[MONIQUE TATE]>[XOUHOA BOWEN]>Write-in
1:[XOUHOA BOWEN]>Write-in
1:[MONIQUE TATE]=Write-in>[XOUHOA BOWEN]
1:[XOUHOA BOWEN]>Write-in
1:[MONIQUE TATE]>[XOUHOA BOWEN]
1:Write-in>[XOUHOA BOWEN]=[MONIQUE TATE]
1:[MONIQUE TATE]>Write-in>[XOUHOA BOWEN]
1:Write-in>[MONIQUE TATE]
1:[XOUHOA BOWEN]>[MONIQUE TATE]>Write-in
1:Write-in>[XOUHOA BOWEN]>[MONIQUE TATE]
1:[XOUHOA BOWEN]>[MONIQUE TATE]=Write-in
1:[MONIQUE TATE]>[XOUHOA BOWEN]>Write-in
1:Write-in>[MONIQUE TATE]
1:[XOUHOA BOWEN]=[MONIQUE TATE]>Write-in
1:Write-in>[MONIQUE TATE]>[XOUHOA BOWEN]
1:[XOUHOA BOWEN]>Write-in>[MONIQUE TATE]
1:[XOUHOA BOWEN]=[MONIQUE TATE]=Write-in
1:[XOUHOA BOWEN]>Write-in>[MONIQUE TATE]
1:Write-in>[XOUHOA BOWEN]
1:[MONIQUE TATE]>Write-in>[XOUHOA BOWEN]

Method options

FPTP results?

IRV/RCV results?

IRV extra analysis?

Approval results?

STAR results?

pairwise (Condorcet/Copeland) results?

pairwise tournament diagram?

Ballot options Transform ballots (using ballot-type metadata)?

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

Results

🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._5_-_San_Leandro

Below are the results of the election represented above using various election methods with abiftool/abiflib. The detected ballot type from the ABIF above is "ranked". Some methods may transform these ballots for analysis; see method notices for details. Resubmit the ABIF with "Transform ballots" turned off to minimize the transformations.

Method	Winner
IRV/RCV	XOUHOA BOWEN
FPTP	XOUHOA BOWEN
Approval	MONIQUE TATE
STAR	XOUHOA BOWEN
Condorcet/Copeland	XOUHOA BOWEN

OFF ON tabbed view

IRV/RCV results

2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._5_-_San_Leandro IRV/RCV result permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._5_-_San_Leandro/IRV#IRV

IRV/RCV Winner: XOUHOA BOWEN with 9,572 votes (49.6%) in final round
Runner-up: MONIQUE TATE with 9,519 votes (49.3%) in final round
Exhausted ballots in final round: 210 (1.1%)
Number of rounds: 2
Ballots counted in final round: 19,091 (98.9%)
Majority of ballots: 9,651 (50.0%)
Total ballots: 19,301

Round 1	Round 2
Overview: Active ballots: 19,301 (100.0%) Exhausted ballots: 0 (0.0%) Overvotes: 111 (0.6%) Counted ballots: 19,190 (99.4%) Winning threshold: 9,596 (49.72%)	Overview: Active ballots: 19,190 (99.4%) Exhausted ballots: 95 (0.5%) Overvotes: 4 (0.0%) Counted ballots: 19,091 (98.9%) Winning threshold: 9,546 (49.46%)
XOUHOA BOWEN: 9,532 (49.4%) →	IRV/RCV winner: XOUHOA BOWEN: 9,572 (49.6%)✅ →
MONIQUE TATE: 9,474 (49.1%) →	MONIQUE TATE: 9,519 (49.3%) (🛑eliminated) →
Write-in: 184 (1.0%) (🛑eliminated) →	~~Write-in~~

Overvotes are ballots where multiple candidates are ranked at the same, highest-ranking position.

FPTP result

"FPTP" is "First-past-the-post", also known as "plurality" or "choose-one"
2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._5_-_San_Leandro FPTP results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._5_-_San_Leandro/FPTP#FPTP

FPTP Winner: XOUHOA BOWEN with 9,532 first-place votes (49.4%)
Runner-up: MONIQUE TATE with 9,474 first-place votes (49.1%)
Margin of victory: 58 votes (0.3 percentage points)
First-place votes
- XOUHOA BOWEN: 9,532 votes (49.4 %)
- MONIQUE TATE: 9,474 votes (49.1 %)
- Write-in: 184 votes (1.0 %)
Overvotes: 111 (0.6 %)
Total ballots: 19,301

Approval voting results

2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._5_-_San_Leandro approval voting results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._5_-_San_Leandro/approval#approval

📝

Note — Approval counts estimated from 19,301 ranked ballots using favorite_viable_half method

Details

The 'favorite_viable_half' conversion algorithm: find the candidate with the most first preferences, and then determine the minimum number of figurative seats that would need to be open in order for the candidate to exceed the Hare quota with the given first-prefs. We use this to estimate how many candidates are likely to be viable candidates.

Using first-choice vote totals as a rough guide, approximately 3 candidates appear viable: XOUHOA BOWEN, MONIQUE TATE, and Write-in. The approximation then assumes each voter approves up to 2 of their top-ranked viable candidates (half of 3, rounded up). All candidates ranked at or above the lowest-ranked of each ballot's top viable candidates receive approval (considering up to 2 viable candidates per ballot).

See transformed ballots

Note: For Approval, these choose_many ballots are inferred from ranked ballots.

Conversion method: favorite_viable_half

#------- metadata -------
{ballotcount: 19301}
{version: "0.1"}
{ballotcount_abif_metadata: "19301"}
{is_ranking_to_rating: true}
#------ candlines ------
=Write-in:[Write-in]
=[XOUHOA BOWEN]:[XOUHOA BOWEN]
=[MONIQUE TATE]:[MONIQUE TATE]
#------- votelines ------
6070:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
5874:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
3202:[MONIQUE TATE]/1
3070:[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
94:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
89:Write-in/1
74:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
60:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
56:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
48:[MONIQUE TATE]/1
45:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
40:[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
36:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
27:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
27:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
24:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
24:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
20:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=Write-in/1
18:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=Write-in/1
18:Write-in/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
17:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
16:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
16:Write-in/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
16:Write-in/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
15:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=Write-in/1
14:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
14:Write-in/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
13:[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
9:[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
9:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=Write-in/1
8:[MONIQUE TATE]/1
7:[MONIQUE TATE]/1
7:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
6:[MONIQUE TATE]/1
5:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
5:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=Write-in/1
4:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
4:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
4:[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
4:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
3:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
3:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
3:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
3:Write-in/1
3:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
3:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=Write-in/1
3:Write-in/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
3:Write-in/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
3:Write-in/1
3:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
2:Write-in/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
2:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=Write-in/1
2:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=Write-in/1
2:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
2:Write-in/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
2:Write-in/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
2:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=Write-in/1
2:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
2:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
1:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=Write-in/1
1:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
1:Write-in/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
1:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
1:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=Write-in/1
1:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=Write-in/1
1:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=Write-in/1
1:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=Write-in/1
1:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=Write-in/1
1:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
1:Write-in/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
1:Write-in/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
1:Write-in/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
1:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=Write-in/1
1:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=Write-in/1
1:Write-in/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
1:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
1:Write-in/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
1:Write-in/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
1:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
1:Write-in/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
1:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=Write-in/1
1:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=Write-in/1
1:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
1:Write-in/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
1:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
1:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
1:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=Write-in/1
1:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=Write-in/1
1:Write-in/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
1:Write-in/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
1:Write-in/1=[XOUHOA BOWEN]/1
1:[MONIQUE TATE]/1=Write-in/1

Approval Winner: MONIQUE TATE
Approval Results:
- MONIQUE TATE — 15,871 approvals (82.23% of ballots) (✅ winner)
- XOUHOA BOWEN — 15,735 approvals (81.52% of ballots)
- Write-in — 272 approvals (1.41% of ballots)
Total: 19,301 ballots (31,878 total approvals)

STAR results

2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._5_-_San_Leandro STAR results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._5_-_San_Leandro/STAR#STAR

📝

Note — STAR ratings estimated from ranked ballots using Borda scoring method

Details

The ranked ballots have been converted to STAR ratings using Borda scoring: each candidate receives points equal to (number_of_candidates - their_rank). In this election, we have 3 candidates, so the 1st choice gets 2 points, the 2nd choice gets 1 points, etc. These Borda scores are then used as STAR ratings for tabulation by STAR.

STAR winner: XOUHOA BOWEN
Finalists: MONIQUE TATE vs XOUHOA BOWEN
Runoff result:
- MONIQUE TATE: 9,526 votes (49.4%)
- XOUHOA BOWEN: 9,574 votes (49.6%)
- No preference: 201 voters (1.0%)
Total stars allocated: 51,564
Total ballots: 19,301

★★★★★★

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★★★★★★

(one star above is approximately 1,031 stars allocated by voters)

First round:
- ★#0: MONIQUE TATE received 25,568 stars (49.6%) from 15,985 voters (82.8%)
- ★#1: XOUHOA BOWEN received 25,481 stars (49.4%) from 15,845 voters (82.1%)
- ★#2: Write-in received 515 stars (1.0%) from 304 voters (1.6%)
Finalists:
- ★MONIQUE TATE (✅ winner) preferred by 9,526 of 19,301 voters
- ★XOUHOA BOWEN preferred by 9,574 of 19,301 voters
- ★No preference between the finalists: 201

NOTE: Since ratings or stars are not present in the provided ballots, allocated stars are estimated using a Borda-like formula.

Condorcet/Copeland results

2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._5_-_San_Leandro Condorcet/Copeland results permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._5_-_San_Leandro/pairwise#pairwise

Winner: XOUHOA BOWEN
Runner-up: MONIQUE TATE (beats all other candidates except XOUHOA BOWEN)
Smallest margin: XOUHOA BOWEN over MONIQUE TATE (9,574-9,526; margin: 48)
Largest margin: MONIQUE TATE over Write-in (15,907-230; margin: 15,677)
Pairwise ties: none
Total ballots: 19,301

Win-loss-tie (Condorcet/Copeland) table

2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._5_-_San_Leandro w-l-t table permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._5_-_San_Leandro/pairwise#wlt

Member City Council Dist. 5 - San Leandro (AlamedaCounty; 2022-11-08) pairwise matchups
XOUHOA BOWEN (2-0-0)	XOUHOA BOWEN 2 victories ⇣
MONIQUE TATE (1-1-0)	XOUHOA BOWEN: 9,574(49.6%) MONIQUE TATE: 9,526(49.4%) (No preference: 201; 1.0%)	MONIQUE TATE ⇽ 1 loss / 1 victory^† ⇣
Write-in (0-2-0)	XOUHOA BOWEN: 15,774(81.7%) Write-in: 235(1.2%) (No preference: 3,292; 17.1%)	MONIQUE TATE: 15,907(82.4%) Write-in: 230(1.2%) (No preference: 3,164; 16.4%)

Pairwise tournament (Copeland ordered)

2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._5_-_San_Leandro pairwise diagram permalink:
🔗https://abif.electorama.com/id/2022-11-08_AlamedaCounty-Member_City_Council_Dist._5_-_San_Leandro/pairwise#dot

Voting methods: IRV • FPTP • approval • STAR • Pairwise • All methods

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